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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2017Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 6

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 32%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 12, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AlabamaAlabama
7731431
Mississippi StateMississippi State
777324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-714-1421-1724-1724-2424-31
Mississippi StateAlabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSALAMSALAMSALAMSALAMSALAMSALAMSALAMSALAMSALAMSALAMSPUNT1134ydPUNT30ydTD657ydTD575ydTD1173ydTD575ydTO415ydPUNT33ydPUNT615ydPUNT738ydEND1-2ydFG763ydTD1369ydPUNT3-2ydFG1056ydTD1082ydPUNT518ydMISS1057ydPUNT3-1ydTD668ydEND431yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama and Mississippi State
StatisticAlabamaMississippi State
Passing10-1813-24
Pass Yards242158
Rush Yards202172
Total Yards444330
Turnovers00
3rd Down3-98-15
Penalties6-604-30
Possession21:0438:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama
passing
Jalen Hurts
10/18, 242 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Damien Harris
8 CAR, 93 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Calvin Ridley
5 REC, 171 YDS
defense
Mississippi State
passing
Nick Fitzgerald
13/24, 158 YDS
rushing
Aeris Williams
22 CAR, 97 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Deddrick Thomas
2 REC, 30 YDS
defense
Mark McLaurin
1.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Keith Mixon

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Jordan Thomas

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.26

Nick Fitzgerald sacked by Rashaan Evans for a loss of 10 yards to the MisSt 15

4th & 20Penalty+15 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the MisSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Aeris Williams run for 8 yds to the MisSt 38

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the MisSt 39

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.36

Aeris Williams run for 5 yds to the MisSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the MisSt 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.39

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Reginald Todd for 9 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 8 yds to the Alab 36

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Aeris Williams run for no gain to the Alab 36

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Aeris Williams run for no gain to the Alab 36

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Delay of Game (Nick Fitzgerald) to the Alab 41

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 36 yds, downed at the Alab 5

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Damien Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 10

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Damien Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 11

3rd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.25

Jalen Hurts sacked by J.T. Gray for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 5

4th & 10Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Deddrick Thomas at the MisSt 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.56

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jordan Thomas for 24 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nick Fitzgerald run for 5 yds to the Alab 28

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Aeris Williams run for 4 yds to the Alab 24

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.33

Nick Fitzgerald run for 10 yds to the Alab 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the Alab 11

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.65

Aeris Williams run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the Alab 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the Alab 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+63 ydsPPA +4.56

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 63 yds to the MisSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the MisSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the MisSt 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Kylin Hill for 2 yds to the MisSt 32

3rd & 5Penalty+10 yds

Fitzgerald, Nick pass incomplete to Johnson, Justin, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Jones, Hootie) 10 yards to the MISSSTATE42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSSTATE.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kylin Hill run for no gain to the MisSt 42

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.93

Aeris Williams run for 12 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Aeris Williams run for 2 yds to the Alab 44

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the Alab 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.96

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Justin Johnson for 7 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Aeris Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 37

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Aeris Williams run for 9 yds to the Alab 28

3rd & 2Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.28

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Farrod Green for 23 yds to the Alab 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Aeris Williams run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Hale Hentges for 9 yds to the Alab 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Josh Jacobs run for 4 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Josh Jacobs run for no gain to the Alab 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+61 ydsPPA +5.10

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 61 yds to the MisSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Josh Jacobs run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.38

Nick Fitzgerald run for 12 yds to the MisSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Jordan Thomas

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.29

Nick Fitzgerald run for a loss of 3 yards to the MisSt 14

3rd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Nick Fitzgerald run for 6 yds to the MisSt 20

4th & 7Punt-6 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 56 yds , Xavian Marks returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 18 Xavian Marks fumbled, recovered by Alab Xavian Marks

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

4th & 7Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 49 yds , Deddrick Thomas returns for no gain to the MisSt 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kylin Hill run for 4 yds to the MisSt 34

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nick Fitzgerald run for 5 yds to the MisSt 39

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.17

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the MisSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kylin Hill run for no gain to the MisSt 42

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the MisSt 45

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Reginald Todd

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 53 yds, downed at the Alab 2

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the Alab 4

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

Hurts, Jalen rush for 2 yards to the ALABAMA6, PENALTY MISSSTATE offside (Thomas, Cory) 5 yards to the ALABAMA9, NO PLAY.

