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← Back to GamesOct 28, 2017Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 17.9

Home Win Probability

Illinois 9%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 28, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
7100724
IllinoisIllinois
030710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-73-143-173-2410-24
IllinoisWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISPUNT31ydTO30ydPUNT36ydPUNT841ydTD1592ydPUNT34ydTO639ydTO3-5ydTD750ydFG1365ydEND536ydPUNT414ydPUNT731ydTO621ydPUNT614ydMISS951ydPUNT35ydTO850ydTD857ydTD975ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and Illinois
StatisticWisconsinIllinois
Passing10-199-31
Pass Yards135152
Rush Yards168134
Total Yards303286
Turnovers13
3rd Down5-126-14
Penalties4-505-40
Possession32:0827:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Alex Hornibrook
10/19, 135 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jonathan Taylor
12 CAR, 73 YDS
receiving
Kendric Pryor
2 REC, 37 YDS
defense
Illinois
passing
Jeff George Jr.
7/20, 108 YDS
rushing
Cam Thomas
10 CAR, 78 YDS
receiving
Malik Turner
2 REC, 58 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.88

Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Mike Dudek at the Illin 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Dominic Thieman

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Malik Turner

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return-9 ydsPPA -0.31

Cam Thomas pass intercepted Derrick Tindal return for 9 yds to the Illin 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 7 yds to the Illin 33

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 34

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy Fumagalli

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Malik Turner

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Kendrick Foster run for 2 yds to the Illin 21

3rd & 8Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.29

Cam Thomas pass complete to Malik Turner for 29 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kendrick Foster run for 2 yds to the Wisc 48

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.33

Cam Thomas run for 9 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Kendrick Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 40

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Malik Turner

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Dominic Thieman

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 8

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 10

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

A.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 14

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. Taylor

4th & 4Penalty+5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Wisc 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Wisc 24

1st & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.40

Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Jonathan Taylor run for 10 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 44

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Bradrick Shaw run for 5 yds to the Wisc 49

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.23

Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.14

Jonathan Taylor run for 29 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Illin 18

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.40

Garrett Groshek run for 9 yds to the Illin 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Garrett Groshek run for 5 yds to the Illin 4

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Garrett Groshek run for 2 yds to the Illin 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Illin 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Alec Ingold 1 Yd Run (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Cam Thomas run for 8 yds to the Illin 33

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.86

Kendrick Foster run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 29

4th & 6Punt+56 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the ILLINOIS 25 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Wisc 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 19

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.04

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 18 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Jonathan Taylor run for 14 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Illin 46

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-20 ydsPPA -2.86

Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Bennett Williams return for 20 yds to the Wisc 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Cam Thomas pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Mike Dudek

3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.40

Jeff George Jr. sacked by Tyler Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard line Jeff George Jr. fumbled, forced by Tyler Johnson, recovered by Wisc Alec James , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Quintez Cephus run for 4 yds to the Illin 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.24

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 13 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (James Knight) to the Illin 18 for a 1ST down. ILLINOIS James Knight ejected for Targeting

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Bradrick Shaw run for 7 yds to the Illin 11

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Garrett Groshek run for 1 yd to the Illin 10

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Garrett Groshek run for 6 yds to the Illin 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Garrett Groshek run for 2 yds to the Illin 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Garrett Groshek 2 Yd Run (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kendrick Foster run for 2 yds to the Illin 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Louis Dorsey for 10 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.70

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Mike Dudek for 20 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Reggie Corbin run for 8 yds to the Wisc 35

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Reggie Corbin run for 3 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Mike Dudek for 7 yds to the Wisc 25

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Dominic Thieman

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.53

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Mike Dudek for 6 yds to the Wisc 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.28

Cam Thomas run for 11 yds to the Wisc 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Cam Thomas run for 4 yds to the Wisc 4

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.74

Jeff George Jr. sacked by Chris Orr for a loss of 6 yards to the Wisc 10 Jeff George Jr. fumbled, forced by Chris Orr, recovered by Illin Doug Kramer , return for 0 yards

