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← Back to GamesOct 21, 2017Week 8
LSULSU
40
-Final
24
Ole MissOle Miss
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

LSU by 4

Home Win Probability

Ole Miss 38%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 21, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LSULSU
103171040
Ole MissOle Miss
3310824

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-33-33-103-136-169-2316-3016-4024-40
Ole MissLSU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUOMLSUPUNT39ydFG772ydFG1067ydTD375ydPUNT55ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT37ydPUNT1137ydTO317ydFG1059ydEND1066ydFG660ydFG719ydTD778ydTD769ydTD475ydTO440ydPUNT520ydPUNT35ydTD481ydTO10ydFG940ydTD966ydEND317yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing LSU and Ole Miss
StatisticLSUOle Miss
Passing9-1317-34
Pass Yards200194
Rush Yards393153
Total Yards593347
Turnovers03
3rd Down4-113-12
Penalties8-895-55
Possession37:4022:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

LSU
passing
Danny Etling
9/13, 200 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Derrius Guice
22 CAR, 276 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Darrel Williams
4 REC, 105 YDS
defense
Grant Delpit
1 TFL, 1 PD
Ole Miss
passing
Shea Patterson
10/23, 116 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Jordan Wilkins
13 CAR, 86 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dawson Knox
5 REC, 72 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to A.J. Brown

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Jordan Wilkins run for 9 yds to the Miss 34

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to A.J. Brown

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 56 yds, downed at the LSU 10

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.58

Derrius Guice run for 13 yds to the LSU 23 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Breeland Speaks) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Derrius Guice run for 9 yds to the LSU 32

2nd & 1Pass Reception+63 ydsPPA +3.13

Danny Etling pass complete to Darrel Williams for 63 yds to the Miss 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Darrel Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Derrius Guice run for 1 yd to the Miss 6

3rd & 6Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.05

Danny Etling sacked by Marquis Haynes for a loss of 12 yards to the Miss 18

4th & 0Field Goal Good+35 yds

Connor Culp 35 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.97

Jordan Wilkins run for 14 yds to the Miss 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Metcalf, D.K., PENALTY LSU pass interference (Toliver II, Kevin) 15 yards to the OLEMISS47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OLEMISS.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jordan Wilkins run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.46

Shea Patterson pass complete to Dawson Knox for 13 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Shea Patterson pass complete to D'Vaughn Pennamon for 2 yds to the LSU 35

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 3 yds to the LSU 32

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.06

Shea Patterson pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 8 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Shea Patterson run for 4 yds to the LSU 20

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jordan Wilkins run for no gain to the LSU 20

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Shea Patterson pass complete to Dawson Knox for 5 yds to the LSU 15

4th & 1Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.87

Gary Wunderlich 31 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Derrius Guice run for 9 yds to the LSU 34

2nd & 1Rush+59 ydsPPA +2.63

Derrius Guice run for 59 yds to the Miss 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Derrius Guice 7 Yd Run (Connor Culp Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jordan Wilkins run for 9 yds to the Miss 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jordan Wilkins run for 2 yds to the Miss 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jordan Wilkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 35

3rd & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.41

Shea Patterson sacked by Christian LaCouture and Devin White for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 30

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 49 yds, downed at the LSU 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Darrel Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 24

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Danny Etling pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 19

3rd & 12Penalty+5 yds

Etling, Danny pass complete to Gage, Russell for 8 yards to the LSU27, PENALTY OLEMISS offside (Jones, Benito) 5 yards to the LSU24, NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.35

Danny Etling sacked by Breeland Speaks for a loss of 10 yards to the LSU 14

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 40 yds, fair catch by A.J. Brown at the Miss 46

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.28

Shea Patterson sacked by Arden Key for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 40 Shea Patterson fumbled, forced by Arden Key, recovered by Miss

2nd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

D'Vaughn Pennamon run for no gain to the Miss 40

3rd & 16Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Shea Patterson run for 13 yds to the LSU 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by D.J. Chark at the LSU 7

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Derrius Guice run for 4 yds to the LSU 11

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Darrel Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 14

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Danny Etling pass complete to Derrius Guice for 9 yds to the LSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Derrius Guice run for 9 yds to the LSU 32

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Russell Gage run for 3 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Derrius Guice run for 3 yds to the LSU 38

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the LSU 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Derrius Guice run for 3 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Darrel Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 48

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Williams, Darrel rush for 5 yards to the OLEMISS47, PENALTY LSU holding (Clapp, Will) 10 yards to the LSU38, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Sack0 ydsPPA -0.37

Danny Etling sacked by Breeland Speaks for 0 yards to the LSU 38

3rd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Danny Etling run for 6 yds to the LSU 44

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Miss 25

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Eric Swinney run for 12 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 5 yds to the Miss 42

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.06

Shea Patterson pass intercepted Grant Delpit return for no gain to the LSU 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Danny Etling run for 5 yds to the LSU 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.15

Danny Etling pass complete to J.D. Moore for 11 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Darrel Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 39

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.55

Derrius Guice run for 9 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Etling, Danny pass incomplete to Chark, D.J., PENALTY OLEMISS pass interference (Hamilton, Javien) 15 yards to the OLEMISS37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Darrel Williams run for 8 yds to the Miss 29

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.24

Darrel Williams run for 4 yds to the Miss 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Darrel Williams run for 4 yds to the Miss 21

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Danny Etling pass incomplete to Stephen Sullivan, broken up by Ken Webster

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Danny Etling pass incomplete to Russell Gage

4th & 6Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA -0.12

Connor Culp 38 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Eric Swinney run for 15 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to A.J. Brown

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Eric Swinney run for 13 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.71

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Van Jefferson for 14 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to D.K. Metcalf, broken up by Devin White

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.95

Jordan Ta'amu run for 15 yds to the LSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to Eric Swinney

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.40

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Van Jefferson for 9 yds to the LSU 9

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Ta'amu pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge

4th & 1Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -1.06

Gary Wunderlich 26 Yd Field Goal

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Danny Etling pass complete to J.D. Moore for 4 yds to the LSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+48 ydsPPA +3.53

Derrius Guice run for 48 yds to the Miss 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the Miss 18

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Darrel Williams run for 3 yds to the Miss 15

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Darrel Williams run for no gain to the Miss 15

4th & 2Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.79

Connor Culp 32 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Wilkins run for 5 yds to the LSU 36

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to A.J. Brown, broken up by Grant Delpit

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Jordan Wilkins run for 8 yds to the LSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (Van Jefferson) to the LSU 33

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge

2nd & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Jordan Wilkins run for 9 yds to the LSU 24

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Wilkins run for 2 yds to the LSU 22

4th & 4Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA -0.24

Gary Wunderlich 39 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Derrius Guice run for 11 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Danny Etling pass complete to Darrel Williams for 11 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.71

Derrius Guice run for 33 yds to the Miss 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Darrel Williams run for 4 yds to the Miss 19

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.18

Darrel Williams run for 9 yds to the Miss 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Russell Gage run for 5 yds to the Miss 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Danny Etling 5 Yd Run (Connor Culp Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 14 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to D.K. Metcalf

2nd & 10Penalty+13 yds

Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Jefferson, Van, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Toliver II, Kevin) 13 yards to the LSU42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OLEMISS.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Shea Patterson pass complete to Dawson Knox for 5 yds to the LSU 37

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to A.J. Brown

4th & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.43

Shea Patterson pass complete to Dawson Knox for 9 yds to the LSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Jordan Wilkins 28 Yd Run (Gary Wunderlich Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.78

Danny Etling pass complete to Darrel Williams for 18 yds to the Miss 43 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Miss 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Derrius Guice run for 5 yds to the Miss 37

2nd & 5Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.68

Derrius Guice run for 26 yds to the Miss 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

J.D. Moore 11 Yd pass from Danny Etling (Connor Culp Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.39

Shea Patterson pass complete to Dawson Knox for 40 yds to the LSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to A.J. Brown

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Derrius Guice run for 5 yds to the LSU 19

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.16

Derrius Guice run for 14 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Darrel Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 36

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Derrius Guice run for 3 yds to the LSU 39

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Danny Etling pass incomplete to Russell Gage

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the LSU 34

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 44 yds, fair catch by A.J. Brown at the Miss 22

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.01

Shea Patterson sacked by Arden Key for a loss of 8 yards to the Miss 14

2nd & 18Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.67

Shea Patterson pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 15 yds to the Miss 29

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jordan Wilkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 27

4th & 5Punt-2 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 52 yds , D.J. Chark returns for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Danny Etling pass complete to Darrel Williams for 13 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Derrick Dillon run for 6 yds to the LSU 38

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the LSU 40

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +5.81

Foster Moreau 60 Yd pass from Danny Etling (Connor Culp Kick)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.14

Shea Patterson pass intercepted Kevin Toliver II return for no gain to the LSU 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Derrius Guice run for 1 yd to the LSU 31

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the LSU 33

3rd & 7Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.31

Danny Etling run for 7 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Miss 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Darrel Williams run for 7 yds to the Miss 38

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the Miss 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Darrel Williams run for 1 yd to the Miss 32

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Darrel Williams run for 1 yd to the Miss 31

3rd & 8Penalty-16 yds

LSU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-16 Yards) to the Miss 47

3rd & 24Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.07

Darrel Williams run for 17 yds to the Miss 30

4th & 7Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.77

Connor Culp 47 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 10 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 3 yds to the Miss 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.79

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to A.J. Brown for 17 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.09

Jordan Ta'amu run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 38

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 2 yds to the LSU 36

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.01

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Braylon Sanders for 13 yds to the LSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.14

Jordan Ta'amu pass complete to Braylon Sanders for 12 yds to the LSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jordan Ta'amu run for 7 yds to the LSU 4

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.22

D'Vaughn Pennamon 4 Yd Run (Jordan Ta'amu Pass to Dawson Knox for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Darrel Williams run for 9 yds to the Miss 27

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.35

Darrel Williams run for 9 yds to the Miss 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 19

Situational Analysis

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
63%
32 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
60%
10 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Ole Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
70%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays