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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2017Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

East Carolina by 2.5

Home Win Probability

East Carolina 58%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 18, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CincinnatiCincinnati
0137020
East CarolinaEast Carolina
1410141048

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-021-621-1331-1338-2041-2048-20
East CarolinaCincinnati

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ECCINECCINECCINECCINECCINECCINCINECCINECCINECCINECCINECCINECTD665ydPUNT3-21ydTD976ydPUNT37ydMISS1056ydPUNT59ydTD1385ydTD175ydPUNT828ydTD1180ydFG1046ydEND14ydPUNT35ydTD195ydPUNT911ydTD585ydTD1072ydFG1142ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT30ydTO313ydTD316ydDOWNS735ydEND34yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cincinnati and East Carolina
StatisticCincinnatiEast Carolina
Passing15-2832-46
Pass Yards187464
Rush Yards139114
Total Yards326578
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-108-16
Penalties10-907-54
Possession26:1933:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cincinnati
passing
Hayden Moore
15/28, 187 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Mike Boone
15 CAR, 62 YDS
receiving
Kahlil Lewis
2 REC, 84 YDS, 1 TD
defense
East Carolina
passing
Gardner Minshew
31/45, 444 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Hussein Howe
16 CAR, 47 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Trevon Brown
9 REC, 270 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Darius Pinnix run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Darius Pinnix run for 2 yds to the Cincy 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.54

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 14 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Stephen Baggett for 5 yds to the Cincy 29

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 6 yds to the Cincy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Tahj Deans for 23 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BOONE, Mike rush over left end for loss of 1 yard to the CIN34 (WILLIAMS, Jrdn), PENALTY CIN holding 10 yards to the CIN25, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Mike Boone run for 1 yd to the Cincy 26

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Thomas Geddis, broken up by Keyshawn Canady

3rd & 19Fumble Recovery (Own)-12 ydsPPA -0.11

Hayden Moore sacked by Kiante Anderson for a loss of 12 yards to the Cincy 14 Hayden Moore fumbled, recovered by Cincy Garrett Campbell , return for 0 yards

4th & 31Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 62 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Thomas Sirk for 5 yds to the ECaro 29

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Hussein Howe run for 1 yd to the ECaro 30

3rd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.97

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 7 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Cincy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Hussein Howe for 7 yds to the Cincy 41

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Hussein Howe run for no gain to the Cincy 41

3rd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.12

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Tahj Deans for no gain to the Cincy 41

4th & 3Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.01

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 33 yds to the Cincy 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Hussein Howe run for 5 yds to the Cincy 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Hussein Howe run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis, broken up by Corey Seargent

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Hayden Moore pass complete to Michael Warren II for 7 yds to the Cincy 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 20

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Hussein Howe run for 9 yds to the ECaro 29

2nd & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.00

Terrell Green run for 16 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 12 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.82

Hussein Howe run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 44 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (-8 Yards) to the ECaro 48

1st & 19Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Darius Pinnix for 8 yds to the Cincy 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.75

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Thomas Sirk for 16 yds to the Cincy 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 4 yds to the Cincy 24

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Terrell Green

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Tahj Deans, broken up by Marquese Taylor

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Jake Verity 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Hayden Moore run for 8 yds to the Cincy 32

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Mike Boone run for 6 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Hayden Moore pass complete to Tyler Cogswell for 3 yds to the Cincy 41

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

MOORE, Hayden pass complete to BOONE, Mike for 6 yards to the CIN47, out-of-bounds (CANADY, Keyshwn), PENALTY CIN holding 10 yards to the CIN31, NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Hayden Moore pass complete to Jerron Rollins for 2 yds to the Cincy 33

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Tahj Deans for 11 yds to the ECaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Stephen Baggett for 7 yds to the ECaro 33

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.34

Darius Pinnix run for 4 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Darius Pinnix run for no gain to the ECaro 37

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Darius Pinnix

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 9 yds to the ECaro 46

4th & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.88

Hussein Howe run for 12 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Deondre Farrier run for 7 yds to the Cincy 35

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Gardner Minshew run for 4 yds to the Cincy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Hussein Howe for 1 yd to the Cincy 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Reid Herring run for 4 yds to the Cincy 11

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jimmy Williams

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.91

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 11 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 75 yds for a TD, (Ryan Jones PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Tahj Deans

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Hussein Howe run for 5 yds to the ECaro 14

3rd & 5Penalty-7 yds

MINSHEW, Grdnr rush quarterback keeper for 12 yards to the ECU26, out-of-bounds, PENALTY ECU holding 7 yards to the ECU7, NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.26

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Tahj Deans for 18 yds to the ECaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Hussein Howe run for no gain to the ECaro 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Hussein Howe for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 24

3rd & 11Penalty+10 yds

MINSHEW, Grdnr sideline pass incomplete to DEANS, Tahj (STEPHENS, L.), PENALTY CIN holding 10 yards to the ECU34, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Hussein Howe run for 3 yds to the ECaro 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Thomas Sirk

3rd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.45

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Deondre Farrier for no gain to the ECaro 37

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Austin Barnes punt for 63 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Mike Boone run for 4 yds to the Cincy 24

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Mike Boone run for 8 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Mike Boone run for 7 yds to the Cincy 39

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.27

Mike Boone run for 3 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.36

Hayden Moore run for 15 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.53

Hayden Moore pass complete to Bruno Labelle for 15 yds to the ECaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 6 yds to the ECaro 22

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.05

Hayden Moore run for 12 yds to the ECaro 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Hayden Moore pass complete to JaQuay Savage for 10 yds for a TD, (Ryan Jones KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Hussein Howe

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete, broken up by Marcus Brown

3rd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.83

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 33 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Tahj Deans

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Hussein Howe for 6 yds to the Cincy 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.05

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Tahj Deans for 4 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Tahj Deans, broken up by Linden Stephens

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Hussein Howe run for 3 yds to the Cincy 29

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Tahj Deans

4th & 7Field Goal Good+46 ydsPPA +0.67

Jake Verity 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Cincy 33

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.62

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 32

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Tyler Cogswell

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Hayden Moore run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 22

3rd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.14

Hayden Moore run for 8 yds to the Cincy 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 65 yds, downed at the ECaro 5

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+95 ydsPPA +6.92

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 95 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Mike Boone run for 4 yds to the Cincy 34

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Mike Boone run for 4 yds to the Cincy 38

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 33

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.29

Hayden Moore pass complete to Tyler Cogswell for 10 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Mike Boone

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Cincy 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.36

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 9 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the ECaro 39

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (David Niehaus) to the ECaro 44

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

MOORE, Hayden rush quarterback keeper for 6 yards to the ECU38 (PURVIS, Raequan), PENALTY CIN holding 10 yards to the CIN46, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 41

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Thomas Geddis, broken up by Keyshawn Canady

3rd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Mike Boone, broken up by Jordan Williams

4th & 25Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.43

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 45 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 13 yds to the Cincy 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Hussein Howe run for no gain to the Cincy 27

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Hussein Howe run for 5 yds to the Cincy 22

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.18

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 22 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.49

Hayden Moore pass complete to JJ Pinckney for 16 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Hayden Moore pass complete to Javan Hawes for 11 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Michael Warren II run for 15 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Hayden Moore pass complete to JJ Pinckney for 2 yds to the ECaro 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 6 yds to the ECaro 22

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.34

Mike Boone run for 5 yds to the ECaro 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Mike Boone run for 7 yds to the ECaro 10

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Mike Boone run for 4 yds to the ECaro 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty-5 yds

MOORE, Hayden rush quarterback keeper for no gain to the ECU6 (SUTTON, Devon;HICKERSON, Chnd), PENALTY CIN false start 5 yards to the ECU11, NO PLAY.

1st & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mike Boone run for 5 yds to the ECaro 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Hayden Moore pass complete to Jerron Rollins for 6 yds for a TD, (Ryan Jones KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Hussein Howe run for 3 yds to the ECaro 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.91

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 15 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete, broken up by Marcus Brown

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Darius Pinnix run for 8 yds to the Cincy 49

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.25

Darius Pinnix run for 3 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Darius Pinnix run for 3 yds to the Cincy 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 8 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Hussein Howe, broken up by Jaylyin Minor

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Hussein Howe run for no gain to the Cincy 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Stephen Baggett for 7 yds to the Cincy 28

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 33

4th & 8Field Goal Good+50 ydsPPA +1.18

Jake Verity 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Javan Hawes

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.41

Mike Boone run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 18

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray

4th & 14Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 37

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Gardner Minshew run for 1 yd to the ECaro 38

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Darius Pinnix run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 37

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 yds

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Trevon Brown CINCINNATI Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the ECaro 37

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Austin Barnes punt for 62 yds, downed at the Cincy 1

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Cincy 6

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Mike Boone run for 1 yd to the Cincy 7

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Mike Boone run for 7 yds to the Cincy 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-9 ydsPPA -0.34

Hayden Moore pass intercepted Chris Love return for 9 yds to the Cincy 16

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Hussein Howe run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 17

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.80

Reid Herring run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 20 Reid Herring fumbled, recovered by ECaro Reid Herring

3rd & 14Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.77

Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 20 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Michael Warren II run for 9 yds to the Cincy 34

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Michael Warren II run for 7 yds to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Michael Warren II run for 10 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Hayden Moore pass complete to Taylor Boose for 9 yds to the ECaro 40

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.84

Taylor Boose run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 43

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Hayden Moore run for 2 yds to the ECaro 41

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.81

Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the ECaro 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Reid Herring run for 2 yds to the ECaro 42

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Darius Pinnix run for no gain to the ECaro 42

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Darius Pinnix run for 2 yds to the ECaro 44

Situational Analysis

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
54%
24 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
34 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
47%
15 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays