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← Back to GamesDec 4, 2016Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 3.6

Home Win Probability

Penn State 39%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Dec 4, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
14143031
Penn StatePenn State
77141038

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-147-217-2814-2821-2828-3135-3138-31
Penn StateWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PSWISPSWISPSWISPSPSWISPSWISPSWISWISPSWISPSWISPSWISPSWISPSPUNT37ydTD1481ydPUNT33ydTD272ydTD575ydPUNT830ydTD50ydDOWNS519ydTD542ydTO618ydPUNT33ydTD890ydEND417ydMISS745ydTD170ydPUNT55ydTD863ydFG970ydTD481ydPUNT59ydFG958ydDOWNS1051ydDOWNS4-19yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and Penn State
StatisticWisconsinPenn State
Passing16-2122-31
Pass Yards174384
Rush Yards24151
Total Yards415435
Turnovers02
3rd Down5-123-10
Penalties4-403-25
Possession36:5723:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Bart Houston
16/21, 174 YDS
rushing
Corey Clement
21 CAR, 164 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jazz Peavy
4 REC, 53 YDS
defense
Penn State
passing
Trace McSorley
22/31, 384 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Saquon Barkley
19 CAR, 83 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Saeed Blacknall
6 REC, 155 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Brandon Bell
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Saquon Barkley run for 7 yds to the PnSt 36

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Andre Robinson run for no gain to the PnSt 36

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Mike Gesicki

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 45 yds , Jazz Peavy returns for no gain to the Wisc 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Wisc 24

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Corey Clement run for 6 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 33

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Wisc 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.85

Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 6 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Wisc 46

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.75

Quintez Cephus run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 43

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Manny Bowen) to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bradrick Shaw run for 5 yds to the PnSt 37

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.50

Bradrick Shaw run for 12 yds to the PnSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the PnSt 20

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Corey Clement run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 22

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (David Edwards) to the PnSt 27

3rd & 12Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.64

Bart Houston pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 24 yds to the PnSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the PnSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Austin Ramesh run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 19

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Trace McSorley run for no gain to the PnSt 19

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Chris Godwin

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Jazz Peavy at the Wisc 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Wisc 33

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +5.76

Corey Clement run for 67 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Saquon Barkley run for 22 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Andre Robinson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the Wisc 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.51

Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 16 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 33 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Wisc 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Bart Houston pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 7 yds to the Wisc 34

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Bradrick Shaw run for 7 yds to the Wisc 46

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.75

Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.28

Bart Houston pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 9 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Austin Ramesh

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the PnSt 45

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Jazz Peavy

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Gregg Garrity at the PnSt 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 8 yds to the PnSt 20

2nd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 2 yds to the PnSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 21

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 10 yds to the PnSt 31

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA -0.72

TEAM run for a loss of 19 yards TEAM fumbled, recovered by Wisc Ryan Connelly , return for 12 yds, (Andrew Endicott KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 11 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Andre Robinson run for 4 yds to the PnSt 38

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre Thompkins

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 4 yds to the PnSt 42

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saeed Blacknall

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the PnSt 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Bart Houston pass complete to Eric Steffes for 14 yds to the PnSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Corey Clement run for 11 yds to the PnSt 16 Corey Clement fumbled, forced by Torrence Brown, recovered by Wisc Zander Neuville for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Dare Ogunbowale run for 9 yds to the PnSt 7

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +1.95

Dare Ogunbowale run for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre Thompkins, broken up by Vince Biegel

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.32

Saquon Barkley run for 18 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre Thompkins

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Saquon Barkley run for 8 yds to the Wisc 49

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the Wisc 48

4th & 1Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.30

Trace McSorley sacked by T.J. Watt for a loss of 9 yards to the PnSt 43 Trace McSorley fumbled, forced by T.J. Watt, recovered by Wisc T.J. Watt , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the PnSt 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Robert Wheelwright

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Jazz Peavy, broken up by Brandon Bell

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 30 yds, downed at the PnSt 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.52

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 12 yds to the PnSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 7 yds to the PnSt 30

3rd & 2Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.45

Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 18 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Irvin Charles

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Irvin Charles

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.95

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 12 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 40 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jazz Peavy run for 5 yds to the Wisc 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Dare Ogunbowale run for 1 yd to the Wisc 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Bart Houston pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 6 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dare Ogunbowale run for 5 yds to the Wisc 42

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Bart Houston pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 8 yds to the Wisc 33

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.07

Corey Clement run for 14 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.16

Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 19 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the PnSt 31

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Bradrick Shaw run for 4 yds to the PnSt 27

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.42

Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 30

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Andrew Endicott 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.69

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 70 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Bradrick Shaw run for 7 yds to the Wisc 26

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.41

Bradrick Shaw run for 6 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Bradrick Shaw run for 4 yds to the Wisc 36

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Bart Houston run for 1 yd to the Wisc 37

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-13 ydsPPA -0.97

Bart Houston sacked by Brandon Bell for a loss of 13 yards to the Wisc 24 Bart Houston fumbled, forced by Brandon Bell, recovered by Wisc Bart Houston , return for 0 yards

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 39 yds, fair catch by John Reid at the PnSt 37

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.44

Saquon Barkley run for 16 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.71

Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 14 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the Wisc 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.83

Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 17 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the Wisc 11

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.89

Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 7 yds to the Wisc 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the Wisc 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Corey Clement run for 9 yds to the Wisc 34

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.88

Bart Houston pass complete to Corey Clement for 26 yds to the PnSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds to the PnSt 32

2nd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.66

Bradrick Shaw run for 20 yds to the PnSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the PnSt 10

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Troy Fumagalli

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Bart Houston pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 5 yds to the PnSt 5

4th & 3Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -1.04

Andrew Endicott 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 38 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.76

Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 25 yds to the Wisc 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Saquon Barkley run for no gain to the Wisc 18

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.94

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 18 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Houston, Bart pass complete to Clement, Corey for 2 yards to the WISCONSIN25, PENALTY WISCONSIN illegal shift 5 yards to the WISCONSIN18, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.25

Corey Clement run for 12 yds to the Wisc 30

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.49

Corey Clement run for 6 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 34

2nd & 12Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.69

Bart Houston sacked by Koa Farmer for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 30

3rd & 16Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Bart Houston pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 2 yds to the Wisc 32

4th & 14Punt+5 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 37 yds , John Reid returns for 5 yds to the PnSt 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Mike Gesicki

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

McSorley, Trace pass incomplete, PENALTY WISCONSIN roughing passer (Jacobs, Leon) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the Wisc 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.15

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 11 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the Wisc 30

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

McSorley, Trace pass incomplete to Hamilton, DaeSean, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Musso, Leo) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 17

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 8 yds to the Wisc 9

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 3 yds to the Wisc 6

4th & 1Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -1.13

Tyler Davis 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Bart Houston run for 2 yds to the Wisc 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.07

Bart Houston pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 16 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 42

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.31

Bart Houston pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 10 yds to the PnSt 48

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.64

Bart Houston pass complete to Corey Clement for 13 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Bart Houston pass complete to Corey Clement for 4 yds to the PnSt 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Bradrick Shaw run for no gain to the PnSt 29

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.41

Corey Clement run for no gain to the PnSt 24

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 22

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 23

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.12

Saquon Barkley run for no gain to the PnSt 23

4th & 11Rush-18 ydsPPA +0.31

Trace McSorley run for a loss of 18 yards to the PnSt 5

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
55%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
71%
7 plays
38%
8 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
43%
28 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play