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← Back to GamesOct 21, 2017Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 4.5

Home Win Probability

Penn State 64%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 21, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
0130013
Penn StatePenn State
14771442

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-014-614-1321-1328-1335-1342-13
Penn StateMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSMICPSTD275ydPUNT3-2ydTD478ydPUNT3-3ydTO955ydTD1159ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT39ydDOWNS1054ydTD867ydTD775ydPUNT31ydEND1-1ydPUNT929ydTD980ydPUNT49ydPUNT3-2ydTO616ydTD246ydDOWNS719ydTD448ydDOWNS1332ydEND737yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Penn State
StatisticMichiganPenn State
Passing16-2817-26
Pass Yards166282
Rush Yards103224
Total Yards269506
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-164-7
Penalties6-591-10
Possession32:5627:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
John O'Korn
16/28, 166 YDS
rushing
Karan Higdon
15 CAR, 45 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Grant Perry
3 REC, 46 YDS
defense
Penn State
passing
Trace McSorley
17/26, 282 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Saquon Barkley
15 CAR, 108 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
DaeSean Hamilton
6 REC, 115 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 6 yds to the PnSt 31

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +5.74

Saquon Barkley run for 69 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)

2nd & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Tyler Davis kickoff for 55 yds , Brad Hawkins return for 14 yds to the Mich 24

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Karan Higdon run for no gain to the Mich 24

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 27

3rd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.37

John O'Korn sacked by Curtis Cothran for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 22

4th & 12Punt+2 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 48 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 2 yds to the PnSt 24 PENN ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the PnSt 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Saquon Barkley run for 5 yds to the PnSt 27

2nd & 5Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.34

Trace McSorley run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.28

Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 35 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Saquon Barkley run for 15 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+43 yds

Tyler Davis kickoff for 65 yds , Ambry Thomas return for 43 yds to the Mich 43

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Karan Higdon run for no gain to the Mich 43

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.17

John O'Korn pass complete to Sean McKeon for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 40

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 37 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saquon Barkley

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

McSorley, Trace pass incomplete to Hamilton, DaeSean, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Kinnel, Tyree) 10 yards to the PENNST33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the PnSt 35

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

McSorley, Trace pass incomplete to Barkley, Saquon, PENALTY MICHIGAN personal foul (Winovich, Chase) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Mike Gesicki

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Saquon Barkley run for 6 yds to the Mich 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.49

Trace McSorley pass complete to Andre Robinson for 5 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Miles Sanders run for 9 yds to the Mich 30

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.38

Saquon Barkley run for 5 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 3 yds to the Mich 22

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-25 ydsPPA -4.16

Trace McSorley pass intercepted David Long return for 25 yds to the Mich 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

John O'Korn pass complete to Khalid Hill for 8 yds to the Mich 49

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.51

John O'Korn run for 12 yds to the PnSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Chris Evans run for 9 yds to the PnSt 30

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the PnSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

John O'Korn pass incomplete to Karan Higdon

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.66

Karan Higdon run for 11 yds to the PnSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.10

John O'Korn pass complete to Eddie McDoom for 13 yds to the PnSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the PnSt 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Khalid Hill run for no gain to the PnSt 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Khalid Hill run for no gain to the PnSt 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Karan Higdon 1 Yd Run (Quinn Nordin PAT failed)

4th & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

James Foug kickoff for 65 yds , Saquon Barkley return for 15 yds to the PnSt 15

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Trace McSorley sacked by Maurice Hurst for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 10

2nd & 15Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.11

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 6

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Trace McSorley pass incomplete

4th & 19Punt-2 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 56 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

John O'Korn run for 3 yds to the Mich 39

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Mich 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.54

John O'Korn pass complete to Chris Evans for 2 yds to the Mich 45

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 12 yds to the PnSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the PnSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saquon Barkley

3rd & 8Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.47

Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 27 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Trace McSorley run for 4 yds to the Mich 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.65

Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 6 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the Mich 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saquon Barkley

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the Mich 33

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.94

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 34

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.21

John O'Korn run for 14 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.07

John O'Korn pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 18 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ty Isaac run for 5 yds to the PnSt 29

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

John O'Korn pass incomplete to Grant Perry

3rd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.49

John O'Korn pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 23 yds to the PnSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Karan Higdon run for no gain to the PnSt 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Ty Isaac 6 Yd Run (Quinn Nordin Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 12 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.31

Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 36 yds to the Mich 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Saquon Barkley run for 9 yds to the Mich 18

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.87

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 20

3rd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 17 yds to the Mich 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Trace McSorley 3 Yd Run (Tyler Davis Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 26

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

O'Korn, John pass complete to Crawford, Kekoa for 24 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Bushell-Beatty, Juwann) 10 yards to the MICHIGAN16, NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Mich 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

John O'Korn pass complete to Sean McKeon for 5 yds to the Mich 26

4th & 9Punt+18 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 42 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 18 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 49

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

John O'Korn pass incomplete to Khalid Hill

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.17

John O'Korn run for 6 yds to the Mich 31 John O'Korn fumbled, forced by Jason Cabinda, recovered by Mich Grant Perry

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.47

John O'Korn run for 5 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

John O'Korn pass incomplete to Grant Perry

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Eddie McDoom run for 8 yds to the Mich 44

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Ty Isaac run for 7 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

John O'Korn pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.91

John O'Korn sacked by Ryan Buchholz for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 45

3rd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.56

John O'Korn pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 9 yds to the PnSt 46

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 26 yds, downed at the PnSt 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the PnSt 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.74

Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 26 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Trace McSorley run for 13 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 8 yds to the Mich 31

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Trace McSorley run for 2 yds to the Mich 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.14

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 33

2nd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.91

Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 11 yds to the Mich 22

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 9 yds to the Mich 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Trace McSorley 13 Yd Run (Tyler Davis Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Tyler Davis kickoff for 57 yds , Brad Hawkins return for 12 yds to the Mich 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

John O'Korn pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 16 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

John O'Korn pass incomplete to Grant Perry

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ty Isaac run for 4 yds to the Mich 40

3rd & 6Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.03

John O'Korn sacked by Manny Bowen and Jason Cabinda for a loss of 11 yards to the Mich 29

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 38 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 33

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saquon Barkley

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.77

Trace McSorley sacked by Kwity Paye and Mike McCray for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 31

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 26

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Chris Evans run for no gain to the Mich 26

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

John O'Korn pass incomplete to Khalid Hill

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.16

John O'Korn pass complete to Sean McKeon for 12 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Mich 42

2nd & 6Penalty-19 yds

Isaac, Ty rush for 4 yards to the MICHIGAN46, PENALTY MICHIGAN personal foul 19 yards to the MICHIGAN27, NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.25

John O'Korn pass complete to Grant Perry for 22 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.80

John O'Korn sacked by Christian Campbell for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 46 John O'Korn fumbled, forced by Christian Campbell, recovered by PnSt Robert Windsor , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 4 yds to the Mich 42

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.66

Saquon Barkley 42 Yd pass from Trace McSorley (Tyler Davis Kick)

2nd & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Tyler Davis kickoff for 65 yds , Ambry Thomas return for 29 yds to the Mich 29

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 32

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

John O'Korn pass incomplete to Grant Perry

3rd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.38

John O'Korn pass complete to Grant Perry for 24 yds to the PnSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.67

John O'Korn sacked by Curtis Cothran for a loss of 8 yards to the Mich 48

2nd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the PnSt 47

3rd & 13Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

John O'Korn pass complete to Eddie McDoom for 2 yds to the PnSt 45

4th & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.52

John O'Korn sacked by Kevin Givens for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.99

Trace McSorley pass complete to Brandon Polk for 23 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.81

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 28

2nd & 13Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.09

Trace McSorley run for 19 yds to the Mich 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Trace McSorley 9 Yd Run (Tyler Davis Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Tyler Davis kickoff for 65 yds , Ambry Thomas return for 15 yds to the Mich 15

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

John O'Korn run for 5 yds to the Mich 20

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.47

Ty Isaac run for 5 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

John O'Korn pass incomplete to Zach Gentry

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Ty Isaac run for 9 yds to the Mich 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

John O'Korn pass complete to Grant Perry for no gain to the Mich 34

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.14

Karan Higdon run for 7 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

John O'Korn pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

John O'Korn pass complete to Khalid Hill for 4 yds to the Mich 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.70

John O'Korn pass complete to Eddie McDoom for 14 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

John O'Korn pass incomplete to Grant Perry

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

John O'Korn run for 1 yd to the PnSt 40

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

John O'Korn pass incomplete

4th & 9Penalty-4 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-4 Yards) to the PnSt 44

4th & 13Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.44

John O'Korn sacked by Shaka Toney for a loss of 9 yards to the Mich 47

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Tommy Stevens run for 11 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Miles Sanders run for 5 yds to the Mich 31

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Miles Sanders run for 2 yds to the Mich 29

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Mich 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Miles Sanders run for 9 yds to the Mich 15

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.47

Mark Allen run for 5 yds to the Mich 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Miles Sanders run for 4 yds to the Mich 6

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.55

Miles Sanders run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 10

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
28%
25 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
36%
14 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
32 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play