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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2017Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 15.9

Home Win Probability

Michigan 88%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 9, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CincinnatiCincinnati
707014
MichiganMichigan
14371236

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-017-717-1424-1427-1429-1436-14
MichiganCincinnati

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICCINMICCINCINCINMICCINMICCINMICCINMICCINCINMICCINMICCINMICCINMICCINMICCINMICCINCINMICTD780ydPUNT36ydPUNT33ydTD3-1ydTO30ydTD938ydFG960ydPUNT411ydTO525ydPUNT36ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT617ydDOWNS1053ydTD1085ydPUNT58ydPUNT37ydPUNT4-1ydPUNT30ydTD780ydPUNT39ydPUNT517ydPUNT313ydFG981ydSAF4-25ydPUNT34ydTD10ydPUNT616ydEND21yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cincinnati and Michigan
StatisticCincinnatiMichigan
Passing15-4017-29
Pass Yards132221
Rush Yards68193
Total Yards200414
Turnovers22
3rd Down6-195-15
Penalties4-307-68
Possession29:3330:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cincinnati
passing
Hayden Moore
15/40, 132 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Mike Boone
12 CAR, 44 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Devin Gray
3 REC, 41 YDS
defense
Michigan
passing
Wilton Speight
17/29, 221 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Ty Isaac
20 CAR, 133 YDS
receiving
Kekoa Crawford
4 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ty Isaac run for 5 yds to the Mich 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ty Isaac run for 4 yds to the Mich 29

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Ty Isaac run for 13 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Ty Isaac run for 1 yd to the Mich 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.90

Wilton Speight pass complete to Tarik Black for no gain to the Mich 43

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.04

Wilton Speight pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 14 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Wilton Speight pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 43 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Tyler Cogswell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 6 yds to the Cincy 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

4th & 4Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 29 yds, downed at the Mich 40

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Ty Isaac run for 1 yd to the Mich 41

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Ty Isaac run for 1 yd to the Mich 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Wilton Speight pass complete to Tarik Black for 1 yd to the Mich 43

4th & 7Punt+1 yds

Will Hart punt for 45 yds , Devin Gray returns for 1 yd to the Cincy 13

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Mike Boone run for 1 yd to the Cincy 14

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Hayden Moore pass complete to Mike Boone for 3 yds to the Cincy 17

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 12

3rd & 11Interception Return Touchdown-28 ydsPPA -6.70

Hayden Moore pass intercepted for a TD Tyree Kinnel return for 28 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 8 yds to the Cincy 33

2nd & 2Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.96

Hayden Moore sacked by Devin Bush for a loss of 8 yards to the Cincy 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 37 yds , TEAM returns for no gain to the Mich 38 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Cincy Tyrell Gilbert

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to JJ Pinckney

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Hayden Moore pass complete to Mike Boone for 11 yds to the Mich 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.22

Mike Boone run for 16 yds to the Mich 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Jerron Rollins

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Hayden Moore run for 6 yds to the Mich 5

3rd & 4Penalty+3 yds

Moore, Hayden pass incomplete to Lewis, Kahlil, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Hill, Lavert) 3 yards to the MICHIGAN2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CINCINNATI.

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Hayden Moore run for 1 yd to the Mich 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Mike Boone run for no gain to the Mich 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Mike Boone run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Pasley KICK)

3rd & 9Penalty-15 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Mike Boone) to the Cincy 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (-5 Yards) to the Mich 25

2nd & 15Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.57

Wilton Speight pass complete to Grant Perry for 18 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chris Evans run for no gain to the Mich 43

2nd & 10Rush+44 ydsPPA +3.08

Donovan Peoples-Jones run for 44 yds to the Cincy 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.07

Chris Evans run for 10 yds to the Cincy 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.33

Wilton Speight run for a loss of 7 yards to the Cincy 10 Wilton Speight fumbled, recovered by Mich Wilton Speight

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Sean McKeon

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Grant Perry

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.49

Quinn Nordin 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Gerrid Doaks run for 15 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Gerrid Doaks run for 4 yds to the Cincy 44

2nd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.08

Hayden Moore sacked by Tyree Kinnel for a loss of 8 yards to the Cincy 36

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Josiah Deguara

4th & 14Punt+11 yds

James Smith punt for 33 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 11 yds to the Mich 42

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Ty Isaac run for 11 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Wilton Speight run for no gain to the Cincy 47

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the Cincy 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.01

Wilton Speight pass complete to Grant Perry for 13 yds to the Cincy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -4.19

Wilton Speight run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 33 Wilton Speight fumbled, recovered by Cincy Cortez Broughton

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Mike Boone run for 6 yds to the Cincy 39

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Thomas Geddis

4th & 4Punt+9 yds

James Smith punt for 40 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for 9 yds to the Mich 30

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.49

Wilton Speight sacked by Cortez Broughton for a loss of 8 yards to the Mich 22

2nd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Ty Isaac run for 6 yds to the Mich 28

