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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2017Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

UTSA by 7.5

Home Win Probability

UTSA 72%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 7, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern MissSouthern Miss
70141031
UTSAUTSA
31001629

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-710-713-713-1420-2823-3129-31
UTSASouthern Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMFG1056ydTD464ydPUNT3-8ydTO149ydPUNT1152ydPUNT49ydPUNT428ydPUNT824ydTD1192ydPUNT37ydFG542ydEND10ydMISS1068ydTO1164ydTD439ydPUNT3-3ydTD148ydPUNT423ydTD189ydTD875ydTO22ydFG45ydFG1269ydTD553ydEND2-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Miss and UTSA
StatisticSouthern MissUTSA
Passing15-2127-43
Pass Yards212367
Rush Yards246102
Total Yards458469
Turnovers21
3rd Down2-88-16
Penalties3-353-25
Possession23:5336:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Miss
passing
Keon Howard
15/20, 212 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Ito Smith
17 CAR, 178 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Quez Watkins
5 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD
defense
UTSA
passing
Dalton Sturm
27/43, 367 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tyrell Clay
9 CAR, 59 YDS
receiving
Greg Campbell Jr.
10 REC, 108 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 16 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jalen Rhodes run for no gain to the TexSA 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.50

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 17 yds to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.35

Jalen Rhodes run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 44

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh Stewart

3rd & 12Penalty+15 yds

Sturm sideline pass incomplete to Jones,B, QB hurry by HARRIS, L., PENALTY USM pass interference (APPLEWHITE, J.) 15 yards to the USM29, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Sturm sideline pass incomplete to Jones,B, PENALTY UTSA illegal block 15 yards to the USM44, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.73

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 7 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Darian Yancey) to the SoMis 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Brady Jones

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Marquez McNair for 3 yds to the SoMis 19

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh Stewart, broken up by Cornell Armstrong

4th & 7Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA -0.17

Jared Sackett 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tez Parks pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.78

Ito Smith run for 20 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Ito Smith run for 12 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Keon Howard pass complete to Jay'Shawn Washington for 32 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Jalen Rhodes run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 21

2nd & 14Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.25

Dalton Sturm sacked by Paxton Schrimsher for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 17

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh Stewart

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Yannis Routsas punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+39 ydsPPA -2.53

Allenzae Staggers run for 39 yds to the TexSA 8 Allenzae Staggers fumbled, forced by Devron Davis, recovered by TexSA La'Kel Bass

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Tyrell Clay run for 7 yds to the TexSA 15

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Tyrell Clay run for 1 yd to the TexSA 16

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.49

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 3 yds to the TexSA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.01

Tyrell Clay run for 14 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Tyrell Clay

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyrell Clay run for 5 yds to the TexSA 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.96

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 6 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 13 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jalen Rhodes run for 1 yd to the SoMis 42

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the SoMis 40

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Marquez McNair

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Yannis Routsas punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Allenzae Staggers at the SoMis 11

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.30

Keon Howard run for 32 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Keon Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.20

Keon Howard run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 19 Keon Howard fumbled, forced by Marcus Davenport,

3rd & 34Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.01

Ito Smith run for 1 yd to the SoMis 20

4th & 33Punt0 yds

Zac Everett punt for 56 yds, downed at the TexSA 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.67

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 31 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jalen Rhodes run for no gain to the SoMis 45

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Dalton Sturm run for 2 yds to the SoMis 48

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 47

3rd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Dalton Sturm run for 5 yds to the SoMis 48

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Yannis Routsas punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoMis 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Keon Howard pass complete to Ito Smith for 13 yds to the SoMis 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ito Smith run for 4 yds to the SoMis 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Keon Howard pass complete to Quez Watkins for 3 yds to the SoMis 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Keon Howard pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 1 yd to the SoMis 48

4th & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.60

Keon Howard run for 6 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.71

Ito Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 49

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Keon Howard pass incomplete to Ito Smith

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Keon Howard pass incomplete to Ito Smith

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Zac Everett punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brady Jones at the TexSA 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.36

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 10 yds to the TexSA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, offside defense (Draper Riley) to the TexSA 23

1st & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.22

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 9 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Greg Campbell Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.76

Tyrell Clay run for 20 yds to the SoMis 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 7 yds to the SoMis 41

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.03

Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the SoMis 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyrell Clay run for 2 yds to the SoMis 36

2nd & 8Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.00

Dalton Sturm run for 26 yds to the SoMis 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.19

Brady Jones sacked by Racheem Boothe for a loss of 11 yards to the SoMis 21

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Kerry Thomas Jr.

3rd & 21Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +4.51

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 21 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ito Smith run for 4 yds to the SoMis 21

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Keon Howard run for 3 yds to the SoMis 24

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Keon Howard pass incomplete to Ito Smith

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Zac Everett punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brady Jones at the TexSA 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +2.58

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 42 yds to the SoMis 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh Stewart

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jalen Rhodes run for no gain to the SoMis 23

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Josh Stewart

4th & 10Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA +0.46

Jared Sackett 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Ito Smith run for no gain to the SoMis 18

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Keon Howard pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 2 yds to the SoMis 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.80

Keon Howard pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 18 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.96

Keon Howard pass complete to Korey Robertson for 25 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.05

Keon Howard sacked by Eric Banks and La'Kel Bass for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 44

2nd & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Keon Howard run for 1 yd to the TexSA 43

3rd & 15Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.28

Keon Howard pass complete to Jay'Shawn Washington for 22 yds to the TexSA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ito Smith run for 4 yds to the TexSA 17

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Keon Howard pass complete to Allenzae Staggers for 2 yds to the TexSA 15

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Keon Howard pass incomplete, broken up by Baylen Baker

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Parker Shaunfield 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Jalen Rhodes run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 16

2nd & 14Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.57

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Josh Stewart for 15 yds to the TexSA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 9 yds to the TexSA 40

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.32

Jalen Rhodes run for 9 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jalen Rhodes run for 4 yds to the SoMis 47

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyrell Clay run for 5 yds to the SoMis 42

3rd & 12Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.93

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Shaq Williams for 26 yds to the SoMis 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-61 ydsPPA -4.43

Dalton Sturm pass intercepted Curtis Mikell return for 61 yds to the TexSA 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Dalton Sturm run for 2 yds to the SoMis 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Greg Campbell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 42

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Greg Campbell Jr., broken up by Trae Collins

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Keon Howard pass complete to Quez Watkins for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 41

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ito Smith run for 5 yds to the TexSA 36

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.69

Keon Howard pass complete to Quez Watkins for 16 yds to the TexSA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Keon Howard pass complete to Korey Robertson for 20 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Dalton Sturm run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 24 Dalton Sturm fumbled, recovered by TexSA Dalton Sturm

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Greg Campbell Jr.

3rd & 11Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.16

Dalton Sturm sacked by LaDarius Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Yannis Routsas punt for 26 yds, downed at the TexSA 48

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

Keon Howard pass complete to Quez Watkins for 48 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 18 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the TexSA 46

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Tyrell Clay run for no gain to the TexSA 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 2 yds to the TexSA 48

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Yannis Routsas punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Allenzae Staggers at the SoMis 11

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+89 ydsPPA +6.76

Ito Smith run for 89 yds for a TD, (Parker Shaunfield KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 13 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for 8 yds to the TexSA 46

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.36

Dalton Sturm run for no gain to the TexSA 46

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.52

Tyrell Clay run for 5 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.83

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Dannon Cavil for 15 yds to the SoMis 34 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Dannon Cavil

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jalen Rhodes run for 6 yds to the SoMis 28

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.38

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Marquez McNair for 28 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Ito Smith run for 3 yds to the SoMis 33

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -0.95

Keon Howard run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 32 Keon Howard fumbled, forced by Eric Banks, recovered by TexSA Baylen Baker

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Brady Jones for 6 yds to the SoMis 26

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Shaq Williams

3rd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 27

4th & 5Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA +0.25

Jared Sackett 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.10

Keon Howard run for 13 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Ito Smith run for 3 yds to the SoMis 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.86

Keon Howard pass complete to Quez Watkins for 13 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Ito Smith run for 10 yds to the TexSA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ito Smith run for 5 yds to the TexSA 32

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.32

Ito Smith run for 10 yds to the TexSA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Ito Smith run for 9 yds to the TexSA 13

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Ito Smith run for 2 yds to the TexSA 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Keon Howard run for no gain to the TexSA 11

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Keon Howard run for 5 yds to the TexSA 6

3rd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Keon Howard pass complete to Ito Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 7

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.84

Parker Shaunfield 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 9 yds to the SoMis 44

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Dalton Sturm pass incomplete to Marquez McNair

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.21

Jalen Rhodes run for 10 yds to the SoMis 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Marquez McNair for 10 yds to the SoMis 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Dalton Sturm pass complete to Marquez McNair for 24 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.12

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 15Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.36

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the SoMis 45

Situational Analysis

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
27 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

UTSA

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
49%
35 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
56%
9 plays
14%
7 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays