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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2017Week 3
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

LSU by 0.1

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 50%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 16, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LSULSU
07007
Mississippi StateMississippi State
01713737

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-710-720-727-730-737-7
Mississippi StateLSU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LSUMSLSUMSLSUMSLSUMSLSUMSLSUMSLSUMSLSUMSLSUMSLSUMSLSUMSPUNT615ydPUNT529ydPUNT736ydPUNT618ydPUNT37ydTD865ydTD865ydFG1063ydPUNT30ydTD1054ydUncategorized00ydFG748ydPUNT517ydTD679ydPUNT33ydFG529ydPUNT35ydTD664ydDOWNS950ydPUNT32ydDOWNS1140ydEND844yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing LSU and Mississippi State
StatisticLSUMississippi State
Passing13-2915-23
Pass Yards137180
Rush Yards133285
Total Yards270465
Turnovers00
3rd Down3-137-13
Penalties9-1125-49
Possession24:0535:55

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

LSU
passing
Danny Etling
13/29, 137 YDS
rushing
Derrius Guice
15 CAR, 76 YDS
receiving
Darrel Williams
2 REC, 37 YDS
defense
Mississippi State
passing
Nick Fitzgerald
15/23, 180 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Aeris Williams
23 CAR, 146 YDS
receiving
Keith Mixon
6 REC, 97 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Derrius Guice run for 4 yds to the LSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Danny Etling pass complete to D.J. Chark for 5 yds to the LSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Derrius Guice run for 3 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 1 yd to the LSU 38

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 34

2nd & 13Penalty-16 yds

LSU Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-16 Yards) to the LSU 18

2nd & 29Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.14

Danny Etling pass complete to D.J. Chark for 12 yds to the LSU 30

3rd & 17Fumble Recovery (Own)+11 ydsPPA +0.37

Danny Etling run for 11 yds to the LSU 41 Danny Etling fumbled, recovered by LSU Danny Etling

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Josh Growden punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Donald Gray at the MisSt 20

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Nick Fitzgerald run for 16 yds to the MisSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.67

Aeris Williams run for 19 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 5 yds to the LSU 40

2nd & 5Penalty-15 yds

Fitzgerald, Nick pass incomplete to Jackson, Jesse, PENALTY MISSSTATE pass interference 15 yards to the MISSSTATE45, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Aeris Williams run for 4 yds to the MisSt 49

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 40 yds, fair catch by D.J. Chark at the LSU 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.69

Danny Etling pass complete to J.D. Moore for 14 yds to the LSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Derrius Guice run for 6 yds to the LSU 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Derrius Guice run for 1 yd to the LSU 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Danny Etling pass incomplete

4th & 3Penalty+15 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the LSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Danny Etling pass incomplete to D.J. Chark

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Russell Gage run for no gain to the LSU 47

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Danny Etling pass incomplete to D.J. Chark

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Josh Growden punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Donald Gray at the MisSt 13

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Aeris Williams run for 5 yds to the MisSt 18

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.48

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jordan Thomas for 6 yds to the MisSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.28

Nick Fitzgerald run for 4 yds to the MisSt 28 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MisSt 18

1st & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Nick Fitzgerald run for 6 yds to the MisSt 24

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Aeris Williams run for 6 yds to the MisSt 30

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the MisSt 31

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 50 yds, downed at the LSU 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the LSU 24

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Darrel Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 26

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Danny Etling pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+14 yds

Josh Growden punt for 53 yds , Donald Gray returns for 14 yds to the MisSt 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Aeris Williams run for 5 yds to the MisSt 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.59

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 13 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Aeris Williams

2nd & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.06

Aeris Williams run for 28 yds to the LSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Nick Fitzgerald run for 6 yds to the LSU 13

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 10 yds to the LSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Derrius Guice run for 5 yds to the LSU 40

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Derrius Guice run for 4 yds to the LSU 44

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.68

Derrius Guice run for 9 yds to the MisSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the MisSt 45

2nd & 8Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.58

Derrius Guice run for 25 yds to the MisSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 yds

Derrick Dillon run for 13 yds to the MisSt 7 LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MisSt 17

1st & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.23

Darrel Williams run for 7 yds to the MisSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Darrel Williams run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jack Gonsoulin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Aeris Williams run for 4 yds to the MisSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jesse Jackson for 8 yds to the MisSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.45

Aeris Williams run for 6 yds to the MS 43 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the LSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Aeris Williams run for no gain to the LSU 42

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

LSU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the LSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Aeris Williams run for 6 yds to the LSU 21

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Dontavian Lee run for 5 yds to the LSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the LSU 13

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Donald Gray for 1 yd to the LSU 12

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.65

Jace Christmann 30 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Guice, Derrius rush for loss of 2 yards to the LSU23, PENALTY LSU personal foul 10 yards to the LSU13, NO PLAY.

1st & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Danny Etling pass incomplete to D.J. Chark

2nd & 22Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.04

Derrius Guice run for 7 yds to the LSU 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Danny Etling pass complete to Derrius Guice for 3 yds to the LSU 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Josh Growden punt for 31 yds, downed at the MisSt 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Donald Gray

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Aeris Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 45

3rd & 11Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.53

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Farrod Green for 22 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Aeris Williams run for 8 yds to the LSU 25

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Nick Fitzgerald run for 1 yd to the LSU 24

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the LSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Nick Fitzgerald sacked by Arden Key and Greg Gilmore for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.52

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 19 yds to the LSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Nick Fitzgerald run for 1 yd to the LSU 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

N. Fitzgerald run for 3 yds for a TD, (J. Christmann KICK)

0th & 9End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Logan Cooke kickoff for 65 yds , Clyde Edwards-Helaire return for 21 yds to the LSU 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the MisSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jordan Thomas for 7 yds to the MisSt 33

3rd & 2Penalty+15 yds

Fitzgerald, Nick pass incomplete, PENALTY LSU roughing passer 15 yards to the MISSSTATE48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSSTATE.

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.07

Aeris Williams run for 18 yds to the LSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Aeris Williams run for 8 yds to the LSU 26

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 31

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 28

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Aeris Williams for 1 yd to the LSU 27

4th & 3Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA +0.02

Jace Christmann 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Danny Etling pass complete to D.J. Chark for 6 yds to the LSU 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the LSU 33

3rd & 2Penalty+4 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (4 Yards) to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Derrius Guice run for 6 yds to the LSU 43

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.41

Derrius Guice run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 42

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Danny Etling pass incomplete to Russell Gage

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Josh Growden punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Donald Gray at the MisSt 21

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Fitzgerald, Nick pass incomplete to Thomas, Jordan, PENALTY LSU personal foul 15 yards to the MISSSTATE36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSSTATE.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Aeris Williams run for 4 yds to the MisSt 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 5 yds to the MisSt 45

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the MisSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Donald Gray for 7 yds to the LSU 47

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Aeris Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 45

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +4.23

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 45 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

3rd & 1Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Logan Cooke kickoff for 65 yds , Clyde Edwards-Helaire return for 19 yds to the LSU 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Derrius Guice run for 3 yds to the LSU 22

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Danny Etling pass incomplete to D.J. Chark

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Danny Etling pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+35 yds

Josh Growden punt for 52 yds , Donald Gray returns for 35 yds to the LSU 39

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.58

Nick Fitzgerald run for 24 yds to the LSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Aeris Williams run for 4 yds to the LSU 11

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Nick Fitzgerald run for 1 yd to the LSU 10

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.79

Jace Christmann 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Derrius Guice run for no gain to the LSU 25

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Russell Gage run for 5 yds to the LSU 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Danny Etling pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Josh Growden punt for 34 yds , Donald Gray returns for no gain to the MisSt 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Donald Gray

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Aeris Williams run for 6 yds to the MisSt 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.32

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Donald Gray for 11 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Aeris Williams run for 8 yds to the LSU 39

2nd & 2Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.22

Nick Fitzgerald run for 19 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 20 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Danny Etling pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Danny Etling pass complete to Derrick Dillon for 10 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.70

Danny Etling pass complete to Darrel Williams for 19 yds to the MisSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Danny Etling pass complete to Derrick Dillon for 11 yds to the MisSt 35 LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MisSt 45

1st & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.60

Danny Etling pass complete to Darrel Williams for 18 yds to the MisSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Danny Etling pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Danny Etling pass incomplete to Derrick Dillon

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.77

Danny Etling sacked by Jeffery Simmons for a loss of 4 yards to the MisSt 31

4th & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -1.33

Danny Etling pass complete to J.D. Moore for 6 yds to the MisSt 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dontavian Lee run for 4 yds to the MisSt 29

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.82

Dontavian Lee run for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 48 yds, downed at the LSU 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Danny Etling pass incomplete to Drake Davis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Danny Etling pass complete to Foster Moreau for 15 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Danny Etling run for 7 yds to the LSU 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Danny Etling pass complete to Foster Moreau for 2 yds to the LSU 49

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.27

Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the MisSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Danny Etling sacked by Marquiss Spencer and Jeffery Simmons for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 14Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.54

Danny Etling pass complete to Russell Gage for 16 yds to the MisSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Derrick Dillon run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Danny Etling pass incomplete to Derrick Dillon

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Danny Etling pass incomplete to D.J. Chark

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Danny Etling pass incomplete to D.J. Chark

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nick Gibson run for 5 yds to the MisSt 40

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.37

Kylin Hill run for 11 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Nick Gibson run for 14 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Kylin Hill run for no gain to the LSU 35

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Nick Gibson run for 4 yds to the LSU 31

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.18

Keytaon Thompson run for 12 yds to the LSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 20

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.62

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 21

Situational Analysis

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
17%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
52%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
56%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays