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← Back to GamesOct 15, 2017Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 1.2

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 54%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 15, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Michigan StateMichigan State
1076730
MinnesotaMinnesota
6002127

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-106-176-206-2320-3027-30
MinnesotaMichigan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINMSMINMSMINMSMINMSMINMSMINMSMINMSMINMSMINMSMINMSMINMSMINMSMINMSPUNT37ydTO4-23ydFG4-4ydFG947ydTO2-7ydTD28ydPUNT522ydTO10ydFG45ydTD662ydPUNT748ydPUNT750ydTO634ydPUNT516ydEND23ydFG958ydPUNT35ydFG1673ydPUNT416ydTO24ydTD227ydTD445ydTD961ydMISS519ydTD1073ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan State and Minnesota
StatisticMichigan StateMinnesota
Passing9-1816-32
Pass Yards120216
Rush Yards24574
Total Yards365290
Turnovers32
3rd Down4-125-13
Penalties5-401-15
Possession34:0725:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan State
passing
Brian Lewerke
9/18, 120 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
LJ Scott
25 CAR, 194 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Felton Davis III
2 REC, 35 YDS
defense
Minnesota
passing
Demry Croft
11/20, 163 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Rodney Smith
11 CAR, 44 YDS
receiving
Tyler Johnson
8 REC, 106 YDS, 3 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 29

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 31

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Conor Rhoda pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 43 yds, downed at the MchSt 26

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Madre London run for 7 yds to the MchSt 33

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Brian Lewerke run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 31 Brian Lewerke fumbled, recovered by MchSt Brian Lewerke

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Matt Sokol

4th & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-28 ydsPPA +0.09

Jake Hartbarger run for a loss of 28 yards to the MchSt 3 Jake Hartbarger fumbled, recovered by Minn Jaylen Waters

1st & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.75

Conor Rhoda run for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 7 Conor Rhoda fumbled, recovered by Minn Conor Rhoda , return for no gain to the MchSt 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Conor Rhoda pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.79

Emmit Carpenter 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

LJ Scott run for 9 yds to the MchSt 38

2nd & 1Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.30

LJ Scott run for 23 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the Minn 36

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.64

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Hunter Rison for 13 yds to the Minn 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

LJ Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to LJ Scott, broken up by Kamal Martin

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

4th & 11Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +0.66

Matt Coghlin 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Conor Rhoda pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-7 ydsPPA +0.06

Shannon Brooks run for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 8 Shannon Brooks fumbled, recovered by MchSt Kenny Willekes

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Madre London run for 5 yds to the Minn 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Madre London run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 2 yds to the Minn 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.52

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Shannon Brooks for 21 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds to the MchSt 47

2nd & 5Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.40

Conor Rhoda run for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 47

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Conor Rhoda pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 23

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.79

Brian Lewerke pass intercepted Duke McGhee return for no gain to the MchSt 34

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the MchSt 33

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the MchSt 29

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Conor Rhoda pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.43

Emmit Carpenter 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the MchSt 42

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

LJ Scott run for 9 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Brian Lewerke run for 3 yds to the Minn 46

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, false start (LJ Scott) to the MchSt 49

2nd & 12Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.51

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Felton Davis III for 21 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

LJ Scott run for 6 yds to the Minn 24

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.60

LJ Scott run for 24 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.54

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 17 yds to the Minn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Nate Wozniak for 8 yds to the Minn 27

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Rodney Smith run for 10 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Kobe McCrary run for 2 yds to the Minn 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Conor Rhoda pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Kobe McCrary for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Punt+6 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 46 yds , Connor Heyward returns for 6 yds to the MchSt 10

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.86

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 12 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, personal foul (Kamal Martin) to the MchSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Connor Heyward for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 29

3rd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.48

Brian Lewerke pass complete to LJ Scott for 26 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the Minn 42

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the Minn 40

4th & 5Punt+9 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Antonio Shenault at the Minn 16 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the Minn 31

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 32

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Minn 34

3rd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.24

Demry Croft pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 21 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the MchSt 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.62

