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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2017Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 18.8

Home Win Probability

Alabama 92%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 1, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ole MissOle Miss
30003
AlabamaAlabama
211424766

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-021-028-335-338-345-359-366-3
AlabamaOle Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OMALAOMALAOMOMALAOMALAOMALAOMALAOMALAOMALAOMALAOMALAOMALAOMALAOMALAPUNT36ydPUNT34ydPUNT32ydTD651ydTD36ydPUNT542ydTD585ydFG666ydTD1075ydPUNT424ydMISS955ydTO3-8ydTD236ydPUNT56ydPUNT49ydEND14ydFG548ydPUNT3-6ydTD629ydDOWNS744ydTD369ydTO543ydTD544ydPUNT538ydTD1291ydPUNT3-4ydEND72yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ole Miss and Alabama
StatisticOle MissAlabama
Passing14-2915-24
Pass Yards165248
Rush Yards88365
Total Yards253613
Turnovers20
3rd Down0-137-15
Penalties3-307-60
Possession23:2336:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ole Miss
passing
Shea Patterson
14/29, 165 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Jordan Wilkins
12 CAR, 101 YDS
receiving
DaMarkus Lodge
2 REC, 72 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Jalen Hurts
12/19, 197 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jalen Hurts
10 CAR, 101 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Calvin Ridley
4 REC, 60 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Jordan Wilkins run for 1 yd to the Miss 13

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Shea Patterson pass complete to Dawson Knox for 5 yds to the Miss 18

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to D.K. Metcalf

4th & 4Punt+14 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 42 yds , Trevon Diggs returns for 14 yds to the Miss 46

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the Miss 42

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Robert Foster

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

4th & 6Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Myles Hartsfield at the Miss 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jordan Wilkins run for 2 yds to the Miss 15

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to D.K. Metcalf

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Trevon Diggs at the Alab 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 12 yds to the Miss 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the Miss 35

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the Miss 35

3rd & 6Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.04

Jalen Hurts run for 29 yds to the Miss 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Hale Hentges, broken up by Myles Hartsfield

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Bo Scarbrough run for 6 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Shea Patterson run for 6 yds to the Miss 30

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge

3rd & 4Interception Return Touchdown-35 ydsPPA -7.34

Shea Patterson pass intercepted, Levi Wallace return for 35 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.30

Jordan Wilkins run for 21 yds to the Miss 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.59

Shea Patterson pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jordan Wilkins run for 5 yds to the Alab 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge

3rd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Shea Patterson sacked by Isaiah Buggs and Da'Ron Payne for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 46

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Trevon Diggs at the Alab 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Alab 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 17 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+60 ydsPPA +3.36

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Cam Sims for 60 yds to the Miss 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the Miss 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Hale Hentges for 3 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Shea Patterson pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.28

Shea Patterson pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 35 yds to the Alab 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 6 yds to the Alab 9

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Jefferson, Van (Wallace, Levi), PENALTY OLEMISS illegal motion (Jefferson, Van) 5 yards to the ALABAMA14, NO PLAY.

2nd & 9Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.89

Shea Patterson pass complete to Jordan Wilkins for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 19

3rd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Shea Patterson pass complete to Van Jefferson for 10 yds to the Alab 9

4th & 4Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.88

Gary Wunderlich 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the Alab 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 9 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the Alab 43

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Damien Harris run for no gain to the Alab 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.36

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 26 yds to the Miss 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Miss 29

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the Miss 27

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 5 yds to the Miss 22

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.87

Bo Scarbrough run for 4 yds to the Miss 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Josh Jacobs for 18 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Shea Patterson run for 7 yds to the Miss 32

2nd & 3Penalty+10 yds

Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Lodge, DaMarkus, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Wallace, Levi) 10 yards to the OLEMISS42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OLEMISS.

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Lodge, DaMarkus, PENALTY ALABAMA roughing passer (Evans, Rashaan) 15 yards to the ALABAMA43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OLEMISS.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 4 yds to the Alab 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to D.K. Metcalf

3rd & 6Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.63

Shea Patterson sacked by Minkah Fitzpatrick for a loss of 12 yards to the Miss 49

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Trevon Diggs at the Alab 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 24

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Damien Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 29

3rd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.14

Jalen Hurts run for 14 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.59

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Robert Foster for 25 yds to the Miss 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.32

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Josh Jacobs for 18 yds to the Miss 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Scarbrough, Bo rush for 12 yards to the OLEMISS2, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Smith Jr., Irv) 10 yards to the OLEMISS24, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Bo Scarbrough run for 1 yd to the Miss 23

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs III

4th & 19Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Andy Pappanastos 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Wilkins, Jordan rush for 3 yards to the OLEMISS26, PENALTY OLEMISS holding (Knox, Dawson) 10 yards to the OLEMISS13, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.15

Shea Patterson sacked by Raekwon Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 11

2nd & 22Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.03

Shea Patterson run for 1 yd to the Miss 12 Shea Patterson fumbled, recovered by Miss Dawson Knox

3rd & 21Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Shea Patterson pass complete to Van Jefferson for 3 yds to the Miss 15

4th & 18Punt+23 yds

Mac Brown punt for 44 yds , Trevon Diggs returns for 23 yds to the Miss 36 Trevon Diggs fumbled, recovered by Alab Najee Harris

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.50

Jalen Hurts run for 26 yds to the Miss 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Jalen Hurts run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Wilkins run for 2 yds to the Miss 27

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Jordan Wilkins run for 10 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Shea Patterson pass complete to Eric Swinney for 3 yds to the Miss 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to D.K. Metcalf, broken up by Anthony Averett

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.91

Shea Patterson sacked by Ronnie Harrison for a loss of 9 yards to the Miss 31

4th & 16Punt+5 yds

Mac Brown punt for 38 yds , Henry Ruggs III returns for 5 yds to the Alab 36

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Jalen Hurts run for 10 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Bradley Bozeman) to the Alab 45

3rd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Robert Foster for no gain to the Alab 45

4th & 11Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Eric Swinney run for 4 yds to the Miss 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.40

Damien Harris run for 46 yds to the Miss 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Ross Pierschbacher) to the Miss 37

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the Miss 34

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the Miss 30

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Robert Foster

4th & 8Field Goal Good+48 ydsPPA +0.89

JK Scott 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.71

Shea Patterson sacked by Da'Shawn Hand for a loss of 6 yards to the Miss 10

2nd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.07

Jordan Wilkins run for no gain to the Miss 10

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Jordan Wilkins

4th & 16Punt+16 yds

Mac Brown punt for 35 yds , Henry Ruggs III returns for 16 yds to the Miss 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Robert Foster

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Najee Harris run for 7 yds to the Miss 22

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.44

Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the Miss 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Tua Tagovailoa run for 6 yds to the Miss 10

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.70

Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the Miss 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Najee Harris run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Wilkins run for 3 yds to the Miss 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.61

Shea Patterson pass complete to Dawson Knox for 23 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Jordan Wilkins run for 13 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Jordan Wilkins run for 1 yd to the Alab 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Shea Patterson pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 4 yds to the Alab 31

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.38

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Van Jefferson

1st & 10Rush+45 ydsPPA +2.93

Josh Jacobs run for 45 yds to the Miss 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.47

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 22 yds to the Miss 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Tua Tagovailoa run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+44 ydsPPA +3.19

Jordan Wilkins run for 44 yds to the Alab 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Jordan Wilkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 31

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to D.K. Metcalf

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to A.J. Brown

4th & 11Pass Interception Return-31 ydsPPA -1.66

Shea Patterson pass intercepted Levi Wallace return for 31 yds to the Miss 44

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.38

Tua Tagovailoa run for 13 yds to the Miss 31 for a 1ST down OLE MISS Penalty, Personal Foul (DeMarquis Gates) to the Miss 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Jacobs, Josh rush for 3 yards to the OLEMISS13, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Wills Jr., Jedrick) 10 yards to the OLEMISS26, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Josh Jacobs run for 6 yds to the Miss 20

2nd & 14Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.60

Najee Harris run for 12 yds to the Miss 8

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs III

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.98

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 8 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 2 yds to the Miss 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.52

Shea Patterson pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 37 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.93

D'Vaughn Pennamon run for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 45 D'Vaughn Pennamon fumbled, recovered by Miss D'Vaughn Pennamon

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Eric Swinney

3rd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Shea Patterson pass complete to Van Jefferson for 4 yds to the Alab 41

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Henry Ruggs III at the Alab 9

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 7

2nd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.17

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 8 yds to the Alab 15

3rd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.92

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Derek Kief for 21 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 38

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the Alab 44

3rd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.28

Tua Tagovailoa run for 16 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Miss 38

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 7 yds to the Miss 31

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 11 yds to the Miss 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Ronnie Clark run for 3 yds to the Miss 17

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Ronnie Clark run for 8 yds to the Miss 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Ronnie Clark run for 9 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Eric Swinney run for 1 yd to the Miss 26

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.55

Eric Swinney run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.14

Shea Patterson pass complete to Eric Swinney for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Henry Ruggs III at the Alab 42

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 46

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Ronnie Clark run for 1 yd to the Miss 49

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.10

Ronnie Clark run for 1 yd to the Miss 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.38

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 47

3rd & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.57

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 44

Situational Analysis

Ole Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
52%
29 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
43%
7 plays
75%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play