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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2017Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kansas State by 5

Home Win Probability

Kansas State 65%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 2, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Central Arkansas
1063019
Kansas StateKansas State
102810755

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-310-1017-1631-1638-1641-1955-19
Kansas StateCentral Arkansas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KSCAKSCAKSCAKSCAKSCACAKSCACAKSCAKSCAKSCAKSCATD24ydFG1045ydMISS729ydPUNT3-10ydFG45ydTD875ydTD664ydTD1275ydTD677ydTD31ydTO831ydTD375ydEND340ydPUNT31ydFG764ydFG1561ydTD169ydTO830ydTD652ydTO1656ydDOWNS845ydEND321yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Central Arkansas and Kansas State
StatisticCentral ArkansasKansas State
Passing27-3510-16
Pass Yards198333
Rush Yards223186
Total Yards421519
Turnovers30
3rd Down10-195-9
Penalties3-156-58
Possession37:1322:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Central Arkansas
passing
Hayden Hildebrand
27/35, 198 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Carlos Blackman
24 CAR, 114 YDS
receiving
Lester Wells
6 REC, 41 YDS
defense
Kansas State
passing
Jesse Ertz
10/16, 333 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
receiving
Byron Pringle
3 REC, 121 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Alex Barnes run for 3 yds to the CArk 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Alex Barnes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Hayden Hildebrand pass incomplete to Brandon Cox

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Carlos Blackman run for no gain to the CArk 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.44

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Lester Wells for 27 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Carlos Blackman run for 3 yds to the KanSt 45

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Carlos Blackman run for 4 yds to the KanSt 41

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.30

Hayden Hildebrand run for 8 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Roman Gordon for 6 yds to the KanSt 27

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.14

Carlos Blackman run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 30

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Hayden Hildebrand pass incomplete to Roman Gordon

4th & 7Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.77

Matt Cummins 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Alex Barnes run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 37

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jesse Ertz run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Isaiah Zuber) to the KanSt 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.61

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Isaiah Harris for 24 yds to the CArk 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.50

Jesse Ertz run for a loss of 4 yards to the CArk 40

2nd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Alex Barnes run for 7 yds to the CArk 33

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Dayton Valentine

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Matthew McCrane 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Hayden Hildebrand pass incomplete to Jakari Dillard

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.90

Hayden Hildebrand sacked by Jayd Kirby for a loss of 8 yards to the CArk 25

3rd & 18Penalty-5 yds

CENTRAL ARK Penalty, False Start (Gilberto Garcia) to the CArk 20

3rd & 23Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Kierre Crossley run for 3 yds to the CArk 23

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Matt Cummins punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CArk 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron Pringle

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jesse Ertz run for 5 yds to the CArk 36

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Isaiah Zuber

4th & 5Field Goal Good+53 ydsPPA +1.10

Matthew McCrane 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Roman Gordon for 8 yds to the CArk 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Brandon Cox for 8 yds to the CArk 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brandon Cox run for 4 yds to the CArk 45

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.06

Carlos Blackman run for 6 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Carlos Blackman run for 7 yds to the KanSt 42

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Carlos Blackman run for 1 yd to the KanSt 41

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.99

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Brandon Myers for 4 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Brandon Cox run for 37 yds for a TD, (Matt Cummins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Alex Barnes run for 11 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Alex Barnes run for 7 yds to the CArk 46

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.71

Alex Barnes run for a loss of 2 yards to the CArk 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.51

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Isaiah Harris for 25 yds to the CArk 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.34

Byron Pringle run for 15 yds to the CArk 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 8 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Hayden Hildebrand run for 5 yds to the CArk 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Lester Wells for 6 yds to the CArk 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Lester Wells for 8 yds to the CArk 44

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.19

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Brandon Myers for 5 yds to the CArk 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Lester Wells run for 8 yds to the KanSt 43

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Carlos Blackman run for no gain to the KanSt 43

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.21

Carlos Blackman run for 7 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Carlos Blackman run for 7 yds to the KanSt 29

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.06

Carlos Blackman run for 6 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+13 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (D.J. Reed) to the KanSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Carlos Blackman run for 3 yds to the KanSt 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Hayden Hildebrand pass incomplete to Brandon Cox

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Roman Gordon for 7 yds for a TD, (Matt Cummins PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Alex Barnes run for 1 yd to the KanSt 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.19

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Byron Pringle for 18 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Alex Barnes run for 2 yds to the KanSt 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron Pringle

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.75

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 11 yds to the CArk 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dayton Valentine) to the KanSt 45

1st & 20Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +5.64

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Byron Pringle for 55 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kierre Crossley run for 2 yds to the CArk 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brandon Cox run for no gain to the CArk 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.25

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Carlos Blackman for a loss of 1 yard to the CArk 26

4th & 9Punt+62 yds

Matt Cummins punt for 36 yds , D.J. Reed returns for 62 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Chandler Dexter for 8 yds to the CArk 33

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Carlos Blackman run for 8 yds to the CArk 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Brandon Cox for 10 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Carlos Blackman run for 3 yds to the KanSt 46

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.17

Carlos Blackman run for 11 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.45

Hayden Hildebrand run for 1 yd to the KanSt 34 CENTRAL ARK Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Hayden Hildebrand) to the KanSt 39

2nd & 14Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.93

Hayden Hildebrand sacked by Duke Shelley for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 44

3rd & 19Pass Interception Return-7 ydsPPA -0.65

Hayden Hildebrand pass intercepted D.J. Reed return for 7 yds to the KanSt 25

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Dayton Valentine) to the KanSt 20

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron Pringle

2nd & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Jesse Ertz run for 10 yds to the KanSt 30

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +6.74

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 70 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Carlos Blackman run for 13 yds to the CArk 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Carlos Blackman run for 13 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Hayden Hildebrand run for 14 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Carlos Blackman run for 2 yds to the CArk 27

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Carlos Blackman run for a loss of 1 yard to the CArk 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Hayden Hildebrand pass incomplete to Brandon Myers

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Cummins punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Winston Dimel for 5 yds to the KanSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Jesse Ertz run for 9 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +2.32

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Byron Pringle for 48 yds to the CArk 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jesse Ertz run for 3 yds to the CArk 10

2nd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Jesse Ertz sacked by Chris Terrell for a loss of 1 yard to the CArk 11

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jesse Ertz pass incomplete to Byron Pringle

4th & 8Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.57

Matthew McCrane 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Kierre Crossley run for 2 yds to the CArk 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.51

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Jakari Dillard for 15 yds to the CArk 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CENTRAL ARK Penalty, False Start (Brandon Myers) to the CArk 29

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Cedric Battle run for 1 yd to the CArk 30

2nd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.40

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Joshua Nix for 8 yds to the CArk 38

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.33

Carlos Blackman run for 9 yds to the CArk 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Carlos Blackman run for no gain to the CArk 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.20

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Jakari Dillard for 16 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Kierre Crossley run for 2 yds to the KanSt 35

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Hayden Hildebrand run for no gain to the KanSt 35

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.04

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Brandon Myers for no gain to the KanSt 35

4th & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.77

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Jose Moore for 16 yds to the KanSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Lester Wells for 1 yd to the KanSt 18

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Hayden Hildebrand pass incomplete to Chandler Dexter

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.40

Hayden Hildebrand sacked by Denzel Goolsby for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 22

4th & 13Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.70

Matt Cummins 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +5.61

Jesse Ertz pass complete to Isaiah Harris for 69 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kierre Crossley run for no gain to the CArk 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Hayden Hildebrand pass incomplete to Lester Wells

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Kierre Crossley run for 12 yds to the CArk 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Kierre Crossley run for 1 yd to the CArk 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Joshua Nix for 8 yds to the CArk 46

3rd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Lester Wells for 5 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Keshawn Ledet run for no gain to the KanSt 49

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -2.14

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Jakari Dillard for 4 yds Jakari Dillard fumbled, forced by Elijah Sullivan, recovered by KanSt Denzel Goolsby

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Dalvin Warmack run for 4 yds to the CArk 48

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Dalvin Warmack run for 1 yd to the CArk 47

3rd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.29

Skylar Thompson run for 18 yds to the CArk 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the CArk 28

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Dalvin Warmack run for 10 yds to the CArk 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Dalvin Warmack run for 18 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kierre Crossley run for 1 yd to the CArk 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kierre Crossley run for no gain to the CArk 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.51

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Kierre Crossley for 16 yds to the CArk 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Kierre Crossley run for 2 yds to the CArk 44

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.56

Lester Wells run for 8 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kierre Crossley run for 6 yds to the KanSt 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Brandon Myers for 3 yds to the KanSt 39

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kierre Crossley run for no gain to the KanSt 39

4th & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.09

Carlos Blackman run for 11 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.44

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Lester Wells for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 34

2nd & 16Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.20

Carlos Blackman run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 35

3rd & 17Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.82

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Jose Moore for 18 yds to the KanSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Carlos Blackman run for 5 yds to the KanSt 12

2nd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.54

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Dwayne Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 14

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Hayden Hildebrand pass complete to Joshua Nix for 3 yds to the KanSt 11

4th & 4Sack+46 ydsPPA +3.94

Hayden Hildebrand sacked by Brogan Barry for a loss of 11 yards to the KanSt 22 Hayden Hildebrand fumbled, forced by Brogan Barry, recovered by KanSt Kyle Ball at KanSt 23, return for 22 yds to the KanSt 45 KANSAS ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Elijah Sullivan) to the KanSt 35

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.27

Skylar Thompson run for 30 yds to the CArk 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyler Burns run for 3 yds to the CArk 32

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyler Burns run for 5 yds to the CArk 27

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.43

Tyler Burns run for 3 yds to the CArk 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Mike McCoy run for 2 yds to the CArk 22

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mike McCoy run for 5 yds to the CArk 17

3rd & 3Penalty-10 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nick Kaltmayer) to the CArk 27

3rd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Mike McCoy run for 2 yds to the CArk 25

4th & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA -2.24

Mike McCoy run for 5 yds to the CArk 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Keshawn Ledet run for 4 yds to the CArk 24

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Keshawn Ledet run for 10 yds to the CArk 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Keshawn Ledet run for 7 yds to the CArk 41

Situational Analysis

Central Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
36 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
31%
16 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
1 play
40%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
47%
19 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
75%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play