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← Back to GamesOct 28, 2017Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas A&M by 1.3

Home Win Probability

Texas A&M 54%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 28, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mississippi StateMississippi State
7714735
Texas A&MTexas A&M
007714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-147-217-2814-35
Texas A&MMississippi State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSTAMSTAMSTAMSTAMSTAMSTAMSTAMSTAMSTAMSTAMSTAMSTATAMSTAMSTO522ydPUNT3-5ydTD1686ydPUNT819ydPUNT520ydPUNT39ydPUNT33ydPUNT33ydPUNT37ydTO10ydTD453ydPUNT417ydEND421ydPUNT30ydTD673ydTD1076ydPUNT611ydTO10ydTD332ydPUNT37ydPUNT1039ydPUNT30ydPUNT32ydTD1258ydTD583ydPUNT37ydDOWNS1043ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mississippi State and Texas A&M
StatisticMississippi StateTexas A&M
Passing12-2116-41
Pass Yards141189
Rush Yards22896
Total Yards369285
Turnovers13
3rd Down6-147-17
Penalties5-454-30
Possession36:0923:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mississippi State
passing
Nick Fitzgerald
12/21, 141 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Nick Fitzgerald
18 CAR, 105 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Farrod Green
3 REC, 51 YDS
defense
Texas A&M
passing
Nick Starkel
8/15, 133 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Trayveon Williams
10 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Camron Buckley
2 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the MisSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.10

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jesse Jackson for 16 yds to the MisSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.15

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jesse Jackson for no gain to the MisSt 42

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nick Fitzgerald run for 5 yds to the MisSt 47

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.36

Nick Fitzgerald pass intercepted Otaro Alaka return for no gain to the MisSt 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Christian Kirk

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Damion Ratley

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Camron Buckley) to the MisSt 48

3rd & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.57

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for no gain to the MisSt 48

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Shane Tripucka punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Donald Gray at the MisSt 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.65

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Nick Gibson for 12 yds to the MisSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Nick Fitzgerald sacked by Jarrett Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 25

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Aeris Williams run for 7 yds to the MisSt 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.56

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jesse Jackson for 16 yds to the MisSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Nick Fitzgerald run for 6 yds to the TexAM 46

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.41

Aeris Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the TexAM 38

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Nick Fitzgerald run for 6 yds to the TexAM 32

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Aeris Williams run for 7 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Jordan Thomas

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jesse Jackson for 7 yds to the TexAM 18

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.35

Nick Fitzgerald run for 5 yds to the TexAM 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Aeris Williams run for 9 yds to the TexAM 4

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.46

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Nick Fitzgerald 2 Yd Run (Jace Christmann Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Keith Ford run for 5 yds to the TexAM 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kellen Mond pass complete to Christian Kirk for 4 yds to the TexAM 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Keith Ford run for 1 yd to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Keith Ford run for 5 yds to the TexAM 40

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Kellen Mond run for 7 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the MisSt 48

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Trayveon Williams run for no gain to the MisSt 48

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.87

Kellen Mond sacked by Montez Sweat for a loss of 8 yards to the TexAM 44

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Shane Tripucka punt for 46 yds, downed at the MisSt 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Aeris Williams run for 4 yds to the MisSt 14

2nd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.23

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 17 yds to the MisSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the MisSt 32

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.71

Nick Fitzgerald run for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 30

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Donald Gray

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 3 yds to the TexAM 36

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kellen Mond pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 4 yds to the TexAM 40

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Shane Tripucka punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Donald Gray at the MisSt 24

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.91

Kylin Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the MisSt 21 Kylin Hill fumbled, recovered by MisSt Kylin Hill

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Kylin Hill run for 6 yds to the MisSt 27

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

Fitzgerald, Nick pass incomplete to Todd, Reginald, PENALTY TEXASAM offside (Alaka, Otaro) 5 yards to the MISSSTATE32, NO PLAY.

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Jesse Jackson

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Delay of Game (Braden Smith) to the MisSt 27

4th & 7Punt0 yds

TEAM punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 34

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Keith Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 33

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kellen Mond pass complete to Roshauud Paul for 4 yds to the TexAM 37

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Keith Ford

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Shane Tripucka punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Donald Gray at the MisSt 20

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Aeris Williams run for 7 yds to the MisSt 27

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Aeris Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 25

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Nick Fitzgerald run for 2 yds to the MisSt 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 41

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -2.34

Kellen Mond pass intercepted Mark McLaurin return for 3 yds to the MisSt 47

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Delay of Game (Nick Fitzgerald) to the MisSt 42

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Nick Fitzgerald run for 2 yds to the MisSt 44

2nd & 13Rush+45 ydsPPA +3.37

Nick Fitzgerald run for 45 yds to the TexAM 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 8

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.62

Donald Gray 8 Yd pass from Nick Fitzgerald (Jace Christmann Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 29

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Mond, Kellen pass incomplete to Ausbon, Jhamon, PENALTY MISSSTATE pass interference (Dantzler, Cameron) 15 yards to the TEXASAM44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Christian Kirk

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Kellen Mond run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 43

3rd & 11Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Kellen Mond sacked by Montez Sweat for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 42

4th & 12Punt+3 yds

Shane Tripucka punt for 48 yds , Donald Gray returns for 3 yds to the MisSt 13

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Nick Fitzgerald run for 8 yds to the MisSt 21

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nick Fitzgerald run for 4 yds to the MisSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Aeris Williams run for 7 yds to the MisSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Aeris Williams run for 2 yds to the MisSt 34

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Trayveon Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon Ausbon

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick Rogers

4th & 10Punt+4 yds

Shane Tripucka punt for 52 yds , Donald Gray returns for 4 yds to the MisSt 27

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Aeris Williams run for 4 yds to the MisSt 31

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Aeris Williams run for 2 yds to the MisSt 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.80

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Farrod Green for 41 yds to the TexAM 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 23

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Fitzgerald, Nick pass incomplete to Todd, Reginald, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference (Oliver, Charles) 15 yards to the TEXASAM8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSSTATE.

1st & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Aeris Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 10 Aeris Williams fumbled, recovered by MisSt Aeris Williams

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Jordan Thomas 10 Yd pass from Nick Fitzgerald (Jace Christmann Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Damion Ratley

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Keith Ford run for 5 yds to the TexAM 29

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.63

Keith Ford run for 7 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 39

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the TexAM 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.89

Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 18 yds to the MisSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +0.92

Kellen Mond run for 33 yds to the MisSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Christian Kirk

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Kellen Mond pass complete to Damion Ratley for 7 yds to the MisSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Keith Ford 1 Yd Run (Daniel LaCamera Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the MisSt 32

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nick Fitzgerald run for 4 yds to the MisSt 36

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.48

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Justin Johnson for 4 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Reginald Todd

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Reginald Todd

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Jordan Thomas

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 30

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-20 ydsPPA -1.31

Kellen Mond pass intercepted Lashard Durr return for 20 yds to the TexAM 32

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.28

Nick Fitzgerald run for 14 yds to the TexAM 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dontavian Lee run for 4 yds to the TexAM 14

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.61

Nick Gibson 14 Yd Run (Jace Christmann Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 21

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Keith Ford run for 2 yds to the TexAM 23

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Camron Buckley

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Shane Tripucka punt for 50 yds, downed at the MisSt 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Reginald Todd

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.33

Nick Gibson run for 17 yds to the MisSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Nick Gibson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Farrod Green for 2 yds to the TexAM 48

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Nick Fitzgerald run for 4 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Farrod Green for 8 yds to the TexAM 36

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.11

Nick Gibson run for 6 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Nick Fitzgerald run for 2 yds to the TexAM 28

2nd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.85

Nick Fitzgerald sacked by Landis Durham for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 34

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Reginald Todd

4th & 14Punt+3 yds

Nick Fitzgerald punt for 14 yds , Deshawn Capers-Smith returns for 3 yds to the TexAM 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Trayveon Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon Ausbon

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Christian Kirk

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Shane Tripucka punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Keith Mixon at the MisSt 36

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kylin Hill run for no gain to the MisSt 36

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kylin Hill run for 4 yds to the MisSt 40

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Delay of Game (Nick Fitzgerald) to the MisSt 35

3rd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the MisSt 38

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon Ausbon

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.70

Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 27

3rd & 14Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.73

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 16 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Camron Buckley

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Mond, Kellen pass complete to Bussey, Kendall for loss of 4 yards to the TEXASAM39, PENALTY MISSSTATE roughing passer (Peters, Jamal) 15 yards to the MISSSTATE42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Camron Buckley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.36

Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 11 yds to the MisSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 7 yds to the MisSt 24

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.09

Kendall Bussey run for 8 yds to the MisSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 5 yds to the MisSt 11

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Jhamon Ausbon

3rd & 5Interception Return Touchdown-90 ydsPPA -11.14

Nick Starkel pass intercepted for a TD Jamal Peters return for 90 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 20

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.40

Trayveon Williams run for 14 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Trayveon Williams run for no gain to the TexAM 34

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.82

Nick Starkel sacked by Willie Gay Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 30

3rd & 14Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +7.15

Camron Buckley 70 Yd pass from Nick Starkel (Daniel LaCamera Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Aeris Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 44

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.82

Aeris Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 47

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Nick Fitzgerald run for 5 yds to the TexAM 42

4th & 3Punt+26 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 35 yds , Christian Kirk returns for 26 yds to the TexAM 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Nick Starkel pass complete to Kendall Bussey for 18 yds to the MisSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Camron Buckley

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kendall Bussey run for 4 yds to the MisSt 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.01

Nick Starkel pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 9 yds to the MisSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Nick Starkel pass complete to Kendall Bussey for 7 yds to the MisSt 29

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.06

Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 6 yds to the MisSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Christian Kirk

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Christian Kirk

3rd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Kendall Bussey run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 24

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.34

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Camron Buckley

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 23

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.31

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 22

Situational Analysis

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
34%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
58%
12 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
4th

Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
28 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
27%
15 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play