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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2017Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa State by 7.1

Home Win Probability

Baylor 29%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 18, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Iowa StateIowa State
7103323
BaylorBaylor
733013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-710-1010-1713-2013-23
BaylorIowa State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISBAYISBAYISBAYISBAYISBAYISBAYISBAYISBAYISBAYISBAYISPUNT34ydTD666ydPUNT30ydPUNT3-5ydTD665ydFG1974ydFG1664ydPUNT3-12ydPUNT33ydPUNT715ydTD167ydPUNT530ydEND16ydFG645ydFG1775ydTO1672ydPUNT38ydPUNT414ydFG864ydTO747ydEND1048yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Iowa State and Baylor
StatisticIowa StateBaylor
Passing14-2826-36
Pass Yards180198
Rush Yards214133
Total Yards394331
Turnovers02
3rd Down6-155-15
Penalties4-504-30
Possession28:5331:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Iowa State
passing
Zeb Noland
14/28, 180 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
David Montgomery
27 CAR, 144 YDS
receiving
Hakeem Butler
1 REC, 67 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Brian Peavy
2 TFL, 1 PD
Baylor
passing
Charlie Brewer
26/36, 198 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
JaMycal Hasty
17 CAR, 86 YDS
receiving
Denzel Mims
4 REC, 60 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

David Montgomery run for no gain to the IowSt 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.41

Zeb Noland pass complete to Trever Ryen for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 20

3rd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.08

David Montgomery run for 7 yds to the IowSt 27

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Colin Downing punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Charlie Brewer run for 3 yds to the Bayl 37

2nd & 7Rush+41 ydsPPA +3.09

JaMycal Hasty run for 41 yds to the IowSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 7 yds to the IowSt 15

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the IowSt 13

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.06

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Ishmail Wainright for 13 yds for a TD, (Connor Martin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the IowSt 18

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.35

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 17 TEAM fumbled, recovered by IowSt David Montgomery

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Marchie Murdock, broken up by Grayland Arnold

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Colin Downing punt for 34 yds, downed at the Bayl 49

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Jared Atkinson run for 8 yds to the IowSt 43

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.67

JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 45

3rd & 4Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.38

Charlie Brewer sacked by Joel Lanning for a loss of 11 yards to the Bayl 44

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Connor Martin punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Zeb Noland pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 3 yds to the IowSt 38

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.81

David Montgomery run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Deshaunte Jones

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the Bayl 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.87

Zeb Noland pass complete to Matthew Eaton for 9 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Zeb Noland pass complete to Allen Lazard for 36 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.84

John Lovett run for 13 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

John Lovett run for 3 yds to the Bayl 33

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

John Lovett run for 3 yds to the Bayl 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.69

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jordan Feuerbacher for 5 yds to the Bayl 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

John Lovett run for 3 yds to the Bayl 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jordan Feuerbacher for 8 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Blake Lynch

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the IowSt 46

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.34

Charlie Brewer run for 9 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Blake Lynch for 9 yds to the IowSt 28

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

John Lovett run for 3 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

John Lovett run for no gain to the IowSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jordan Feuerbacher for 3 yds to the IowSt 22

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tony Nicholson for 6 yds to the IowSt 16

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.62

JaMycal Hasty run for 2 yds to the IowSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

JaMycal Hasty run for 4 yds to the IowSt 10

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd to the IowSt 9

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Ishmail Wainright

4th & 5Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.83

Connor Martin 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Trever Ryen

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.16

Zeb Noland pass complete to Allen Lazard for 16 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the IowSt 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Trever Ryen

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.21

Zeb Noland pass complete to Matthew Eaton for 17 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Allen Lazard

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

David Montgomery run for no gain to the Bayl 44

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.63

Zeb Noland pass complete to David Montgomery for 14 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Bayl 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Zeb Noland pass complete to Trever Ryen for 7 yds to the Bayl 21

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.18

Joel Lanning run for 2 yds to the Bayl 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Joel Lanning run for 3 yds to the Bayl 16

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Marchie Murdock, broken up by Grayland Arnold

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Marchie Murdock, broken up by Jalen Pitre

4th & 7Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA -0.37

Garrett Owens 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Bayl 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -0.20

Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for a loss of 8 yards to the Bayl 11

3rd & 24Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.01

Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 2 yds to the Bayl 13

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Connor Martin punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Allen Lazard at the Bayl 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Bayl 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Deshaunte Jones

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Greg Roberts

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Colin Downing punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Pooh Stricklin at the Bayl 14

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.56

JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 11

2nd & 13Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.53

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 19 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

JaMycal Hasty run for 2 yds to the Bayl 32

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.48

JaMycal Hasty run for 8 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 38

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Brewer,Charlie pass complete to Lynch,Blake for 18 yards to the ISU44 (Harvey, Willie), PENALTY BU ineligible downfield on pass (Newman,Xavier) 5 yards to the BU33, NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Jared Atkinson

3rd & 17Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.19

Charlie Brewer sacked by Willie Harvey for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 29

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Connor Martin punt for 38 yds , Allen Lazard returns for no gain to the IowSt 33

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +5.43

Zeb Noland pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 67 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Charlie Brewer run for 11 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 15 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tony Nicholson for 4 yds to the IowSt 45

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Connor Martin punt for 22 yds, fair catch by Allen Lazard at the IowSt 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the IowSt 29

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 14 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

John Lovett run for 1 yd to the Bayl 40

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Brewer,Charlie pass incomplete to Mims,Denzel (Payne, D'Andre), PENALTY ISU pass interference (Payne, D'Andre) 15 yards to the ISU45, 1ST DOWN BU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Brewer,Charlie pass incomplete to Mims,Denzel, PENALTY ISU pass interference (Cotton-Moya, K.) 15 yards to the ISU30, 1ST DOWN BU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Blake Lynch

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.59

John Lovett run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 34

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 4 yds to the IowSt 30

4th & 10Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +1.12

Connor Martin 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the IowSt 24

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.78

David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

David Montgomery run for 10 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Allen Lazard

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.53

David Montgomery run for 17 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Bayl 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zeb Noland pass complete to Trever Ryen for 5 yds to the Bayl 35

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Hakeem Butler

4th & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +1.70

Zeb Noland pass complete to Sheldon Croney Jr. for 2 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Marchie Murdock, broken up by Greg Roberts

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.91

David Montgomery run for 12 yds to the Bayl 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zeb Noland pass complete to Trever Ryen for 5 yds to the Bayl 16

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the Bayl 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Bayl 7

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Joel Lanning run for 2 yds to the Bayl 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Allen Lazard

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -0.95

Garrett Owens 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tony Nicholson for 13 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Blake Lynch

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.20

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Blake Lynch for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Blake Lynch

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

JaMycal Hasty run for 4 yds to the IowSt 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.98

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tony Nicholson for 7 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

JaMycal Hasty run for 3 yds to the IowSt 36

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Charlie Brewer run for 6 yds to the IowSt 30

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

JaMycal Hasty run for no gain to the IowSt 30

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.26

JaMycal Hasty run for 2 yds to the IowSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, false start (Jared Atkinson) to the IowSt 33

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jordan Feuerbacher for 7 yds to the IowSt 26

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.48

JaMycal Hasty run for 11 yds to the IowSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Charlie Brewer run for 5 yds to the IowSt 10

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

JaMycal Hasty run for 2 yds to the IowSt 8

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.47

Charlie Brewer pass complete to John Lovett for 6 yds to the IowSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -5.79

John Lovett run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 3 John Lovett fumbled, forced by Brian Peavy, recovered by IowSt Brian Peavy

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the IowSt 9

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

David Montgomery run for no gain to the IowSt 9

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Zeb Noland pass complete to Matthew Eaton for 2 yds to the IowSt 11

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Colin Downing punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tony Nicholson at the Bayl 48

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.77

JaMycal Hasty run for 11 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

JaMycal Hasty run for 3 yds to the IowSt 38

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, false start (Patrick Lawrence) to the IowSt 43

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

JaMycal Hasty run for no gain to the IowSt 43

3rd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tony Nicholson for 5 yds to the IowSt 38

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Connor Martin punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 8

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the IowSt 14

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the IowSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.20

David Montgomery run for 26 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 11 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Noland, Zeb pass incomplete to Lazard, Allen, PENALTY BU pass interference (Hand,Harrison) 15 yards to the BU28, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Bayl 25

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.05

David Montgomery run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 28

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Trever Ryen

4th & 10Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA +0.93

Garrett Owens 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 6 yds to the Bayl 34

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 2 yds to the Bayl 36

3rd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.10

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 12 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 4 yds to the IowSt 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.92

Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 7 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.54

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Pooh Stricklin for 16 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-31 ydsPPA -4.30

Charlie Brewer pass intercepted Reggie Wilkerson return for 31 yds to the IowSt 38

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

David Montgomery run for no gain to the IowSt 38

2nd & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.99

Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 25 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 1 yd to the Bayl 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.93

Zeb Noland pass complete to Trever Ryen for no gain to the Bayl 36

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 8 yds to the Bayl 28

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.15

Joel Lanning run for 2 yds to the Bayl 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, false start (Sean Foster) to the Bayl 31

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Joel Lanning run for 7 yds to the Bayl 24

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Joel Lanning run for 7 yds to the Bayl 17

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.14

Joel Lanning run for 4 yds to the Bayl 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 14

Situational Analysis

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
44%
18 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays

Baylor

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
35%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
54%
13 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play