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← Back to GamesDec 17, 2016Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Houston by 3.8

Home Win Probability

San Diego State 38%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Dec 17, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
HoustonHouston
1000010
San Diego StateSan Diego State
06141434

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-103-106-1020-1027-1034-10
San Diego StateHouston

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSHOUSDSHOUSDSHOUSDSHOUSDSHOUSDSHOUHOUSDSHOUSDSHOUHOUSDSHOUSDSHOUSDSHOUSDSHOUSDSPUNT30ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-10ydFG1024ydPUNT37ydTD1074ydPUNT721ydPUNT39ydFG855ydPUNT3-7ydFG726ydEND23ydTO310ydPUNT518ydTO1158ydTD468ydTD730ydPUNT64ydPUNT416ydDOWNS46ydTD128ydDOWNS512ydPUNT36ydDOWNS611ydTD421ydTO316ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Houston and San Diego State
StatisticHoustonSan Diego State
Passing25-3410-14
Pass Yards229128
Rush Yards25127
Total Yards254255
Turnovers40
3rd Down7-172-12
Penalties2-103-25
Possession32:1227:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Houston
passing
Greg Ward Jr.
25/34, 229 YDS, 4 INT
rushing
Duke Catalon
14 CAR, 18 YDS
receiving
Brandon Wilson
5 REC, 52 YDS
defense
San Diego State
passing
Christian Chapman
10/14, 128 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Donnel Pumphrey
19 CAR, 115 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
David Wells
4 REC, 33 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Ty Cummings kickoff for 63 yds , Rashaad Penny return for 23 yds to the SDSt 25

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Christian Chapman sacked by Tyus Bowser for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSt 19

2nd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Donnel Pumphrey run for 6 yds to the SDSt 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Christian Chapman pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Collin Wilder at the Houst 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Keith Corbin run for 1 yd to the Houst 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Duke Catalon for 3 yds to the Houst 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Keith Corbin

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Dane Roy punt for 46 yds , Quest Truxton returns for no gain to the SDSt 15

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 14

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.22

Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 11

3rd & 14Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.06

Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSt 5

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 33 yds, downed at the SDSt 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 4 yds to the SDSt 34

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Greg Ward Jr. run for 3 yds to the SDSt 31

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.70

Duke Catalon run for 4 yds to the SDSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Duke Catalon

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.03

Greg Ward Jr. sacked by Noble Hall for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 29

3rd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.71

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Brandon Wilson for 14 yds to the SDSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Greg Ward Jr. run for no gain to the SDSt 15

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Duke Catalon run for 1 yd to the SDSt 14

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Linell Bonner

4th & 9Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.33

Ty Cummings 31 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Christian Chapman pass complete to Rashaad Penny for 4 yds to the SDSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Donnel Pumphrey

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Collin Wilder at the Houst 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Duke Catalon run for 4 yds to the Houst 30

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Duke Catalon run for 2 yds to the Houst 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.71

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 7 yds to the Houst 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 9 yds to the Houst 48

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.41

Brandon Wilson run for no gain to the Houst 48

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.23

Greg Ward Jr. run for 4 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Greg Ward Jr. run for 7 yds to the SDSt 41

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Greg Ward Jr. run for 7 yds to the SDSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.72

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Keith Corbin for 32 yds to the SDSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Greg Ward Jr. 2 Yd Run (Ty Cummings Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Ty Cummings kickoff for 65 yds , Rashaad Penny return for 26 yds to the SDSt 26

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 25

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Christian Chapman pass complete to David Wells for 8 yds to the SDSt 33

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the SDSt 34

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

Blain, Tanner punt 45 yards to the HOUSTON21, fair catch by Wilder, Collin, PENALTY HOUSTON running into kicker (Oliver, Ed) 5 yards to the SANDIEGOST39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SANDIEGOST.

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.61

Christian Chapman pass complete to Nick Bawden for 20 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Christian Chapman pass complete to David Wells for 5 yds to the Houst 36

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.78

Rashaad Penny run for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 40

3rd & 9Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.27

Christian Chapman sacked by Khalil Williams for a loss of 13 yards to the SDSt 47

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Houst 13

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.53

Greg Ward Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 10

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Linell Bonner

3rd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 12 yds to the Houst 22

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Dane Roy punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Quest Truxton at the SDSt 40

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.94

Donnel Pumphrey run for 30 yds to the Houst 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the Houst 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Christian Chapman pass complete to Parker Houston for 5 yds to the Houst 22

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Christian Chapman pass complete to David Wells for 11 yds to the Houst 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the Houst 7

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd to the Houst 6

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Ryan Agnew run for 1 yd to the Houst 5

4th & 4Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.99

John Baron II 23 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Duke Catalon run for 1 yd to the Houst 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Duke Catalon run for no gain to the Houst 26

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.30

Greg Ward Jr. sacked by Jay Henderson for a loss of 8 yards to the Houst 18

4th & 17Punt+14 yds

Dane Roy punt for 33 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 14 yds to the Houst 37

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Donnel Pumphrey run for 10 yds to the Houst 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the Houst 23

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Donnel Pumphrey run for 8 yds to the Houst 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Rashaad Penny run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 17

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Kwayde Miller) to the Houst 22

2nd & 17Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Rashaad Penny run for 11 yds to the Houst 11

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Donnel Pumphrey

4th & 6Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.69

John Baron II 28 Yd Field Goal

4th & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

John Baron II kickoff for 65 yds , Brandon Wilson return for 18 yds to the Houst 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Duke Catalon run for 3 yds to the Houst 21

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Duke Catalon run for no gain to the Houst 21

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+33 yds

John Baron II kickoff for 65 yds , Brandon Wilson return for 33 yds to the Houst 33

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Duke Catalon run for 6 yds to the Houst 39

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.57

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Duke Catalon for 4 yds to the Houst 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.53

Greg Ward Jr. pass intercepted Kameron Kelly return for no gain to the SDSt 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the SDSt 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.82

Christian Chapman pass complete to David Wells for 9 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Pumphrey, Donnel rush for loss of 4 yards to the SANDIEGOST42, PENALTY HOUSTON offside 5 yards to the HOUSTON49, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.21

Christian Chapman run for no gain to the Houst 49

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the Houst 46

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Mikah Holder

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Collin Wilder at the Houst 12

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Duke Catalon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 11

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Tyler McCloskey for 7 yds to the Houst 18

3rd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.06

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 20 yds to the Houst 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Greg Ward Jr. run for 4 yds to the Houst 42

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brandon Wilson run for 4 yds to the Houst 46

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.44

Greg Ward Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Keith Corbin for 1 yd to the SDSt 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.87

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Keith Corbin for 18 yds to the SDSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 1 yd to the SDSt 30

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

Duke Catalon run for no gain to the SDSt 30

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return-12 ydsPPA -2.97

Greg Ward Jr. pass intercepted Calvin Munson return for 12 yds to the SDSt 32

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Kwayde Miller) to the SDSt 27

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 30

2nd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 12 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.69

Christian Chapman pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 26 yds to the Houst 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Donnel Pumphrey 32 Yd Run (John Baron II Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Duke Catalon for no gain to the Houst 25

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Greg Ward Jr. run for 12 yds to the Houst 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 9 yds to the Houst 46

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Greg Ward Jr. run for 1 yd to the Houst 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Duke Catalon run for no gain to the Houst 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Linell Bonner for 8 yds to the SDSt 45

3rd & 2Interception Return Touchdown-54 ydsPPA -9.59

Ron Smith 54 Yd Interception Return (John Baron II Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Duke Catalon run for 3 yds to the Houst 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Duke Catalon for 2 yds to the Houst 30

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Greg Ward Jr. run for 6 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.70

Duke Catalon run for a loss of 5 yards to the Houst 31

2nd & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Brandon Wilson for 3 yds to the Houst 34

3rd & 12Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.35

Greg Ward Jr. sacked by Kyle Kelley for a loss of 5 yards to the Houst 29

4th & 17Punt+2 yds

Dane Roy punt for 43 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 2 yds to the SDSt 30

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Donnel Pumphrey run for 15 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd to the SDSt 46

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 49

3rd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.21

Rashaad Penny run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 46

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Collin Wilder at the Houst 22

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Greg Ward Jr. run for 7 yds to the Houst 29

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Brandon Wilson run for 2 yds to the Houst 31

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brandon Wilson run for no gain to the Houst 31

4th & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.10

Greg Ward Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 28

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Curtis Anderson III 28 Yd pass from Christian Chapman (John Baron II Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 12 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -3.06

Greg Ward Jr. sacked by Jay Henderson and Austin Wyatt-Thayer for a loss of 11 yards to the Houst 41

2nd & 21Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 11 yds to the SDSt 48

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Greg Ward Jr. run for no gain to the SDSt 48

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Steven Dunbar

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Rashaad Penny run for no gain to the SDSt 48

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the Houst 46

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tanner Blain punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Collin Wilder at the Houst 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 3 yds to the Houst 13

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.01

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Tyler McCloskey for 14 yds to the Houst 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.30

Greg Ward Jr. sacked by Ronley Lakalaka for a loss of 8 yards to the Houst 19

2nd & 18Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.16

Greg Ward Jr. sacked by Alex Barrett for a loss of 9 yards to the Houst 10

3rd & 27Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.19

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Brandon Wilson for 19 yds to the Houst 29

4th & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA +0.21

Greg Ward Jr. sacked by Calvin Munson for a loss of 8 yards to the Houst 21

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.31

Juwan Washington run for 13 yds to the Houst 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the Houst 5

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Juwan Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 7

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Juwan Washington 7 Yd Run (John Baron II Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Brandon Wilson for 3 yds to the Houst 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.66

Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Brandon Wilson for 13 yds to the SDSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-21 ydsPPA -3.76

Greg Ward Jr. pass intercepted Kameron Kelly return for 21 yds to the Houst 49

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

Situational Analysis

Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
24%
29 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
42%
12 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
17%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays