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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2017Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 7.7

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 73%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 18, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
073010
WisconsinWisconsin
7014324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-714-1021-1024-10
WisconsinMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICWISMICWISMICMICWISMICWISMICWISMICWISMICWISMICWISMICWISMICWISMICWISMICWISMICWISPUNT734ydPUNT39ydPUNT68ydPUNT626ydTD30ydPUNT615ydPUNT39ydTO535ydPUNT648ydTD784ydPUNT37ydEND1-1ydPUNT31ydPUNT414ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT3-1ydTO10ydFG58ydTD777ydPUNT35ydTD561ydPUNT726ydPUNT754ydPUNT3-1ydFG1040ydDOWNS49ydEND3-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Wisconsin
StatisticMichiganWisconsin
Passing11-269-19
Pass Yards176143
Rush Yards58182
Total Yards234325
Turnovers11
3rd Down5-175-15
Penalties4-284-35
Possession28:1531:45

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
Brandon Peters
9/18, 157 YDS
rushing
Chris Evans
11 CAR, 25 YDS
receiving
defense
Khaleke Hudson
1.5 TFL, 1 PD
Wisconsin
passing
Alex Hornibrook
9/19, 143 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jonathan Taylor
19 CAR, 132 YDS
receiving
A.J. Taylor
3 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD
defense
T.J. Edwards
2.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Chris Evans run for 10 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Peters, Brandon pass incomplete to McKeon, Sean, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding (Tindal, Derrick) 10 yards to the MICHIGAN45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Kekoa Crawford

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Mich 46

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.71

Brandon Peters pass complete to Sean McKeon for 9 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Wisc 44

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Eddie McDoom run for 3 yds to the Wisc 41

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Sean McKeon

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Alex Hornibrook run for 4 yds to the Wisc 24

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 29

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Austin Ramesh run for no gain to the Wisc 29

4th & 1Punt+9 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 53 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 9 yds to the Mich 27

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Karan Higdon run for 8 yds to the Mich 35

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.98

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 36

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.21

Khalid Hill run for 4 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brandon Peters pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 3 yds to the Mich 43

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Chris Evans run for no gain to the Mich 43

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.06

Brandon Peters sacked by Garret Dooley for a loss of 8 yards to the Mich 35

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 45 yds, downed at the Wisc 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Zander Neuville for 2 yds to the Wisc 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.86

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 12 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 39

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kendric Pryor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 46

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kyle Penniston

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 40 yds, downed at the Mich 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 16

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Karan Higdon

3rd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.15

Chris Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 14

4th & 10Punt Return Touchdown+50 ydsPPA -6.65

Nick Nelson 50 Yd Punt Return (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Zach Hintze kickoff for 63 yds , Ambry Thomas return for 28 yds to the Mich 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Mich 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brandon Peters pass complete to Grant Perry for 5 yds to the Mich 39

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.17

Khalid Hill run for 3 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Brandon Peters run for 1 yd to the Mich 43

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the Mich 45

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Zach Gentry

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 52 yds, downed at the Wisc 3

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Bradrick Shaw run for 1 yd to the Wisc 4

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 6 yds to the Wisc 10

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Wisc 12

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 40

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Kareem Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 41

2nd & 11Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.19

Brandon Peters pass complete to Zach Gentry for 35 yds to the Wisc 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Wisc 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

3rd & 0Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 yds

Brandon Peters run for 4 yds to the Wisc 1 Brandon Peters fumbled, forced by Leon Jacobs, recovered by Wisc Derrick Tindal

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.66

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 20 yds to the Wisc 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.91

Jonathan Taylor run for 21 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.96

Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 49

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis III

4th & 14Punt-2 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 33 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 16

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Chris Evans run for no gain to the Mich 16

2nd & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +4.03

Brandon Peters pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 48 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Brandon Peters run for no gain to the Wisc 36

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the Wisc 34

3rd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.69

Brandon Peters pass complete to Chris Evans for 19 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.62

Brandon Peters pass complete to Sean McKeon for 14 yds to the Wisc 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Ben Mason 1 Yd Run (Quinn Nordin Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

James Foug kickoff for 62 yds , Derrick Tindal return for 12 yds to the Wisc 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 19

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 19

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 22

4th & 3Punt-6 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 41 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 31

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 30

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

James Foug kickoff for 61 yds , Derrick Tindal return for 16 yds to the Wisc 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 23

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Kendric Pryor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 22

3rd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.19

Alex Hornibrook sacked by Mike McCray for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 21

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.76

Brandon Peters pass complete to Khalid Hill for 22 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Kareem Walker run for no gain to the Wisc 40

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Brandon Peters run for 2 yds to the Wisc 38

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.38

Brandon Peters sacked by T.J. Edwards for a loss of 10 yards to the Wisc 48

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 12

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.56

Alex Hornibrook sacked by Maurice Hurst for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 7

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 4 yds to the Wisc 11

4th & 11Punt+6 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 36 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 6 yds to the Wisc 41

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Juwann Bushell-Beatty) to the Wisc 46

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Zach Gentry

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brandon Peters run for 4 yds to the Wisc 42

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Grant Perry

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 10

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.21

Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Devin Bush return for no gain to the Wisc 29

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.21

Donovan Peoples-Jones run for 12 yds to the Wisc 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.58

Kareem Walker run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 20

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Eddie McDoom

3rd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Chris Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 21

4th & 14Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.71

Quinn Nordin 39 Yd Field Goal

4th & 14Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

James Foug kickoff for 59 yds , Derrick Tindal return for 17 yds to the Wisc 23

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 19

2nd & 14Penalty+15 yds

Hornibrook, Alex pass incomplete to Taylor, A.J., PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Kinnel, Tyree) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.78

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 31

3rd & 13Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +4.51

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 51 yds to the Mich 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 19

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis III

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Troy Fumagalli) to the Mich 24

3rd & 16Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +4.26

A.J. Taylor 24 Yd pass from Alex Hornibrook (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brandon Peters pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 2 yds to the Mich 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Chris Evans

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 39

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 46

2nd & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.38

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the WISCONSIN 49 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyler Biadasz) to the Wisc 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis III

3rd & 8Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.56

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 27 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Kendric Pryor 32 Yd Run (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

John O'Korn pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 11 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Chris Evans run for 9 yds to the Mich 45

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.44

John O'Korn pass incomplete to Zach Gentry

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Chris Evans run for 6 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

John O'Korn pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

John O'Korn pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

John O'Korn pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 43 yds, downed at the Wisc 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 7

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Rachid Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Wisc 12

3rd & 4Penalty+2 yds

Hornibrook, Alex pass incomplete to Fumagalli, Troy, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Metellus, Josh) 2 yards to the WISCONSIN14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Austin Ramesh

2nd & 10Rush+52 ydsPPA +4.14

Jonathan Taylor run for 52 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.05

Alex Hornibrook sacked by Khaleke Hudson for a loss of 12 yards to the Mich 46

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor

3rd & 22Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Alex Hornibrook run for 6 yds to the Mich 40

4th & 16Punt+16 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 14 WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Adam Bay) to the Mich 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

John O'Korn pass incomplete to Sean McKeon

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Chris Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 22

3rd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

John O'Korn run for 1 yd to the Mich 23

4th & 11Punt+18 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 47 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 18 yds to the Wisc 48

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Mich 48

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.92

Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.48

Jonathan Taylor run for 13 yds to the Mich 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Mich 26

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Bradrick Shaw run for 7 yds to the Mich 19

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.15

Garrett Groshek run for 2 yds to the Mich 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Garrett Groshek run for no gain to the Mich 17

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Garrett Groshek run for 7 yds to the Mich 10

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Garrett Groshek run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 12

4th & 5Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.71

Rafael Gaglianone 30 yd FG GOOD

4th & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Zach Hintze kickoff for 62 yds , Ambry Thomas return for 9 yds to the Mich 44 MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tru Wilson) to the Mich 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.52

John O'Korn pass complete to Grant Perry for 8 yds to the Mich 14

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

John O'Korn pass incomplete to Grant Perry

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

John O'Korn run for no gain to the Mich 14

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.22

John O'Korn run for 1 yd to the Mich 15

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 16

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 17

3rd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.92

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 18

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
35%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
9%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
24%
25 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
60%
10 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play