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Wilton Speight pass complete to Tarik Black for 11 yds to the Mich 39

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 61 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Mike Boone run for 1 yd to the Cincy 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Mike Boone

3rd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.21

Hayden Moore sacked by Khaleke Hudson for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 15

4th & 15Punt+48 yds

James Smith punt for 48 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ty Isaac run for 4 yds to the Mich 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Wilton Speight pass complete to Zach Gentry for 5 yds to the Mich 45

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Ty Isaac run for 3 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Chris Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 46

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Wilton Speight pass complete to Sean McKeon for 7 yds to the Cincy 47

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Grant Perry

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Devin Gray at the Cincy 13

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Gerrid Doaks run for no gain to the Cincy 13

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Gerrid Doaks run for 4 yds to the Cincy 17

3rd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.07

Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 20 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.96

Hayden Moore pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 25 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray

3rd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Hayden Moore sacked by Khaleke Hudson for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 39

4th & 11Penalty+10 yds

Moore, Hayden pass incomplete, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (McCray, Mike) 10 yards to the MICHIGAN29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CINCINNATI.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Mich 34

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

3rd & 15Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Josh Pasley 51 yd FG MISSED

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

Mike Boone run for no gain to the Cincy 15

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.57

Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 15 yds to the Cincy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Mike Boone run for 5 yds to the Cincy 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.94

Hayden Moore pass complete to Jerron Rollins for 7 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.18

Hayden Moore run for 46 yds to the Mich 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Hayden Moore pass complete to Tyler Cogswell for 2 yds to the Mich 10

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.70

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 10 yds for a TD, (Josh Pasley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Ty Isaac run for 8 yds to the Mich 28

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Ty Isaac run for 8 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Wilton Speight pass complete to Tyrone Wheatley for 7 yds to the Mich 43

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Sean McKeon

4th & 3Penalty-15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Nolan Ulizio) to the Mich 28

4th & 18Punt+5 yds

Will Hart punt for 45 yds , Devin Gray returns for 5 yds to the Cincy 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 4 yds to the Cincy 36

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Mike Boone run for 3 yds to the Cincy 39

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Thomas Geddis

4th & 3Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Grant Perry at the Mich 26

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.33

Ty Isaac run for 1 yd to the Mich 27 MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nate Schoenle) to the Mich 17

1st & 19Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the Mich 20

2nd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Wilton Speight pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 6 yds to the Mich 26

3rd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.19

Wilton Speight pass complete to Tarik Black for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 25

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Mike Boone

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Grant Perry at the Mich 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Tarik Black

2nd & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.53

Wilton Speight pass complete to Zach Gentry for 36 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Karan Higdon run for no gain to the Cincy 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Wilton Speight pass complete to Sean McKeon for 6 yds to the Cincy 38

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.18

Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Cincy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Tarik Black

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.54

Wilton Speight pass complete to Grant Perry for 33 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the Cincy 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 7 yds to the Cincy 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gerrid Doaks run for no gain to the Cincy 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 49 yds, downed at the Mich 17

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Ty Isaac run for 9 yds to the Mich 26

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Ty Isaac run for 3 yds to the Mich 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Mich 34

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Wilton Speight pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Zach Gentry

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 45

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Roughing Passer (Rashan Gary) to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Hayden Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 42

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Hayden Moore pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis

4th & 12Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Grant Perry at the Mich 13

1st & 10Rush+53 ydsPPA +3.76

Ty Isaac run for 53 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Khalid Hill

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Kekoa Crawford

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Ty Isaac run for 2 yds to the Cincy 32

4th & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.55

Wilton Speight pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 20 yds to the Cincy 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Wilton Speight run for 5 yds to the Cincy 7

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Cincy 4

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.47

Ty Isaac run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 6

4th & 4Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.97

Quinn Nordin 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Hayden Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Hayden Moore pass complete to Mike Boone for 6 yds to the Cincy 29

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Will Steur) to the Cincy 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Hayden Moore pass complete to Mike Boone for 9 yds to the Cincy 33

4th & 2Safety-33 ydsPPA -2.10

TEAM run for a loss of 33 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ty Isaac run for 4 yds to the Mich 40

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.29

Ty Isaac run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Wilton Speight pass complete to Grant Perry for 2 yds to the Mich 40

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 47 yds , Devin Gray returns for no gain to the Cincy 13

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown-24 ydsPPA -7.30

Hayden Moore pass intercepted for a TD Lavert Hill return for 24 yds for a TD, (Quinn Nordin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Mike Boone run for 3 yds to the Cincy 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Mike Boone run for 6 yds to the Cincy 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Mike Boone run for 2 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Hayden Moore pass complete to Mike Boone for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 35

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Cincy 38

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Hayden Moore run for 3 yds to the Cincy 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 47 yds, downed at the Mich 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

O'Maury Samuels run for 3 yds to the Mich 15

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.36

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 13

Situational Analysis

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
19%
26 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
14 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays