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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2017Week 7

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mississippi State by 11.5

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 81%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 14, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BYUBYU
037010
Mississippi StateMississippi State
7147735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-328-335-10
Mississippi StateBYU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BYUMSBYUMSBYUMSBYUMSBYUMSBYUMSBYUMSBYUMSBYUMSBYUMSBYUMSBYUMSPUNT927ydTD1089ydPUNT39ydPUNT37ydPUNT424ydTO1274ydTO27ydTD874ydFG754ydTD1275ydEND1-1ydTD775ydPUNT734ydPUNT35ydPUNT36ydTO1064ydTD142ydTO00ydTO4-2ydTD1270ydPUNT34ydPUNT35ydPUNT32ydEND420yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing BYU and Mississippi State
StatisticBYUMississippi State
Passing17-2920-31
Pass Yards147240
Rush Yards29306
Total Yards176546
Turnovers23
3rd Down4-138-13
Penalties2-226-60
Possession23:1236:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

BYU
passing
Tanner Mangum
16/26, 145 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Brayden El-Bakri
5 CAR, 20 YDS
receiving
Aleva Hifo
5 REC, 77 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Mississippi State
passing
Nick Fitzgerald
19/30, 241 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Aeris Williams
23 CAR, 114 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Keith Mixon
5 REC, 69 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Brayden El-Bakri run for 7 yds to the BYU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Ula Tolutau for 2 yds to the BYU 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Ula Tolutau run for 1 yd to the BYU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 4 yds to the BYU 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Brayden El-Bakri for 5 yds to the BYU 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Ula Tolutau run for 2 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 1 yd to the BYU 47

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ula Tolutau run for no gain to the BYU 47

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Brayden El-Bakri run for 5 yds to the MisSt 48

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jonny Linehan punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Aeris Williams for 2 yds to the MisSt 13

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 20 yds to the MisSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Nick Fitzgerald run for 2 yds to the MisSt 35

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the MisSt 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.05

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jesse Jackson for 7 yds to the MisSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.30

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 20 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.40

Aeris Williams run for 19 yds to the BYU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the BYU 15

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.83

Nick Fitzgerald run for 15 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ula Tolutau run for no gain to the BYU 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tanner Mangum pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Trey Dye for 9 yds to the BYU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jonny Linehan punt for 47 yds, downed at the MisSt 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Nick Fitzgerald run for 6 yds to the MisSt 25

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Nick Fitzgerald run for 1 yd to the MisSt 26

4th & 3Punt-2 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 57 yds , Michael Shelton returns for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.93

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 15 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Tanner Mangum pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Ula Tolutau for 9 yds to the BYU 39

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Austin Kafentzis run for no gain to the BYU 39

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jonny Linehan punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Aeris Williams run for 7 yds to the MisSt 26

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.41

Aeris Williams run for 6 yds to the MisSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.83

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Gabe Myles for 20 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jamal Couch for 11 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, false start (Jamal Couch) to the BYU 42

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Donald Gray for 9 yds to the BYU 33

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty+13 yds

Fitzgerald,Nick pass incomplete to Gray,Donald, PENALTY BYU pass interference (WARNER, T.) 13 yards to the BYU20, 1ST DOWN MS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 17

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Aeris Williams run for 4 yds to the BYU 13

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.34

Nick Fitzgerald run for 4 yds to the BYU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Aeris Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 7

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-67 ydsPPA -4.39

Nick Fitzgerald pass intercepted Dayan Ghanwoloku return for 67 yds to the MisSt 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 4 yds to the MisSt 29

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -4.04

Ula Tolutau run for 3 yds to the MisSt 26 Ula Tolutau fumbled, forced by Jeffery Simmons, recovered by MisSt Marquiss Spencer

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Kylin Hill run for 12 yds to the MisSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the MisSt 41

2nd & 7Penalty+9 yds

Fitzgerald,Nick pass incomplete to Green,Farrod, PENALTY BYU pass interference (JACOBSON, T.) 9 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN MS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Nick Gibson run for 11 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Kylin Hill run for 9 yds to the BYU 30

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the BYU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Gabe Myles

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.81

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 18 yds to the BYU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Donald Gray for 9 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brayden El-Bakri run for 2 yds to the BYU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 6 yds to the BYU 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.62

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 43 yds to the MisSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

MANGUM, T. pass incomplete to SIMON, M., PENALTY BYU ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, PENALTY MS pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Austin Kafentzis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 25

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Tanner Mangum pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Brayden El-Bakri run for 4 yds to the MisSt 21

4th & 7Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA -0.02

Rhett Almond 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the MisSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Aeris Williams run for 5 yds to the MisSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.64

Nick Fitzgerald run for 8 yds to the MisSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Donald Gray for 10 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Donald Gray, broken up by Troy Warner

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.92

Nick Fitzgerald run for 15 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Keith Mixon

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.30

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Donald Gray for 13 yds to the BYU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nick Fitzgerald run for 4 yds to the BYU 14

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Donald Gray, broken up by Chris Wilcox

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.99

Nick Fitzgerald run for 14 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

Cooke,Logan kickoff 65 yards to the BYU0, TRINNAMAN, J. return to the BYU21 (Jung,Traver;Abram,Johnathan), PENALTY MS offside (Washington,Tim) 5 yards to the MS30, NO PLAY.

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Logan Cooke kickoff for 57 yds , Kyle Griffitts return for 11 yds to the BYU 24

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Aeris Williams run for 4 yds to the MisSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Aeris Williams run for 9 yds to the MisSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Aeris Williams run for no gain to the MisSt 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.56

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Aeris Williams for 17 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Kylin Hill run for 12 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Kylin Hill run for 1 yd to the BYU 32

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.39

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jamal Couch for 32 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Logan Cooke kickoff for 65 yds , Michael Shelton return for 18 yds to the BYU 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Matt Bushman

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ula Tolutau run for 5 yds to the BYU 23

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.62

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Micah Simon for 11 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Austin Kafentzis for a 1ST down MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, personal foul (Leo Lewis) to the BYU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Ula Tolutau run for 3 yds to the MisSt 48

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Aleva Hifo, broken up by Gerri Green

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Micah Simon, broken up by J.T. Gray

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jonny Linehan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Donald Gray at the MisSt 8

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Aeris Williams run for 5 yds to the MisSt 13

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Aeris Williams run for no gain to the MisSt 13

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 52 yds , Michael Shelton returns for no gain to the BYU 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Beau Tanner for 3 yds to the BYU 38

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Ula Tolutau run for 1 yd to the BYU 39

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Brayden El-Bakri run for 2 yds to the BYU 41

4th & 4Punt-8 yds

Corey Edwards punt for 39 yds , Donald Gray returns for a loss of 8 yards to the MisSt 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Aeris Williams run for 4 yds to the MisSt 16

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.93

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 12 yds to the MisSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 11 yds to the MisSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the MisSt 42

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.44

Nick Fitzgerald run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jordan Thomas for 6 yds to the BYU 41

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.78

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.41

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Aeris Williams for 14 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-23 ydsPPA -4.32

Nick Fitzgerald pass intercepted Dayan Ghanwoloku return for 38 yds to the MisSt 0 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, personal foul (Darryl Williams) to the MisSt 42

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MANGUM, T. pass incomplete to TRINNAMAN, J., PENALTY MS personal foul (Sweat,Montez) 15 yards to the MS27, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 27 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Andrew Mikkelsen kickoff for 61 yds , Keith Mixon return for 25 yds to the MisSt 29 Keith Mixon fumbled, forced by Andrew Mikkelsen, recovered by BYU Akile Davis

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 2 yds to the MisSt 27

2nd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.37

Tanner Mangum sacked by Montez Sweat for a loss of 4 yards to the MisSt 31

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Aleva Hifo, broken up by Brandon Bryant

4th & 12Pass Interception Return-30 ydsPPA -1.55

Tanner Mangum pass intercepted Brandon Bryant return for 30 yds to the MisSt 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Aeris Williams run for 4 yds to the MisSt 34

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Aeris Williams run for 9 yds to the MisSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 6 yds to the MisSt 49

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.60

Aeris Williams run for 6 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Nick Fitzgerald run for 15 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Fitzgerald,Nick pass complete to Mixon,Keith for 6 yards to the BYU24 (HANNEMANN, M.), PENALTY MS ineligible downfield on pass (Jenkins,Elgton) 5 yards to the BYU35, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Nick Gibson run for 5 yds to the BYU 30

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Nick Gibson run for 7 yds to the BYU 23

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Nick Fitzgerald run for 2 yds to the BYU 21

4th & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.83

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 4 yds to the BYU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Aeris Williams run for 8 yds to the BYU 9

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.24

Aeris Williams run for 4 yds to the BYU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Aeris Williams run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Logan Cooke kickoff for 65 yds , Jonah Trinnaman return for 12 yds to the BYU 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Riley Burt for 3 yds to the BYU 15

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 1 yd to the BYU 16

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Micah Simon

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jonny Linehan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Donald Gray at the MisSt 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Keytaon Thompson run for 2 yds to the MisSt 47

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kylin Hill run for 4 yds to the BYU 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Keytaon Thompson pass complete to Jesse Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Joe Critchlow pass incomplete to Aleva Hifo

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Joe Critchlow pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 2 yds to the BYU 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Joe Critchlow pass incomplete to Matt Bushman

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jonny Linehan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Donald Gray at the MisSt 43

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Dontavian Lee run for 4 yds to the MisSt 47

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dontavian Lee run for 5 yds to the BYU 48

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.33

Keytaon Thompson run for 8 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Dontavian Lee run for 3 yds to the BYU 37

Situational Analysis

BYU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
22%
18 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
30%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
40 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
63%
16 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play