Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 23, 2017Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia by 0.6

Home Win Probability

Georgia 52%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 23, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mississippi StateMississippi State
03003
GeorgiaGeorgia
14017031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142814-014-321-331-3
GeorgiaMississippi State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSGEOMSGEOMSGEOMSGEOMSGEOMSGEOGEOMSGEOMSGEOMSGEOMSGEOMSGEOMSPUNT3-3ydTD159ydPUNT617ydTD878ydPUNT38ydPUNT524ydPUNT838ydTO644ydPUNT617ydPUNT36ydFG1251ydEND25ydTD675ydPUNT36ydPUNT32ydTO415ydTD350ydTO20ydFG710ydPUNT33ydPUNT39ydDOWNS1167ydDOWNS837ydEND1046yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mississippi State and Georgia
StatisticMississippi StateGeorgia
Passing15-339-12
Pass Yards103201
Rush Yards177203
Total Yards280404
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-165-11
Penalties4-354-35
Possession28:4131:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mississippi State
passing
Nick Fitzgerald
14/29, 83 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Nick Gibson
5 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Deddrick Thomas
2 REC, 41 YDS
defense
Georgia
passing
Jake Fromm
9/12, 201 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Nick Chubb
15 CAR, 81 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Terry Godwin
2 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
defense
J.R. Reed
0.5 TFL, 3 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Aeris Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the MisSt 19

2nd & 16Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, False Start (Stewart Reese) to the MisSt 14

2nd & 21Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Aeris Williams run for 2 yds to the MisSt 16

3rd & 19Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Aeris Williams for 6 yds to the MisSt 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Mecole Hardman at the Geo 41

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +4.66

Terry Godwin 59 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nick Fitzgerald run for 2 yds to the MisSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Aeris Williams run for 4 yds to the MisSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Donald Gray for 6 yds to the MisSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Nick Fitzgerald run for 5 yds to the MisSt 42

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Donald Gray

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 22

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.94

D'Andre Swift run for 12 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.50

Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.90

Nick Chubb run for 16 yds to the MisSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the MisSt 32

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the MisSt 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.22

Jake Fromm pass complete to Terry Godwin for 21 yds to the MisSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the MisSt 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Nick Chubb 7 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kylin Hill run for 5 yds to the MisSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the MisSt 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 67 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Chubb run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.94

Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 18 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Geo 39

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Geo 44

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jake Fromm run for no gain to the Geo 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Cameron Nizialek punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Donald Gray at the MisSt 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Jordan Thomas

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Donald Gray for 7 yds to the MisSt 17

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.77

Nick Fitzgerald run for 6 yds to the MisSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Aeris Williams run for no gain to the MisSt 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.48

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 21 yds to the MisSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the MisSt 47

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the MisSt 48

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Donald Gray

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Terry Godwin at the Geo 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 20

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

D'Andre Swift run for 6 yds to the Geo 26

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.30

Jake Fromm pass complete to Jackson Harris for 8 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.20

Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 27 yds to the MisSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.15

Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the MisSt 36 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Isaiah Wynn) to the MisSt 46

1st & 17Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -2.58

Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 8 yds D'Andre Swift fumbled, forced by Dezmond Harris, recovered by MisSt Jamal Peters

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 3 yds to the MisSt 41

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Aeris Williams run for 4 yds to the MisSt 45

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.61

Nick Fitzgerald run for 4 yds to the MisSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Aeris Williams for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Keith Mixon

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 5 yds to the Geo 45

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Terry Godwin at the Geo 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 11

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 13

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Jake Fromm pass complete to Sony Michel for 3 yds to the Geo 16

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Cameron Nizialek punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Donald Gray at the MisSt 40

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Keith Mixon run for 11 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Nick Fitzgerald run for 7 yds to the Geo 42

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Donald Gray

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Nick Fitzgerald run for 2 yds to the Geo 40

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.81

Nick Fitzgerald run for 1 yd to the Geo 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.40

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jesse Jackson for 12 yds to the Geo 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Aeris Williams for 9 yds to the Geo 18

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.48

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the Geo 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Donald Gray

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Aeris Williams run for 5 yds to the Geo 10

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the Geo 9

4th & 4Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.88

Jace Christmann 26 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Isaiah Wynn) to the Geo 20

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Geo 22

2nd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Sony Michel run for 8 yds to the Geo 30

0th & 13End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 29

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Fromm, Jake pass incomplete to Wims, Javon, PENALTY MISSSTATE pass interference (Cleveland, Tolando) 15 yards to the GEORGIA44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Sony Michel

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.52

D'Andre Swift run for 20 yds to the MisSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Brian Herrien run for 7 yds to the MisSt 29

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Brian Herrien run for 1 yd to the MisSt 28

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.16

Nick Chubb 28 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the MisSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Aeris Williams for 2 yds to the MisSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jesse Jackson for 3 yds to the MisSt 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Mecole Hardman at the Geo 17

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.72

Brian Herrien run for a loss of 5 yards to the Geo 12

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Javon Wims

3rd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.04

Sony Michel run for 7 yds to the Geo 19

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cameron Nizialek punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MisSt 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the MisSt 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.67

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Kylin Hill for 10 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the Geo 42

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-22 ydsPPA -3.19

Nick Fitzgerald pass intercepted Deandre Baker return for 22 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the MisSt 48

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Sony Michel run for 7 yds to the MisSt 41

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.88

Isaac Nauta 41 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Donald Gray

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-25 ydsPPA -0.50

Nick Fitzgerald pass intercepted Dominick Sanders return for 15 yds to the MisSt 31GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Block (Julian Rochester) to the MisSt 41

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the MisSt 39

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the MisSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.63

Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the MisSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kendall Baker) to the MisSt 40

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the MisSt 36

2nd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brian Herrien run for no gain to the MisSt 36

3rd & 16Penalty+5 yds

Fromm, Jake pass complete to Godwin, Terry for 10 yards to the MISSSTATE26, PENALTY MISSSTATE offside (Sweat, Montez) 5 yards to the MISSSTATE31, NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Terry Godwin

4th & 11Field Goal Good+49 ydsPPA +1.34

Rodrigo Blankenship 49 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the MisSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Aeris Williams run for 2 yds to the MisSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Deddrick Thomas

4th & 7Punt-3 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 54 yds , Mecole Hardman returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 17

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Geo 20

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Geo 24

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Cameron Nizialek punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Donald Gray at the MisSt 22

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Nick Gibson run for 7 yds to the MisSt 29

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.38

Nick Gibson run for 5 yds to the MisSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 4 yds to the MisSt 38

2nd & 6Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.83

Nick Gibson run for 39 yds to the Geo 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Nick Gibson run for 2 yds to the Geo 21

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Nick Gibson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 22

3rd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.18

Nick Fitzgerald run for 14 yds to the Geo 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty-10 yds

Fitzgerald, Nick pass incomplete to Todd, Reginald, PENALTY MISSSTATE holding (Rankin, Martinas) 10 yards to the GEORGIA18, NO PLAY.

1st & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Dontavian Lee run for 7 yds to the Geo 11

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Donald Gray

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Donald Gray

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.36

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Reginald Todd

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

D'Andre Swift run for 7 yds to the Geo 18

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.36

D'Andre Swift run for 8 yds to the Geo 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Brian Herrien run for 7 yds to the Geo 33

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

D'Andre Swift run for 9 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Geo 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Geo 49

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the MisSt 49

4th & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.21

D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Keytaon Thompson pass incomplete to Reginald Todd

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Keytaon Thompson run for 2 yds to the Geo 46

3rd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.49

Keytaon Thompson run for 13 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the Geo 31

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Keytaon Thompson pass incomplete to Farrod Green

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Kylin Hill run for 9 yds to the Geo 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Keytaon Thompson pass incomplete to Justin Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.84

Keytaon Thompson pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 20 yds to the Geo 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Kylin Hill run for 1 yd to the Geo 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Kylin Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 2

Situational Analysis

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
24%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
35%
17 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Georgia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
22 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
67%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play