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← Back to GamesOct 21, 2017Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 10.9

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 80%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 21, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IllinoisIllinois
7001017
MinnesotaMinnesota
7031424

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-710-710-1017-1024-17
MinnesotaIllinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLILLMINILLTD872ydPUNT33ydPUNT38ydPUNT38ydTO19ydTD215ydPUNT514ydMISS1156ydPUNT517ydPUNT617ydPUNT418ydTO418ydMISS921ydEND1-2ydPUNT3-5ydFG1265ydPUNT36ydTO844ydDOWNS848ydTO2-2ydFG833ydTD1275ydTD10ydTD1175ydPUNT36ydEND1-15yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois and Minnesota
StatisticIllinoisMinnesota
Passing20-275-14
Pass Yards16147
Rush Yards121290
Total Yards282337
Turnovers23
3rd Down8-163-11
Penalties5-453-10
Possession30:1729:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois
passing
Jeff George Jr.
18/23, 128 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Cam Thomas
10 CAR, 79 YDS
receiving
Ricky Smalling
8 REC, 71 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Minnesota
passing
Demry Croft
5/14, 47 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Kobe McCrary
24 CAR, 153 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyler Johnson
2 REC, 27 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Rodney Smith run for 14 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Demry Croft pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Demry Croft run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.42

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Rodney Smith run for 11 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.62

Kobe McCrary run for 26 yds to the Illin 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Demry Croft run for no gain to the Illin 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Demry Croft pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 8 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the Illin 38

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 13

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 16

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 20

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Demry Croft run for 1 yd to the Minn 21

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Nate Hobbs at the Illin 27

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Ra'Von Bonner run for 9 yds to the Illin 36

2nd & 1Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.45

Jeff George Jr. sacked by Carter Coughlin for a loss of 9 yards to the Illin 27

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Malik Turner for 8 yds to the Illin 35

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 59 yds, downed at the Minn 6

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Minn 11

1st & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -0.92

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 15 Rodney Smith fumbled, forced by Bennett Williams, recovered by Illin Julian Jones

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Cam Thomas run for 9 yds to the Minn 6

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +1.94

Ra'Von Bonner run for 6 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Minn 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Demry Croft run for 2 yds to the Minn 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Demry Croft pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 61 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Carmoni Green for 8 yds to the Illin 28

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.07

Cam Thomas run for 4 yds to the Illin 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the Illin 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.71

Cam Thomas pass complete to Dominic Thieman for 25 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.93

Ra'Von Bonner run for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 45 Ra'Von Bonner fumbled, recovered by Illin Ra'Von Bonner

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Reggie Corbin for 8 yds to the Minn 37

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.63

Ra'Von Bonner run for 9 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Cam Thomas run for 6 yds to the Minn 22

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, substitution infraction (Reggie Corbin) to the Minn 27

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the Minn 25

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Cam Thomas run for 1 yd to the Minn 24

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Chase McLaughlin 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Demry Croft run for 8 yds to the Minn 32

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.01

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Demry Croft pass complete to Rodney Smith for 5 yds to the Minn 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Demry Croft pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Malik Turner at the Illin 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Dominic Thieman for 5 yds to the Illin 15

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the Illin 17

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.65

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 4 yds to the Illin 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ra'Von Bonner run for 4 yds to the Illin 25

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the Illin 27

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Malik Turner, broken up by Ken Handy-Holly

4th & 4Punt+13 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 57 yds , Drew Hmielewski returns for 13 yds to the Minn 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Demry Croft pass complete to Ko Kieft for 12 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 44

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Demry Croft run for 3 yds to the Minn 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Malik Turner at the Illin 15

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.67

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 6 yards to the Illin 9

2nd & 16Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.55

Cam Thomas run for 14 yds to the Illin 23

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 10 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -1.57

Ra'Von Bonner run for no gain to the Illin 33 Ra'Von Bonner fumbled, forced by Carter Coughlin, recovered by Minn Steven Richardson

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Illin 38

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Kobe McCrary run for 9 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Kobe McCrary run for 9 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Illin 15

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Demry Croft run for 1 yd to the Illin 14

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Demry Croft run for 8 yds to the Illin 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Demry Croft run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 7

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kobe McCrary run for no gain to the Illin 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Demry Croft pass incomplete, broken up by Ayo Shogbonyo

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Illin 12

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+30 yds

Emmit Carpenter 30 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 18

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

George, Jr., J. pass incomplete to Turner,Malik (McGhee, D), PENALTY ILL holding (Boyd,Larry) 10 yards to the ILL15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 3 yds to the Illin 18

2nd & 17Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.15

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Reggie Corbin for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 13

3rd & 22Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.02

Ra'Von Bonner run for 7 yds to the Illin 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Demry Croft run for 3 yds to the Minn 36

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.45

Kobe McCrary run for 8 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Kobe McCrary run for 9 yds to the Illin 47

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.08

Kobe McCrary run for 7 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Kobe McCrary run for 10 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.28

Kobe McCrary run for 17 yds to the Illin 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Kobe McCrary run for 7 yds to the Illin 6

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.30

Kobe McCrary run for 5 yds to the Illin 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Demry Croft run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kobe McCrary run for no gain to the Illin 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Ko Kieft, broken up by Bennett Williams

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 ydsPPA -1.15

Emmit Carpenter 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.17

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 24

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Cam Thomas pass incomplete to Louis Dorsey

3rd & 14Fumble Recovery (Own)+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Cam Thomas run for 10 yds to the Illin 34 Cam Thomas fumbled, forced by Kamal Martin, recovered by Illin Cam Thomas

4th & 4Punt+8 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 50 yds , Drew Hmielewski returns for 8 yds to the Minn 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.68

Demry Croft pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 19 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 47

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.09

Kobe McCrary run for 7 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Illin 39

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.00

Kobe McCrary run for 3 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd to the Illin 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Demry Croft pass complete to Rodney Smith for 3 yds to the Illin 32

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return-19 ydsPPA -3.14

Demry Croft pass intercepted Stanley Green return for 19 yds to the Illin 22

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Ra'Von Bonner run for 6 yds to the Illin 28

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Cam Thomas run for 1 yd to the Illin 29

3rd & 3Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.85

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 22 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Cam Thomas run for 11 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ra'Von Bonner run for 5 yds to the Minn 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Malik Turner for 2 yds to the Minn 31

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the Minn 29

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.06

Ra'Von Bonner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Demry Croft pass incomplete MINNESOTA Penalty, intentional grounding (Demry Croft) to the Minn 28

2nd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.21

Demry Croft pass intercepted Cameron Watkins return for no gain to the Minn 43

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jeff George Jr. run for 1 yd to the Minn 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Cam Thomas pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 8 yds to the Minn 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.46

Ra'Von Bonner run for 1 yd to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.37

Cam Thomas run for 21 yds to the Minn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the Minn 10

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Cam Thomas run for 2 yds to the Minn 8

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jeff George Jr. sacked by Winston DeLattiboudere for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 10 Jeff George Jr. fumbled, recovered by Illin Jeff George Jr. , return for 0 yards

4th & 8Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.61

Chase McLaughlin 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 27

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Kobe McCrary run for 9 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Kobe McCrary run for 7 yds to the Minn 43

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.34

Kobe McCrary run for 4 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Rodney Smith run for 12 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Illin 38

2nd & 7Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.92

Phillip Howard run for 4 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (Bennett Williams) to the Illin 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kobe McCrary run for 6 yds to the Illin 13

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.51

Kobe McCrary run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 14

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.73

Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Illin 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Illin 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Kobe McCrary run for 4 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown-31 ydsPPA -7.92

Cam Thomas pass intercepted for a TD Jonathan Celestin return for 31 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Kendrick Foster for 9 yds to the Illin 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Louis Dorsey

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.73

Kendrick Foster run for 10 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Malik Turner for 13 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Malik Turner for 10 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Reggie Corbin for 1 yd to the Minn 32

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

George, Jr., J. rush for 6 yards to the MINN26 (Barber, Thomas), PENALTY ILL holding (Allegretti,N.) 10 yards to the MINN42, NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.33

Jeff George Jr. sacked by Carter Coughlin for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 45

3rd & 22Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +4.04

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Trenard Davis for 27 yds to the Minn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 4 yds to the Minn 14

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling, broken up by Adekunle Ayinde

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.99

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 14 yds for a TD, (Chase McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kobe McCrary run for no gain to the Minn 47

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kobe McCrary run for 4 yds to the Illin 49

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Kobe McCrary run for 2 yds to the Illin 47

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 6 yds to the Illin 5 lat. to Malik Turner for a loss of 16 yards to the Illin 5 lat. to Jeff George Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 5 to Sam Mays for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 5

Situational Analysis

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
53%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play