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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2017Week 4
CincinnatiCincinnati
32
-Final
42
NavyNavy
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Navy by 9.9

Home Win Probability

Navy 78%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 23, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CincinnatiCincinnati
7107832
NavyNavy
14714742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-721-1021-1728-2435-2442-2442-32
NavyCincinnati

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CINNAVCINNAVCINNAVCINNAVCINNAVCINNAVCINNAVCINNAVCINNAVCINNAVPUNT38ydTD1374ydPUNT3-1ydTD660ydTD575ydTO451ydFG947ydTD974ydTD790ydMISS1278ydEND1-1ydTD357ydTD1475ydTD1274ydPUNT74ydTD974ydTD1380ydPUNT33ydTO842ydEND567yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cincinnati and Navy
StatisticCincinnatiNavy
Passing28-462-3
Pass Yards38153
Rush Yards58569
Total Yards439622
Turnovers11
3rd Down5-136-8
Penalties6-604-50
Possession23:0936:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cincinnati
passing
Hayden Moore
28/46, 381 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Gerrid Doaks
14 CAR, 59 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Devin Gray
6 REC, 112 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Navy
passing
Zach Abey
2/3, 53 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Zach Abey
20 CAR, 128 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Tyler Carmona
2 REC, 53 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Hayden Moore pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 7 yds to the Cincy 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the Cincy 34

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Gerrid Doaks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Craig Scott at the Navy 26

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.24

Tre Walker run for 7 yds to the Navy 33 NAVY Penalty, personal foul (Chris High) to the Navy 18

1st & 18Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.91

Chris High run for 12 yds to the Navy 30

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.78

Jahmaal Daniel run for 9 yds to the Navy 39 NAVY Penalty, Offensive holding (Jake Hawk) to the Navy 29

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Zach Abey pass incomplete to Craig Scott

3rd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.24

Tre Walker run for 12 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Jahmaal Daniel run for 7 yds to the Navy 48

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.20

Anthony Gargiulo run for 3 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chris High run for 4 yds to the Cincy 45

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.80

Malcolm Perry run for 7 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Chris High run for 3 yds to the Cincy 35

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the Cincy 30

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Anthony Gargiulo run for 7 yds to the Cincy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Malcolm Perry run for 23 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Gerrid Doaks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray, broken up by Tyris Wooten

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Hayden Moore pass incomplete, broken up by Sean Williams

4th & 11Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Craig Scott at the Navy 40

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Chris High run for 9 yds to the Navy 49

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.20

Chris High run for 4 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Tre Walker run for no gain to the Cincy 47

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.90

Tre Walker run for 19 yds to the Cincy 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Zach Abey run for 9 yds to the Cincy 19

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.09

Zach Abey pass complete to Tyler Carmona for 19 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Cincy 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.42

Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 9 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the Cincy 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.11

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 16 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 46 yds for a TD, (Josh Pasley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Chris High run for 8 yds to the Navy 23

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.00

Chris High run for 4 yds to the Navy 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Tre Walker run for 26 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -3.39

Jahmaal Daniel run for 11 yds to the Cincy 34 Jahmaal Daniel fumbled, forced by Carter Jacobs, recovered by Cincy Chris Murphy

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Kahlil Lewis run for 9 yds to the Cincy 43

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (David Niehaus) to the Cincy 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.22

Hayden Moore pass complete to Jerron Rollins for 7 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

MOORE, Hayden pass incomplete to ROLLINS, Jerron, PENALTY CIN pass interference (COGSWELL, Tyler) 15 yards to the CIN30, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Hayden Moore run for 2 yds to the Cincy 32

2nd & 23Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.94

Hayden Moore pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 14 yds to the Cincy 46

3rd & 9Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.52

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 31 yds to the Navy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Navy 19

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Thomas Geddis, broken up by Tyris Wooten

4th & 6Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA -0.26

Josh Pasley 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tre Walker run for 4 yds to the Navy 30

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.66

Malcolm Perry run for 13 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chris High run for 5 yds to the Navy 48

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Zach Abey run for 3 yds to the Cincy 49

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.50

Anthony Gargiulo run for 7 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the Cincy 37

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Chris High run for 10 yds to the Cincy 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Zach Abey run for 3 yds to the Cincy 24

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.89

Josh Brown run for 24 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK) CINCINNATI Penalty, illegal participation ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Cincy 13

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 7 yds to the Cincy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Thomas Geddis, broken up by Elijah Merchant

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.09

Hayden Moore pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 19 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +2.30

Hayden Moore pass complete to JJ Pinckney for 46 yds to the Navy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Gerrid Doaks run for 6 yds to the Navy 9

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.38

Gerrid Doaks run for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Pasley KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Zach Abey run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 14

2nd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Malcolm Perry run for 8 yds to the Navy 22

3rd & 4Rush+37 ydsPPA +3.69

Malcolm Perry run for 22 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, personal foul (Carter Jacobs) to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Chris High run for 3 yds to the Cincy 38

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Josh Brown run for 12 yds to the Cincy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the Cincy 25

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.57

John Brown III run for 15 yds to the Cincy 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Zach Abey run for 7 yds to the Cincy 3

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Chris High run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 4

3rd & 4Rush-13 ydsPPA -1.97

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the Cincy 2 NAVY Penalty, illegal block (Robert Lindsey) to the Cincy 17

3rd & 17Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Zach Abey run for 11 yds to the Cincy 6

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+24 yds

Bennett Moehring 24 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 19

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

John Brown III run for 9 yds to the Cincy 48

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.04

Chris High run for 9 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Josh Brown run for 39 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Gerrid Doaks run for 8 yds to the Cincy 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Hayden Moore pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 3 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 2 yds to the Cincy 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.25

Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 16 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Hayden Moore pass complete to Jerron Rollins for 9 yds to the Navy 37

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Michael Warren II

3rd & 1Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.00

Gerrid Doaks run for 21 yds to the Navy 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Gerrid Doaks run for 6 yds to the Navy 10

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Navy 9

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.24

Hayden Moore pass complete to Tyler Cogswell for 6 yds to the Navy 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Michael Warren II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +3.05

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 5 yds for a TD, (Josh Pasley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 3 yds to the Navy 29

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.26

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 8 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Chris High run for 3 yds to the Navy 40

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the Navy 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

Zach Abey run for 2 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the Cincy 47

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Gargiulo run for 4 yds to the Cincy 43

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.91

Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.26

Zach Abey pass complete to Tyler Carmona for 34 yds to the Cincy 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Josh Brown run for 4 yds to the Cincy 1 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, personal foul (Carter Jacobs) to the Cincy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Zach Abey run for no gain to the Cincy 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Zach Abey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Gerrid Doaks run for 4 yds to the Cincy 32

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 5 yds to the Cincy 37

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.73

Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Hayden Moore run for 1 yd to the Cincy 39

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.32

Hayden Moore sacked by D.J. Palmore for a loss of 7 yards to the Cincy 32

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

4th & 16Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Craig Scott at the Navy 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Chris High run for 3 yds to the Navy 29

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.13

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the Navy 31 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, personal foul (Bryan Wright) to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Chris High run for 2 yds to the Navy 48

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.45

Chris High run for 8 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the Cincy 43

2nd & 9Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.53

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 22 yds to the Cincy 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Anthony Gargiulo run for 4 yds to the Cincy 17

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.72

Malcolm Perry run for 16 yds to the Cincy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Zach Abey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.34

Hayden Moore pass complete to Tyler Cogswell for 17 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 9 yds to the Cincy 46

2nd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.43

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for no gain to the Cincy 46

3rd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.49

Hayden Moore pass complete to JJ Pinckney for 7 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Jerron Rollins

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

3rd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.08

Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 25 yds to the Navy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.53

Hayden Moore pass complete to JaQuay Savage for 11 yds to the Navy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Josiah Deguara

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Hayden Moore pass complete to Tyler Cogswell for 9 yds to the Navy 2

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Gerrid Doaks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 3

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.87

Hayden Moore pass complete to Tyler Cogswell for 3 yds for a TD, (H. Moore Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the Navy 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Navy 27

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Chris High run for 1 yd to the Navy 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 35 yds, downed at the Cincy 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.04

Hayden Moore pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 27 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Gerrid Doaks

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.10

Hayden Moore pass complete to Michael Warren II for 15 yds to the Navy 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Hayden Moore pass complete to Tyler Cogswell for 10 yds to the Navy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray, broken up by Sean Williams

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.29

Hayden Moore sacked by Tyris Wooten for a loss of 10 yards to the Navy 21 Hayden Moore fumbled, recovered by Navy D.J. Palmore , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.99

Zach Abey run for 13 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the Navy 39

2nd & 5Rush+53 ydsPPA +2.91

Zach Abey run for 53 yds to the Cincy 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 10

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.44

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 12

Situational Analysis

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
69%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
45%
33 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
71%
7 plays
63%
8 plays
77%
13 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th