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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2017Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida State by 1.1

Home Win Probability

Duke 47%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 14, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Florida StateFlorida State
703717
DukeDuke
037010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-73-73-1010-1010-17
DukeFlorida State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSDUKFSDUKFSDUKFSDUKDUKFSDUKFSDUKFSDUKFSDUKFSDUKTD1283ydPUNT617ydTO1056ydFG1566ydPUNT38ydTO749ydPUNT535ydEND1-2ydPUNT619ydFG1188ydTD775ydTO429ydPUNT36ydTD1091ydPUNT630ydPUNT414ydPUNT30ydPUNT35ydDOWNS955yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida State and Duke
StatisticFlorida StateDuke
Passing18-2122-37
Pass Yards197204
Rush Yards228111
Total Yards425315
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-135-13
Penalties7-515-37
Possession36:4423:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida State
passing
James Blackman
18/21, 197 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Cam Akers
15 CAR, 115 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Nyqwan Murray
5 REC, 81 YDS
defense
Duke
passing
Daniel Jones
22/35, 204 YDS
rushing
Shaun Wilson
13 CAR, 66 YDS
receiving
T.J. Rahming
8 REC, 111 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Jack Driggers kickoff for 61 yds , Derwin James return for 13 yds to the FlaSt 17

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

James Blackman run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 24

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Cam Akers run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 26

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.76

Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 6 yds to the FlaSt 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.13

James Blackman pass complete to Auden Tate for 10 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

James Blackman pass complete to Amir Rasul for 9 yds to the Duke 46

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.01

Cam Akers run for 9 yds to the Duke 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

James Blackman run for 7 yds to the Duke 30

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Cam Akers run for 3 yds to the Duke 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.16

Jacques Patrick run for 10 yds to the Duke 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.58

Jacques Patrick run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 20

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.16

Auden Tate 20 Yd pass from James Blackman (Ricky Aguayo Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shaun Wilson run for 5 yds to the Duke 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Shaun Wilson

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Daniel Jones pass complete to Aaron Young for 9 yds to the Duke 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.75

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for a loss of 4 yards to the Duke 35

2nd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Daniel Jones pass complete to Scott Bracey for 7 yds to the Duke 42

3rd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.59

Daniel Jones pass complete to Scott Bracey for no gain to the Duke 42

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tarvarus McFadden at the FlaSt 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.76

James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 14 yds to the FlaSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Jacques Patrick run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 35

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jacques Patrick run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.97

James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 11 yds to the Duke 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Cam Akers run for 2 yds to the Duke 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.31

James Blackman pass complete to Cam Akers for 11 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.34

Cam Akers run for 14 yds to the Duke 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Akers, Cam rush for 3 yards to the DUKE18, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding 10 yards to the DUKE31, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.48

Cam Akers run for 9 yds to the Duke 22

2nd & 11Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.21

James Blackman sacked by Edgar Cerenord for a loss of 4 yards to the Duke 26

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Duke 31

3rd & 20Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.64

James Blackman pass intercepted Mark Gilbert return for no gain to the Duke 15

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Shaun Wilson run for 7 yds to the Duke 22

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.17

Shaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the Duke 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Shaun Wilson run for 2 yds to the Duke 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 7 yds to the Duke 35

3rd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.19

Shaun Wilson run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Shaun Wilson run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 46

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Josh Sweat) to the FlaSt 41

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.23

Shaun Wilson run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Daniel Jones pass incomplete, broken up by Demarcus Christmas

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Daniel Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 29

4th & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.61

Daniel Jones pass complete to Davis Koppenhaver for 4 yds to the FlaSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Shaun Wilson run for no gain to the FlaSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Aaron Young

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Daniel Jones pass complete to Shaun Wilson for 6 yds to the FlaSt 19

4th & 4Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.43

Austin Parker 37 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Patrick, Jacques rush for 8 yards to the FLORIDAST33, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding (Leonard, Rick) 10 yards to the FLORIDAST15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.20

Amir Rasul run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 23

2nd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Amir Rasul run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

James Blackman pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 2 yds to the FlaSt 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 15

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.28

Brittain Brown run for 19 yds to the Duke 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Brittain Brown run for 7 yds to the Duke 41

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Brittain Brown run for 8 yds to the Duke 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Daniel Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 48

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Shaun Wilson

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.44

Daniel Jones pass complete to Davis Koppenhaver for 12 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.99

Shaun Wilson pass intercepted Emmett Rice return for no gain to the FlaSt 14

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.71

Cam Akers run for 24 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.11

James Blackman pass complete to D.J. Matthews for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Cam Akers run for 1 yd to the Duke 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

James Blackman pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Blackman, James pass complete to Murray, Nyqwan for 36 yards to the DUKE13, PENALTY FLORIDAST ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the FLORIDAST46, NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

James Blackman pass complete to Jared Jackson for 3 yds to the FlaSt 49

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 18

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Shaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the Duke 26

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Shaun Wilson run for 5 yds to the Duke 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.66

Daniel Jones pass complete to Shaun Wilson for 7 yds to the Duke 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Daniel Jones pass complete to Davis Koppenhaver for 4 yds to the Duke 42

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Quentin Harris run for 1 yd to the Duke 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 1 yd to the Duke 44

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 51 yds, downed at the FlaSt 5

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jacques Patrick run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 12

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Jacques Patrick run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 13

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Jacques Patrick run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jacques Patrick run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 25

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Cam Akers run for no gain to the FlaSt 25

3rd & 5Penalty+4 yds

DUKE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Mike Ramsay) to the FlaSt 29

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Jacques Patrick run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Blackman, James pass incomplete to Tate, Auden, PENALTY DUKE pass interference (Fields Jr., Bryon) 15 yards to the DUKE46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.22

James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 38 yds to the Duke 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jacques Patrick run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 9

2nd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.40

James Blackman sacked by Tre Hornbuckle for a loss of 10 yards to the Duke 19

3rd & 19Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.01

Jacques Patrick run for 13 yds to the Duke 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.87

Ricky Aguayo 23 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Brittain Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 23

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

DUKE Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Duke 18

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Daniel Jones pass incomplete, broken up by Brian Burns

3rd & 17Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +4.63

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 57 yds to the FlaSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Quentin Harris run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.40

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 10 yds to the FlaSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Daniel Jones pass complete to Brittain Brown for 4 yds to the FlaSt 9

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.56

Brittain Brown 9 Yd Run (Austin Parker Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.10

James Blackman pass complete to Johnathan Vickers for 26 yds to the Duke 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Cam Akers run for 3 yds to the Duke 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.90

James Blackman pass complete to Auden Tate for no gain to the Duke 36

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return-19 ydsPPA -2.70

James Blackman pass intercepted Jeremy McDuffie return for 19 yds to the Duke 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Shaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Shaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Quentin Harris pass incomplete, broken up by Nate Andrews

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tarvarus McFadden at the FlaSt 8

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

DUKE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the FlaSt 14

1st & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.46

Jacques Patrick run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Cam Akers run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 21

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Cam Akers run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.82

James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 12 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

James Blackman pass complete to Johnathan Vickers for 3 yds to the FlaSt 38

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Nyqwan Murray run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.81

James Blackman pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Jacques Patrick run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.06

James Blackman pass complete to Cam Akers for 9 yds to the Duke 42

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +4.13

Cam Akers 42 Yd Run (Ricky Aguayo Kick)

3rd & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Logan Tyler kickoff for 64 yds , Shaun Wilson return for 16 yds to the DUKE 17 DUKE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dylan Singleton) to the Duke 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.61

Daniel Jones pass complete to Daniel Helm for 14 yds to the Duke 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Aaron Young

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Shaun Wilson run for 11 yds to the Duke 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.58

Daniel Jones pass complete to Shaun Wilson for a loss of 5 yards to the Duke 29

2nd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 10 yds to the Duke 39

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. Rahming

4th & 5Punt+2 yds

Austin Parker punt for 51 yds , Tarvarus McFadden returns for 2 yds to the FlaSt 12 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Calvin Brewton) to the FlaSt 6

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.82

Jacques Patrick run for 19 yds to the FlaSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 27

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Patrick, Jacques rush for 20 yards to the FLORIDAST47, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding (Eberle, Alec) 10 yards to the FLORIDAST17, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Cam Akers run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 18

3rd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Cam Akers run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 61 yds, downed at the Duke 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Daniel Jones pass incomplete, broken up by Demarcus Christmas

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Daniel Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. Rahming

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 45 yds, downed at the FlaSt 36

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jacques Patrick run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 42

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

Jacques Patrick run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.08

James Blackman pass complete to Jacques Patrick for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 44 yds, downed at the Duke 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Daniel Jones pass complete to Shaun Wilson for 8 yds to the Duke 23

2nd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 13 yds to the Duke 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.78

Daniel Jones sacked by Josh Sweat for a loss of 6 yards to the Duke 30

2nd & 16Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.17

Daniel Jones pass complete to Chris Taylor for 21 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 17 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 2 yds to the FlaSt 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Chris Taylor

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Daniel Helm

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.11

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. Rahming, broken up by Ermon Lane

Situational Analysis

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
65%
26 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Duke

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
27%
26 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play