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Dominic Thieman

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.49

Chase McLaughlin 28 Yd Field Goal

4th & 12Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Chase McLaughlin kickoff for 64 yds , A.J. Taylor return for 29 yds to the Wisc 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 19 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.04

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Rachid Ibrahim for 15 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Rachid Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Illin 34

2nd & 8Field Goal Good+52 ydsPPA -0.60

Rafael Gaglianone 52 Yd Field Goal

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Kendrick Foster run for 18 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.29

Kendrick Foster run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 39

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Bradrick Shaw run for 4 yds to the Wisc 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.18

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Zander Neuville for 12 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Bradrick Shaw run for 9 yds to the Wisc 42

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.66

Alex Hornibrook sacked by Tymir Oliver for a loss of 10 yards to the Wisc 35

2nd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the Wisc 39

3rd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.40

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Rachid Ibrahim for 9 yds to the Wisc 48

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Malik Turner at the Illin 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Reggie Corbin

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Cam Thomas run for 3 yds to the Illin 13

3rd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.28

Cam Thomas run for 14 yds to the Illin 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.05

Cam Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 24

2nd & 13Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.38

Cam Thomas sacked by Alec James for a loss of 8 yards to the Illin 16

3rd & 21Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.24

Cam Thomas pass complete to Louis Dorsey for 15 yds to the Illin 31

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 42 yds , Nick Nelson returns for no gain to the Wisc 27 Nick Nelson fumbled, recovered by Wisc

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Quintez Cephus run for 2 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Wisc 31

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.82

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 7 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Quintez Cephus

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Wisc 41

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 40 yds, downed at the Illin 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Kendrick Foster run for 3 yds to the Illin 22

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Malik Turner

3rd & 7Penalty+10 yds

George Jr., Jeff pass complete to Turner, Malik for 6 yards to the ILLINOIS28, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding (Orr, Chris) 10 yards to the ILLINOIS32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ILLINOIS.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Reggie Corbin run for 5 yds to the Illin 37

3rd & 5Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.45

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Malik Turner for 29 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Reggie Corbin run for 2 yds to the Wisc 32

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Kendrick Foster run for 2 yds to the Wisc 30

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Louis Dorsey

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Chase McLaughlin 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Bradrick Shaw run for 6 yds to the Wisc 36

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy Fumagalli

4th & 5Punt+8 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 51 yds , Malik Turner returns for 8 yds to the Illin 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Caleb Reams

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Kendrick Foster run for 8 yds to the Illin 30

3rd & 2Rush+27 ydsPPA +3.11

Cam Thomas run for 27 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Malik Turner

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Kendrick Foster run for 6 yds to the Wisc 37

3rd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.32

Cam Thomas run for 13 yds to the Wisc 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Kendrick Foster run for 6 yds to the Wisc 18

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

Corbin, Reggie rush for no gain to the WISCONSIN18, PENALTY ILLINOIS holding (Dorsey, Louis) 10 yards to the WISCONSIN28, NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Pass Interception Return-37 ydsPPA -3.41

Cam Thomas pass intercepted Joe Ferguson return for 37 yds to the Wisc 43

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 42

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.22

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 11 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.95

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 24 yds to the Illin 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Illin 21

2nd & 8Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.43

Garrett Groshek run for 18 yds to the Illin 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Garrett Groshek run for no gain to the Illin 3

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Garrett Groshek run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 4

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Michael Deiter 4 Yd Run (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Kendrick Foster run for 14 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.88

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 26 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.72

Jeff George Jr. sacked by Andrew Van Ginkel for a loss of 10 yards to the Wisc 45

2nd & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Kendrick Foster run for 9 yds to the Wisc 36

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

George Jr., Jeff pass incomplete to Smalling, Ricky, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Carriere-Williams, Dontye) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ILLINOIS.

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.21

Jeff George Jr. sacked by Alec James for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 28

2nd & 17Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Reggie Corbin for 10 yds to the Wisc 18

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

George Jr., Jeff pass incomplete to Smalling, Ricky, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Nelson, Nick) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ILLINOIS.

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Kendrick Foster 3 Yd Run (Chase McLaughlin Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 43

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 45

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
38%
26 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
44%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
27%
26 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
50%
14 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play