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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2017Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 11.2

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 80%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 16, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee
03003
MinnesotaMinnesota
3177734

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-06-320-327-334-3
MinnesotaMiddle Tennessee

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINMTMINMTMINMTMINMTMINMTMINMTMTMINMTMINMTMINMTMINMTMINMTMINFG1268ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT613ydPUNT33ydPUNT525ydPUNT38ydFG743ydFG531ydPUNT30ydTD545ydTD836ydPUNT3-2ydEND16ydPUNT38ydPUNT519ydTO423ydTD1656ydPUNT36ydTD355ydPUNT519ydPUNT38ydDOWNS837ydEND837yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Middle Tennessee and Minnesota
StatisticMiddle TennesseeMinnesota
Passing25-4211-18
Pass Yards184122
Rush Yards46221
Total Yards230343
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-143-12
Penalties6-453-22
Possession25:0334:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Middle Tennessee
passing
John Urzua
19/34, 135 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Richie James
2 CAR, 25 YDS
receiving
Patrick Smith
6 REC, 46 YDS
defense
Minnesota
passing
Conor Rhoda
11/18, 122 YDS
rushing
Rodney Smith
16 CAR, 107 YDS
receiving
Nate Wozniak
2 REC, 52 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 13

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 7

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the MTnSt 7

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Rodney Smith run for 9 yds to the Minn 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 8 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.00

Rodney Smith run for 16 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 31

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 24 for a 1ST down

4th & 3Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.99

Emmit Carpenter 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

John Urzua pass complete to Patrick Smith for 3 yds to the MTnSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.70

John Urzua pass complete to Richie James for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 26

3rd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.26

Ty Lee run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 22

4th & 13Punt-2 yds

Matt Bonadies punt for 50 yds , Antonio Shenault returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 26

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.12

Rodney Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 21

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Conor Rhoda pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Demetrius Douglas

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

John Urzua run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 38

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Ty Lee run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 41

3rd & 4Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.96

Richie James run for 22 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Richie James run for 3 yds to the Minn 34

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

LEE, Ty rush for 5 yards to the MINN29 (Winfield, A), PENALTY MT holding (UPTON, Isiah) 10 yards to the MINN44, NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.35

John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 47 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declined

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

John Urzua pass incomplete to Ty Lee

4th & 20Penalty-5 yds

MIDDLE TENN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 48

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Matt Bonadies punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.91

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 24 MINNESOTA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Donnell Greene) to the Minn 12

2nd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 11 yds to the Minn 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.20

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Rodney Smith for no gain to the Minn 23

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ty Lee at the MTnSt 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

John Urzua pass complete to CJ Windham for 3 yds to the MTnSt 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.18

John Urzua pass complete to Isiah Upton for 18 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

John Urzua run for 4 yds to the Minn 38

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

John Urzua pass incomplete to Isiah Upton, broken up by Jonathan Celestin

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

John Urzua pass incomplete to Isiah Upton

4th & 6Punt0 yds

John Urzua punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 2

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 4

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 6 yds to the Minn 10

4th & 2Punt+3 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 64 yds , Ty Lee returns for 3 yds to the MTnSt 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.23

John Urzua pass complete to Shane Tucker for 25 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Ty Lee run for no gain to the Minn 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.80

John Urzua pass complete to Patrick Smith for 18 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

John Urzua pass incomplete to Ty Lee, broken up by Jacob Huff

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

John Urzua pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Duke McGhee

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

John Urzua pass incomplete to Richie James

4th & 10Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA +0.93

Canon Rooker 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.91

Rodney Smith run for 29 yds to the MTnSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 29

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Kobe McCrary

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

4th & 8Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.79

Emmit Carpenter 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

John Urzua pass incomplete to Shane Tucker

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

John Urzua pass incomplete to Isiah Upton, broken up by Jonathan Celestin

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

John Urzua pass incomplete to CJ Windham

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Matt Bonadies punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 43

2nd & 8Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.32

Rodney Smith run for 18 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.25

Conor Rhoda sacked by Darius Harris for a loss of 11 yards to the MTnSt 36

2nd & 21Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.52

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 27 yds to the MTnSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 14

1st & 14Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.78

Kobe McCrary run for 14 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

John Urzua pass complete to CJ Windham for 6 yds to the MTnSt 28

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.54

John Urzua pass complete to Patrick Smith for 5 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

John Urzua pass complete to CJ Windham for 7 yds to the MTnSt 40

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

URZUA, John pass incomplete to LEE, Ty, PENALTY MT holding (HARRIS, Luke) 10 yards to the MT30, NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.43

John Urzua pass complete to Desmond Anderson for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 28

3rd & 15Penalty+5 yds

URZUA, John rush for 13 yards to the MT41 (Moore, Gary), PENALTY MINN offside (Cashman, Blake) 5 yards to the MT33, NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.31

John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for 20 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

John Urzua pass complete to Patrick Smith for 5 yds to the Minn 42

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

John Urzua pass incomplete to CJ Windham, broken up by Zo Craighton

3rd & 5Interception Return Touchdown-67 ydsPPA -9.41

John Urzua pass intercepted for a TD Jacob Huff return for 67 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ty Lee run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

John Urzua pass incomplete to CJ Windham

3rd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.39

Brad Anderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Matt Bonadies punt for 64 yds, downed at the Minn 13

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Minn 19

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

John Urzua pass complete to Patrick Smith for 2 yds to the MTnSt 31

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

John Urzua pass incomplete to CJ Windham, broken up by Zo Craighton

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

John Urzua pass complete to Shane Tucker for 6 yds to the MTnSt 37

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Matt Bonadies punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Antonio Shenault at the Minn 27

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Kobe McCrary run for 9 yds to the Minn 36

2nd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 3 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Kobe McCrary run for no gain to the Minn 39

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kobe McCrary run for 5 yds to the Minn 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Nate Wozniak for 2 yds to the Minn 46

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ty Lee at the MTnSt 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.77

John Urzua pass complete to Patrick Smith for 13 yds to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.90

John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for 10 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.09

John Urzua pass complete to Shane Tucker for no gain to the MTnSt 38

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.96

John Urzua pass intercepted Colton Beebe return for no gain to the Minn 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Demetrius Douglas run for 2 yds to the Minn 46

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Kobe McCrary run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 47

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Kobe McCrary run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Demetrius Douglas

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Phillip Howard for 8 yds to the MTnSt 37

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.85

Kobe McCrary run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kobe McCrary run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 28

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Kobe McCrary run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 18

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kobe McCrary run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 13

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.07

Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Brandon Lingen for 5 yds to the MTnSt 7

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kobe McCrary run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 4

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 3

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.88

Kobe McCrary run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kobe McCrary run for 1 yd for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.32

John Urzua pass complete to Ty Lee for 1 yd to the MTnSt 13

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brad Anderson run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 18

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

John Urzua pass incomplete to Ty Lee

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Matt Bonadies punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Antonio Shenault at the Minn 45

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Conor Rhoda run for no gain to the Minn 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +3.55

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Nate Wozniak for 50 yds to the MTnSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Kobe McCrary run for 5 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kyle Banks pass complete to Brad Anderson for 3 yds to the MTnSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.91

Brad Anderson run for 15 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brad Anderson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 46

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Brad Anderson run for no gain to the MTnSt 46

3rd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.91

Kyle Banks run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 44

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Bonadies punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson, broken up by Wesley Bush

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Kobe McCrary run for 6 yds to the Minn 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 2 yds to the Minn 28

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Ty Lee at the MTnSt 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.29

Kyle Banks pass complete to Tyrese Johnson for 15 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kyle Banks pass complete to Brad Anderson for 4 yds to the MTnSt 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kyle Banks pass complete to Tyshawn Brown for 4 yds to the MTnSt 47

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (Amir Luckett) to the MTnSt 42

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.86

Kyle Banks pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 14 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.87

Kyle Banks sacked by Andrew Stelter for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 48

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.97

Kyle Banks pass complete to Tyrese Johnson for 9 yds to the Minn 39

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Kyle Banks pass incomplete to Tyshawn Brown

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.61

Kyle Banks pass incomplete to Desmond Anderson

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

McCrary, Kobe rush for 3 yards to the MINN43 (FELTON, Caleb;POYDRAS, R.), PENALTY MT offside (HARGES, Myles) 5 yards to the MINN45, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.77

Kobe McCrary run for 2 yds to the Minn 47

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Kobe McCrary run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kobe McCrary run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 41

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.47

Kobe McCrary run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 32

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 31

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 27

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.24

Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 23 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Middle Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
23 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
33%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
20%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
33%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
73%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play