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← Back to GamesNov 5, 2016Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

App State by 20.8

Home Win Probability

App State 93%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 5, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas StateTexas State
307010
App StateApp State
7217035

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-314-328-335-10
App StateTexas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSASTSASTSASTSASTSASTSASTSASASTSASTSASTSASTSASTSASTSASFG1367ydPUNT33ydPUNT37ydTD473ydPUNT33ydTD970ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT37ydTO31ydTD227ydPUNT511ydTD678ydPUNT3-5ydEND442ydPUNT35ydPUNT37ydPUNT33ydTD23ydTD974ydDOWNS1771ydPUNT514ydDOWNS44ydPUNT31ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT522ydEND322yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas State and App State
StatisticTexas StateApp State
Passing28-3815-22
Pass Yards183136
Rush Yards14303
Total Yards197439
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-154-11
Penalties5-359-79
Possession30:3629:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas State
passing
Tyler Jones
28/38, 183 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Stedman Mayberry
10 CAR, 25 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Thurman Morbley
8 REC, 40 YDS
defense
App State
passing
Taylor Lamb
12/19, 120 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Jalin Moore
13 CAR, 130 YDS
receiving
Jaquil Capel
2 REC, 28 YDS, 1 TD
defense
John Law
1.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 10 yds to the TexSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Watts for 13 yds to the TexSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Tyler Jones pass complete to Elijah King for 10 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Watts for 4 yds to the AppSt 43

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Stedman Mayberry run for 3 yds to the AppSt 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.24

Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 8 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Watts for 11 yds to the AppSt 21 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, illegal participation ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 26

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Tyler Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 28

2nd & 17Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.32

Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Siudzinski for 7 yds to the AppSt 21 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, face mask (10 yards) (John Law) to the AppSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyler Jones run for 4 yds to the AppSt 7

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyler Siudzinski run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 8

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.75

Marcus Ripley 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the AppSt 8

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Bentlee Critcher punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.30

Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 42

3rd & 13Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Tyler Jones run for 10 yds to the AppSt 48

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 21 yds, downed at the AppSt 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Mock Adams for 7 yds to the AppSt 34

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Marcus Cox run for 5 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Marcus Cox run for 9 yds to the AppSt 48

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to S. Meadors, PENALTY TXST pass interference (Taylor, An.) 15 yards to the TXST37, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Marcus Cox run for 37 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Jones run for no gain to the TexSt 25

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.58

Tyler Jones sacked by Dezmin Reed for a loss of 10 yards to the TexSt 15

3rd & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.16

Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Siudzinski for 13 yds to the TexSt 28

4th & 7Punt+9 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 51 yds , Jaquil Capel returns for 9 yds to the AppSt 30

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Jalin Moore run for 16 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.25

Taylor Lamb pass complete to T.J. Watkins for 12 yds to the TexSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the TexSt 34

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 39

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the TexSt 35

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Taylor Lamb run for 8 yds to the TexSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Jalin Moore run for 9 yds to the TexSt 18

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.24

Jalin Moore run for 10 yds to the TexSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jaylan Barbour for 8 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Stedman Mayberry run for 2 yds to the TexSt 41

2nd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.61

Tyler Jones sacked by Kennan Gilchrist for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSt 33

3rd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Tyler Jones run for 5 yds to the TexSt 38

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 43 yds , Jaquil Capel returns for no gain to the AppSt 17 Jaquil Capel fumbled, recovered by AppSt Jaquil Capel

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Marcus Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 16

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.13

Marcus Cox run for 8 yds to the AppSt 24

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Bentlee Critcher punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 20

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jericho Worrell run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Jones pass complete to Jericho Worrell for 2 yds to the TexSt 21

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return+1 ydsPPA +0.16

Tyler Jones pass intercepted Eric Boggs return for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 27

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 32

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Taylor Lamb run for 1 yd to the TexSt 31

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.78

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jaquil Capel for 31 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.51

Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 20 yds to the TexSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Elijah King, broken up by Clifton Duck

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Elijah King

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.87

Tyler Jones sacked by Myquon Stout and Rashaad Townes for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSt 36

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaquil Capel at the AppSt 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the AppSt 27

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the AppSt 31

3rd & 1Rush+61 ydsPPA +3.97

Jalin Moore run for 61 yds to the TexSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Marcus Cox run for 1 yd to the TexSt 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jaylan Barbour for 1 yd to the TexSt 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Mock Adams for 6 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 9 yds to the TexSt 34

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.47

Stedman Mayberry run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 33

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.86

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 25 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TexSt Tyler Jones

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jaquil Capel at the AppSt 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Marcus Cox for 5 yds to the AppSt 42

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.02

Taylor Lamb run for 7 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Marcus Cox run for 9 yds to the TexSt 42

2nd & 1Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.17

Taylor Lamb run for 21 yds to the TexSt 21 for a 1ST down

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the AppSt 26

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the AppSt 29

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Jaquil Capel

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Bentlee Critcher punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Stedman Mayberry run for 5 yds to the TexSt 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Jones pass complete to Gabe Schrade for 4 yds to the TexSt 39

3rd & 1Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.09

Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Watts for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 37

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaquil Capel at the AppSt 28

1st & 10Penalty-14 yds

Marcus Cox rush for no gain to the APP28 (Taylor, Dean), PENALTY APP illegal block (Jamie Collmar) 14 yards to the APP14, NO PLAY.

1st & 24Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Marcus Cox run for 4 yds to the AppSt 18

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Jaylan Barbour

3rd & 20Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.20

Marcus Cox run for 13 yds to the AppSt 31

4th & 7Blocked Punt0 yds

Bentlee Critcher punt blocked by Anthony D. Taylor blocked by Anthony D. Taylor

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Stedman Mayberry run for 2 yds to the AppSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Stedman Mayberry run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marcus Ripley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the AppSt 28

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Barrett Burns

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.42

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Marcus Cox for 14 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Marcus Cox run for 12 yds to the TexSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.84

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 21 yds to the TexSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the TexSt 20

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.20

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 11 yds to the TexSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Marcus Cox run for 6 yds to the TexSt 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for 3 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 12 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyler Jones run for 5 yds to the TexSt 42

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Stedman Mayberry run for 4 yds to the TexSt 46

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.26

Stedman Mayberry run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.19

Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSt 45

2nd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.89

Tyler Jones pass complete to Mason Hays for 16 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.81

Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for no gain to the AppSt 39

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 4 yds to the AppSt 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Tyler Jones pass complete to Mason Hays for 9 yds to the AppSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Jones pass complete to Teron Fitzgerald for 3 yds to the AppSt 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 7 yds to the AppSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyler Jones pass complete to Mason Hays for 5 yds to the AppSt 11

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Teron Fitzgerald

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive offside (A.J. Howard) to the AppSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Stedman Mayberry run for no gain to the AppSt 6

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 3 yds to the AppSt 3

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyler Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 4

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Mason Hays

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Marcus Cox run for 9 yds to the AppSt 13

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the AppSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the AppSt 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for 1 yd to the AppSt 18

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Mock Adams, broken up by Brandon McDowell

4th & 7Punt+18 yds

Bentlee Critcher punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSt 46 , Brandon McDowell returns for 18 yds to the TexSt 46

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Thurman Morbley run for 6 yds to the AppSt 48

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler Siudzinski run for 3 yds to the AppSt 45

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Tyler Siudzinski run for no gain to the AppSt 45

4th & 1Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.57

Tyler Jones sacked by Kennan Gilchrist for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -2.66

J.P. Caruso pass complete to Barrett Burns for 7 yds to the APPALCHAN 43 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Colby Gossett) to the AppSt 42

2nd & 18Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.65

J.P. Caruso pass complete to Jaquil Capel for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 39

3rd & 21Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.58

J.P. Caruso pass complete to T.J. Watkins for 12 yds to the TexSt 49

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Bentlee Critcher punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Stedman Mayberry run for 5 yds to the TexSt 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 2 yds to the TexSt 27

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyler Jones run for no gain to the TexSt 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 45

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the AppSt 45

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.30

J.P. Caruso run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 42

3rd & 13Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.41

J.P. Caruso sacked by Ishmael Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 41

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Bentlee Critcher punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.85

Tyler Jones pass complete to Fred Nixon for 14 yds to the TexSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Tyler Jones pass complete to Mason Hays for 8 yds to the TexSt 37

2nd & 2Penalty+5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Myquon Stout) to the TexSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (Giuliano Cattaneo) to the TexSt 37

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Fred Nixon

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Anthony D. Taylor

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Clifton Duck at the AppSt 28

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Darrynton Evans run for 10 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the AppSt 43

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.00

Darrynton Evans run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
22 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
11%
9 plays
17%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
29%
7 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
62%
26 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
0%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th