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← Back to GamesDec 17, 2016Week 1
App StateApp State
31
-Final
28
ToledoToledo

House Prediction

Model Margin

Toledo by 0.8

Home Win Probability

Toledo 53%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Dec 17, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
App StateApp State
7714331
ToledoToledo
7714028

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-77-1414-1414-2121-2128-2828-31
ToledoApp State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TOLASTOLASTOLASTOLASTOLASTOLASTOLASTOLASTOLASTOLASTOLASTOLASTOLASPUNT48ydTD1072ydTD475ydPUNT618ydPUNT33ydPUNT837ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT39ydTD793ydPUNT38ydPUNT37ydTD251ydPUNT932ydEND11ydPUNT44ydPUNT39ydTD969ydTD1475ydTD00ydTD575ydDOWNS1472ydPUNT3-6ydFG635ydMISS744ydEND414yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing App State and Toledo
StatisticApp StateToledo
Passing14-3318-26
Pass Yards119247
Rush Yards297127
Total Yards416374
Turnovers00
3rd Down8-194-12
Penalties2-217-62
Possession35:4424:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

App State
passing
Taylor Lamb
14/32, 119 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Marcus Cox
22 CAR, 143 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ike Lewis
2 REC, 24 YDS
defense
Toledo
passing
Logan Woodside
18/26, 247 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kareem Hunt
22 CAR, 120 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Cody Thompson
5 REC, 99 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Kareem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Toled 29 TOLEDO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Toled 19

1st & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Toled 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 7 yds to the Toled 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 4 yds to the Toled 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaquil Capel at the AppSt 28

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Jalin Moore run for 11 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Taylor Lamb run for no gain to the AppSt 39

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Jaquil Capel

3rd & 10Penalty+13 yds

Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to Letman, Zy, PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference (Martin, Jordan) 13 yards to the TOLEDO48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APPALCHAN.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Marcus Cox run for 8 yds to the Toled 40

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Marcus Cox run for 4 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the Toled 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Shaedon Meadors

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.35

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Dante Jones for 8 yds to the Toled 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Marcus Cox run for 9 yds to the Toled 16

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.05

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Deltron Hopkins for 16 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+58 ydsPPA +3.50

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 58 yds to the AppSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Kareem Hunt run for 1 yd to the AppSt 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 1 yd to the AppSt 15

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.13

Logan Woodside pass complete to Michael Roberts for 15 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 6 yds to the AppSt 29

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the AppSt 30

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.14

Taylor Lamb run for 3 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the AppSt 37

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the AppSt 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Deltron Hopkins for 3 yds to the AppSt 41

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Bentlee Critcher punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Corey Jones at the Toled 10

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Kareem Hunt run for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 8

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Terry Swanson

3rd & 12Penalty-4 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (Michael Roberts) to the Toled 4

3rd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.05

Logan Woodside pass complete to Terry Swanson for 9 yds to the Toled 13

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 59 yds, downed at the AppSt 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Marcus Cox run for 1 yd to the AppSt 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Jaquil Capel

3rd & 9Rush+20 ydsPPA +3.08

Marcus Cox run for 20 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the Toled 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jaquil Capel for 9 yds to the Toled 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Marcus Cox run for 1 yd to the Toled 39

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Marcus Cox run for 4 yds to the Toled 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Marcus Cox

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Taylor Lamb punt for 11 yds, downed at the Toled 24

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Kareem Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 23

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kareem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Toled 27

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Corey Jones

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 38 yds, downed at the AppSt 35

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.55

Jalin Moore run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 31

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Shaedon Meadors

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Brad Absher

4th & 14Punt+25 yds

Bentlee Critcher punt for 49 yds , Corey Jones returns for 25 yds to the TOLEDO 44 TOLEDO Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Toled 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Corey Jones

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kareem Hunt run for 5 yds to the Toled 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Logan Woodside pass complete to Michael Roberts for 4 yds to the Toled 44

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 7

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.10

Marcus Cox run for 22 yds to the AppSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 12 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the AppSt 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.05

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 15 yds to the Toled 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.75

Taylor Lamb run for 28 yds to the Toled 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Marcus Cox run for 1 yd to the Toled 13

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.79

Marcus Cox run for 13 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Kareem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Toled 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 23

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Logan Woodside pass complete to Kareem Hunt for 8 yds to the Toled 31

4th & 2Punt+55 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jaquil Capel at the TOLEDO 28 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Desmond Franklin) to the AppSt 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Deltron Hopkins

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Jalin Moore run for 7 yds to the AppSt 21

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Jaquil Capel

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Bentlee Critcher punt for 30 yds, downed at the Toled 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.20

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 25 yds to the AppSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Kareem Hunt run for 26 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Dante Jones for 1 yd to the AppSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the AppSt 29

3rd & 6Rush+21 ydsPPA +3.00

Taylor Lamb run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Jaquil Capel

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.84

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Zy Letman for 11 yds to the Toled 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.66

Ike Lewis run for a loss of 4 yards to the Toled 43

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Ike Lewis

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Marcus Cox

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Bentlee Critcher punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Corey Jones at the Toled 7

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Kareem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Toled 8

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for 13 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 37

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Zy Letman

3rd & 11Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.51

Taylor Lamb sacked by Olasunkanmi Adeniyi for a loss of 8 yards to the AppSt 29

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Bentlee Critcher punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Corey Jones at the Toled 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Kareem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Toled 29

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Corey Jones

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Logan Woodside run for 7 yds to the Toled 36

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jaquil Capel at the AppSt 31

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Marcus Cox run for no gain to the AppSt 31

2nd & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.26

Taylor Lamb run for 28 yds to the Toled 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Marcus Cox run for 1 yd to the Toled 40

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the Toled 37

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty+15 yds

Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to Meadors, Shaedon (TEAM), PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference (Martin, Jordan) 15 yards to the TOLEDO22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APPALCHAN, QB hurry by TEAM, QB hit by TEAM.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the Toled 19

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Barrett Burns

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for 6 yds to the Toled 13

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.06

Taylor Lamb run for 13 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Toled 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 12 yds to the Toled 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Cody Thompson

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kareem Hunt run for 5 yds to the Toled 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 6 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Logan Woodside sacked by Myquon Stout for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.12

Kareem Hunt run for 15 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Kareem Hunt run for no gain to the AppSt 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Cody Thompson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.00

Logan Woodside pass complete to Kareem Hunt for 18 yds to the AppSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 10 yds to the AppSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the AppSt 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 4 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

3rd & 7Kickoff Return Touchdown+94 yds

Samuel Vucelich kickoff for 59 yds , Darrynton Evans return for 94 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kareem Hunt run for 5 yds to the Toled 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 8 yds to the Toled 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+58 ydsPPA +3.26

Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 58 yds to the AppSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the AppSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kareem Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

2nd & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Samuel Vucelich kickoff for 65 yds , Darrynton Evans return for 14 yds to the AppSt 14 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Illegal Block (7 Yards) to the AppSt 7

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jalin Moore run for no gain to the AppSt 7

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the AppSt 8

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to Capel, Jaquil, PENALTY TOLEDO offside (Stepec, John) 5 yards to the APPALCHAN13, NO PLAY.

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 9 yds to the AppSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.03

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Marcus Cox for 13 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the AppSt 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Ike Lewis

3rd & 7Rush+31 ydsPPA +3.67

Taylor Lamb run for 31 yds to the Toled 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the Toled 27

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the Toled 24

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.50

Marcus Cox run for 6 yds to the Toled 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Zy Letman

3rd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.24

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Marcus Cox for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 21

4th & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.40

Bentlee Critcher pass incomplete to Collin Reed

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.94

Logan Woodside sacked by Antonious Sims for a loss of 7 yards to the Toled 14

2nd & 17Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Logan Woodside pass complete to Corey Jones for 1 yd to the Toled 15

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Cody Thompson

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Nick Ellis punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaquil Capel at the AppSt 43

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Marcus Cox run for no gain to the AppSt 43

2nd & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.78

Marcus Cox run for 26 yds to the Toled 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the Toled 29

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.27

Jalin Moore run for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 32

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Taylor Lamb run for 10 yds to the Toled 22

4th & 1Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA -0.54

Michael Rubino 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.28

Kareem Hunt run for 17 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Kareem Hunt run for 11 yds to the AppSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Kareem Hunt run for 13 yds to the AppSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Damion Jones-Moore run for 6 yds to the AppSt 10

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Damion Jones-Moore run for 2 yds to the AppSt 8

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Damion Jones-Moore run for no gain to the AppSt 8

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 13

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+30 yds

Jameson Vest 30 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Marcus Cox run for 10 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the AppSt 33

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Marcus Cox run for 4 yds to the AppSt 37

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 34

Situational Analysis

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
34 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
32%
19 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
83%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
42%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th