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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2017Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisiana Tech by 0.6

Home Win Probability

Louisiana Tech 52%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 9, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mississippi StateMississippi State
162021057
Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech
950721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-09-39-169-3011-3614-5014-5721-57
Louisiana TechMississippi State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LTMSLTMSLTMSLTMSLTLTMSLTMSLTMSLTMSLTMSLTMSLTLTMSLTMSLTMSFG765ydPUNT30ydPUNT617ydTO624ydTD22ydFG559ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT34ydTD37ydTO218ydTD117ydPUNT38ydPUNT30ydTO1-12ydTD214ydPUNT69ydTD475ydPUNT420ydTD1176ydFG847ydTD272ydTD1065ydPUNT30ydTD959ydPUNT93ydDOWNS1155ydTD1590ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mississippi State and Louisiana Tech
StatisticMississippi StateLouisiana Tech
Passing13-2013-30
Pass Yards132163
Rush Yards327152
Total Yards459315
Turnovers13
3rd Down5-104-15
Penalties5-393-28
Possession23:5236:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mississippi State
passing
Nick Fitzgerald
12/18, 124 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Nick Fitzgerald
10 CAR, 111 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Aeris Williams
1 REC, 28 YDS
defense
Louisiana Tech
passing
J'Mar Smith
10/23, 140 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Boston Scott
13 CAR, 96 YDS
receiving
Marcus Gaines
3 REC, 104 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Boston Scott run for 4 yds to the LaTch 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+58 ydsPPA +4.30

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 58 yds to the MisSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the MisSt 10

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.67

Jonathan Barnes 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Fitzgerald run for no gain to the MisSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete, broken up by Amik Robertson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jarred Craft run for 6 yds to the LaTch 26

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the LaTch 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.89

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for no gain to the LaTch 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 6 yds to the LaTch 37

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Boston Scott

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brady Farlow punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Nick Fitzgerald run for 7 yds to the MisSt 31

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.22

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the MisSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the MisSt 37

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 32

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Keytaon Thompson pass complete to Donald Gray for 8 yds to the MisSt 40

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.07

Nick Fitzgerald run for 8 yds to the MisSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-61 ydsPPA -2.99

Nick Fitzgerald pass intercepted Amik Robertson return for 61 yds to the MisSt 2

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the MisSt 1

2nd & 1Penalty0 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) to the MisSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kam McKnight run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+59 ydsPPA +3.67

Aeris Williams run for 59 yds to the LaTch 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the LaTch 18

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.81

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Donald Gray for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 19

4th & 10Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA +0.11

Tucker Day 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Boston Scott run for 5 yds to the LaTch 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Marcus Gaines

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Boston Scott

4th & 5Penalty-8 yds

LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, intentional grounding (J'Mar Smith) to the LaTch 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brady Farlow punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nick Fitzgerald run for 5 yds to the MisSt 44

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Aeris Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Keith Mixon

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 17

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Jarred Craft run for 7 yds to the LaTch 24

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the LaTch 25

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jarred Craft run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 24

4th & 3Blocked Punt0 yds

TEAM punt blocked by Jeffery Simmons blocked by Jeffery Simmons Jeffery Simmons return for no gain for a TD, (Tucker Day KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SMITH, J'Mar pass incomplete to WATTS, Marlon (Chris Rayford), PENALTY MS pass interference (Chris Rayford) 15 yards to the LATECH40, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Boston Scott run for 3 yds to the LaTch 43

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-32 ydsPPA -1.81

J'Mar Smith pass intercepted Mark McLaurin return for 32 yds to the LaTch 17

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jordan Thomas for 17 yds for a TD, (Tucker Day PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the LaTch 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for 6 yds to the LaTch 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brady Farlow punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Nick Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the MisSt 29

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Nick Gibson run for a loss of 3 yards to the MisSt 26

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 48 yds, downed at the LaTch 26

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.07

J'Mar Smith sacked by Gerri Green for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 14 J'Mar Smith fumbled, recovered by MisSt Tre Brown , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jordan Thomas for 8 yds to the LaTch 6

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.10

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Donald Gray for 6 yds for a TD, (Tucker Day KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

J'Mar Smith run for 5 yds to the LaTch 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jarred Craft run for 4 yds to the LaTch 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Boston Scott run for no gain to the LaTch 36

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.80

J'Mar Smith sacked by Dezmond Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 34

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy Veal, broken up by Mark McLaurin

4th & 12Punt-9 yds

Brady Farlow punt for 47 yds , Gabe Myles returns for a loss of 9 yards to the MisSt 25 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Ronald Lewis) to the MisSt 25

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.94

Aeris Williams run for 36 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the LaTch 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Donald Gray for 6 yds to the LaTch 30

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.14

Nick Fitzgerald run for 30 yds for a TD, (Tucker Day KICK)

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Boston Scott run for 20 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Boston Scott run for 3 yds to the LaTch 48

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (Marcus Gaines) to the LaTch 43

2nd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Boston Scott for 2 yds to the LaTch 45

