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← Back to GamesDec 30, 2016Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 10

Home Win Probability

Air Force 78%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Dec 30, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
1470021
Air ForceAir Force
31817745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-73-146-2121-2135-2138-2145-21
Air ForceSouth Alabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SAAFSAAFSAAFSAAFSAAFSAAFSAAFSAAFSAAFSAAFSAAFSAAFTD175ydFG1155ydTD775ydPUNT930ydTO572ydPUNT38ydTD559ydFG769ydPUNT62ydTD435ydTO2-19ydTD21ydEND17ydTD175ydPUNT512ydTD1275ydPUNT37ydFG640ydTO316ydTD1169ydPUNT60ydDOWNS734ydPUNT3-3ydEND3-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Alabama and Air Force
StatisticSouth AlabamaAir Force
Passing10-267-10
Pass Yards245207
Rush Yards68253
Total Yards313460
Turnovers30
3rd Down3-85-13
Penalties9-715-25
Possession19:3440:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Alabama
passing
Dallas Davis
10/24, 245 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Xavier Johnson
4 CAR, 44 YDS
receiving
Josh Magee
5 REC, 154 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Air Force
passing
Arion Worthman
7/10, 207 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jacobi Owens
17 CAR, 74 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jalen Robinette
2 REC, 124 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Josh Magee 75 Yd pass from Dallas Davis (Gavin Patterson Kick)

1st & 25Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Gavin Patterson kickoff for 63 yds, Bryan Driskell return for 21 yds to the AFA 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Timothy McVey run for 3 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.48

Arion Worthman pass complete to Tyler Williams for 26 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

D.J. Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 30

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Tyler Williams run for 8 yds to the SAlab 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Arion Worthman pass complete to Timothy McVey for 7 yds to the SAlab 15

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

D.J. Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 16

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Jacobi Owens run for 7 yds to the SAlab 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jacobi Owens run for 1 yd to the SAlab 8

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Jacobi Owens run for 1 yd to the SAlab 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.79

Luke Strebel 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Kevin Kutchera

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Dallas Davis pass complete to Tyrone Williams for 13 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 38

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Tyrone Williams

3rd & 10Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +4.21

Dallas Davis pass complete to Chris Lewis for 51 yds to the AFA 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Dallas Davis run for 9 yds to the AFA 2

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.91

Dami Ayoola 2 Yd Run (Gavin Patterson Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

D.J. Johnson run for 1 yd to the AFA 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Tyler Williams

3rd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Arion Worthman run for 11 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Arion Worthman sacked by Chason Milner for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 36

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jacobi Owens run for 2 yds to the AFA 38

3rd & 9Rush+20 ydsPPA +3.37

Tyler Williams run for 20 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

D.J. Johnson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 40

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Arion Worthman run for 2 yds to the SAlab 38

3rd & 6Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.26

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 7 yards to the SAlab 45

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 21 yds, downed at the SAlab 24

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Dallas Davis run for no gain to the SAlab 24

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.86

Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for 14 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Gerald Everett

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.95

Dallas Davis pass complete to Tyrone Williams for 24 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+34 ydsPPA -3.91

Xavier Johnson run for 34 yds to the AFA 4 Xavier Johnson fumbled, forced by Weston Steelhammer, recovered by AFA Grant Ross

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Arion Worthman run for 8 yds to the AFA 12

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Arion Worthman pass incomplete to Jalen Robinette

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

D.J. Johnson run for no gain to the AFA 12

4th & 2Punt+5 yds

Steve Brosy punt for 52 yds, Dami Ayoola returns for 5 yds to the SAlab 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Chris Lewis

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Noah Fisher) to the SAlab 36

2nd & 15Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.88

Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for 37 yds to the AFA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.19

Dami Ayoola run for 13 yds to the AFA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Dami Ayoola run for 10 yds to the AFA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Dallas Davis 4 Yd Run (Gavin Patterson Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Gavin Patterson kickoff for 61 yds, Timothy McVey return for 23 yds to the AFA 27

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Arion Worthman run for 1 yd to the AFA 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.91

Arion Worthman pass complete to Jalen Robinette for 49 yds to the SAlab 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, False Start (Jake Barnhorst) to the SAlab 28

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

Worthman, Arion pass complete to Robinette, Jalen for 28 yards to the SOUTHALA0, PENALTY AIRFORCE, ineligible downfield on pass (Wilson, Jackson) 5 yards to the SOUTHALA33, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.02

Timothy McVey run for 29 yds to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Arion Worthman run for 2 yds to the SAlab 2

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Jacobi Owens run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 5

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyler Williams run for 1 yd to the SAlab 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -1.02

Luke Strebel 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Kevin Kutchera, broken up by Jesse Washington

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Dallas Davis pass complete to Kevin Kutchera for 9 yds to the SAlab 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Dallas Davis run for 4 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.81

Dami Ayoola run for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 33

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Josh Magee

3rd & 15Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.25

Dallas Davis pass complete to Dami Ayoola for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 27

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 8 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 35

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Arion Worthman run for 8 yds to the SAlab 27

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Ronald Cleveland run for 3 yds to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Arion Worthman pass complete to Timothy McVey for 10 yds to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Ronald Cleveland 14 Yd Run (Luke Strebel Kick)

1st & 8Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 13

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 28

2nd & 7Sack+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dallas Davis sacked by TEAM for a loss of 22 yards to the SAlab 1 Dallas Davis fumbled, recovered by AFA Santo Coppola , return for 0 yards , return for 5 yds to the SAlab 1

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Arion Worthman run for no gain to the SAlab 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jacobi Owens 1 Yd Run , (Arion Worthman pass to Jalen Robinette for Two-Point Conversion)

2nd & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Luke Strebel kickoff for 63 yds, Xavier Johnson return for 15 yds to the SAlab 17

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Xavier Johnson run for 7 yds to the SAlab 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Jalen Robinette 75 Yd pass from Arion Worthman (Luke Strebel Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Luke Strebel kickoff for 60 yds, Xavier Johnson return for 14 yds to the SAlab 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Dami Ayoola run for 4 yds to the SAlab 23

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.83

Dallas Davis run for 7 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Dami Ayoola run for 1 yd to the SAlab 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Jeremy Reaves

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Dallas Davis pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brandon McKee punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jalen Robinette at the AFA 25

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Arion Worthman sacked by Devon Earl for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 22

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Arion Worthman run for 7 yds to the AFA 29

3rd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.60

Arion Worthman run for 6 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Arion Worthman run for 6 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.66

Parker Wilson run for 5 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Arion Worthman run for 5 yds to the SAlab 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Arion Worthman pass complete to Tyler Williams for 12 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +0.73

Arion Worthman run for 29 yds to the SAlab 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyler Williams run for 1 yd to the SAlab 7

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Arion Worthman run for 3 yds to the SAlab 4

3rd & 0Penalty+2 yds

Worthman, Arion pass incomplete, PENALTY SOUTHALA, holding (Dent, Quinton) 2 yards to the SOUTHALA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AIRFORCE.

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

D.J. Johnson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 1

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Tyler Williams 6 Yd Run, (Luke Strebel KICK)

2nd & 12Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Luke Strebel kickoff for 65 yds, Xavier Johnson return for 12 yds to the SAlab 12

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Dami Ayoola run for 6 yds to the SAlab 18

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Gerald Everett

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Dami Ayoola run for 1 yd to the SAlab 19

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Brandon McKee punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jalen Robinette at the AFA 41

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Jacobi Owens run for 7 yds to the AFA 48

2nd & 3Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.28

Arion Worthman pass complete to Tyler Williams for 28 yds to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jacobi Owens run for 2 yds to the SAlab 22

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Tyler Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 24

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Arion Worthman run for 5 yds to the SAlab 19

4th & 5Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.35

Luke Strebel 37 yd FG GOOD

4th & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Luke Strebel kickoff for 52 yds, Xavier Johnson return for 5 yds to the SAlab 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.63

Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for 21 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Josh Magee

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Grant Powell) to the SAlab 34

2nd & 15Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.28

Dallas Davis pass intercepted Weston Steelhammer return for no gain to the AFA 31

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Timothy McVey run for 9 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Parker Wilson run for 2 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.40

Arion Worthman sacked by Randy Allen for a loss of 9 yards to the AFA 33

2nd & 19Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Arion Worthman run for 6 yds to the AFA 39

3rd & 13Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.40

Arion Worthman run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 36

4th & 16Penalty+15 yds

Brosy, Steve punt 64 yards to the SOUTHALA0, touchback, PENALTY SOUTHALA, roughing the kicker 15 yards to the SOUTHALA49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AIRFORCE.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

D.J. Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Tyler Williams run for 9 yds to the SAlab 41

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.99

Jacobi Owens run for 4 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jacobi Owens run for 6 yds to the SAlab 31

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.93

Tyler Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 32, Tyler Williams fumbled, recovered by AFA Arion Worthman

3rd & 5Penalty+10 yds

Worthman, Arion pass incomplete, PENALTY SOUTHALA, holding (Robinson, Neiko) 10 yards to the SOUTHALA22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AIRFORCE.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Jacobi Owens 22 Yd Run (Luke Strebel Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dallas Davis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for 7 yds to the SAlab 32

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Dallas Davis run for 4 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Josh Magee

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Gerald Everett

3rd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.55

Dallas Davis sacked by Grant Ross for a loss of 11 yards to the SAlab 25

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Brandon McKee punt for 52 yds, downed at the AFA 23

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.84

Jacobi Owens run for 6 yds to the AFA 29 for a 1ST down, SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Quinton Dent) to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jacobi Owens run for 3 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.32

Jacobi Owens run for 8 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jacobi Owens run for no gain to the SAlab 45

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jacobi Owens run for 5 yds to the SAlab 40

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jacobi Owens run for 2 yds to the SAlab 38

4th & 3Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.97

Arion Worthman sacked by Chason Milner for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Kevin Kutchera

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Josh Magee

3rd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.67

Cole Garvin run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 40

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brandon McKee punt for 41 yds, downed at the AFA 19

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.66

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 17

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.20

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 16

3rd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.07

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 15

Situational Analysis

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
22 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
60%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
48%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
29%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
10 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play