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← Back to GamesSep 10, 2017Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 4.9

Home Win Probability

Oregon State 35%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 10, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
1010141448
Oregon StateOregon State
0140014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-107-1714-2014-3414-4114-48
Oregon StateMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINOSMINOSMINOSMINOSMINOSMINOSMINOSMINOSMINOSMINOSMINOSMINOSMINPUNT39ydPUNT436ydTD480ydTO732ydFG852ydTO45ydTD424ydTD1580ydTO2-9ydTD117ydFG1048ydPUNT630ydEND23ydPUNT31ydPUNT54ydTO211ydTD314ydPUNT3-7ydTD971ydPUNT419ydTD1577ydPUNT34ydTD266ydPUNT37ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Oregon State
StatisticMinnesotaOregon State
Passing7-817-29
Pass Yards158145
Rush Yards25380
Total Yards411225
Turnovers13
3rd Down9-133-11
Penalties6-707-91
Possession38:1621:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Conor Rhoda
7/8, 158 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Rodney Smith
30 CAR, 92 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyler Johnson
4 REC, 127 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Oregon State
passing
Jake Luton
16/28, 135 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Artavis Pierce
8 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Jordan Villamin
3 REC, 55 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shannon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Minn 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 39 yds, downed at the OrgSt 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.58

Jake Luton pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 30 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Artavis Pierce run for 5 yds to the Minn 38

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Artavis Pierce run for 1 yd to the Minn 37

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jake Luton pass incomplete to Artavis Pierce

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 37 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 25

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Minn 27

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.26

Conor Rhoda run for 6 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +5.43

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 67 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jake Luton pass incomplete to Noah Togiai, broken up by Duke McGhee

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Ryan Nall run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.09

Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 10 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jake Luton pass incomplete to Trevon Bradford

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.12

Artavis Pierce run for 12 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah Hodgins

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -2.62

Jake Luton pass complete to Noah Togiai for 5 yds Noah Togiai fumbled, forced by Duke McGhee, recovered by Minn Kiondre Thomas

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Conor Rhoda run for 5 yds to the Minn 45

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.17

Shannon Brooks run for no gain to the Minn 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.91

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Rodney Smith for 22 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.35

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 19 yds to the OrgSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 11

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 10

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Conor Rhoda run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 8

4th & 4Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.91

Emmit Carpenter 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 9 yds to the OrgSt 28

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Artavis Pierce run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jake Luton run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 32

2nd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.03

Jake Luton sacked by Gary Moore for a loss of 8 yards to the OrgSt 24 Jake Luton fumbled, recovered by Minn Kamal Martin , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Rodney Smith run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 16

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 15

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Shannon Brooks run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty+6 yds

Croft, Demry pass incomplete to Johnson, Tyler, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Crawford, X.) 6 yards to the OSU2, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Artavis Pierce run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 10 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Jake Luton sacked by Carter Coughlin for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 40

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Ryan Nall run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.09

Jake Luton pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 9 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ryan Nall run for 5 yds to the Minn 39

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Artavis Pierce run for 8 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah Hodgins

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Ryan Nall run for 4 yds to the Minn 27

3rd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for no gain to the Minn 27

4th & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.79

Timmy Hernandez pass complete to Tuli Wily-Matagi for 10 yds to the Minn 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Jake Luton run for 9 yds to the Minn 8

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.75

Ryan Nall run for 6 yds to the Minn 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-14 ydsPPA -1.96

Ryan Nall run for 1 yd to the Minn 1 OREGON ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Minn 16

2nd & 16Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.18

Jake Luton pass complete to Jordan Villamin for 16 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 26

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-9 ydsPPA -0.26

TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the Minn 17 TEAM fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Bright Ugwoegbu

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Luton, Jake pass incomplete to Togiai, Noah, PENALTY MINN pass interference (Huff, Jacob) 15 yards to the MINN2, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Trevorris Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jordan Choukair KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 25

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 29

3rd & 2Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.75

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 22 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Demetrius Douglas for 7 yds Demetrius Douglas fumbled, forced by Jalen Moore, recovered by Minn Shannon Brooks

2nd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.14

Shannon Brooks run for 17 yds to the OrgSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.23

Rodney Smith run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Rodney Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 14

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.56

Shannon Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 16

3rd & 13Penalty-15 yds

Rhoda, Conor pass complete to Johnson, Tyler for 16 yards to the OSU0, clock 02:51, PENALTY MINN personal foul (Smith, Rodney) 15 yards to the OSU31, NO PLAY.

3rd & 28Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Conor Rhoda pass incomplete to Shannon Brooks

4th & 28Field Goal Good+49 ydsPPA +2.79

Emmit Carpenter 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah Hodgins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 5 yds to the OrgSt 30

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.49

Jake Luton run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the OrgSt 40

1st & 5Penalty+15 yds

Luton, Jake pass incomplete to Villamin, J., PENALTY MINN pass interference (Thomas, Kiondre) 15 yards to the MINN45, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jake Luton pass incomplete to Artavis Pierce

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Luton, Jake pass incomplete to Togiai, Noah, PENALTY OSU holding (Brandel, Blake) 10 yards to the OSU45, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Jake Luton pass complete to Artavis Pierce for 10 yds to the Minn 45

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jake Luton pass incomplete to Noah Togiai

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 25 yds, downed at the Minn 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 20

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Artavis Pierce run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 20

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jake Luton pass incomplete to Jordan Villamin

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Jake Luton pass incomplete to Noah Togiai

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 35 yds, downed at the Minn 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Shannon Brooks for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 48

3rd & 3Penalty+15 yds

Rhoda, Conor pass incomplete to Johnson, Tyler, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Irvine, Jay) 15 yards to the OSU33, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 32

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 30

3rd & 7Penalty-10 yds

Rhoda, Conor pass complete to Douglas, D for 11 yards to the OSU19, PENALTY MINN holding (Greene, Donnell) 10 yards to the OSU40, NO PLAY.

3rd & 17Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.28

Conor Rhoda run for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 49 Conor Rhoda fumbled, recovered by Minn

4th & 28Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Trevon Bradford at the OrgSt 3

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 9 yds to the OrgSt 12

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Ryan Nall run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 14 Ryan Nall fumbled, forced by Thomas Barber, recovered by Minn Jonathan Celestin

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Shannon Brooks run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 5

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.00

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.12

Artavis Pierce run for a loss of 5 yards to the OrgSt 21

2nd & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jake Luton pass complete to Artavis Pierce for no gain to the OrgSt 21

3rd & 15Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.09

Jake Luton sacked by Kamal Martin for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 19

4th & 17Punt+1 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 43 yds , Antonio Shenault returns for 1 yd to the Minn 20 MINNESOTA Penalty, illegal block (Melvin Holland Jr.) to the Minn 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Conor Rhoda pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 19 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 47

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 38

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Demetrius Douglas run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 37

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Rhoda, Conor pass incomplete to Van Dyne, Harry, PENALTY OSU personal foul (Moore, Jalen) 15 yards to the OSU22, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 19

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.72

Shannon Brooks run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Jake Luton pass complete to Noah Togiai for 14 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jake Luton pass incomplete to Trevon Bradford

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jake Luton pass complete to Isaiah Hodgins for 5 yds to the Minn 48

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jake Luton run for no gain to the Minn 48

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 25 yds, downed at the Minn 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 25

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 27

3rd & 6Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.90

Conor Rhoda run for 6 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, personal foul (David Morris) to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 48

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Conor Rhoda run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 46

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.59

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 40

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 38

3rd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.85

Shannon Brooks run for 17 yds to the OrgSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Shannon Brooks run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 15

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 12

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jake Luton pass incomplete to Isaiah Hodgins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jake Luton pass complete to Xavier Hawkins for 4 yds to the OrgSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jake Luton pass complete to Artavis Pierce for no gain to the OrgSt 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 37 yds, downed at the Minn 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Kobe McCrary run for 2 yds to the Minn 36

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +5.95

Demry Croft run for 64 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Trevorris Johnson run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Trevorris Johnson run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 31

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Trevorris Johnson run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nick Porebski punt for 55 yds, downed at the Minn 13

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 11

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
46%
26 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
30%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
83%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
41%
22 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
38%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play