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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2017Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 5.2

Home Win Probability

Nebraska 34%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 8, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
10771438
NebraskaNebraska
0107017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-1010-1717-2417-3117-38
NebraskaWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEBNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISTD558ydPUNT636ydFG1161ydPUNT631ydPUNT53ydMISS1252ydPUNT36ydPUNT36ydPUNT953ydTD180ydTD175ydFG1160ydPUNT415ydPUNT412ydTD20ydTD1093ydPUNT939ydTD1080ydTO215ydTD1040ydDOWNS42ydEND25yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and Nebraska
StatisticWisconsinNebraska
Passing9-1718-35
Pass Yards113271
Rush Yards353110
Total Yards466381
Turnovers12
3rd Down6-117-15
Penalties8-784-35
Possession36:4123:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Alex Hornibrook
9/17, 113 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jonathan Taylor
25 CAR, 249 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Quintez Cephus
4 REC, 68 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Nebraska
passing
Tanner Lee
16/32, 262 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Devine Ozigbo
23 CAR, 112 YDS
receiving
Stanley Morgan Jr.
4 REC, 115 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Devine Ozigbo run for 13 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.25

Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 37 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Wisc 23

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Devine Ozigbo run for 6 yds to the Wisc 17

3rd & 2Interception Return Touchdown-78 ydsPPA -11.22

Tanner Lee pass intercepted for a TD Chris Orr return for 78 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Neb 26

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Devine Ozigbo run for 10 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.73

Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Andrew Van Ginkel) to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Wisc 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tanner Lee pass complete to Tyler Hoppes for no gain to the Wisc 43

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 4 yds to the Wisc 39

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.86

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 24 WISCONSIN Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the Wisc 14

1st & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 18

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Chris James run for 6 yds to the Wisc 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.33

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 17 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 45

2nd & 6Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.13

Jonathan Taylor run for 30 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.83

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Neb 19 WISCONSIN Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Neb 34

1st & 19Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chris James run for 5 yds to the Neb 29

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 10 yds to the Neb 19

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declined

4th & 4Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.43

Rafael Gaglianone 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Neb 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Neb 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.00

Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 22 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Tanner Lee pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-El, broken up by Natrell Jamerson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Wisc 44

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Tyler Hoppes, broken up by Natrell Jamerson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 14 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.53

Bradrick Shaw run for 1 yd to the Wisc 31 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Wisc 21

1st & 19Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 16

1st & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy Fumagalli, broken up by Chris Weber

2nd & 24Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.09

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Chris James for 9 yds to the Wisc 25

3rd & 15Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.14

Alex Hornibrook sacked by Luke Gifford for a loss of 6 yards to the Wisc 19

4th & 21Punt+49 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 39 yds NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Neb 32

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Devine Ozigbo run for 6 yds to the Neb 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.72

Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 18 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Wisc 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Tanner Lee pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.13

Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 10 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tanner Lee pass incomplete, broken up by Nick Nelson

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Devine Ozigbo run for 6 yds to the Wisc 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.73

Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 12 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Devine Ozigbo run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 16

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD Spielman

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Dontye Carriere-Williams

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Drew Brown 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 24

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 26

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+1 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 49 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 1 yd to the Neb 27 NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Neb 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Tanner Lee pass incomplete, broken up by Nick Nelson

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Devine Ozigbo run for 6 yds to the Neb 22

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Tanner Lee pass incomplete, broken up by D'Cota Dixon

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 69 yds, downed at the Wisc 9

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Wisc 18

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.13

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 5 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.20

Bradrick Shaw run for 10 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Bradrick Shaw run for 6 yds to the Wisc 45

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.23

Bradrick Shaw run for no gain to the Wisc 45

3rd & 4Penalty+10 yds

Hornibrook, A. pass incomplete to Taylor, A.J., PENALTY NEB holding (Joshua Kalu) 10 yards to the NEB45, 1ST DOWN WIS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jonathan Taylor, broken up by Chris Weber

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 7 yds to the Neb 38

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jonathan Taylor

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 38 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 80 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Jonathan Taylor run for 75 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD Spielman

2nd & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.20

Devine Ozigbo run for 28 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD Spielman

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devine Ozigbo

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.66

Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 11 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Tanner Lee pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 4 yds to the Wisc 31

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tanner Lee run for 5 yds to the Wisc 26

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.29

Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 9 yds to the Wisc 14

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.40

Tanner Lee pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 5 yds to the Wisc 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 14

1st & 14Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -1.22

Drew Brown 32 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 15 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 45

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (Beau Benzschawel) to the Wisc 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy Fumagalli, broken up by Joshua Kalu

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to A.J. Taylor

4th & 10Punt+9 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 43 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 9 yds to the Neb 26

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Devine Ozigbo run for 11 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Neb 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tanner Lee pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.

4th & 9Punt+7 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 57 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 7 yds to the Wisc 12

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 12

2nd & 10Interception Return Touchdown-14 ydsPPA -6.89

Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted for a TD Aaron Williams return for 14 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-8 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Leon Jacobs) to the Wisc 7

1st & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 14

2nd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.34

Jonathan Taylor run for 15 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Jonathan Taylor run for 10 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Bradrick Shaw run for 1 yd to the Wisc 40

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Rachid Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Wisc 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.00

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 31 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Jonathan Taylor run for 15 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Neb 6

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Neb 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the Neb 21

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Neb 21

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 9 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr., broken up by Nick Nelson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Neb 30

3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.33

Tanner Lee pass complete to JD Spielman for 22 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Wisc 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tanner Lee pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 4 yds to the Wisc 44

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Tanner Lee run for no gain to the Wisc 44

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 23

2nd & 7Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.25

Jonathan Taylor run for 21 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Jonathan Taylor run for 8 yds to the Neb 48

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Bradrick Shaw run for 6 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds to the Neb 39

2nd & 7Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.03

Rachid Ibrahim run for 24 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Bradrick Shaw run for 7 yds to the Neb 8

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Neb 6

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Neb 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tanner Lee pass incomplete to JD Spielman

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA -0.22

Tanner Lee pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 15 yds Stanley Morgan Jr. fumbled, forced by Derrick Tindal, recovered by Wisc Ryan Connelly

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Neb 38

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Rachid Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Neb 36

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.44

Jonathan Taylor run for 9 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds to the Neb 24

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds to the Neb 21

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.49

Rachid Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Neb 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Rachid Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Neb 10

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.45

Rachid Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Rachid Ibrahim run for no gain to the Neb 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Bradrick Shaw run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 8 yds to the Neb 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 1 yd to the Neb 34

3rd & 1Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.13

Patrick O'Brien sacked by Natrell Jamerson for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 27

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.23

Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Garrett Groshek run for 7 yds to the Neb 20

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.78

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 22

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
50%
26 plays
50%
4 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
71%
7 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
36%
14 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play