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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2017Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mississippi State by 2.6

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 58%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 2, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Charleston Southern
00000
Mississippi StateMississippi State
23127749

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-023-026-035-042-049-0
Mississippi StateCharleston Southern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSCSMSCSMSCSMSCSMSCSMSCSMSCSMSCSMSCSCSMSCSMSCSMSCSMSCSMSCSMSTD475ydPUNT39ydMISS1563ydPUNT3-10ydTD343ydSAF1-16ydTD640ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT519ydPUNT615ydFG733ydPUNT32ydPUNT32ydSAF2-1ydTD455ydPUNT37ydPUNT30ydEND26ydPUNT36ydTD1278ydPUNT31ydMISS828ydPUNT33ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-22ydPUNT30ydPUNT32ydTD1080ydPUNT619ydEND313yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Charleston Southern and Mississippi State
StatisticCharleston SouthernMississippi State
Passing3-820-36
Pass Yards15274
Rush Yards18281
Total Yards33555
Turnovers00
3rd Down2-146-15
Penalties4-307-60
Possession27:3532:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Charleston Southern
passing
Shane Bucenell
3/8, 15 YDS
rushing
Ronnie Harris
7 CAR, 18 YDS
receiving
Travay Hatten
1 REC, 7 YDS
defense
Mississippi State
passing
Nick Fitzgerald
16/29, 239 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Aeris Williams
16 CAR, 83 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Farrod Green
2 REC, 68 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Gabe Myles for 6 yds to the MisSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Aeris Williams run for 5 yds to the MisSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+62 ydsPPA +3.93

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Farrod Green for 62 yds to the ChaSo 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Nick Fitzgerald run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tucker Day KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Shane Bucenell run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 25

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Chanin Hamilton run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 27

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Shane Bucenell pass complete to Chanin Hamilton for 5 yds Chanin Hamilton fumbled, recovered by ChaSo

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Kyle Reighard punt for 46 yds, downed at the MisSt 22

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Aeris Williams run for no gain to the MisSt 22

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.84

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jordan Thomas for 12 yds to the MisSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jordan Thomas for 6 yds to the MisSt 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.47

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Jesse Jackson for 15 yds to the ChaSo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Aeris Williams run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 40

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Deddrick Thomas run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 39

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

4th & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.39

Nick Fitzgerald run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.90

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Keith Mixon for 15 yds to the ChaSo 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 16

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 15

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

Nick Fitzgerald run for no gain to the ChaSo 15

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Tucker Day 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Chanin Hamilton run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 21

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Ronnie Harris run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 22

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.26

Shane Bucenell sacked by Jeffery Simmons for a loss of 7 yards to the ChaSo 15

4th & 15Penalty-5 yds

CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, Delay of Game (Kyle Reighard) to the ChaSo 10

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Kyle Reighard punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ChaSo 43

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.67

Nick Fitzgerald run for 19 yds to the ChaSo 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the ChaSo 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Dontavian Lee run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Gabe Myles for 8 yds for a TD, (Tucker Day KICK)

1st & 10Safety0 ydsPPA -2.42

Shane Bucenell run for a loss of 16 yards for a SAFETY Shane Bucenell fumbled, recovered by ChaSo Chanin Hamilton for a SAFETY

2nd & 26Kickoff Return (Offense)+52 yds

Kyle Reighard kickoff for 57 yds , Donald Gray return for 52 yds to the ChaSo25 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Sideline Interference (15 Yards) to the ChaSo 40

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.56

Kylin Hill run for 19 yds to the ChaSo 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Kylin Hill run for 8 yds to the ChaSo 13

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Kylin Hill run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Kylin Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 7

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Aeris Williams run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Aeris Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tucker Day KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ronnie Harris run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 30

2nd & 5Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.26

Chanin Hamilton run for a loss of 8 yards to the ChaSo 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Shane Bucenell pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+4 yds

Kyle Reighard punt for 36 yds , Gabe Myles returns for 4 yds to the MisSt 46 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the MisSt 36

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MisSt 31

1st & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Reginald Todd for 8 yds to the MisSt 39

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Aeris Williams run for 8 yds to the MisSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Reginald Todd for 5 yds to the ChaSo 48

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Aeris Williams run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 46

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 34 yds, fair catch by James Allen at the ChaSo 11

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Ronnie Harris run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 15

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Ronnie Harris run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 16

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.83

Chanin Hamilton run for 6 yds to the ChaSo 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.83

Chanin Hamilton run for a loss of 3 yards to the ChaSo 19

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Shane Bucenell pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.07

Shane Bucenell pass complete to Travay Hatten for 7 yds Travay Hatten fumbled, recovered by ChaSo

4th & 6Punt+19 yds

Kyle Reighard punt for 49 yds , Gabe Myles returns for 19 yds to the MisSt 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Aeris Williams run for 11 yds to the ChaSo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.84

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 24 yds to the ChaSo 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Nick Fitzgerald run for a loss of 2 yards to the ChaSo 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Gabe Myles

4th & 12Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA +0.68

Tucker Day 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ronnie Harris run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 24

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Ronnie Harris run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 26

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, False Start (Caleb Brannon) to the ChaSo 21

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Shane Bucenell pass incomplete to Saire Davis

