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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2017Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 6.2

Home Win Probability

Alabama 69%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 3, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Florida StateFlorida State
07007
AlabamaAlabama
3711324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-710-721-724-7
AlabamaFlorida State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALAFSALAFSALAFSALAFSALAFSALAFSFSALAFSALAALAFSALAFSALAFSALAFSALAFSMISS950ydDOWNS837ydFG944ydTD1190ydTD585ydPUNT37ydPUNT32ydPUNT521ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT3-7ydDOWNS650ydPUNT827ydPUNT629ydPUNT518ydTO4-1ydTD111ydTO23ydMISS818ydTO10ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT32ydFG616ydPUNT30ydPUNT517ydEND315yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida State and Alabama
StatisticFlorida StateAlabama
Passing19-3310-18
Pass Yards21096
Rush Yards40173
Total Yards250269
Turnovers30
3rd Down4-133-16
Penalties4-305-30
Possession27:1332:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida State
passing
Deondre Francois
19/33, 210 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Cam Akers
10 CAR, 30 YDS
receiving
Keith Gavin
7 REC, 50 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Jalen Hurts
10/18, 96 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Damien Harris
9 CAR, 73 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Calvin Ridley
7 REC, 82 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Damien Harris run for 34 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Damien Harris run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 36

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 3 yds to the FlaSt 33

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.60

Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the FlaSt 30

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Bo Scarbrough run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 29

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Bo Scarbrough for 4 yds to the FlaSt 25

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Andy Pappanastos 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Auden Tate

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Deondre Francois pass complete to Keith Gavin for 9 yds to the FlaSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Deondre Francois run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.76

Deondre Francois pass complete to George Campbell for 21 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Deondre Francois run for 2 yds to the Alab 40

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Keith Gavin run for 6 yds to the Alab 34

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Nyqwan Murray

4th & 2Sack-4 ydsPPA -2.49

Deondre Francois sacked by Shaun Dion Hamilton for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 38

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Damien Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jalen Hurts for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 38

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.49

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 21 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 38

2nd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.93

Jalen Hurts run for 20 yds to the FlaSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Bo Scarbrough run for no gain to the FlaSt 18

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the FlaSt 18 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Alab Jalen Hurts

4th & 10Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA +0.03

Andy Pappanastos 35 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Deondre Francois pass complete to Keith Gavin for 5 yds to the FlaSt 15

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jacques Patrick run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 18

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.11

Deondre Francois pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 11 yds to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.87

Deondre Francois pass complete to Auden Tate for 38 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jacques Patrick run for no gain to the Alab 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.87

Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 10 yds to the Alab 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jacques Patrick run for no gain to the Alab 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Deondre Francois pass complete to Keith Gavin for 4 yds to the Alab 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.45

Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 15 yds to the Alab 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Jacques Patrick run for 1 yd to the Alab 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Auden Tate 3 Yd pass from Deondre Francois (Ricky Aguayo Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 18

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Alab 23

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.97

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 6 yds to the Alab 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Jalen Hurts run for 18 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.10

Calvin Ridley 53 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Andy Pappanastos Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Deondre Francois pass incomplete, broken up by Joshua Frazier

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Deondre Francois pass incomplete, broken up by Joshua Frazier

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Deondre Francois pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 7 yds to the FlaSt 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trevon Diggs at the Alab 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs III

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the Alab 35

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

4th & 8Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 25

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Cam Akers run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Cam Akers run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Cam Akers run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Deondre Francois pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 4 yds to the FlaSt 46

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Nyqwan Murray

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trevon Diggs at the Alab 14

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 18

2nd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Jalen Hurts sacked by Fredrick Jones and Brandon Barrett for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 17

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 5 yds to the Alab 22

4th & 2Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 9 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 31

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.24

George Campbell run for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 35

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Keith Gavin

3rd & 14Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Deondre Francois pass complete to Keith Gavin for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 36

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 12 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 26

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Hurts, Jalen pass complete to Jeudy, Jerry for 24 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Cotton, Lester) 10 yards to the ALABAMA16, NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.03

Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Alab 17

4th & 17Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Tarvarus McFadden at the FlaSt 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Deondre Francois pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 11 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.69

Deondre Francois pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 24 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Francois, Deondre pass incomplete to Tate, Auden, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Averett, Anthony) 15 yards to the ALABAMA20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDAST.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Keith Gavin, broken up by Keith Holcombe

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Deondre Francois run for no gain to the Alab 20

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Nyqwan Murray, broken up by Tony Brown

4th & 10Blocked Field Goal+37 yds

Ricky Aguayo 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Minkah Fitzpatrick Rashaan Evans return for 17 yds to the Alab 46

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Cam Akers run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Deondre Francois pass complete to Keith Gavin for 15 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Deondre Francois pass complete to Keith Gavin for 12 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Cam Akers run for 4 yds to the Alab 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Deondre Francois pass complete to Cam Akers for 11 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Deondre Francois run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 35

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Cam Akers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 38

3rd & 14Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.82

Deondre Francois sacked by Raekwon Davis for a loss of 10 yards to the Alab 48

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Trevon Diggs at the Alab 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 22

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the Alab 26

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.68

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Damien Harris for 11 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Hurts, Jalen pass incomplete to Ridley, Calvin, PENALTY FLORIDAST pass interference (Marshall, Trey) 15 yards to the FLORIDAST48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Alab 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception-11 ydsPPA -2.55

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for a loss of 11 yards to the Alab 39

3rd & 18Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Jalen Hurts run for 9 yds to the Alab 48

4th & 9Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 45 yds, downed at the FlaSt 7

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Jacques Patrick run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 16

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.27

Jacques Patrick run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Deondre Francois pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 5 yds to the FlaSt 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Nyqwan Murray

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to George Campbell

4th & 5Blocked Punt0 yds

TEAM punt blocked by Damien Harris recovered by Dylan Moses

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 4

2nd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.82

Jalen Hurts sacked by Josh Sweat for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaSt 11

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 7

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.79

Andy Pappanastos 25 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Damien Harris 11 Yd Run (Jalen Hurts Pass to Calvin Ridley for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Deondre Francois run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.63

Deondre Francois pass intercepted Levi Wallace return for no gain to the FlaSt 42

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the FlaSt 42

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Bo Scarbrough run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 5 yds to the FlaSt 33

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.44

Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Bo Scarbrough run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 25

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Bo Scarbrough run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 24

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs III

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Andy Pappanastos 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.85

Deondre Francois pass intercepted Mack Wilson return for no gain to the FlaSt 31

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Najee Harris run for no gain to the FlaSt 31

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.42

Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 34

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

4th & 13Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 28 yds, downed at the FlaSt 6

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.36

Cam Akers run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 4

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Deondre Francois run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Auden Tate, broken up by Anthony Averett

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Bo Scarbrough run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 23

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bo Scarbrough run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 16

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Bo Scarbrough run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 15

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.65

Andy Pappanastos 33 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Deondre Francois pass complete to Keith Gavin for 6 yds to the FlaSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Auden Tate, broken up by Levi Wallace

3rd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.67

Deondre Francois sacked by Ronnie Harrison for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaSt 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 35 yds, downed at the Alab 40

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Damien Harris run for 9 yds to the Alab 49

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 45

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Bo Scarbrough run for no gain to the FlaSt 45

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 43

4th & 5Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tarvarus McFadden at the FlaSt 7

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Cam Akers run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 10

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Cam Akers run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 16

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.58

Cam Akers run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct ( Yards) to the FlaSt 22

Situational Analysis

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
25 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
22 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
23%
13 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays