Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 11, 2017Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 7.4

Home Win Probability

Ohio State 72%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 11, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Michigan StateMichigan State
03003
Ohio StateOhio State
142113048

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-028-035-042-345-348-3
Ohio StateMichigan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSPUNT927ydTD686ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT3-11ydPUNT3-1ydTD1173ydPUNT30ydTD968ydTO30ydTD325ydPUNT612ydTD182ydTO846ydTO327ydEND724ydTD372ydPUNT31ydFG856ydPUNT616ydFG1379ydTO32ydTO10ydPUNT35ydPUNT37ydDOWNS1479ydEND35yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan State and Ohio State
StatisticMichigan StateOhio State
Passing18-3615-23
Pass Yards131189
Rush Yards64335
Total Yards195524
Turnovers32
3rd Down4-177-12
Penalties5-582-27
Possession34:4425:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan State
passing
Brian Lewerke
18/36, 131 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
LJ Scott
8 CAR, 30 YDS
receiving
Cody White
5 REC, 42 YDS
defense
Ohio State
passing
J.T. Barrett
14/21, 183 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Mike Weber
9 CAR, 162 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Binjimen Victor
2 REC, 65 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 4 yds to the MchSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.27

LJ Scott run for 20 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds to the OhSt 48

2nd & 7Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.69

Brian Lewerke sacked by Malik Harrison for a loss of 11 yards to the MchSt 41

3rd & 18Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.62

Brian Lewerke run for 16 yds to the OhSt 43

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.24

Brian Lewerke run for 4 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Matt Sokol

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 3 yds to the OhSt 36

3rd & 7Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.72

Brian Lewerke sacked by Nick Bosa for a loss of 12 yards to the OhSt 48

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 34 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 14

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.51

J.T. Barrett run for 10 yds to the OhSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

J.T. Barrett pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 7 yds to the OhSt 31

2nd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.37

J.K. Dobbins run for 15 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

J.K. Dobbins run for 7 yds to the MchSt 47

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to J.K. Dobbins

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +4.77

Mike Weber run for 47 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 22

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Felton Davis III

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (Jordan Reid) to the MchSt 17

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to LJ Scott

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 54 yds, downed at the OhSt 29

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 32

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-17 ydsPPA -1.26

TEAM run for a loss of 17 yards to the OhSt 15 TEAM fumbled, recovered by OhSt J.T. Barrett

3rd & 24Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.01

J.T. Barrett pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 3 yds to the OhSt 18

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Drue Chrisman punt for 52 yds, downed at the MchSt 30

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

LJ Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 29

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Cody White

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 44 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 27

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds to the OhSt 33

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 36

3rd & 1Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.82

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 25 yds to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to J.K. Dobbins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.19

J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 11 yds to the MchSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the MchSt 25

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.34

J.K. Dobbins run for 8 yds to the MchSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the MchSt 14

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds to the MchSt 8

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.84

J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the MchSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

4th & 10Punt-5 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 58 yds , K.J. Hill returns for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 32

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

J.T. Barrett run for 9 yds to the OhSt 41

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.22

J.T. Barrett run for 8 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Mike Weber run for 15 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete to Dixon, Johnnie, PENALTY MICHIGANST pass interference (Layne, Justin) 15 yards to the MICHIGANST21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Mike Weber run for 4 yds to the MchSt 17

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the MchSt 12

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.53

Mike Weber run for 6 yds to the MchSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the MchSt 5

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the MchSt 4

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the MchSt 18

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.30

LJ Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 17

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Brian Lewerke run for 8 yds to the MchSt 25 Brian Lewerke fumbled, forced by Tyquan Lewis, recovered by OhSt Damon Arnette

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.17

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 13 yds to the MchSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the MchSt 8

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.55

J.T. Barrett pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 8 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds to the MchSt 30

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Gerald Holmes run for 2 yds to the MchSt 32

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.70

Brian Lewerke run for 6 yds to the MchSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Laress Nelson for 1 yd to the MchSt 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Hunter Rison

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 43 yds, downed at the OhSt 18

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+82 ydsPPA +6.49

Mike Weber run for 82 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 5 yds to the MchSt 30

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Brian Lewerke run for 1 yd to the MchSt 31

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.47

Brian Lewerke run for 2 yds to the MchSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 36

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Dre'Mont Jones) to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Dre'Mont Jones ejected for Targeting

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Matt Sokol

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.99

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 17 yds to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.13

Brian Lewerke pass intercepted Damon Arnette return for no gain to the OhSt 7

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

J.K. Dobbins run for 7 yds to the OhSt 14

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Marcus Baugh run for 5 yds to the OhSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete to Dixon, Johnnie, PENALTY MICHIGANST pass interference (Scott, Josiah) 15 yards to the OHIOST34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-15 ydsPPA -1.66

J.T. Barrett pass intercepted David Dowell return for 15 yds to the OhSt 43

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cody White run for 5 yds to the OhSt 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 7 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Felton Davis III

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 8 yds to the OhSt 23

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Brian Lewerke pass complete to LJ Scott for 4 yds to the OhSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Cody White

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -1.03

Matt Coghlin 37 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

J.K. Dobbins run for 9 yds to the OhSt 37

2nd & 1Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.85

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for no gain to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Andrew Dowell) to the MchSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 48 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 24

2nd & 8Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.71

Brian Lewerke sacked by Chris Worley for a loss of 13 yards to the MchSt 11

3rd & 21Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.09

Brian Lewerke pass complete to LJ Scott for 12 yds to the MchSt 23

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 43 yds , K.J. Hill returns for no gain to the OhSt 34

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the OhSt 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.76

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 8 yds to the OhSt 43

3rd & 1Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.74

J.K. Dobbins run for 35 yds to the MchSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.60

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Parris Campbell for 16 yds to the MchSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 7

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.47

J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 10

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Binjimen Victor

4th & 10Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.49

Sean Nuernberger 27 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 5 yds to the MchSt 32

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.93

Gerald Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 31

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.72

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Sokol for 6 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Gerald Holmes run for 1 yd to the MchSt 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Hunter Rison for 5 yds to the MchSt 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 47 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 10

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

J.K. Dobbins run for 9 yds to the OhSt 19

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.19

J.K. Dobbins run for 10 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Austin Mack

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the OhSt 33

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.03

J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 8 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.36

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Marcus Baugh for 17 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.59

J.T. Barrett pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 17 yds to the MchSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the MchSt 24

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.49

J.T. Barrett run for 9 yds to the MchSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Binjimen Victor

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the MchSt 13

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

J.T. Barrett pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 2 yds to the MchSt 11

4th & 6Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.69

Sean Nuernberger 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Madre London run for 2 yds to the MchSt 37

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return-39 ydsPPA +0.21

Brian Lewerke pass intercepted for a 1ST down Damon Webb return for 47 yds to the OHIOST 16 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Cole Chewins) to the MchSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.80

J.T. Barrett pass intercepted, touchback. Justin Layne return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Hunter Rison

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Darrell Stewart Jr. run for 1 yd to the MchSt 21

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Sokol for 4 yds to the MchSt 25

4th & 5Punt+8 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 41 yds , K.J. Hill returns for 8 yds to the OhSt 42

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Antonio Williams run for 1 yd to the OhSt 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Antonio Williams for 6 yds to the OhSt 49

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Drue Chrisman punt for 45 yds, downed at the MchSt 6

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds to the MchSt 9

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 11 yds to the MchSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Noah Davis for 2 yds to the MchSt 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.09

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 19 yds to the MchSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Madre London run for 7 yds to the MchSt 48

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.35

Madre London run for 5 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Hunter Rison for 7 yds to the OhSt 40

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Madre London run for 2 yds to the OhSt 38

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.59

Brian Lewerke run for 1 yd to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+12 yds

Lewerke, Brian pass incomplete to Jackson, Trishton, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Okudah, Jeffrey) 12 yards to the OHIOST25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Madre London for 11 yds to the OhSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.27

Messiah deWeaver sacked by Tuf Borland for a loss of 10 yards to the OhSt 24

2nd & 20Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.71

Messiah deWeaver sacked by Chase Young for a loss of 10 yards to the OhSt 34

3rd & 30Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.78

Messiah deWeaver run for 20 yds to the OhSt 14

4th & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -3.25

Messiah deWeaver sacked by Chase Young for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Antonio Williams run for 3 yds to the OhSt 18

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Antonio Williams run for 1 yd to the OhSt 19

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Antonio Williams run for 1 yd to the OhSt 20

Situational Analysis

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
19%
27 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
38%
16 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
52%
29 plays
2nd
83%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
55%
11 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play