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Kam McKnight

4th & 10Punt+5 yds

Brady Farlow punt for 36 yds , Gabe Myles returns for 5 yds to the MisSt 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 9 yds to the MisSt 33

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the MisSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Aeris Williams run for 3 yds to the MisSt 39

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Aeris Williams run for no gain to the MisSt 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.45

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 9 yds to the MisSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.42

Nick Fitzgerald run for 9 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Dontavian Lee run for 9 yds to the LaTch 32

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.34

Dontavian Lee run for 6 yds to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Justin Johnson for 5 yds to the LaTch 21

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.64

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Gabe Myles for 21 yds for a TD, (Tucker Day PAT BLOCKED), (Tucker Day PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 0Defensive 2pt Conversion0 yds

Amik Robertson return for defensive PAT

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Jarred Craft run for 16 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for 7 yds to the LaTch 48

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Marcus Gaines

3rd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Jarred Craft run for 11 yds to the MisSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy Veal

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.35

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 13 yds to the MisSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA -0.72

Jonathan Barnes 45 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.44

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Aeris Williams for 28 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

Nick Fitzgerald run for 44 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jarred Craft run for 8 yds to the LaTch 33

2nd & 2Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.81

Boston Scott run for 24 yds to the MisSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Boston Scott run for 6 yds to the MisSt 37

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.30

Jarred Craft run for 9 yds to the MisSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Jarred Craft run for 7 yds to the MisSt 21

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.09

J'Mar Smith run for 11 yds to the MisSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Jarred Craft run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 11

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.31

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 9 yds to the MisSt 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Jarred Craft

4th & 2Sack+90 yds

J'Mar Smith sacked by Gerri Green for a loss of 8 yards J'Mar Smith fumbled, recovered by MisSt Jeffery Simmons , return for 0 yards , return for 90 yds, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaqwis Dancy run for 3 yds to the LaTch 28

2nd & 7Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.97

J'Mar Smith sacked by Leo Lewis and Johnathan Abram for a loss of 11 yards to the LaTch 17

3rd & 18Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.06

J'Mar Smith run for 8 yds to the LaTch 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brady Farlow punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Gabe Myles at the MisSt 41

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kylin Hill run for 5 yds to the MisSt 46

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Kylin Hill run for 10 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jesse Jackson for 14 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Kylin Hill run for 10 yds to the LaTch 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the LaTch 18

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Kylin Hill run for 7 yds to the LaTch 11

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.88

Deddrick Thomas run for 7 yds to the LaTch 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Nick Fitzgerald run for 2 yds to the LaTch 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Boston Scott run for 3 yds to the LaTch 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Boston Scott run for 4 yds to the LaTch 32

3rd & 3Penalty+15 yds

SMITH, J'Mar pass incomplete to POWELL, Cee Jay (C. Dantzler), PENALTY MS personal foul (C. Dantzler) 15 yards to the LATECH47, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the LaTch 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.40

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 33 yds to the MisSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

J'Mar Smith pass complete to Boston Scott for 6 yds to the MisSt 13

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Boston Scott run for 3 yds to the MisSt 10

3rd & 1Penalty+4 yds

HOLLY, Bobby rush for 1 yard to the MS9 (Tre Brown;Grant Harris), PENALTY MS 12 men on the field 4 yards to the MS6, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Boston Scott run for no gain to the MisSt 6

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.30

TEAM run for no gain to the LaTch 7 TEAM fumbled,

3rd & 93Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.00

Boston Scott run for 21 yds to the LaTch 28

4th & 72Punt0 yds

Brady Farlow punt for 37 yds, downed at the MisSt 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kylin Hill run for 6 yds to the MisSt 41

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.00

Kylin Hill run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Keytaon Thompson run for 7 yds to the LaTch 43

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the LaTch 41

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.83

Keytaon Thompson run for 4 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Kylin Hill run for 9 yds to the LaTch 28

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.31

Nick Gibson run for 11 yds to the LaTch 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Nick Gibson run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 19

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Nick Gibson run for 6 yds to the LaTch 13

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Keytaon Thompson pass incomplete, broken up by Trey Spencer

4th & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -3.60

Nick Gibson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 10

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.65

Jaqwis Dancy run for 14 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jaqwis Dancy run for 6 yds to the LaTch 30

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.58

Jaqwis Dancy run for 5 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jaqwis Dancy run for 6 yds to the LaTch 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.57

Westin Elliott pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 4 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Jaqwis Dancy run for 6 yds to the MisSt 49

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.48

Jaqwis Dancy run for 5 yds to the MisSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Israel Tucker run for 1 yd to the MisSt 43

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Westin Elliott pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Westin Elliott pass incomplete to Cee Jay Powell

4th & 9Rush+19 ydsPPA +3.49

Israel Tucker run for 19 yds to the MisSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Israel Tucker run for 5 yds to the MisSt 19

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Westin Elliott pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 10 yds to the MisSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Westin Elliott pass incomplete to Cee Jay Powell, broken up by Stephen Adegoke

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Westin Elliott pass complete to Zach Cousar for 9 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 12

Situational Analysis

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
61%
28 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Louisiana Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
32 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
31%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays