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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2017Week 6
Air ForceAir Force
45
-Final
48
NavyNavy

House Prediction

Model Margin

Navy by 8.6

Home Win Probability

Navy 75%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 7, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Air ForceAir Force
73142145
NavyNavy
721101048

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-714-721-731-1038-2441-3141-3848-45
NavyAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFNAVAFPUNT35ydPUNT38ydPUNT630ydTD191ydTD577ydPUNT821ydPUNT55ydTD1045ydTO530ydTD641ydTO646ydTD240ydFG1155ydFG861ydTD473ydTD175ydTD1173ydPUNT824ydTD889ydFG1052ydTD575ydPUNT34ydTD257ydTD1175ydEND21yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and Navy
StatisticAir ForceNavy
Passing10-174-12
Pass Yards28186
Rush Yards340471
Total Yards621557
Turnovers20
3rd Down7-107-14
Penalties3-254-35
Possession27:3232:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
Arion Worthman
9/16, 257 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Arion Worthman
20 CAR, 139 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Marcus Bennett
5 REC, 161 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Navy
passing
Zach Abey
4/11, 86 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Zach Abey
29 CAR, 214 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Malcolm Perry
2 REC, 45 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Nolan Eriksen run for 4 yds to the AFA 23

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jacob Stafford run for 2 yds to the AFA 25

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Nolan Eriksen run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 24

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Craig Scott at the Navy 36

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Malcolm Perry run for no gain to the Navy 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Zach Abey pass complete to Malcolm Perry for 5 yds to the Navy 41

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Zach Abey run for 3 yds to the Navy 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Timothy McVey run for 1 yd to the AFA 22 Timothy McVey fumbled, forced by Sean Williams, recovered by AFA Ronald Cleveland

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Timothy McVey run for 3 yds to the AFA 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.90

Arion Worthman pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 23 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Nolan Eriksen run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Parker Wilson run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Ryan Reffitt, broken up by Justin Norton

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 41 yds, downed at the Navy 9

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+91 ydsPPA +6.82

Malcolm Perry run for 91 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the AFA 24

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Arion Worthman run for 5 yds to the AFA 29

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.46

Nolan Eriksen run for 6 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Nolan Eriksen run for 6 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +4.84

Arion Worthman pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 59 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the Navy 24

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Zach Abey run for 6 yds to the Navy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the Navy 35

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the Navy 36

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.79

Chris High run for 6 yds to the Navy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the Navy 46

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (Parker Wade) to the Navy 41

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Zach Abey pass incomplete to Malcolm Perry

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Zach Abey pass incomplete to Malcolm Perry, broken up by Shaquille Vereen

4th & 11Punt+4 yds

Owen White punt for 47 yds , Ronald Cleveland returns for 4 yds to the AFA 16

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Timothy McVey run for no gain to the AFA 16

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.43

Arion Worthman run for 15 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Timothy McVey run for 1 yd to the AFA 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Marcus Bennett

3rd & 9Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.47

Arion Worthman sacked by D.J. Palmore for a loss of 11 yards to the AFA 21

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Chris High run for 4 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Chris High run for 4 yds to the AFA 37

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.78

Chris High run for 3 yds to the AFA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chris High run for 5 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Chris High run for 6 yds to the AFA 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Chris High run for 4 yds to the AFA 19

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Chris High run for 6 yds to the AFA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the AFA 12

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Chris High run for 2 yds to the AFA 10

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.94

Darryl Bonner run for 10 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.99

Ronald Cleveland run for 18 yds to the AFA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Ryan Reffitt, broken up by Elijah Merchant

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.33

Nolan Eriksen run for 16 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Nolan Eriksen run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 44

2nd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.40

Arion Worthman sacked by Jerry Thompson for a loss of 6 yards to the AFA 41 Arion Worthman fumbled, recovered by Navy D.J. Palmore , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.64

Malcolm Perry run for 22 yds to the AFA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Chris High run for 2 yds to the AFA 17

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Chris High run for 2 yds to the AFA 15

3rd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.07

Zach Abey run for 14 yds to the AFA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Zach Abey run for no gain to the AFA 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Zach Abey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Arion Worthman pass complete to Ronald Cleveland for 5 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.13

Ronald Cleveland run for 8 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Arion Worthman run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Ja'Mel Sanders, broken up by Tyris Wooten

3rd & 8Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.21

Arion Worthman pass complete to Ryan Reffitt for 21 yds to the NAVY 29 for a 1ST down NAVY Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the Navy 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+41 ydsPPA -4.45

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 40 Arion Worthman fumbled, recovered by Navy D.J. Palmore , return for 41 yds to the AFA 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Zach Abey pass incomplete to Brandon Colon, broken up by James Jones

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.03

Zach Abey pass complete to Malcolm Perry for 40 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.89

Arion Worthman run for 22 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Ronald Cleveland

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Marcus Bennett

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.48

Arion Worthman run for 11 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Nolan Eriksen run for 1 yd to the Navy 31

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Nolan Eriksen run for 7 yds to the Navy 24

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.38

Timothy McVey run for 5 yds to the Navy 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.84

Timothy McVey run for 5 yds to the Navy 14 AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive holding (Marcus Bennett) to the Navy 24

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Timothy McVey run for 1 yd to the Navy 23

2nd & 14Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.78

Arion Worthman run for 13 yds to the Navy 10

3rd & 1Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -1.45

Luke Strebel 26 yd FG GOOD

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the Navy 40

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.13

Zach Abey run for 8 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Zach Abey run for 7 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 3Rush+38 ydsPPA +1.19

Darryl Bonner run for 38 yds to the AFA 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (Parker Wade) to the AFA 12

1st & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the AFA 8

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the AFA 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Zach Abey pass incomplete to Tyler Carmona

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.02

Bennett Moehring 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+52 ydsPPA +3.30

Arion Worthman run for 52 yds to the Navy 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Nolan Eriksen run for 4 yds to the Navy 17

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Arion Worthman run for 11 yds to the Navy 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Timothy McVey run for 6 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Zach Abey run for 75 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Arion Worthman run for 3 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Arion Worthman run for 6 yds to the AFA 36

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.01

Parker Wilson run for 2 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.60

Timothy McVey run for 19 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.54

Nolan Eriksen run for 13 yds to the Navy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ronald Cleveland run for 5 yds to the Navy 25

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Nolan Eriksen run for no gain to the Navy 25

3rd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Nolan Eriksen run for 11 yds to the Navy 14 for a 1ST down

2nd & 13Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.13

Nolan Eriksen run for 16 yds to the Navy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.52

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 17

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ABEY, Zach rush for 17 yards to the NAVY42 (FLOR, Jack), PENALTY NAVY holding 10 yards to the NAVY15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.49

Zach Abey run for 11 yds to the Navy 26

2nd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.20

Zach Abey run for 17 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chris High run for 5 yds to the Navy 48

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the AFA 48

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Zach Abey run for 2 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Zach Abey run for 2 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Zach Abey run for 3 yds to the AFA 41

3rd & 5Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.48

TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the Navy 49

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ronald Cleveland at the AFA 11

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Ronald Cleveland run for 8 yds to the AFA 19

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Nolan Eriksen run for 6 yds to the AFA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Arion Worthman pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 22 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Arion Worthman pass complete to Garrett Amy for 10 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.75

Ronald Cleveland run for 24 yds to the Navy 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

WORTHMAN, Arion rush for 7 yards to the NAVY12 (MERCHANT, Elijah), PENALTY AF holding (NORTON, Alex) 10 yards to the NAVY29, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Timothy McVey run for 2 yds to the Navy 27

2nd & 18Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.39

Geraud Sanders pass complete to Arion Worthman for 24 yds to the Navy 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Arion Worthman run for 3 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Zach Abey run for 8 yds to the Navy 49

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Chris High run for 3 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Zach Abey run for 2 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.41

Malcolm Perry run for 14 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Zach Abey run for 9 yds to the AFA 23

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.41

Zach Abey run for 7 yds to the AFA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Chris High run for 3 yds to the AFA 13

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Chris High run for 2 yds to the AFA 11

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Chris High run for 4 yds to the AFA 7

4th & 1Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -1.10

Bennett Moehring 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+60 ydsPPA +3.52

Arion Worthman pass complete to Ronald Cleveland for 60 yds to the Navy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Arion Worthman run for 9 yds to the Navy 6

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.48

Parker Wilson run for 3 yds to the Navy 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the Navy 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Timothy McVey run for 2 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zach Abey run for no gain to the Navy 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Chris High run for 1 yd to the Navy 26

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Zach Abey run for 3 yds to the Navy 29

4th & 6Punt+10 yds

Owen White punt for 38 yds , Ronald Cleveland returns for 10 yds to the AFA 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Arion Worthman pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 6 yds to the AFA 49

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +4.07

Arion Worthman pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 51 yds for a TD, (Luke Strebel KICK) NAVY Penalty, RU ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zach Abey pass incomplete to Malcolm Perry

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Darryl Bonner run for 5 yds to the Navy 30

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Darryl Bonner run for 2 yds to the Navy 32

4th & 3Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.63

Zach Abey pass complete to Brandon Colon for 25 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.54

Darryl Bonner run for 13 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the AFA 26

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Zach Abey pass incomplete to Malcolm Perry

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Chris High run for 10 yds to the AFA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Zach Abey pass incomplete to Brandon Colon

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.28

Zach Abey pass complete to Tyler Carmona for 16 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Arion Worthman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Arion Worthman run for 6 yds to the AFA 26 Ronald Cleveland Jake Barnhorst Marcus Bennett Ja'Mel Sanders

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
47%
32 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
55%
11 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
42%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
42%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play