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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2017Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ole Miss by 7.3

Home Win Probability

Ole Miss 72%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 2, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
01031427
Ole MissOle Miss
10327747

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-010-010-313-1019-1026-1340-1347-2047-27
Ole MissSouth Alabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SAOMSAOMSAOMSAOMSAOMSAOMSAOMSAOMSAOMSAOMSAOMSAOMPUNT34ydTD978ydPUNT3-18ydFG1243ydFG1995ydTO415ydTD340ydFG1367ydEND1-6ydTD275ydPUNT36ydTD376ydPUNT313ydPUNT3-1ydFG956ydTD00ydPUNT3-6ydTD564ydDOWNS736ydTD661ydTD875ydMISS42ydTD872ydEND626yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Alabama and Ole Miss
StatisticSouth AlabamaOle Miss
Passing19-3128-35
Pass Yards204429
Rush Yards170102
Total Yards374531
Turnovers01
3rd Down1-106-11
Penalties3-227-45
Possession31:5128:09

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Alabama
passing
Cole Garvin
19/31, 204 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tra Minter
12 CAR, 83 YDS
receiving
Sa'Mory Collier
4 REC, 43 YDS
defense
Jeremy Reaves
2 TFL, 1 PD
Ole Miss
passing
Shea Patterson
28/35, 429 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
D'Vaughn Pennamon
7 CAR, 34 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
A.J. Brown
8 REC, 233 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Cole Garvin pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 8 yds to the SAlab 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Andrew Reinkemeyer

4th & 6Punt+5 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 54 yds , A.J. Brown returns for 5 yds to the Miss 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.32

Shea Patterson pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 16 yds to the Miss 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to A.J. Brown

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.63

Shea Patterson pass complete to Jordan Wilkins for 18 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Shea Patterson run for 9 yds to the SAlab 35

2nd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 3 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to D.K. Metcalf

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.28

Shea Patterson pass complete to Van Jefferson for 25 yds to the SAlab 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan Wilkins run for 2 yds to the SAlab 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Shea Patterson pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 5 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Cole Garvin run for no gain to the SAlab 27

3rd & 8Sack-15 ydsPPA -0.39

Cole Garvin sacked by A.J. Moore for a loss of 15 yards to the SAlab 12

4th & 23Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 7

4th & 28Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 38 yds, fair catch by A.J. Brown at the SAlab 45

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Javon Patterson) to the Miss 45

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Shea Patterson pass complete to Jordan Wilkins for 4 yds to the Miss 49

2nd & 16Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.85

Shea Patterson pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 13 yds to the SAlab 38

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.13

Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 8 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Wilkins run for 5 yds to the SAlab 25

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Shea Patterson run for 7 yds to the SAlab 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Shea Patterson run for 7 yds to the SAlab 11

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 1 yd to the SAlab 10

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 15

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.38

Shea Patterson pass complete to D'Vaughn Pennamon for 11 yds to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 1 yd to the SAlab 3

2nd & 3Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.22

Shea Patterson sacked by Jeremy Reaves for a loss of 11 yards to the SAlab 14

3rd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.58

Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 12 yds to the SAlab 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+19 ydsPPA -1.15

Gary Wunderlich 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tra Minter run for 5 yds to the SAlab 7

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.84

Tra Minter run for 18 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Cole Garvin pass complete to Sam Harris for 13 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Cole Garvin pass complete to Sam Harris for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Cole Garvin pass complete to Jordan McCray for 4 yds to the Miss 46

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.79

Xavier Johnson run for 6 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the Miss 37

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tra Minter run for 5 yds to the Miss 32

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Cole Garvin run for 1 yd to the Miss 31

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA +1.32

Cole Garvin run for 2 yds to the Miss 29 Cole Garvin fumbled, forced by Willie Hibbler, recovered by SAlab Cole Garvin for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Tra Minter run for 8 yds to the Miss 21

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.26

Tra Minter run for 7 yds to the Miss 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the Miss 11

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Cole Garvin pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 3 yds to the Miss 8

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.81

Cole Garvin pass complete to Denzel Foster for 7 yds to the Miss 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Cole Garvin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 2

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Tra Minter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Maaseiah Francis

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 ydsPPA -1.08

Gavin Patterson 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Wilkins run for 3 yds to the Miss 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Shea Patterson pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 12 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to D.K. Metcalf

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jordan Wilkins run for no gain to the Miss 40 Jordan Wilkins fumbled, recovered by SAlab Zach Befort

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the Miss 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Cole Garvin pass complete to Jordan McCray for 8 yds to the Miss 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Cole Garvin pass complete to Jamarius Way for 30 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Wilkins run for 5 yds to the Miss 26

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Shea Patterson pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 2 yds to the Miss 28

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.32

Jordan Wilkins run for 6 yds to the Miss 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Van Jefferson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ty Quick for 2 yds to the Miss 36

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Shea Patterson pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 9 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Shea Patterson pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 13 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.53

Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 14 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.18

D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 11 yds to the SAlab 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 4 yds to the SAlab 13

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Shea Patterson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 12

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Van Jefferson

4th & 5Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.71

Gary Wunderlich 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 33

1st & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 32

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Wilkins run for 4 yds to the Miss 29

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +6.19

Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 71 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cole Garvin pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for 2 yds to the SAlab 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the SAlab 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Jamarius Way

4th & 4Punt+2 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 47 yds , A.J. Brown returns for 2 yds to the Miss 24

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Shea Patterson pass complete to Van Jefferson for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 23

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to DaMarkus Lodge

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+77 ydsPPA +7.19

A.J. Brown 77 Yd pass from Shea Patterson (Gary Wunderlich Kick)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Myles Hartsfield) to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Tra Minter run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 38

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Tra Minter

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Sam Harris

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 48 yds, fair catch by A.J. Brown at the Miss 14

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jordan Wilkins run for 4 yds to the Miss 18

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Shea Patterson pass complete to Jordan Wilkins for 2 yds to the Miss 20

3rd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.39

Shea Patterson sacked by Finesse Middleton for a loss of 7 yards to the Miss 13 OLE MISS Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Shea Patterson) to the Miss 13

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Will Gleeson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Sam Harris at the SAlab 40

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Xavier Johnson run for 8 yds to the SAlab 48

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Cole Garvin pass complete to Andrew Reinkemeyer for 6 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.67

Xavier Johnson run for 14 yds to the Miss 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.30

Tra Minter run for 16 yds to the Miss 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.88

Cole Garvin pass complete to Tra Minter for 12 yds to the Miss 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the Miss 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the Miss 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Maaseiah Francis

4th & 4Field Goal Good+20 ydsPPA -1.02

Gavin Patterson 20 yd FG GOOD

4th & 10Kickoff Return Touchdown+97 yds

Corliss Waitman kickoff for 62 yds , Jaylon Jones return for 97 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Jamarius Way

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Kawaan Baker

3rd & 10Penalty-12 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Noah Fisher) to the SAlab 13

3rd & 22Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Cole Garvin pass complete to Sa'Mory Collier for 6 yds to the SAlab 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 45 yds, fair catch by A.J. Brown at the Miss 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.60

Shea Patterson pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 18 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Shea Patterson pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 12 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Shea Patterson pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 7 yds to the SAlab 27

2nd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.00

D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 13 yds to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Shea Patterson pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 14 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Cole Garvin pass complete to Sam Harris for 16 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.35

Cole Garvin pass complete to Sa'Mory Collier for 10 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.68

Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 48

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Cole Garvin pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 9 yds to the Miss 39

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Sam Harris

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.74

Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Maaseiah Francis

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Miss 34

1st & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.19

Shea Patterson pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 13 yds to the Miss 47

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Shea Patterson pass complete to D.K. Metcalf for 1 yd to the SAlab 49

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 3 yds to the SAlab 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.91

Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 44 yds to the SAlab 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gary Wunderlich KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Xavier Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Cole Garvin pass complete to Jamarius Way for 12 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Cole Garvin pass complete to Sa'Mory Collier for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.83

Cole Garvin pass complete to Sa'Mory Collier for 14 yds to the Miss 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Deonta Moore run for 3 yds to the Miss 33

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Cole Garvin run for 10 yds to the Miss 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Deonta Moore run for 9 yds to the Miss 14

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.03

Cole Garvin run for 14 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OLE MISS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 35

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Eric Swinney run for 7 yds to the SAlab 28

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Eric Swinney run for no gain to the SAlab 28

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to D.K. Metcalf

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Gary Wunderlich 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Tra Minter

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.56

Cole Garvin pass complete to Andrew Reinkemeyer for 19 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the Miss 49

2nd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.38

Tra Minter run for 17 yds to the Miss 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Denzel Foster run for 4 yds to the Miss 28

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Cole Garvin run for 6 yds to the Miss 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.71

Denzel Foster run for 21 yds to the Miss 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Cole Garvin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Eric Swinney run for 6 yds to the Miss 35

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Eric Swinney run for 9 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Eric Swinney run for 5 yds to the Miss 49

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

D.K. Buford run for 2 yds to the SAlab 49

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

D.K. Buford run for 2 yds to the SAlab 47

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.14

Eric Swinney run for 2 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
47%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
83%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays

Ole Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
56%
25 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play