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← Back to GamesNov 5, 2017Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 11.5

Home Win Probability

Michigan 81%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 5, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
700310
MichiganMichigan
13713033

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-713-720-727-733-733-10
MichiganMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICPUNT636ydTD783ydTD1075ydTD277ydPUNT33ydPUNT410ydPUNT521ydTD491ydPUNT3-6ydMISS931ydEND1-1ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT3-1ydTO41ydTD946ydPUNT3-7ydTD167ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT422ydPUNT36ydFG1262ydEND31yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Michigan
StatisticMinnesotaMichigan
Passing5-128-13
Pass Yards7456
Rush Yards90371
Total Yards164427
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-134-11
Penalties3-109-85
Possession32:2527:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Demry Croft
5/12, 74 YDS
rushing
Rodney Smith
18 CAR, 38 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Phillip Howard
2 REC, 41 YDS
defense
Michigan
passing
Brandon Peters
8/13, 56 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Karan Higdon
16 CAR, 200 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Sean McKeon
3 REC, 30 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Demry Croft run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 16

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 20

3rd & 7Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.84

Demry Croft pass complete to Phillip Howard for 25 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Demry Croft pass complete to Rodney Smith for 8 yds to the Mich 47

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Demry Croft pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Brandon Peters pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 8 yds to the Mich 25

2nd & 2Rush+47 ydsPPA +3.04

Karan Higdon run for 47 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Brandon Peters pass complete to Sean McKeon for 4 yds to the Minn 24

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the Minn 19

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.14

Khalid Hill run for 1 yd to the Minn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Minn 15

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the Minn 20

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.11

Brandon Peters pass complete to Sean McKeon for 20 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Demry Croft pass complete to Phillip Howard for 16 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 43

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 45

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.33

Demry Croft run for 8 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Mich 42

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Mich 42

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.70

Phillip Howard run for 12 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Mich 29

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.66

Demry Croft run for 12 yds to the Mich 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Kobe McCrary run for 7 yds to the Mich 10

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.27

Rodney Smith run for 10 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+77 ydsPPA +6.85

Karan Higdon run for 77 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Demry Croft run for 6 yds to the Minn 31

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Minn 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kobe McCrary run for no gain to the Minn 26

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Demry Croft run for 2 yds to the Minn 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 32

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Karan Higdon run for 12 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.52

Brandon Peters sacked by Antonio Shenault for a loss of 9 yards to the Mich 35

2nd & 19Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Chris Evans run for 7 yds to the Mich 42

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 9

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Rodney Smith run for 8 yds to the Minn 17

2nd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.56

Kobe McCrary run for 13 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Phillip Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 28

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Demry Croft pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 30

4th & 10Punt+61 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 51 yds MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Mich 9

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 10

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.83

Karan Higdon run for 12 yds to the Mich 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.52

Chris Evans run for 18 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +4.76

Chris Evans run for 60 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Rodney Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 16

2nd & 12Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.25

Demry Croft sacked by Maurice Hurst for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 10

3rd & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.02

Phillip Howard run for 2 yds to the Minn 12

4th & 16Punt+7 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 57 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 7 yds to the Mich 38

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Brandon Peters pass complete to Sean McKeon for 6 yds to the Mich 45

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.85

Karan Higdon run for 7 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Minn 45

2nd & 7Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.33

Chris Evans run for 19 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Chris Evans run for 2 yds to the Minn 24

2nd & 8Penalty-15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Minn 39

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

3rd & 23Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Brandon Peters pass complete to Nate Schoenle for 8 yds to the Minn 31

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Quinn Nordin 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 30

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 35

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 37

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.88

Brandon Peters sacked by Blake Cashman for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 30

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Rashan Gary) to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Rodney Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 49

2nd & 12Sack-17 ydsPPA -2.02

Demry Croft sacked by Chase Winovich for a loss of 17 yards to the Minn 32 MINNESOTA Penalty, intentional grounding (Demry Croft) to the Minn 32

3rd & 29Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.06

Demry Croft sacked by Mike McCray and Maurice Hurst for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 26

4th & 35Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 51 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for no gain to the Mich 23

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Mich 28

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Eddie McDoom run for 1 yd to the Mich 29

3rd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.62

Brandon Peters sacked by Merrick Jackson for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 22

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Rodney Smith run for 9 yds to the Mich 46

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.25

Kobe McCrary run for 4 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

2nd & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.80

Demry Croft sacked by Khaleke Hudson for a loss of 12 yards to the Minn 46 Demry Croft fumbled, recovered by Mich Chase Winovich , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Khalid Hill

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.73

Karan Higdon run for 15 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the Minn 26

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the Minn 23

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Minn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Minn 16

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Minn 15

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Brandon Peters pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 10 yds to the Minn 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Karan Higdon run for 5 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.59

Demry Croft pass complete to Rodney Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 10

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

3rd & 14Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.05

Rodney Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 7

4th & 17Punt+8 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 58 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 8 yds to the Mich 15 MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (Tyree Kinnel) to the Mich 33

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +5.43

Chris Evans 67 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 23

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.46

Demry Croft sacked by Khaleke Hudson for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 18

3rd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 21

4th & 12Penalty0 yds

PENALTY MINN unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY MICH unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.

4th & 12Punt+14 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 49 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 14 yds to the Mich 44

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Juwann Bushell-Beatty) to the Mich 39

1st & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brandon Peters pass complete to Maurice Ways for no gain to the Mich 39

2nd & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Chris Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 37

3rd & 17Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.18

Brandon Peters pass complete to Chris Evans for no gain to the Mich 37

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 16

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Tyree Kinnel) to the Minn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Demry Croft run for 3 yds to the Minn 34

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 39

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Rodney Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 38

4th & 3Punt+10 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 52 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 10 yds to the Mich 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the Mich 25

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Mich 26

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Eddie McDoom

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 41 yds , Drew Hmielewski returns for no gain to the Minn 33 Drew Hmielewski fumbled,

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Rashad Still

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Jonathan Femi-Cole run for no gain to the Minn 33

3rd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +3.38

Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 21 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Phillip Howard run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 14Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.84

Demry Croft pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 29 yds to the Mich 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 1 yd to the Mich 20

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Demry Croft run for 5 yds to the Mich 15

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 4 yds to the Mich 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Demry Croft pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Demry Croft run for 6 yds to the Mich 5

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 10

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Mich 5

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Tyree Kinnel

4th & 4Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.99

Emmit Carpenter 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

O'Maury Samuels run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 18

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

O'Maury Samuels run for 2 yds to the Mich 20

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13

O'Maury Samuels run for no gain to the Mich 20

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
23%
22 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
50%
10 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
40%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
71%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
4th