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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2017Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Toledo by 7.2

Home Win Probability

Central Michigan 29%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 14, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ToledoToledo
71001330
Central MichiganCentral Michigan
003710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-100-173-233-3010-30
Central MichiganToledo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLDOWNS735ydPUNT515ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-1ydTD457ydPUNT35ydPUNT827ydPUNT36ydPUNT37ydPUNT32ydFG731ydTO515ydTD1054ydPUNT37ydEND1-2ydPUNT1031ydPUNT618ydPUNT34ydPUNT511ydFG855ydTD887ydTO320ydPUNT418ydDOWNS48ydTD619ydTD767ydEND35yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Toledo and Central Michigan
StatisticToledoCentral Michigan
Passing10-1817-38
Pass Yards89182
Rush Yards31062
Total Yards399244
Turnovers02
3rd Down5-163-13
Penalties4-302-18
Possession37:4722:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Toledo
passing
Logan Woodside
10/18, 89 YDS
rushing
Terry Swanson
23 CAR, 145 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Diontae Johnson
2 REC, 32 YDS
defense
Central Michigan
passing
Shane Morris
17/37, 182 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jonathan Ward
10 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Mark Chapman
5 REC, 71 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 12 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jordan Fisher for 6 yds to the CMich 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jordan Fisher for 8 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the CMich 32

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Terry Swanson run for 2 yds to the CMich 30

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Terry Swanson run for 6 yds to the CMich 24

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.41

Terry Swanson run for no gain to the CMich 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds to the CMich 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.57

Shane Morris pass complete to Corey Willis for 12 yds to the CMich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Shane Morris pass incomplete to Corey Willis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Shane Morris pass incomplete, broken up by Ja'Wuan Woodley

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Shane Morris pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Cooper Mojsiejenko punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Logan Woodside pass incomplete, broken up by Darwyn Kelly

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Logan Woodside pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Logan Woodside run for 2 yds to the Toled 35

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Michael Julian punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 29

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 28

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Shane Morris pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Shane Morris pass incomplete to Corey Willis

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Cooper Mojsiejenko punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Art Thompkins run for 2 yds to the Toled 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Logan Woodside pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Art Thompkins run for 7 yds to the CMich 48

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +5.70

Terry Swanson run for 48 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 3 yds to the CMich 10

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Shane Morris run for 2 yds to the CMich 12

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Shane Morris pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Zach Oakley punt for 55 yds, downed at the Toled 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the Toled 36

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the Toled 40

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.68

Terry Swanson run for 5 yds to the Toled 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the Toled 48

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.22

Terry Swanson run for 7 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Art Thompkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 46

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Art Thompkins run for 4 yds to the CMich 42

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Art Thompkins run for 2 yds to the CMich 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 3

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Jonathan Ward run for 1 yd to the CMich 4

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tony Poljan run for 5 yds to the CMich 9

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Shane Morris pass incomplete to Kumehnnu Gwilly

4th & 4Punt+9 yds

Cooper Mojsiejenko punt for 40 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for 9 yds to the CMich 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the CMich 36

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the CMich 33

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Logan Woodside pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 21 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Shane Morris pass incomplete to Jonathan Ward

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Jonathan Ward run for 2 yds to the CMich 14

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Shane Morris pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Zach Oakley punt for 41 yds, downed at the Toled 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Art Thompkins run for 4 yds to the Toled 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Logan Woodside pass complete to Drew Rosi for 9 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.45

Art Thompkins run for 11 yds to the CMich 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Art Thompkins run for 1 yd to the CMich 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 4 yds to the CMich 26

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Terry Swanson run for 2 yds to the CMich 24

4th & 3Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA -0.20

Jameson Vest 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jonathan Ward run for 1 yd to the CMich 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 3 yds to the CMich 37

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.48

Shane Morris pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 11 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tony Poljan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-1 ydsPPA -1.85

Shane Morris pass intercepted Jack Linch return for 1 yd to the Toled 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Logan Woodside pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 9 yds to the CMich 45

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.53

Art Thompkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 46

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.21

Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the CMich 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Logan Woodside pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

SWANSON, Terry rush for 8 yards to the CMU33 (BRIONES,Alex), PENALTY TOLEDO offside (FISHER, Jordan) 5 yards to the CMU46, NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.25

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 16 yds to the CMich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the CMich 27

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Terry Swanson run for no gain to the CMich 27

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Art Thompkins run for 5 yds to the CMich 22

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.56

Terry Swanson run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Shane Morris run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 24

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Shane Morris pass incomplete to Jonathan Ward

3rd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.24

Shane Morris pass complete to Kumehnnu Gwilly for 9 yds to the CMich 33

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Zach Oakley punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 14

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.52

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 12

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Jonathan Ward run for 8 yds to the CMich 36

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Shane Morris run for 7 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Jonathan Ward run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.24

Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the Toled 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Shane Morris run for 4 yds to the Toled 42

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Shane Morris pass incomplete to Tyler Conklin

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.99

Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 15 yds to the Toled 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.74

Kumehnnu Gwilly run for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 29

2nd & 12Penalty-10 yds

MORRIS,Shane rush for 6 yards to the TOLEDO23 (MATHEWS, Edrick), PENALTY CMU holding 10 yards to the TOLEDO39, NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 41

3rd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Shane Morris pass incomplete to Tyler Conklin, broken up by DeDarallo Blue

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Cooper Mojsiejenko punt for 22 yds, downed at the Toled 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the Toled 22

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Terry Swanson run for 10 yds to the Toled 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.63

Terry Swanson run for 34 yds to the CENTMICH 34 TOLEDO Penalty, Offensive holding (Elijah Nkansah) to the Toled 24

1st & 18Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.94

Terry Swanson run for 11 yds to the Toled 35

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Art Thompkins run for 2 yds to the Toled 37

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Mark Chapman at the CMich 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 4 yds to the CMich 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.78

Shane Morris pass complete to Corey Willis for no gain to the CMich 33

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Shane Morris pass incomplete to Jonathan Ward, broken up by Josh Teachey

4th & 6Punt+48 yds

Zach Oakley punt for 48 yds , Diontae Johnson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 18

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the Toled 19

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.06

Logan Woodside run for 9 yds to the Toled 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Logan Woodside pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Logan Woodside pass complete to Terry Swanson for 6 yds to the Toled 34

3rd & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.77

Logan Woodside sacked by Joe Ostman for a loss of 5 yards to the Toled 29

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Michael Julian punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.94

Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 33 yds to the Toled 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 9 yds to the Toled 17

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jonathan Ward run for 2 yds to the Toled 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 11 yds to the Toled 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jonathan Ward run for no gain to the Toled 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Shane Morris pass incomplete to Tyler Conklin

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Shane Morris pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -1.02

Michael Armstrong 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the Toled 17

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Shakif Seymour run for 8 yds to the Toled 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Shakif Seymour run for 7 yds to the Toled 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.47

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 16 yds to the Toled 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the CMich 48

2nd & 6Rush+39 ydsPPA +1.73

Shakif Seymour run for 39 yds to the CMich 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the CMich 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Logan Woodside run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the CMich 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.99

Shane Morris pass complete to Eric Cooper for 16 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.08

Shane Morris pass intercepted Justin Clark return for no gain to the Toled 46

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.13

Shakif Seymour run for 17 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, false start (Sami Kassem) to the CMich 42

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the CMich 38

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.22

Shakif Seymour run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 39

3rd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Logan Woodside pass complete to Liam Allen for 3 yds to the CMich 36

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 25 yds , Jonathan Ward returns for no gain to the CMich 11

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Kumehnnu Gwilly run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 8

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Shane Morris pass incomplete to Mark Chapman

3rd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Shane Morris pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 11 yds to the CMich 19

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.17

Shane Morris pass incomplete to Jonathan Ward

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Shakif Seymour run for 2 yds to the CMich 17

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Shakif Seymour run for 7 yds to the CMich 10

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.62

Shakif Seymour run for 9 yds to the CMich 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty-10 yds

SEYMOUR, Shakif rush for 1 yard to the CMU0, clock 03:54, PENALTY TOLEDO holding (HARRIS, Bryce) 10 yards to the CMU11, NO PLAY.

1st & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the CMich 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Logan Woodside pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Shakif Seymour run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Shane Morris run for 7 yds to the CMich 40

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Shane Morris pass incomplete to Kumehnnu Gwilly

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.68

Shane Morris pass complete to Eric Cooper for 5 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Shane Morris run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.23

Shane Morris pass complete to Eric Cooper for 16 yds to the Toled 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 8 yds to the Toled 26

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.38

Shane Morris pass complete to Tyler Conklin for 26 yds for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Nevone McCrimmon run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 49

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Nevone McCrimmon run for 3 yds to the CMich 46

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the CMich 42

Situational Analysis

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
22%
27 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
83%
6 plays
36%
14 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
4 plays

Central Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
35%
23 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play