Demry Croft pass complete to Shannon Brooks for 6 yds to the MchSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-19 ydsPPA -4.03

Demry Croft pass intercepted Khari Willis return for 19 yds to the MchSt 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Madre London run for 4 yds to the MchSt 40

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.39

Madre London run for 9 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Darrell Stewart Jr. run for 3 yds to the Minn 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Madre London for 5 yds to the Minn 43

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Minn 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete, broken up by Blake Cashman

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 23

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 23

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

LJ Scott run for 11 yds to the MchSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.49

Darrell Stewart Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 33

2nd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.54

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Felton Davis III for 14 yds to the MchSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.93

LJ Scott run for 33 yds to the Minn 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.34

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for no gain to the Minn 17

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

LJ Scott run for no gain to the Minn 17

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

4th & 10Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -0.04

Matt Coghlin 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Eric Carter

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Demry Croft pass complete to Ko Kieft for 5 yds to the Minn 32

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Mark Williams

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 68 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Madre London run for 3 yds to the MchSt 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Collin Lucas

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.30

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Hunter Rison for 17 yds to the MchSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Madre London run for no gain to the MchSt 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.91

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 25 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Madre London run for 6 yds to the Minn 29

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Madre London run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 30

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.90

Brian Lewerke run for 5 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Madre London run for 3 yds to the Minn 22

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Madre London run for 4 yds to the Minn 18

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Madre London run for 2 yds to the Minn 16

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.63

Brian Lewerke run for 3 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Madre London run for 9 yds to the Minn 4

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Madre London run for no gain to the Minn 4

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, false start (Cole Chewins) to the Minn 9

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Madre London run for 2 yds to the Minn 7

4th & 4Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.94

Matt Coghlin 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Rodney Smith run for 11 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Demry Croft pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Demry Croft run for 4 yds to the Minn 48

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 29 yds, downed at the MchSt 23

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

LJ Scott run for 7 yds to the MchSt 30

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -1.36

LJ Scott run for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 27 LJ Scott fumbled, forced by Steven Richardson, recovered by Minn Thomas Barber

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Shannon Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 28 Shannon Brooks fumbled, recovered by Minn Shannon Brooks

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.35

Demry Croft pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 28 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+18 ydsPPA +0.74

Madre London run for 18 yds to the Minn 27 Madre London fumbled, forced by Kamal Martin, for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.16

LJ Scott run for 10 yds to the Minn 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.53

LJ Scott run for 11 yds to the Minn 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

LJ Scott run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -1.97

Demry Croft sacked by Chris Frey for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 33 Demry Croft fumbled, recovered by Minn Demry Croft , return for 0 yards

2nd & 16Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Demry Croft run for 12 yds to the Minn 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.92

Demry Croft pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 6 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Demry Croft run for 6 yds to the MchSt 43

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Demry Croft run for 1 yd to the MchSt 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.66

Demry Croft pass complete to Mark Williams for 21 yds to the MchSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the MchSt 17

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.07

Demry Croft pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 17 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.86

LJ Scott run for 22 yds to the Minn 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

LJ Scott run for no gain to the Minn 24

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.90

LJ Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 26

3rd & 12Penalty-10 yds

Scott, LJ rush for 24 yards to the MINN2 (Huff, Jacob;Celestin, J), PENALTY MSU holding (Higby, Tyler) 10 yards to the MINN36, NO PLAY.

3rd & 22Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

LJ Scott run for 9 yds to the Minn 27

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Matt Coghlin 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Matt Morrissey

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Demry Croft pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 6 yds to the Minn 33

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Demry Croft pass incomplete to Mark Williams

4th & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.53

Demry Croft pass complete to Mark Williams for 22 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Demry Croft pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.09

Demry Croft sacked by Kenny Willekes for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 49

3rd & 16Rush+20 ydsPPA +3.72

Demry Croft run for 20 yds to the MchSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.42

Demry Croft pass complete to Shannon Brooks for 22 yds to the MchSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Demry Croft pass incomplete

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Demry Croft pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 9 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.26

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 48

Situational Analysis

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
30 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
30%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
24 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play