Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 2, 2017Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina Central by 1.6

Home Win Probability

Duke 45%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 2, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Carolina Central
07007
DukeDuke
21266760

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-021-033-047-753-760-7
DukeNorth Carolina Central

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCCDUKNCCNCCDUKNCCDUKNCCDUKNCCDUKNCCDUKNCCDUKNCCDUKNCCDUKNCCDUKNCCDUKNCCDUKNCCPUNT35ydTD751ydTD10ydPUNT622ydTD886ydPUNT30ydTD1166ydSAF1-13ydFG821ydPUNT33ydTD369ydTD181ydTD1077ydDOWNS716ydDOWNS638ydPUNT513ydTD786ydPUNT420ydPUNT59ydPUNT3-21ydTD850ydPUNT520ydPUNT614ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-2ydEND415yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Carolina Central and Duke
StatisticNorth Carolina CentralDuke
Passing11-1826-34
Pass Yards94281
Rush Yards64243
Total Yards158524
Turnovers10
3rd Down2-126-14
Penalties7-663-40
Possession29:1130:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Carolina Central
passing
Micah Zanders
10/17, 91 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Isaiah Totten
5 CAR, 83 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jordan Fieulleteau
2 REC, 30 YDS
defense
Duke
passing
Daniel Jones
19/25, 213 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Brittain Brown
10 CAR, 120 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Aaron Young
5 REC, 89 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Joe Giles-Harris
2 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Ramone Simpson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCtl 12

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Micah Zanders pass complete to Josh McCoy for 6 yds to the NCCtl 18

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Micah Zanders pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Nathaniel Tilque punt for 33 yds, downed at the Duke 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Shaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the NCCtl 48

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.08

Shaun Wilson run for 7 yds to the NCCtl 41 for a 1ST down NC CENTRAL Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. Rahming

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Shaun Wilson run for 9 yds to the NCCtl 32

3rd & 1Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.36

Shaun Wilson run for 21 yds to the NCCtl 11 for a 1ST down NC CENTRAL Penalty, personal foul (6 Yards) to the NCCtl 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.76

Daniel Jones pass complete to Shaun Wilson for 4 yds to the NCCtl 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Shaun Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Parker KICK)

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown-28 ydsPPA -7.92

Micah Zanders pass intercepted for a TD Bryon Fields Jr. return for 28 yds for a TD, (Austin Parker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Dorrel McClain run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 27

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Dorrel McClain run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCCtl 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.44

Micah Zanders pass complete to Jordan Fieulleteau for 27 yds to the Duke 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Dorrel McClain run for no gain to the Duke 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -2.22

Micah Zanders pass complete to Jacen Murphy for 6 yds to the NCCtl 42 NC CENTRAL Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the NCCtl 43

3rd & 19Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Micah Zanders run for 4 yds to the NCCtl 47

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Nathaniel Tilque punt for 39 yds, fair catch by T.J. Rahming at the Duke 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Shaun Wilson run for 3 yds to the Duke 17

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Shaun Wilson run for 6 yds to the Duke 23

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.50

Shaun Wilson run for 1 yd to the Duke 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Daniel Jones pass complete to Chris Taylor for 5 yds to the Duke 29

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Daniel Jones run for 8 yds to the Duke 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.91

Brittain Brown run for 24 yds to the DUKE 39 for a 1ST down NC CENTRAL Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Daniel Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.95

Brittain Brown run for 39 yds for a TD, (Austin Parker KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Micah Zanders run for no gain to the NCCtl 28

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Micah Zanders pass complete to Jordan Fieulleteau for 3 yds to the NCCtl 31

3rd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.42

Micah Zanders sacked by Victor Dimukeje for a loss of 3 yards to the NCCtl 28

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nathaniel Tilque punt for 38 yds, fair catch by T.J. Rahming at the Duke 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Daniel Jones pass complete to Aaron Young for 7 yds to the Duke 41

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.01

Brittain Brown run for 1 yd to the Duke 42

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Daniel Jones pass complete to Daniel Helm for 3 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Daniel Jones pass complete to Brittain Brown for 11 yds to the NCCtl 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Brittain Brown run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.32

Daniel Jones pass complete to Daniel Helm for 22 yds to the NCCtl 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Daniel Jones pass complete to Aaron Young for 6 yds to the NCCtl 14

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to Aaron Young

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 3 yds to the NCCtl 11

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.57

Quentin Harris run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty+5 yds

Jones, D pass incomplete to Chambers, Q, PENALTY NCCU offside (COX,Kawuan) 5 yards to the NCCU4, NO PLAY.

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Daniel Jones run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Parker KICK)

1st & 10Safety-13 ydsPPA -2.30

TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Daniel Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.91

Daniel Jones pass complete to Keyston Fuller for no gain Keyston Fuller fumbled, forced by King Kiaku,

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Daniel Jones pass complete to Aaron Young for 9 yds to the NCCtl 26

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.10

Deon Jackson run for 6 yds to the NCCtl 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Daniel Jones pass complete to Deon Jackson for 6 yds to the NCCtl 14

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Deon Jackson run for no gain to the NCCtl 14

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Daniel Jones pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.69

Austin Parker 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Isaiah Totten run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 25

2nd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Micah Zanders sacked by Joe Giles-Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCtl 24

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

NC CENTRAL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NCCtl 19

3rd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Micah Zanders pass complete to Jacen Murphy for 7 yds to the NCCtl 26

4th & 7Punt+3 yds

Nathaniel Tilque punt for 46 yds , T.J. Rahming returns for 3 yds to the Duke 31

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Shaun Wilson run for 8 yds to the Duke 39

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Daniel Jones pass complete to Keyston Fuller for 7 yds to the Duke 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +4.18

Daniel Jones pass complete to Aaron Young for 54 yds for a TD, (Austin Parker KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+81 ydsPPA +6.44

Isaiah Totten run for 81 yds for a TD, (Aedan Johnson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Brittain Brown run for 8 yds to the Duke 31

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Brittain Brown run for 9 yds to the Duke 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Quentin Harris pass complete to Scott Bracey for 15 yds to the NCCtl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

NC CENTRAL Penalty, personal foul (Antonio Brown) to the NCCtl 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Quentin Harris pass complete to Trevon Lee for 4 yds to the NCCtl 26

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Quentin Harris run for 5 yds to the NCCtl 21

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Quentin Harris run for no gain to the NCCtl 21

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.80

Quentin Harris run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Quentin Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.50

Brittain Brown run for 16 yds to the NCCtl 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Quentin Harris run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Parker KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Ramone Simpson run for no gain to the NCCtl 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Micah Zanders pass complete to E.J. Hicks for 13 yds to the Duke 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Micah Zanders pass complete to David Miller for 10 yds to the Duke 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -2.37

Jacen Murphy run for a loss of 8 yards to the Duke 45 Jacen Murphy fumbled, forced by Tre Hornbuckle, recovered by NCCtl Jacen Murphy

2nd & 19Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Micah Zanders pass complete to David Miller for 6 yds to the Duke 39

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Micah Zanders pass incomplete to Jordan Fieulleteau

4th & 13Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.76

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Duke 43

0th & 13End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Daniel Jones run for 8 yds to the Duke 48

2nd & 2Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.98

Brittain Brown run for 9 yds to the DUKE 43 for a 1ST down NC CENTRAL Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the NCCtl 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Daniel Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCtl 29

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Daniel Jones pass incomplete to T.J. Rahming

3rd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 2 yds to the NCCtl 27

4th & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -2.28

Daniel Jones pass complete to Davis Koppenhaver for 5 yds to the NCCtl 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Ramone Simpson run for 3 yds to the NCCtl 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.10

Micah Zanders pass complete to Jacen Murphy for 8 yds to the NCCtl 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Ramone Simpson run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 35

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Ramone Simpson run for no gain to the NCCtl 35

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Micah Zanders pass incomplete to Jacen Murphy

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nathaniel Tilque punt for 41 yds , T.J. Rahming returns for no gain to the Duke 35 DUKE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Duke 14

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brittain Brown run for 5 yds to the Duke 19

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Brittain Brown run for 7 yds to the Duke 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.54

Daniel Jones pass complete to T.J. Rahming for 17 yds to the Duke 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.17

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 15 yds to the NCCtl 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.51

Daniel Jones pass complete to Aaron Young for 13 yds to the NCCtl 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the NCCtl 24

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.71

Daniel Jones pass complete to Johnathan Lloyd for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Parker PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Micah Zanders pass incomplete, broken up by Joe Giles-Harris

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

ZANDERS,Micah pass intercepted by Fields Jr., B at the NCCU20, Fields Jr., B return to the NCCU0, clock 06:24, PENALTY DU personal foul (Ramsay, M) 15 yards to the NCCU31, 1ST DOWN NCCU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Dorrel McClain run for no gain to the NCCtl 31

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Micah Zanders pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Micah Zanders pass complete to Jacen Murphy for 5 yds to the NCCtl 36

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Nathaniel Tilque punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Nicodem Pierre run for 4 yds to the Duke 30

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.37

Nicodem Pierre run for 10 yds to the Duke 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Nicodem Pierre run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 37

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Nicodem Pierre run for 3 yds to the Duke 40

3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.62

Quentin Harris sacked by Antonio Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the Duke 35

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 35 yds, downed at the NCCtl 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chauncey Caldwell run for 5 yds to the NCCtl 35

2nd & 5Rush-12 ydsPPA -1.70

TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the NCCtl 23

3rd & 17Penalty-5 yds

NC CENTRAL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCCtl 18

3rd & 22Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.04

Chauncey Caldwell sacked by Victor Dimukeje and Drew Jordan for a loss of 9 yards to the NCCtl 9

4th & 31Punt+9 yds

Nathaniel Tilque punt for 50 yds , Myles Hudzick returns for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the NCCtl 45

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.66

Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 17 yds to the NCCtl 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 4 yds to the NCCtl 22

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Quentin Harris pass complete to Scott Bracey for 12 yds to the NCCtl 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Quentin Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCCtl 13

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Quentin Harris run for 3 yds to the NCCtl 10

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

Quentin Harris pass complete to Noah Gray for 10 yds for a TD, (Austin Parker KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Isaiah Totten run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCCtl 34

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Chauncey Caldwell run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 36

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

CALDWELL,Chaunc pass incomplete, QB hurry by Jordan, D, PENALTY DU personal foul (Jordan, D) 15 yards to the DU49, 1ST DOWN NCCU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Isaiah Totten run for 2 yds to the Duke 47

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Isaiah Totten run for no gain to the Duke 47

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Chauncey Caldwell pass complete to Eric Saintil for 3 yds to the Duke 44

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Nathaniel Tilque punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Myles Hudzick at the Duke 13

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Nicodem Pierre run for 3 yds to the Duke 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Parker Boehme pass complete to Keyston Fuller for 6 yds to the Duke 22

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.61

Nicodem Pierre run for 3 yds to the Duke 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nicodem Pierre run for no gain to the Duke 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Duke 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Parker Boehme pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Austin Parker punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jacen Murphy at the NCCtl 22

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.83

Torri Cotton run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCCtl 19

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Micah Zanders pass incomplete to Jordan Fieulleteau

3rd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Torri Cotton run for 5 yds to the NCCtl 24

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nathaniel Tilque punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 42

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Elijah Deveaux run for 2 yds to the Duke 44

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.52

Parker Boehme run for a loss of 4 yards to the Duke 38 Parker Boehme fumbled, recovered by Duke Parker Boehme

3rd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Elijah Deveaux run for 2 yds to the Duke 40

4th & 12Punt+8 yds

Austin Parker punt for 39 yds , Alphonso Carter returns for 8 yds to the NCCtl 29

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Torri Cotton run for 6 yds to the NCCtl 35

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Torri Cotton run for 3 yds to the NCCtl 38

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Micah Zanders run for 6 yds to the NCCtl 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Torri Cotton run for no gain to the NCCtl 44

Situational Analysis

North Carolina Central

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
19%
21 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
22%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Duke

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
52%
33 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
67%
9 plays
70%
10 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play