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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2017Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northwestern by 8.5

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 75%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 18, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
00000
NorthwesternNorthwestern
0257739

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-013-025-032-039-0
NorthwesternMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORPUNT3-1ydPUNT434ydDOWNS1173ydPUNT524ydTD1280ydTO211ydTD836ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-3ydTO34ydTD215ydPUNT32ydTD751ydEND18ydPUNT3-15ydPUNT38ydPUNT514ydPUNT39ydTO10ydTD327ydTO851ydPUNT39ydTO14ydTD124ydPUNT740ydPUNT727ydPUNT35ydEND211yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Northwestern
StatisticMinnesotaNorthwestern
Passing2-119-13
Pass Yards4386
Rush Yards139277
Total Yards182363
Turnovers50
3rd Down1-116-14
Penalties2-183-30
Possession25:5434:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Demry Croft
2/11, 43 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Rodney Smith
18 CAR, 96 YDS
receiving
Rashad Still
1 REC, 36 YDS
defense
Northwestern
passing
Clayton Thorson
9/13, 86 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Justin Jackson
31 CAR, 166 YDS
receiving
Garrett Dickerson
2 REC, 26 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Nwest 32

3rd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.84

Clayton Thorson sacked by Carter Coughlin for a loss of 8 yards to the Nwest 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 47 yds, downed at the Minn 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.80

Demry Croft pass complete to Rashad Still for 36 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Demry Croft pass complete to Rodney Smith for 7 yds to the Nwest 28

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.03

Rodney Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 30

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.38

Demry Croft sacked by Nate Hall for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 37

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 35 yds, downed at the Nwest 2

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 6

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 10

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.37

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+41 ydsPPA +3.18

Justin Jackson run for 41 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Macan Wilson, broken up by Antonio Shenault

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Jeremy Larkin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 46

3rd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.91

Clayton Thorson run for 15 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Minn 26

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.92

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 28

3rd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.33

Clayton Thorson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 30

4th & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -1.99

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 5 yds to the Minn 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Minn 31

2nd & 4Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.13

Rodney Smith run for 22 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Rashad Still

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Nwest 46

3rd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.42

Demry Croft sacked by Nate Hall for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 49

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.34

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 11 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Jeremy Larkin run for 15 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Jeremy Larkin for 10 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jeremy Larkin run for 1 yd to the Minn 42

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Jackson, Justin rush for 5 yards to the MINN37 (Ayinde,Adekunle), PENALTY MINN offside defense (Umlor, Nate) 5 yards to the MINN37, NO PLAY.

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.40

Justin Jackson run for 14 yds to the Minn 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 25

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Minn 18

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Minn 14

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.57

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Minn 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jeremy Larkin run for 6 yds to the Minn 5

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.34

Jeremy Larkin run for 5 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 30

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -1.02

Kobe McCrary run for 2 yds to the Minn 36 Kobe McCrary fumbled, forced by Ben Oxley, recovered by Nwest Montre Hartage

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Minn 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 10 yds to the Minn 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett Skowronek

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.36

Justin Jackson run for 8 yds to the Minn 16

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.20

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Minn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Minn 9

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Minn 8

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.75

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 8 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander PAT BLOCKED) NORTHWESTERN Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Demry Croft sacked by Sam Miller for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 23

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 25

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Kobe McCrary run for 5 yds to the Minn 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 19 yds, downed at the Minn 49

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jeremy Larkin run for 1 yd to the Minn 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel, broken up by Andrew Stelter

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.23

Clayton Thorson sacked by Kamal Martin for a loss of 4 yards to the Nwest 48

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 48 yds, downed at the Minn 4

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 9

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Rodney Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 8

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.22

Demry Croft pass intercepted Montre Hartage return for no gain to the Minn 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Minn 12

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.66

Jelani Roberts run for 12 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 22

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 24

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Demry Croft pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 27 yds, downed at the Nwest 49

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Justin Jackson run for 8 yds to the Minn 43

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Justin Jackson run for 6 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Minn 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 8 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Minn 18

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Minn 18 Justin Jackson fumbled, forced by Winston DeLattiboudere, recovered by Nwest Clayton Thorson

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.89

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 18 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Rodney Smith run for 8 yds to the Minn 33

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.05

Mark Williams sacked by Tyler Lancaster and Nate Hall for a loss of 9 yards to the Minn 28

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Rashad Still

3rd & 19Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.12

Demry Croft sacked by Joe Gaziano for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 22

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 51 yds , Riley Lees returns for no gain to the Nwest 22 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Nwest 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 20

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 22

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 3 yds to the Nwest 25

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Antonio Shenault at the Minn 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Phillip Howard, broken up by Godwin Igwebuike

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.01

Rodney Smith run for 10 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Smith, Rodney rush for 1 yard to the NU46 (Lancaster, T.), PENALTY NU offside defense (Gaziano, Joe) 5 yards to the NU42, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Sack-10 ydsPPA -3.25

Demry Croft sacked by Alex Miller for a loss of 10 yards to the Minn 48

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Demry Croft pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Demry Croft run for 9 yds to the Nwest 43

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Nwest 27

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 38 yds, downed at the Minn 33

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-36 ydsPPA -1.57

Demry Croft pass intercepted Kyle Queiro return for 36 yds to the Minn 27

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Jackson, Justin rush for 7 yards to the MINN20 (Coughlin, C), PENALTY NU tripping (Doles, Tommy) 15 yards to the MINN42, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.45

Justin Jackson run for 17 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, personal foul (Duke McGhee) to the Minn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 13

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.89

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 13 yds for a TD, (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 40

2nd & 8Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.32

Kobe McCrary run for 18 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Kobe McCrary run for 4 yds to the Nwest 38

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.64

Rodney Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 41

3rd & 9Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.51

Rodney Smith run for 30 yds to the Nwest 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Nwest 11

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Mark Williams, broken up by Godwin Igwebuike

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return-18 ydsPPA -3.89

Demry Croft pass intercepted Nate Hall return for 18 yds to the Nwest 18

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jeremy Larkin run for 6 yds to the Nwest 24

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jeremy Larkin run for 3 yds to the Nwest 27

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jeremy Larkin run for no gain to the Nwest 27

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 73 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 24 Rodney Smith fumbled, forced by Paddy Fisher, recovered by Nwest Nate Hall

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Corey Acker run for 24 yds for a TD, (Makay Redd KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 18

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Demry Croft run for 7 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kobe McCrary run for 6 yds to the Minn 31

2nd & 4Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.27

Kobe McCrary run for 24 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.32

Demry Croft run for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 49

2nd & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Demry Croft run for 3 yds to the Nwest 47

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 32 yds, downed at the Nwest 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Auston Anderson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 19

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Auston Anderson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.61

Auston Anderson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

John Moten IV run for 12 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

John Moten IV run for 1 yd to the Nwest 39

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jesse Brown run for 2 yds to the Nwest 41

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jesse Brown run for 1 yd to the Nwest 42

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Antonio Shenault at the Minn 5

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.35

Kobe McCrary run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 3

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Kobe McCrary run for 3 yds to the Minn 6

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Kobe McCrary run for 4 yds to the Minn 10

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 35 yds, downed at the Minn 45

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chad Hanaoka run for 5 yds to the Minn 40

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.45

Alex Bousky run for 6 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
20 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
56%
9 plays
56%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play