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 11

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.41

Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds to the Alab 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.29

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Cam Sims for 18 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Damien Harris

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Irv Smith Jr.) to the Alab 30

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the Alab 30

3rd & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.34

Jalen Hurts run for 10 yds to the Alab 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MisSt 28

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Josh Jacobs for 12 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Josh Jacobs for 6 yds to the Alab 43

2nd & 4Rush+48 ydsPPA +2.22

Damien Harris run for 48 yds to the MisSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.55

Jalen Hurts sacked by Mark McLaurin and Fletcher Adams for a loss of 4 yards to the MisSt 13

2nd & 13Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 1 yd to the MisSt 12

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

4th & 12Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.22

Andy Pappanastos 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Nick Fitzgerald run for 4 yds to the MisSt 35

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Nick Fitzgerald run for 8 yds to the MisSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Aeris Williams run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Nick Gibson for 9 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Nick Gibson run for 4 yds to the Alab 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.57

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Aeris Williams for 9 yds to the Alab 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Jamal Couch

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Jesse Jackson

3rd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.42

Nick Fitzgerald run for 13 yds to the Alab 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the Alab 12

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Aeris Williams run for 9 yds to the Alab 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Nick Fitzgerald run for 1 yd to the Alab 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Nick Fitzgerald run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jalen Hurts sacked by Gerri Green for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Robert Foster

4th & 12Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 41 yds , Deddrick Thomas returns for no gain to the MisSt 36

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Nick Fitzgerald run for no gain to the MisSt 36

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Nick Fitzgerald run for 2 yds to the MisSt 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.30

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 20 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the Alab 39

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the Alab 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.40

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 25 yds to the Alab 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Aeris Williams run for 2 yds to the Alab 9

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Nick Fitzgerald run for 1 yd to the Alab 8

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Jordan Thomas

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.75

Jace Christmann 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Josh Jacobs run for 7 yds to the Alab 25

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Jalen Hurts run for 8 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Josh Jacobs run for 13 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Jalen Hurts run for 14 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.93

Jalen Hurts sacked by Mark McLaurin for a loss of 5 yards to the MisSt 45

2nd & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.35

Josh Jacobs run for 11 yds to the MisSt 34

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

4th & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.14

Jalen Hurts run for 13 yds to the MisSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Jalen Hurts run for 7 yds to the MisSt 14

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.32

Damien Harris run for 14 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

2nd & 3Penalty-15 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Alex Leatherwood) to the Alab 20

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Aeris Williams run for 8 yds to the MisSt 48

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Aeris Williams run for 2 yds to the Alab 47

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Nick Fitzgerald run for no gain to the Alab 47

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 5 yds to the Alab 42

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Bo Scarbrough run for 6 yds to the Alab 26

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Bo Scarbrough run for 10 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Bo Scarbrough run for 13 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.02

Damien Harris run for 18 yds to the MisSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the MisSt 31

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Hurts, Jalen pass incomplete to Ridley, Calvin, PENALTY MISSSTATE pass interference (Rayford, Chris) 15 yards to the MISSSTATE16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the MisSt 15

2nd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 4 yards to the MisSt 19

3rd & 13Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.62

Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 4 yards to the MisSt 23

4th & 17Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Andy Pappanastos 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Farrod Green for 1 yd to the MisSt 24

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Deddrick Thomas

3rd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.21

Nick Fitzgerald run for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 22

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Xavian Marks at the Alab 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Alab 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.28

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 15 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Irv Smith Jr.

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.65

Jalen Hurts sacked by Erroll Thompson for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 43

3rd & 15Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +4.08

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 31 yds to the MisSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Jalen Hurts pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 26 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.48

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Reginald Todd for 16 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Reginald Todd

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Jordan Thomas

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Fitzgerald, Nick pass incomplete to Todd, Reginald, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Holcombe, Keith) 15 yards to the ALABAMA34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSSTATE.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Reginald Todd

Situational Analysis

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
52%
25 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
27%
30 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
20%
15 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
83%
6 plays
100%
1 play
50%
8 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play