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← Back to GamesNov 25, 2017Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 12.7

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 17%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 25, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
7107731
MinnesotaMinnesota
00000

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-100-170-240-31
MinnesotaWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISPUNT730ydPUNT38ydPUNT38ydPUNT34ydTD1273ydPUNT39ydFG963ydPUNT3-1ydTO39ydPUNT3-7ydTD779ydDOWNS547ydPUNT828ydTD880ydPUNT76ydTD370ydMISS1245ydPUNT520ydPUNT38ydEND419yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and Minnesota
StatisticWisconsinMinnesota
Passing17-213-9
Pass Yards16940
Rush Yards28793
Total Yards456133
Turnovers10
3rd Down7-123-13
Penalties3-341-10
Possession33:2226:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Alex Hornibrook
15/19, 151 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jonathan Taylor
20 CAR, 149 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kendric Pryor
3 REC, 51 YDS
defense
Minnesota
passing
Demry Croft
3/9, 40 YDS
rushing
Rodney Smith
16 CAR, 82 YDS
receiving
Will Reger
1 REC, 26 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Jonathan Taylor run for 13 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 44

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.43

Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.36

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 10 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Minn 45

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Minn 45

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 30 yds, downed at the Minn 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 17

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Nate Wozniak

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Minn 23

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Austin Ramesh for 4 yds to the Wisc 48

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor

4th & 2Punt+19 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 34 yds, downed at the MINNESOTA 18 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Derrick Tindal) to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 36

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 37

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Demry Croft run for no gain to the Minn 37

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 11 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Wisc 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 8 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Rachid Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Zander Neuville

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.57

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 10 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Minn 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 9 yds to the Minn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.74

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 23 yds to the Minn 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Minn 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Chris James run for 1 yd to the Minn 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Demry Croft run for 5 yds to the Minn 38

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kobe McCrary run for 4 yds to the Minn 42

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Kobe McCrary run for no gain to the Minn 42

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 35 yds, downed at the Wisc 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.38

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 10 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 7 yds to the Wisc 42

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Wisc 44

3rd & 1Rush+41 ydsPPA +2.74

Austin Ramesh run for 41 yds to the Minn 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Minn 13

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Garrett Groshek run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 14

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis III

4th & 9Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.33

Rafael Gaglianone 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Rodney Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Phillip Howard

3rd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Demry Croft run for 1 yd to the Minn 24

4th & 11Punt+13 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 47 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 13 yds to the Wisc 42

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 49

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -1.84

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Minn 49 Jonathan Taylor fumbled, forced by Thomas Barber, recovered by Minn Kamal Martin

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.03

Demry Croft sacked by Ryan Connelly for a loss of 12 yards to the Minn 37

2nd & 22Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Demry Croft pass complete to Rodney Smith for 3 yds to the Minn 40

3rd & 19Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Demry Croft run for 2 yds to the Minn 42

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 37 yds, downed at the Wisc 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 8 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 2Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.21

Chris James run for 29 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Chris James run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 43

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.92

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 9 yds to the Minn 34

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.63

Austin Ramesh run for 2 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +0.99

Garrett Groshek run for 27 yds to the Minn 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Rodney Smith run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Demry Croft run for 4 yds to the Wisc 46

2nd & 6Penalty+14 yds

Croft, Demry pass incomplete to Williams, Mark, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Nelson, Nick) 14 yards to the WISCONSIN32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Phillip Howard

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Wisc 28

3rd & 6Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Emmit Carpenter 46 yd FG MISSED

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Demry Croft run for 4 yds to the Minn 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 34

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Kobe McCrary run for 7 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Nate Wozniak

2nd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.89

Demry Croft pass complete to Will Reger for 26 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Kobe McCrary run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 35

2nd & 12Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.96

Demry Croft sacked by Ryan Connelly for a loss of 12 yards to the Wisc 47

3rd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Mark Williams

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 24

2nd & 6Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.38

Jonathan Taylor run for 23 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Minn 48

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Chris James run for 6 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +0.77

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 31 yds to the Minn 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Minn 6

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Minn 5

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.71

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kobe McCrary run for 2 yds to the Minn 34

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.56

Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Demry Croft run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 33

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Demry Croft run for 2 yds to the Minn 35

3rd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.43

Kobe McCrary run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 31

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 30

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Jonathan Taylor run for 15 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 47

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.96

Jonathan Taylor run for 53 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Demry Croft pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kobe McCrary run for 3 yds to the Minn 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.65

Demry Croft pass complete to Rodney Smith for 11 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Wisc 44

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Rodney Smith run for 10 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Wisc 30

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd to the Wisc 29

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Demry Croft run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 30

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Emmit Carpenter 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Chris James run for 6 yds to the Wisc 36

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Chris James run for 6 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Garrett Groshek run for 6 yds to the Wisc 48

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Alec Ingold) to the Wisc 43

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Garrett Groshek run for no gain to the Wisc 43

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Jack Coan pass complete to Rachid Ibrahim for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Connor Allen punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Antonio Shenault at the Minn 12

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Kobe McCrary run for 6 yds to the Minn 18

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kobe McCrary run for 2 yds to the Minn 20

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Kobe McCrary run for no gain to the Minn 20

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 34

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.49

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 30 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Wisc Jack Coan

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Chris James run for 4 yds to the Wisc 34

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.62

Jack Coan pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 11 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Garrett Groshek run for 8 yds to the Minn 47

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
54%
26 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
17%
18 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play