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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2017Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 11.3

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 81%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 30, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NorthwesternNorthwestern
3701424
WisconsinWisconsin
70141233

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-37-1014-1021-1024-1031-1733-24
WisconsinNorthwestern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORNORWISNORWISNORWISTO1-1ydFG48ydPUNT626ydPUNT44ydTD747ydTO943ydTO66ydPUNT39ydPUNT31ydTD1244ydTO322ydPUNT30ydPUNT413ydEND1-1ydPUNT82ydTD479ydPUNT54ydTD438ydPUNT36ydPUNT518ydPUNT3-4ydFG738ydTD32ydTD1375ydPUNT3-3ydTD755ydPUNT38ydSAF2-2ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northwestern and Wisconsin
StatisticNorthwesternWisconsin
Passing29-4511-20
Pass Yards219197
Rush Yards25109
Total Yards244306
Turnovers23
3rd Down3-153-11
Penalties5-505-47
Possession32:4727:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northwestern
passing
Clayton Thorson
29/45, 219 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jeremy Larkin
7 CAR, 37 YDS
receiving
Flynn Nagel
5 REC, 52 YDS
defense
Wisconsin
passing
Alex Hornibrook
11/20, 197 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jonathan Taylor
19 CAR, 80 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Quintez Cephus
4 REC, 99 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for a loss of 1 yard Jazz Peavy fumbled, recovered by Nwest

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Wisc 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 6 yds to the Wisc 15

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Justin Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 16

4th & 2Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA -0.75

Charlie Kuhbander 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 37

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.56

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Bradrick Shaw run for no gain to the Wisc 43

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Chris James run for 2 yds to the Wisc 45

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Quintez Cephus

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Flynn Nagel at the Nwest 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.49

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 13 yds to the Nwest 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 24

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

John Moten IV run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 21

3rd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.23

Clayton Thorson sacked by Isaiahh Loudermilk for a loss of 10 yards to the Nwest 11

4th & 19Punt+1 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 37 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 1 yd to the Nwest 47

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Nwest 42

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.36

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 14 yds to the Nwest 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Bradrick Shaw run for 7 yds to the Nwest 15

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.09

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Nwest 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Nwest 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Jonathan Taylor 7 Yd Run (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Riley Lees for 15 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jeremy Larkin run for 3 yds to the Nwest 43

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.71

Jeremy Larkin run for 12 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Jeremy Larkin run for 8 yds to the Wisc 37

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Jeremy Larkin for 4 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Clayton Thorson sacked by Garret Dooley for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 35

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Wisc 34

3rd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 2 yds to the Wisc 32

4th & 9Pass Interception Return-4 ydsPPA -1.80

Clayton Thorson pass intercepted Natrell Jamerson return for 4 yds to the Wisc 16

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 22

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 25

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.72

Austin Ramesh run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.28

Alex Hornibrook sacked by Sam Miller for a loss of 6 yards to the Wisc 22

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Kyle Penniston

3rd & 16Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.29

Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted JR Pace return for no gain to the Nwest 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Justin Jackson

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Clayton Thorson run for 9 yds to the Wisc 47

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Wisc 47

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Nick Nelson at the Wisc 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Austin Ramesh run for 4 yds to the Wisc 14

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.43

Quintez Cephus run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 11 Quintez Cephus fumbled, recovered by Wisc

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Flynn Nagel at the Wisc 44

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Jeremy Larkin run for 7 yds to the Wisc 37

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.01

Jeremy Larkin run for 4 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jeremy Larkin run for no gain to the Wisc 33

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 38

2nd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 9 yds to the Wisc 29

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Wisc 24

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.92

Clayton Thorson run for 1 yd to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Wisc 23

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Wisc 18

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wisc 28

2nd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.84

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 12 yds to the Wisc 16

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.30

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 3 yds to the Wisc 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jeremy Larkin run for 3 yds to the Wisc 10

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Clayton Thorson pass complete to James Prather for 9 yds to the Wisc 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Cameron Green 1 Yd pass from Clayton Thorson (Charlie Kuhbander Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.28

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 19 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-6 ydsPPA -2.90

Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Godwin Igwebuike return for 6 yds to the Nwest 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Macan Wilson

4th & 10Punt+17 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 44 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 17 yds to the Wisc 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.15

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 14 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Chris James for 2 yds to the Nwest 42

2nd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.72

Alex Hornibrook sacked by Joe Gaziano for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 45

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Quintez Cephus

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 19

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 6 yds to the Nwest 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 9 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Garrett Dickerson

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.97

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett Skowronek

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Clayton Thorson run for 3 yds to the Wisc 47

3rd & 7Penalty-15 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Nwest 38

3rd & 22Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.21

Clayton Thorson sacked by Alec James for a loss of 11 yards to the Nwest 27

4th & 33Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 52 yds, downed at the Wisc 21

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 5 yds to the Wisc 28

3rd & 3Pass Reception+61 ydsPPA +4.13

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 61 yds to the Nwest 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Jonathan Taylor run for 11 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 4 yds to the Nwest 29

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Justin Jackson run for 8 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Macan Wilson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

John Moten IV run for no gain to the Nwest 37

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.56

Clayton Thorson sacked by Chris Orr for a loss of 8 yards to the Nwest 29

4th & 18Punt+12 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 36 yds , Nick Nelson returns for 12 yds to the Nwest 41 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Nwest 38

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jazz Peavy run for no gain to the Nwest 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.82

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 32 yds to the Nwest 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Nwest 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 5 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 6 yds to the Nwest 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn Nagel

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Riley Lees

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 32

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Bradrick Shaw run for 9 yds to the Wisc 41

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Bradrick Shaw run for 4 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 47

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Austin Ramesh) to the Wisc 37

2nd & 18Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.39

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Danny Davis III for 13 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Danny Davis III

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Flynn Nagel at the Nwest 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 3 yds to the Nwest 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.36

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for no gain to the Nwest 19

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.25

Clayton Thorson sacked by Garret Dooley and Natrell Jamerson for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 12

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Hunter Niswander punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Nwest 41

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Nwest 38

3rd & 5Penalty-6 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-6 Yards) to the Nwest 44

3rd & 11Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.04

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 33 yds to the Nwest 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Bradrick Shaw run for 6 yds to the Nwest 5

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Bradrick Shaw run for no gain to the Nwest 5

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Quintez Cephus

4th & 4Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.99

Rafael Gaglianone 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Clayton Thorson sacked by Garret Dooley for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 22

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

John Moten IV run for 5 yds to the Nwest 27

3rd & 8Interception Return Touchdown-36 ydsPPA -6.99

Natrell Jamerson 36 Yd Interception Return (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Clayton Thorson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 9 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Clayton Thorson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 35

2nd & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.84

Clayton Thorson sacked by Garret Dooley for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 30

3rd & 16Penalty+15 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jesse Brown run for 3 yds to the Nwest 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Jace James

4th & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +3.29

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Riley Lees for 10 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Jeremy Larkin for 9 yds to the Wisc 33

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.38

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Jeremy Larkin for 4 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.25

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 16 yds to the Wisc 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Garrett Dickerson

2nd & 10Penalty+11 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the Wisc 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman 2 Yd pass from Clayton Thorson (Charlie Kuhbander Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 6

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Flynn Nagel at the Nwest 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 6 yds to the Wisc 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for 8 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Justin Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Jace James

3rd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.58

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Riley Lees for 24 yds to the Wisc 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.70

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 12 yds to the Wisc 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Garrett Dickerson 5 Yd pass from Clayton Thorson (Charlie Kuhbander Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Bradrick Shaw run for 4 yds to the Nwest 39

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Nwest 37

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Nwest 35

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 33 yds, downed at the Nwest 2

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Clayton Thorson pass complete to Macan Wilson for 7 yds to the Nwest 9

2nd & 3Safety-9 ydsPPA -2.33

Clayton Thorson sacked by D'Cota Dixon for a loss of 9 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 49

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

Situational Analysis

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
38%
32 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
45%
11 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
25 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play