Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 19, 2016Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Navy by 12

Home Win Probability

East Carolina 18%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 19, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NavyNavy
724211466
East CarolinaEast Carolina
14314031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-014-717-717-1417-2817-3824-5231-5931-66
East CarolinaNavy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ECNAVECNAVECNAVECNAVECNAVECNAVECNAVECNAVECNAVECNAVECNAVECNAVTD775ydTD683ydTD1171ydPUNT822ydFG952ydTD562ydPUNT30ydTD249ydPUNT34ydTD549ydPUNT36ydFG646ydEND1-2ydTD1073ydTO00ydTD237ydTD288ydTD642ydTD379ydTD1272ydDOWNS49ydTD534ydPUNT532ydUncategorized724yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Navy and East Carolina
StatisticNavyEast Carolina
Passing3-516-25
Pass Yards113238
Rush Yards480176
Total Yards593414
Turnovers01
3rd Down7-106-12
Penalties4-401-5
Possession36:3823:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Navy
passing
Will Worth
3/5, 113 YDS
rushing
Will Worth
28 CAR, 159 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Jamir Tillman
2 REC, 66 YDS
defense
East Carolina
passing
Gardner Minshew
16/25, 238 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
James Summers
14 CAR, 134 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Zay Jones
12 REC, 212 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Zay Jones for 7 yds to the ECaro 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Zay Jones for 1 yd to the ECaro 33

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.74

James Summers run for 9 yds to the ECaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

James Summers run for 1 yd to the ECaro 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 8 yds to the Navy 49

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.43

James Summers run for 9 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Zay Jones for 40 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Dishan Romine run for 7 yds to the Navy 24

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Will Worth run for 7 yds to the Navy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+50 ydsPPA +3.00

Shawn White run for 50 yds to the ECaro 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Darryl Bonner run for 2 yds to the ECaro 17

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.48

Will Worth run for 9 yds to the ECaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Will Worth run for 8 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Brandon Bishop for 5 yds to the ECaro 34

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Zay Jones

3rd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.01

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Zay Jones for 20 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Devin Anderson run for no gain to the Navy 46

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

James Summers run for 6 yds to the Navy 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.66

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Zay Jones for 21 yds to the Navy 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Gardner Minshew run for 4 yds to the Navy 15

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

James Summers run for 7 yds to the Navy 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

James Summers run for 1 yd to the Navy 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

James Summers run for 1 yd to the Navy 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 6 yds for a TD NAVY Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Davis Plowman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Will Worth run for 3 yds to the Navy 14

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Will Worth run for 8 yds to the Navy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Will Worth run for 4 yds to the Navy 26

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Will Worth run for 3 yds to the Navy 29

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.18

Toneo Gulley run for 4 yds to the Navy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Dishan Romine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 32

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Will Worth run for 1 yd to the Navy 33

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Will Worth pass incomplete to Darryl Bonner

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Alex Barta punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Zay Jones for 6 yds to the ECaro 28

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.01

Devin Anderson run for 10 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

James Summers run for 5 yds to the ECaro 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.00

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Zay Jones for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.00

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Zay Jones for 19 yds to the Navy 31 for a 1ST down. Zay Jones set the FBS career receptions record on the play (388)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to James Summers

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Zay Jones for 5 yds to the Navy 26

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to James Summers

4th & 5Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA +0.17

Davis Plowman 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.39

Will Worth pass complete to Tyler Carmona for 47 yds to the ECaro 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Will Worth run for 6 yds to the ECaro 9

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.69

Will Worth run for 5 yds to the ECaro 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Myles Swain run for 3 yds to the ECaro 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Will Worth run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gardner Minshew run for no gain to the ECaro 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jimmy Williams

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Zay Jones, broken up by Ted Colburn

4th & 10Punt+16 yds

Worth Gregory punt for 40 yds , Craig Scott returns for 16 yds to the ECaro 49

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Shawn White run for 8 yds to the ECaro 41

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +2.95

Shawn White run for 41 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

James Summers run for 4 yds to the ECaro 15

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jimmy Williams

4th & 6Punt+15 yds

Worth Gregory punt for 49 yds , Calvin Cass Jr. returns for 15 yds to the ECaro 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.16

Will Worth pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 30 yds to the ECaro 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Myles Swain run for 7 yds to the ECaro 12

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Will Worth run for 1 yd to the ECaro 11

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.46

Will Worth run for 4 yds to the ECaro 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Shawn White run for 7 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

James Summers run for 2 yds to the ECaro 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Zay Jones for 4 yds to the ECaro 20

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Zay Jones, broken up by Ted Colburn

4th & 4Punt+6 yds

Worth Gregory punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 42 , Calvin Cass Jr. returns for 6 yds to the Navy 42

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.80

Will Worth run for 30 yds to the ECaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.21

Shawn White run for 13 yds to the ECaro 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Will Worth run for 2 yds to the ECaro 13

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Shawn White run for 6 yds to the ECaro 7

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Will Worth pass incomplete to Calvin Cass Jr.

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

MOEHRING, B field goal attempt from 24 GOOD, clock 00:15, PENALTY NAVY delay of game 5 yards to the ECU12, NO PLAY.

4th & 7Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.58

Bennett Moehring 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Will Worth run for 4 yds to the Navy 31

2nd & 6Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.51

Darryl Bonner run for 23 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Myles Swain run for 4 yds to the ECaro 42

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Myles Swain run for 2 yds to the ECaro 40

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Calvin Cass Jr. run for 2 yds to the ECaro 38

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, offside defense (Demetri McGill) to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Myles Swain run for 2 yds to the ECaro 31

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Will Worth run for 6 yds to the ECaro 25

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.41

Will Worth run for 5 yds to the ECaro 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Shawn White run for 4 yds to the ECaro 16

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.64

Calvin Cass Jr. run for 16 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

No play data available
1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.11

Will Worth pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 36 yds to the ECaro 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Will Worth run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 7 yds to the ECaro 19

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+81 ydsPPA +6.32

James Summers run for 81 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Will Worth run for 4 yds to the ECaro 38

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.73

Myles Swain run for 15 yds to the ECaro 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Will Worth run for 6 yds to the ECaro 17

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.04

Darryl Bonner run for 7 yds to the ECaro 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Shawn White run for 6 yds to the ECaro 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Will Worth run for 4 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Zay Jones for 5 yds to the ECaro 26

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.85

James Summers run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 23

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+77 ydsPPA +7.10

Gardner Minshew pass complete to Zay Jones for 77 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Myles Swain run for 8 yds to the Navy 36

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Will Worth run for 8 yds to the Navy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Myles Swain run for 4 yds to the Navy 48

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.34

Will Worth run for 12 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Shawn White run for 6 yds to the ECaro 34

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Will Worth run for 5 yds to the ECaro 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Will Worth run for 4 yds to the ECaro 25

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Will Worth run for 4 yds to the ECaro 21

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Will Worth run for 4 yds to the ECaro 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Myles Swain run for 8 yds to the ECaro 9

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.19

Shawn White run for 8 yds to the ECaro 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Shawn White run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Zay Jones

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Devin Anderson run for 3 yds to the ECaro 28

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Gardner Minshew run for 5 yds to the ECaro 33

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Devin Anderson run for 1 yd to the ECaro 34

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Zach Abey run for 6 yds to the ECaro 28

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Zach Abey run for 1 yd to the ECaro 27

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.56

Zach Abey run for 4 yds to the ECaro 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.45

Myles Swain run for 21 yds to the ECaro 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jahmaal Daniel run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

James Summers run for 9 yds to the ECaro 20

2nd & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.76

Devin Anderson run for 16 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

James Summers run for 2 yds to the ECaro 38

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Devin Anderson run for 2 yds to the ECaro 40

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Devin Anderson run for 3 yds to the ECaro 43

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Worth Gregory punt for 35 yds, downed at the Navy 22

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Anthony Gargiulo run for 6 yds to the Navy 28

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Anthony Gargiulo run for 3 yds to the Navy 31

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Anthony Gargiulo run for 3 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the Navy 39

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Zach Abey run for no gain to the Navy 39

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.26

Jahmaal Daniel run for 9 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 46

Situational Analysis

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
62%
34 plays
2nd
83%
6 plays
50%
14 plays
100%
4 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
86%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
20 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play