4th & 8Punt+40 yds

Kyle Reighard punt for 40 yds , Gabe Myles returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 38

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the MisSt 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Jordan Thomas

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Keith Mixon

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 59 yds, downed at the ChaSo 1

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Noah Shuler run for no gain to the ChaSo 1

2nd & 10Safety-1 ydsPPA -1.77

Noah Shuler run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Nick Fitzgerald run for 11 yds to the ChaSo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.62

Aeris Williams run for 15 yds to the ChaSo 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.90

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Donald Gray for 24 yds to the ChaSo 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, False Start (Stewart Reese) to the ChaSo 10

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 10 yds for a TD, (Tucker Day KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Shane Bucenell run for no gain to the ChaSo 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Shane Bucenell pass complete to Geoffrey Wall for 3 yds to the ChaSo 28

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Shane Bucenell run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kyle Reighard punt for 54 yds, downed at the MisSt 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Aeris Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Gabe Myles

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Keith Mixon

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 44 yds, fair catch by James Allen at the ChaSo 42

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chanin Hamilton run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 46

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Chanin Hamilton run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 48

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ronnie Harris run for no gain to the ChaSo 25

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Geoffrey Wall run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 32

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Chanin Hamilton run for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kyle Reighard punt for 47 yds, downed at the MisSt 22

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Aeris Williams run for 6 yds to the MisSt 28

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Aeris Williams run for 1 yd to the MisSt 29

3rd & 3Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.85

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Donald Gray for 22 yds to the ChaSo 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Nick Fitzgerald run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Donald Gray for 11 yds to the ChaSo 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete to Justin Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Aeris Williams run for 8 yds to the ChaSo 26

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.52

Aeris Williams run for 12 yds to the ChaSo 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Nick Fitzgerald pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Gabe Myles for 5 yds to the ChaSo 9

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.36

Nick Fitzgerald pass complete to Farrod Green for 6 yds to the ChaSo 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Dontavian Lee run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tucker Day KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Shane Bucenell pass incomplete to Kenny Dinkins

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Chanin Hamilton run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 10

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Shane Bucenell pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kyle Reighard punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Gabe Myles at the MisSt 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Nick Gibson run for 3 yds to the MisSt 45

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.70

Keytaon Thompson run for 13 yds to the ChaSo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Keytaon Thompson run for 2 yds to the ChaSo 40

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Nick Gibson run for 12 yds to the ChaSo 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Keytaon Thompson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Keytaon Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 29

3rd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.20

Keytaon Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ChaSo 30

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Tucker Day 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

London Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ChaSo 28

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

London Johnson run for 4 yds to the ChaSo 32

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Ellijah Henry run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 33

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kyle Reighard punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Gabe Myles at the MisSt 27

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Kylin Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 26

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Keytaon Thompson pass incomplete to Reginald Todd

3rd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Keytaon Thompson run for 7 yds to the MisSt 33

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Logan Cooke punt for 40 yds, fair catch by James Allen at the ChaSo 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

London Johnson run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 30

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Noah Shuler run for no gain to the ChaSo 30

3rd & 7Rush-25 ydsPPA -0.54

TEAM run for a loss of 25 yards to the ChaSo 5

4th & 32Punt0 yds

Kyle Reighard punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Gabe Myles at the MisSt 41

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dareuan Parker) to the MisSt 31

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Keytaon Thompson pass complete to Nick Gibson for 4 yds to the MisSt 35

2nd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Keytaon Thompson pass complete to Reginald Todd for 11 yds to the MisSt 46

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, False Start (Evans Wilkerson) to the MisSt 41

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Keytaon Thompson pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kody Schexnayder punt for 28 yds, downed at the ChaSo 31

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

London Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ChaSo 29

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Terrance Wilson run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 32

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Terrance Wilson run for 1 yd to the ChaSo 33

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kyle Reighard punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Gabe Myles at the MisSt 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the MisSt 22

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.51

Kylin Hill run for 13 yds to the MisSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Nick Gibson run for 11 yds to the MisSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nick Gibson run for no gain to the MisSt 46

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Kylin Hill run for 13 yds to the MISSSTATE 41 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MisSt 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.31

Keytaon Thompson pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 9 yds to the ChaSo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Nick Gibson run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 35

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.08

Nick Gibson run for 8 yds to the ChaSo 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.22

Keytaon Thompson run for 16 yds to the ChaSo 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Keytaon Thompson pass complete to Jamal Couch for 11 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Robert Mitchell run for 8 yds to the ChaSo 33

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

CHARLESTON SOU Penalty, False Start (Nick Tononi) to the ChaSo 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Adam Allen run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 33

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.54

Robert Mitchell run for 7 yds to the ChaSo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Adam Allen run for 3 yds to the ChaSo 43

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.56

Robert Mitchell run for a loss of 4 yards to the ChaSo 39

3rd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Terrance Wilson run for 5 yds to the ChaSo 44

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kyle Reighard punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Gabe Myles at the MisSt 13

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Alec Murphy run for 3 yds to the MisSt 16

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Bennie Braswell III run for 4 yds to the MisSt 20

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.90

Alec Murphy run for 6 yds to the MisSt 26 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Charleston Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
18%
17 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
22%
9 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
4th

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
50%
36 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
61%
18 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play