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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2017Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wyoming by 12.1

Home Win Probability

Wyoming 82%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 30, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas StateTexas State
0100010
WyomingWyoming
03114045

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-314-314-1031-1045-10
WyomingTexas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSWYOTSWYOTSWYOTSTSWYOTSWYOTSWYOTSWYOWYOTSTSWYOTSWYOTSWYOTSWYOTSPUNT826ydPUNT32ydMISS1041ydTO1152ydFG629ydTD875ydTD10ydPUNT58ydPUNT30ydTD835ydTD00ydPUNT37ydTD360ydPUNT48ydFG753ydPUNT39ydTD2-7ydPUNT31ydTD1379ydMISS1363ydPUNT3-15ydPUNT34ydPUNT37ydDOWNS534ydPUNT513ydEND726yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas State and Wyoming
StatisticTexas StateWyoming
Passing11-2315-26
Pass Yards127249
Rush Yards13584
Total Yards262333
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-185-11
Penalties3-224-33
Possession30:2029:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas State
passing
Damian Williams
10/19, 91 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Willie Jones III
5 CAR, 57 YDS
receiving
Hutch White
2 REC, 42 YDS
defense
Gabe Loyd
1.5 TFL
Wyoming
passing
Josh Allen
14/24, 219 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Trey Woods
21 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
C.J. Johnson
4 REC, 57 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Damian Williams run for 3 yds to the TexSt 20

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Anthony D. Taylor run for 4 yds to the TexSt 24

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.02

Anthony D. Taylor run for 5 yds to the TexSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Anthony D. Taylor run for no gain to the TexSt 29

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Robert Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexSt 31

3rd & 8Penalty+13 yds

Williams, D. pass incomplete to Haydel,J., PENALTY WY pass interference 13 yards to the TXST44, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Robert Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the TexSt 48

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Damian Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 43

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Damian Williams pass incomplete to Anthony D. Taylor

4th & 11Punt+5 yds

Marcus Ripley punt for 44 yds , Austin Conway returns for 5 yds to the Wyom 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Josh Allen pass incomplete to Austin Conway

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Trey Woods run for 2 yds to the Wyom 20

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Josh Allen pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tim Zaleski punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.67

Damian Williams pass complete to Gabe Schrade for 21 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Damian Williams run for 1 yd to the Wyom 39

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+11 ydsPPA +1.07

Anthony Smith run for 11 yds to the Wyom 28 Anthony Smith fumbled, forced by Tyler Hall, for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Damian Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Damian Williams run for 3 yds to the Wyom 25

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 30

3rd & 12Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.80

Anthony D. Taylor run for 16 yds to the Wyom 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Damian Williams pass complete to Elijah King for 6 yds to the Wyom 8

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Damian Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 9

3rd & 5Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.02

Damian Williams sacked by Youhanna Ghaifan and Josiah Hall for a loss of 11 yards to the Wyom 20

4th & 16Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Foster Hilborn 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Josh Allen run for 5 yds to the Wyom 25

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Josh Allen run for 6 yds to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Trey Woods run for 1 yd to the Wyom 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Josh Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+12 yds

ALLEN, Josh pass incomplete to COX, Avante' (Rosemond,Dila), PENALTY TXST pass interference 12 yards to the WY44, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Trey Woods run for 4 yds to the Wyom 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.29

Josh Allen pass complete to Avante' Cox for 11 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 4 yds to the TexSt 37

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Trey Woods run for 4 yds to the TexSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.60

Josh Allen run for 2 yds to the TexSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Trey Woods run for 4 yds to the TexSt 27

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+39 ydsPPA -4.11

Trey Woods run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 33 Trey Woods fumbled, forced by Stephan Johnson, recovered by TexSt A.J. Krawczyk , return for 39 yds to the Wyom 33

2nd & 11Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.28

Damian Williams pass complete to Elijah Rogers for 25 yds to the Wyom 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Robert Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 34

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Anthony D. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wyom 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Damian Williams pass incomplete to Gabe Schrade

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Damian Williams pass complete to Tyler Watts for 1 yd to the Wyom 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.02

Foster Hilborn 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALLEN, Josh pass complete to VAN MAANEN, D. for 6 yards to the WY31 (Johnson,S.), PENALTY WY illegal shift 5 yards to the WY20, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.35

Trey Woods run for 12 yds to the Wyom 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Josh Allen pass complete to Drew Van Maanen for 10 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Trey Woods run for 5 yds to the Wyom 47

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Josh Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.03

Josh Allen pass complete to Tyree Mayfield for 6 yds to the TexSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.16

Josh Allen sacked by Frankie Griffin and Sami Awad for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 48

2nd & 15Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.13

Nick Smith pass complete to Kellen Overstreet for 30 yds to the TexSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 22 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown-37 ydsPPA -7.92

Damian Williams pass intercepted for a TD Rico Gafford return for 37 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Anthony D. Taylor run for 6 yds to the TexSt 31 Anthony D. Taylor fumbled, forced by Youhanna Ghaifan, recovered by TexSt Anthony D. Taylor

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Robert Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Robert Brown Jr. run for no gain to the TexSt 37

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Damian Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.49

Robert Brown Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 33

4th & 14Punt+52 yds

Marcus Ripley punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the WYOMING 15 WYOMING Penalty, Offensive offside ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.62

Trey Woods run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 11

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Trey Woods run for 4 yds to the Wyom 15

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Josh Allen pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tim Zaleski punt, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Damian Williams pass complete to Caleb Twyford for 4 yds to the Wyom 31

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Anthony Smith run for 2 yds to the Wyom 29

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Anthony Smith run for 3 yds to the Wyom 26

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Damian Williams run for 1 yd to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Damian Williams pass complete to Hutch White for 6 yds to the Wyom 19

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Damian Williams pass incomplete to Hutch White

3rd & 4Penalty+10 yds

Williams, D. pass incomplete to King,Elijah (HALL, Tyler), PENALTY WY roughing passer 10 yards to the WY9, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Damian Williams run for 4 yds to the Wyom 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Damian Williams pass complete to Elijah King for 5 yds for a TD, (Foster Hilborn KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+95 yds

James Sherman kickoff for 60 yds , Tyler Hall return for 95 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Damian Williams pass incomplete to Gabe Schrade

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Anthony D. Taylor run for 6 yds to the TexSt 31

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Anthony D. Taylor run for 1 yd to the TexSt 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Marcus Ripley punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 40

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Josh Allen run for 6 yds to the Wyom 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.80

Josh Allen pass complete to Avante' Cox for 39 yds to the TexSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 15 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Damian Williams pass complete to Tyler Watts for 15 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Damian Williams pass incomplete to Hutch White

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Damian Williams pass complete to Tyler Watts for 3 yds to the TexSt 43

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.10

Damian Williams sacked by Youhanna Ghaifan for a loss of 10 yards to the TexSt 33

4th & 17Punt+18 yds

Marcus Ripley punt for 50 yds , Austin Conway returns for 18 yds to the Wyom 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.54

Josh Allen pass complete to James Price for 40 yds to the TexSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 4 yds to the TexSt 21

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Josh Allen pass incomplete to Austin Conway

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Josh Allen run for 9 yds to the TexSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Josh Allen pass incomplete to James Price

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Josh Allen pass incomplete to James Price

3rd & 10Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.86

Cooper Rothe 28 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Trey Woods run for 8 yds to the Wyom 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Trey Woods run for 1 yd to the Wyom 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Trey Woods run for no gain to the Wyom 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tim Zaleski punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Hutch White at the TexSt 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Anthony D. Taylor run for 1 yd to the TexSt 26

2nd & 9Sack+18 ydsPPA +2.30

Damian Williams sacked by Logan Wilson for a loss of 8 yards Damian Williams fumbled, recovered by Wyom Logan Wilson , return for 0 yards , return for 18 yds, (Cooper Rothe KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Anthony D. Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 24

2nd & 11Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.39

Damian Williams sacked by Youhanna Ghaifan and Garrett Crall for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Damian Williams pass complete to Tyler Watts for 5 yds to the TexSt 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Marcus Ripley punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 21 , Austin Conway returns for no gain to the Wyom 21

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Trey Woods run for 8 yds to the Wyom 29

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Trey Woods run for 3 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Josh Allen pass complete to John Okwoli for 13 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Trey Woods run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 42

2nd & 13Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.82

Josh Allen pass complete to Drew Van Maanen for 17 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Trey Woods run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 43

2nd & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Josh Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 44 Josh Allen fumbled, recovered by Wyom Josh Allen

3rd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.03

Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 16 yds to the TexSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Trey Woods run for 5 yds to the TexSt 23

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.26

Josh Allen pass complete to Josh Harshman for 14 yds to the TexSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Trey Woods run for 1 yd to the TexSt 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Josh Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 8 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jaylin Nelson run for 4 yds to the TexSt 15

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Willie Jones III run for 5 yds to the TexSt 20

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.42

Jaylin Nelson run for 1 yd to the TexSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Jaylin Nelson run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 18

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaylin Nelson run for no gain to the TexSt 18

3rd & 13Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.74

Willie Jones III pass complete to Hutch White for 36 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jaylin Nelson run for 5 yds to the Wyom 41

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaylin Nelson run for 3 yds to the Wyom 38

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Jaylin Nelson run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Willie Jones III run for 7 yds to the Wyom 28

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaylin Nelson run for 2 yds to the Wyom 26

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Jaylin Nelson run for no gain to the Wyom 26

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Foster Hilborn 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 20

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Trey Woods run for no gain to the Wyom 20

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Josh Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -0.11

Josh Allen sacked by Gabe Loyd for a loss of 9 yards to the Wyom 10 Josh Allen fumbled, recovered by Wyom Josh Allen , return for 0 yards

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Tim Zaleski punt for 51 yds , Hutch White returns for no gain to the TexSt 39

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaylin Nelson run for 4 yds to the TexSt 43

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jaylin Nelson run for no gain to the TexSt 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Willie Jones III pass incomplete to Hutch White

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Marcus Ripley punt for 37 yds , Austin Conway returns for 4 yds to the Wyom 24

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Trey Woods run for 1 yd to the Wyom 25

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Kellen Overstreet run for 6 yds to the Wyom 31

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Nick Smith pass incomplete to Josh Harshman, broken up by Gavin Graham

4th & 3Punt+15 yds

Tim Zaleski punt for 46 yds , Hutch White returns for 15 yds to the TexSt 38

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.19

Willie Jones III run for 34 yds to the Wyom 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Anthony Smith run for 1 yd to the Wyom 27

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Willie Jones III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 29

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Willie Jones III run for 1 yd to the Wyom 28

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.07

Willie Jones III pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kellen Overstreet run for 5 yds to the Wyom 33

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.00

Kellen Overstreet run for 7 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kellen Overstreet run for 3 yds to the Wyom 43

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Kellen Overstreet run for 1 yd to the Wyom 44

3rd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.97

Nico Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 41

4th & 9Punt+15 yds

Tim Zaleski punt for 43 yds , Hutch White returns for 15 yds to the WYOMING 44 TEXAS STATE Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Anthony Smith run for 13 yds to the TexSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Anthony Smith run for no gain to the TexSt 44

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+12 ydsPPA +2.12

Anthony Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 47 Anthony Smith fumbled, recovered by TexSt Willie Jones III , return for 12 yds to the Wyom 47

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Anthony Smith run for 2 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Willie Jones III pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Anthony Smith run for 7 yds to the Wyom 38

3rd & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.14

Anthony Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 43

Situational Analysis

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
30 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
30%
10 plays
45%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
0%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Wyoming

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
56%
9 plays
17%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th