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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2017Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 17.3

Home Win Probability

Alabama 90%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 16, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Colorado StateColorado State
01001323
AlabamaAlabama
17714341

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-017-017-317-1024-1031-1041-1041-1741-23
AlabamaColorado State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALACSALACSALACSALACSALACSALACSCSALACSALACSALACSALACSALATD675ydPUNT36ydTD495ydPUNT30ydFG733ydDOWNS423ydMISS713ydFG1255ydPUNT39ydTD1185ydTD576ydEND27ydTO842ydTD1488ydTO427ydTD211ydPUNT625ydFG965ydTD1175ydPUNT31ydTD1582ydEND326yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado State and Alabama
StatisticColorado StateAlabama
Passing21-3813-21
Pass Yards247248
Rush Yards144239
Total Yards391487
Turnovers20
3rd Down10-187-12
Penalties3-144-45
Possession33:5326:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado State
passing
Nick Stevens
21/38, 247 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Dalyn Dawkins
10 CAR, 59 YDS
receiving
Michael Gallup
5 REC, 81 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Jalen Hurts
12/17, 248 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jalen Hurts
11 CAR, 103 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Calvin Ridley
3 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Jalen Hurts run for 14 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.44

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Damien Harris for 17 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the ColSt 41

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds to the ColSt 35

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Damien Harris run for 8 yds to the ColSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Jalen Hurts 27 Yd Run (Andy Pappanastos Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 2 yds to the ColSt 26

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Dalyn Dawkins run for no gain to the ColSt 26

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Nick Stevens pass complete to Detrich Clark for 4 yds to the ColSt 30

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 65 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 5

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Bo Scarbrough run for 8 yds to the Alab 13

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Bo Scarbrough run for 1 yd to the Alab 14

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Bo Scarbrough run for 8 yds to the Alab 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+78 ydsPPA +6.27

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 78 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael Gallup, broken up by Levi Wallace

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Dalyn Dawkins run for no gain to the ColSt 23

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Cameron Butler, broken up by Levi Wallace

4th & 10Punt+9 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 47 yds , Trevon Diggs returns for 9 yds to the Alab 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 12 yds to the ColSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the ColSt 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Damien Harris for 8 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the ColSt 32

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the ColSt 28

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

4th & 3Field Goal Good+46 ydsPPA +0.11

Andy Pappanastos 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Stevens, Nick pass incomplete to Gallup, Michael, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Averett, Anthony) 15 yards to the COLOST40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COLOST.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Izzy Matthews run for 7 yds to the ColSt 47

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.96

Izzy Matthews run for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 4 yds to the ColSt 48

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Olabisi Johnson

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 2 yds to the ColSt 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Cam Sims for 7 yds to the ColSt 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.67

Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the ColSt 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the ColSt 35

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+52 yds

JK Scott 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.49

Izzy Matthews run for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 33

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalton Fackrell for 6 yds to the ColSt 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.62

Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.87

Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 15 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.32

Nick Stevens run for 13 yds to the Alab 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Nick Stevens run for 6 yds to the Alab 16

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the Alab 13

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.08

Izzy Matthews run for 2 yds to the Alab 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.29

Nick Stevens run for no gain to the Alab 11 Nick Stevens fumbled, recovered by ColSt Nick Stevens

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Izzy Matthews run for 2 yds to the Alab 9

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Cameron Butler

4th & 8Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.66

Wyatt Bryan 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds to the Alab 41

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 44

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Najee Harris run for no gain to the Alab 44

4th & 1Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Olabisi Johnson at the ColSt 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Rashaad Boddie run for 1 yd to the ColSt 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.51

Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 39 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Rashaad Boddie run for 4 yds to the Alab 41

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Rashaad Boddie run for 1 yd to the Alab 40

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Stevens, Nick pass complete to Johnson, Olabisi for 8 yards to the ALABAMA32, PENALTY COLOST ineligible downfield on pass (Fackrell, Dalton) 5 yards to the ALABAMA45, NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.92

Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalton Fackrell for 25 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Nick Stevens pass complete to Adam Prentice for 9 yds to the Alab 11

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Rashaad Boddie run for no gain to the Alab 11

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.15

Nick Stevens run for 2 yds to the Alab 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Izzy Matthews run for 2 yds to the Alab 7

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the Alab 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Nick Stevens pass complete to Warren Jackson for 4 yds for a TD ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Anthony Averett) declined, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Bo Scarbrough for 11 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Jalen Hurts run for 11 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the Alab 48

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +5.93

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Robert Foster for 52 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dalyn Dawkins run for 4 yds to the ColSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the ColSt 32

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 12 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Dalton Fackrell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.35

Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 14 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Nick Stevens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Dalyn Dawkins run for 7 yds to the Alab 42

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.36

Dalyn Dawkins run for 8 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Dalyn Dawkins run for 1 yd to the Alab 33

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.56

Nick Stevens pass intercepted Ronnie Harrison return for no gain to the Alab 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 14

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 18

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Alab 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 25

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the Alab 29

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.04

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Bo Scarbrough for 12 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Bo Scarbrough run for 8 yds to the Alab 49

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.34

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

3rd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.90

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Bo Scarbrough for 13 yds to the ColSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Robert Foster

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the ColSt 33

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.07

Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds to the ColSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the ColSt 21

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.12

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Miller Forristall for 12 yds to the ColSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Bo Scarbrough run for 9 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.39

Nick Stevens pass complete to Izzy Matthews for 27 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Warren Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Olabisi Johnson, broken up by Levi Wallace

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return-65 ydsPPA -1.19

Nick Stevens pass intercepted Hootie Jones return for 65 yds to the ColSt 11

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Josh Jacobs run for 6 yds to the ColSt 5

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.34

Damien Harris run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael Gallup, broken up by Minkah Fitzpatrick

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Cameron Butler

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.74

Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 18 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Dalyn Dawkins run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.98

Dalyn Dawkins run for 1 yd to the Alab 49

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Nick Stevens pass incomplete, broken up by Da'Ron Payne

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trevon Diggs at the Alab 10

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Jalen Hurts run for 9 yds to the Alab 19

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Bo Scarbrough run for 11 yds to the Alab 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Bo Scarbrough run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 29

2nd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.31

Jalen Hurts run for 15 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.50

Jalen Hurts pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 24 yds to the ColSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Hale Hentges

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Najee Harris run for 7 yds to the ColSt 25

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Najee Harris

4th & 3Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA -0.13

Andy Pappanastos 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Detrich Clark run for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 22

2nd & 13Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.27

Dalyn Dawkins run for 29 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Detrich Clark run for 3 yds to the Alab 46

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Izzy Matthews run for 9 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Izzy Matthews run for 6 yds to the Alab 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael Gallup

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

Stevens, Nick pass incomplete to Fackrell, Dalton (Holcombe, Keith), PENALTY ALABAMA personal foul (Allen, Christopher) 15 yards to the ALABAMA16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COLOST.

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Nick Stevens pass complete to Detrich Clark for 11 yds to the Alab 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Izzy Matthews run for 2 yds to the Alab 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Izzy Matthews run for 2 yds to the Alab 1

3rd & 1Penalty0 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jamar King) to the Alab 1

3rd & 1Penalty-4 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (Jake Bennett) to the Alab 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Izzy Matthews, broken up by Keith Holcombe

4th & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +3.05

Nick Stevens run for 5 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 23

3rd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.16

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Najee Harris for no gain to the Alab 23

4th & 9Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 59 yds, fair catch by Olabisi Johnson at the ColSt 18

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Izzy Matthews run for 13 yds to the ColSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Izzy Matthews run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 29

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael Gallup

3rd & 12Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.83

Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 11 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Roughing Passer (Isaiah Buggs) to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Izzy Matthews run for 6 yds to the Alab 39

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Izzy Matthews run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.94

Nick Stevens pass complete to Izzy Matthews for 16 yds to the Alab 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Nick Stevens pass complete to Izzy Matthews for 4 yds to the Alab 21

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 19

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.44

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Marvin Kinsey Jr. run for no gain to the Alab 15

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Nick Stevens pass complete to Adam Prentice for 6 yds to the Alab 9

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.30

Nick Stevens pass complete to Detrich Clark for 6 yds to the Alab 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael Gallup

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Nick Stevens pass complete to Warren Jackson for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Damien Harris run for 10 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.43

Bo Scarbrough run for 17 yds to the ColSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Bo Scarbrough run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 21

Situational Analysis

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
40%
30 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
0%
7 plays
42%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
60%
30 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
57%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays