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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2017Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina by 1.1

Home Win Probability

North Carolina 53%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 14, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VirginiaVirginia
0107320
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
0014014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-107-1014-1014-20
North CarolinaVirginia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VIRNCVIRNCVIRNCVIRNCVIRNCNCVIRNCVIRNCVIRNCVIRNCVIRNCVIRNCVIRPUNT615ydPUNT37ydPUNT38ydMISS624ydFG1878ydTO1248ydPUNT420ydPUNT33ydTD1167ydEND25ydTD475ydPUNT3-3ydTO3-1ydPUNT36ydTD147ydPUNT842ydPUNT420ydTD181ydTO25ydFG621ydPUNT725ydTO1560ydDOWNS711ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Virginia and North Carolina
StatisticVirginiaNorth Carolina
Passing19-317-18
Pass Yards24946
Rush Yards156211
Total Yards405257
Turnovers13
3rd Down4-163-11
Penalties6-546-52
Possession39:5820:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Virginia
passing
Kurt Benkert
19/31, 249 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jordan Ellis
27 CAR, 136 YDS
receiving
Olamide Zaccheaus
5 REC, 100 YDS, 1 TD
defense
North Carolina
passing
Brandon Harris
7/18, 46 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Michael Carter
13 CAR, 157 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Brandon Fritts
2 REC, 15 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Freeman Jones kickoff for 65 yds , Joe Reed return for 18 yds to the Virg 18

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the Virg 23

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 4 yds to the Virg 27

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.80

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 3 yds to the Virg 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+31 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 62 yds , M.J. Stewart returns for 31 yds to the NCaro 36

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Brandon Harris run for 7 yds to the NCaro 43

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Jordon Brown run for 2 yds to the NCaro 45

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.35

Johnathon Sutton run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 43

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Hunter Lent punt for 50 yds, downed at the Virg 7

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Olamide Zaccheaus run for 8 yds to the Virg 15

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kurt Benkert run for no gain to the Virg 15

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Joe Reed

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 43

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Brandon Harris run for 9 yds to the Virg 34

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.25

Jordon Brown run for 9 yds to the Virg 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jordon Brown run for 4 yds to the Virg 21

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jordon Brown run for 2 yds to the Virg 19

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Brandon Harris pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Freeman Jones 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Joe Reed for 10 yds to the Virg 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Chris Sharp run for 7 yds to the Virg 37

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Olamide Zaccheaus run for 2 yds to the Virg 39

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.27

Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Jordan Ellis run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.17

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 15 yds to the NCaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni Dowling

3rd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.70

Jordan Ellis run for 13 yds to the NCaro 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.10

Kurt Benkert sacked by Tomon Fox for a loss of 7 yards to the NCaro 26

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni Dowling

3rd & 17Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.57

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Evan Butts for 16 yds to the NCaro 10

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.65

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the NCaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Joe Reed for 7 yds to the NCaro 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

De'Vante Cross run for no gain to the NCaro 1

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Ellis run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 ydsPPA -1.15

A.J. Mejia 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Brian Delaney kickoff for 65 yds , Anthony Ratliff-Williams return for 20 yds to the UNC 45 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (Allen Artis) to the NCaro 10

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Michael Carter run for 6 yds to the NCaro 16 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (-8 Yards) to the NCaro 8

1st & 12Penalty+5 yds

Sutton, J rush right for 2 yards to the NC10 (Peace, C), PENALTY VA offside defense (Brown, A) 5 yards to the NC13, NO PLAY.

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Brandon Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Michael Carter run for 2 yds to the NCaro 15

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Brandon Harris pass complete to Brandon Fritts for 6 yds to the NCaro 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jordon Brown run for 3 yds to the NCaro 24

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Brandon Harris pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.61

Brandon Harris pass complete to Brandon Fritts for 9 yds to the NCaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Brandon Harris run for 7 yds to the NCaro 40

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+17 ydsPPA +1.38

Brandon Harris run for 2 yds to the Virg 43 Brandon Harris fumbled, forced by Chris Peace, for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Chris Peace) to the Virg 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Brandon Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 46

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brandon Harris pass complete to Jake Bargas for 4 yds to the Virg 42

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return-36 ydsPPA -1.87

Brandon Harris pass intercepted Bryce Hall return for 36 yds to the Virg 40

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Daniel Hamm run for 5 yds to the Virg 45

2nd & 5Penalty+10 yds

Benkert, K middle pass incomplete to Levrone, A, PENALTY NC pass interference (Holcomb, C) 10 yards to the NC45, 1ST DOWN VA, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Richard Burney for 6 yds to the NCaro 39

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Olamide Zaccheaus run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni Dowling

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 34 yds, downed at the NCaro 6

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jordon Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 3

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Jordon Brown run for 6 yds to the NCaro 9

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (0 yards) ( Yards) declined

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hunter Lent punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 33 , Daniel Hamm returns for no gain to the Virg 33

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jordan Ellis run for 1 yd to the Virg 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.85

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 10 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Virg 39

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 4 yds to the Virg 43

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.27

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 12 yds to the NCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Andre Levrone

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 8 yds to the NCaro 37

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Jordan Ellis run for 1 yd to the NCaro 36

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.63

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the NCaro 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Andre Levrone, broken up by M.J. Stewart

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.09

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Jordan Ellis for 14 yds to the NCaro 20 for a 1ST down NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (10 yards) (Cole Holcomb) to the NCaro 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Evan Butts for 10 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Brian Delaney kickoff for 65 yds , Anthony Ratliff-Williams return for 15 yds to the 50 yard line NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (Myles Dorn) to the NCaro 7

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jordon Brown run for 4 yds to the NCaro 11

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordon Brown run for 1 yd to the NCaro 12

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Brandon Harris run for 8 yds to the NCaro 33

2nd & 2Rush+56 ydsPPA +2.65

Michael Carter run for 56 yds to the Virg 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Michael Carter run for 10 yds to the Virg 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Michael Carter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Freeman Jones kickoff for 65 yds , Joe Reed return for 16 yds to the Virg 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 19

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Andre Levrone

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.24

Kurt Benkert sacked by Aaron Crawford for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 13

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 50 yds , M.J. Stewart returns for no gain to the NCaro 37

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Brandon Harris run for 9 yds to the NCaro 46

2nd & 1Sack-10 ydsPPA -3.20

Brandon Harris sacked by Chris Peace and Juwan Moye for a loss of 10 yards to the NCaro 36

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return-8 ydsPPA -0.13

Brandon Harris pass intercepted Chris Moore return for 8 yds to the Virg 20

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jordan Ellis run for 6 yds to the Virg 26

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 47

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Michael Carter run for 47 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jordan Ellis run for 1 yd to the Virg 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 14 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.78

Jordan Ellis run for 25 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Jordan Ellis run for 9 yds to the NCaro 26

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Kurt Benkert run for 2 yds to the NCaro 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Olamide Zaccheaus run for 4 yds to the NCaro 20

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Doni Dowling) to the NCaro 25

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Daniel Hamm run for no gain to the NCaro 25 VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -2.30

Kurt Benkert sacked by Tomon Fox for a loss of 7 yards to the NCaro 33 Kurt Benkert fumbled, recovered by Virg Jordan Ellis , return for 0 yards

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 25 yds, downed at the NCaro 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.46

Brandon Harris pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 12 yds to the NCaro 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Michael Carter run for 2 yds to the NCaro 22

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Michael Carter run for 6 yds to the NCaro 28

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams, broken up by Bryce Hall

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Hunter Lent punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Daniel Hamm at the Virg 19

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+81 ydsPPA +6.44

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 81 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Brian Delaney kickoff for 65 yds , Anthony Ratliff-Williams return for 12 yds to the NCaro 47 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (Brandon Fritts) to the NCaro 6

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Michael Carter run for 5 yds to the NCaro 11

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return-12 ydsPPA -0.17

Brandon Harris pass intercepted Brenton Nelson return for 12 yds to the NCaro 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Joe Reed for 9 yds to the NCaro 21

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.43

Chris Sharp run for 6 yds to the NCaro 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Evan Butts for 7 yds to the NCaro 8

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the NCaro 6

3rd & 1Penalty-9 yds

Ellis, J rush right for 6 yards to the NC0, clock 14:54, PENALTY VA holding (Butts, E) 9 yards to the NC15, NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Jordan Ellis run for 6 yds to the NCaro 9

4th & 4Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.88

A.J. Mejia 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Brandon Harris pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 11 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Michael Carter run for 5 yds to the NCaro 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brandon Harris pass complete to Michael Carter for 4 yds to the NCaro 45

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Johnathon Sutton run for 1 yd to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brandon Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Michael Carter run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Jordan Cunningham

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hunter Lent punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Daniel Hamm at the Virg 13

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 15

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Joe Reed run for 12 yds to the Virg 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Jordan Ellis run for 15 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Jordan Ellis run for 9 yds to the NCaro 49

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Daniel Hamm run for 3 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the NCaro 44

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Chris Sharp run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 49 Chris Sharp fumbled, forced by Cayson Collins,

3rd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 11 yds to the NCaro 38

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.89

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the NCaro 32

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the NCaro 30

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.85

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 8 yds to the NCaro 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the NCaro 20

2nd & 8Penalty-15 yds

Benkert, K sideline pass incomplete to Hamm, D, QB hurry by Cater, A, PENALTY VA illegal block (Peacock, J) 15 yards to the NC35, NO PLAY.

2nd & 23Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jordan Ellis run for 6 yds to the NCaro 29

3rd & 17Sack+13 ydsPPA +1.42

Kurt Benkert sacked by Malik Carney for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 40 Kurt Benkert fumbled, recovered by NCaro Cayson Collins , return for 0 yards , return for 13 yds to the NCaro 40

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Brandon Harris run for 8 yds to the NCaro 48

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Jordon Brown run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Michael Carter run for 12 yds to the Virg 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Michael Carter run for 1 yd to the Virg 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams

3rd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brandon Harris pass complete to Dazz Newsome for no gain to the Virg 37

4th & 9Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.33

Brandon Harris sacked by Chris Peace for a loss of 12 yards to the Virg 49

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 47

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 45

Situational Analysis

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
56%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
13%
8 plays
0%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
57%
23 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
0%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play