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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2016Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Alabama by 1.3

Home Win Probability

South Alabama 54%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 29, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia StateGeorgia State
307010
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
0301013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-33-33-1010-10
South AlabamaGeorgia State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSSAGSSAGSSAGSSAGSSAGSSASAGSSAGSSAGSSAGSSAGSSAGSFG969ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-3ydTO42ydPUNT34ydFG722ydMISS1150ydPUNT515ydPUNT39ydPUNT514ydPUNT414ydMISS844ydPUNT738ydTO28ydDOWNS4-2ydTD1171ydTO529ydPUNT66ydTD1492ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT518ydPUNT44ydFG618ydEND10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia State and South Alabama
StatisticGeorgia StateSouth Alabama
Passing11-1815-27
Pass Yards113124
Rush Yards127182
Total Yards240306
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-143-13
Penalties5-375-44
Possession29:3030:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia State
passing
Aaron Winchester
11/18, 113 YDS
rushing
Aaron Winchester
21 CAR, 64 YDS
receiving
Glenn Smith
3 REC, 55 YDS
defense
South Alabama
passing
Dallas Davis
15/25, 124 YDS
rushing
Xavier Johnson
18 CAR, 83 YDS
receiving
Gerald Everett
4 REC, 49 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Darius Stubbs run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Ari Werts for 6 yds to the GeoSt 26

3rd & 2Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.88

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Glenn Smith for 25 yds to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.62

Aaron Winchester run for 10 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.54

Aaron Winchester run for 20 yds to the SAlab 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Kendrick Dorn run for 1 yd to the SAlab 18

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Jaquez Parks run for 6 yds to the SAlab 12

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Aaron Winchester run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 13

4th & 4Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.73

Rogier Ten Lohuis 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Dallas Davis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Dallas Davis pass complete to Tyreis Thomas for 3 yds to the SAlab 29

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Dallas Davis pass complete to Tyreis Thomas for 5 yds to the SAlab 34

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 53 yds , Cedric Stone returns for no gain to the GeoSt 13

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.53

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Todd Boyd for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 10

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Todd Boyd

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, delay of game (Aaron Winchester) to the GeoSt 5

3rd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Aaron Winchester run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 10

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 29 yds, downed at the GeoSt 39

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the GeoSt 39

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Dallas Davis run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Dallas Davis pass incomplete

4th & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.44

Grant Powell pass intercepted B.J. Clay return for no gain to the GeoSt 12

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Demarcus Kirk run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 20

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Demarcus Kirk run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 21

3rd & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.58

Demarcus Kirk run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 16

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 23 yds, downed at the GeoSt 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Dallas Davis pass complete to Sam Harris for 6 yds to the GeoSt 33

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 30

3rd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.61

Dallas Davis run for 18 yds to the GeoSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyreis Thomas run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 9

2nd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Dallas Davis sacked by Alonzo McGee for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 11

3rd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.39

Dallas Davis sacked by Chase Middleton for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSt 17

4th & 15Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA +0.45

Gavin Patterson 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Aaron Winchester run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 27

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.66

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Glenn Smith for 8 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kendrick Dorn run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 39

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Ari Werts for 7 yds to the GeoSt 41

3rd & 4Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.77

Aaron Winchester run for 18 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Demarcus Kirk run for 11 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Demarcus Kirk run for 3 yds to the SAlab 27

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Rogier Ten Lohuis 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Dallas Davis pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 7 yds to the SAlab 34

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyreis Thomas run for 3 yds to the SAlab 42

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Dami Ayoola

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Dallas Davis pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brandon McKee punt for 46 yds, downed at the GeoSt 12

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Glenn Smith run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 17

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Demarcus Kirk run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 18

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Aaron Winchester run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 21

4th & 1Punt+8 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 47 yds , Dami Ayoola returns for 8 yds to the SAlab 40

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.20

Dallas Davis pass complete to Tyrone Williams for 12 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 49

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Gerald Everett, broken up by Chase Middleton

3rd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tyreis Thomas run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 46

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brandon McKee punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Cedric Stone at the GeoSt 16

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.80

Aaron Winchester run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Demarcus Kirk run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 33

2nd & 6Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.06

Aaron Winchester sacked by Tyree Turner for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 30

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Aaron Winchester run for no gain to the GeoSt 30

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dami Ayoola at the SAlab 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.06

Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 23 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Tyreis Thomas run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 39

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dami Ayoola run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Dallas Davis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.94

Dallas Davis pass complete to Jordan McCray for 11 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Jordan McCray, broken up by B.J. Clay

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Dallas Davis run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 15

3rd & 2Penalty-10 yds

Johnson, Xavier rush for 2 yards to the GSU13 (Allen, M.), PENALTY USA holding (Esposito, Dmnc) 10 yards to the GSU25, NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Gavin Patterson 42 yd FG MISSED

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 7

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.52

Xavier Johnson run for 9 yds to the SAlab 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Xavier Johnson run for 7 yds to the SAlab 23

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Tyreis Thomas run for 11 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyreis Thomas run for 5 yds to the SAlab 39

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dami Ayoola run for 4 yds to the SAlab 43

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Dami Ayoola run for no gain to the SAlab 43

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Brandon McKee punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Todd Boyd for 4 yds to the GeoSt 23

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Demarcus Kirk run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27 Demarcus Kirk fumbled, forced by Tyree Turner, recovered by SAlab Randy Allen

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Xavier Johnson run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 20

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.91

Tyreis Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 22

4th & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -3.14

TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 29 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SAlab Brandon McKee

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Aaron Winchester run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Kendrick Dorn run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 44

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Aaron Winchester run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 45

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.37

Aaron Winchester run for 7 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kendrick Dorn run for 5 yds to the SAlab 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Glenn Smith for 22 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kendrick Dorn) to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Tra Barnett for 9 yds to the SAlab 27

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.40

Aaron Winchester run for 5 yds to the SAlab 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Robert Davis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.84

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Robert Davis for 20 yds to the SAlab 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Demarcus Kirk run for 2 yds for a TD SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Rogier Ten Lohuis KICK) SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dallas Davis run for 5 yds to the SAlab 29

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.53

Dallas Davis pass complete to Dami Ayoola for 6 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Dallas Davis pass complete to Dami Ayoola for 1 yd to the SAlab 36

2nd & 9Penalty+7 yds

Davis, Dallas pass incomplete to Francis, Mseiah (Baker, Bobby), PENALTY GSU pass interference (Baker, Bobby) 7 yards to the USA43, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -2.53

Dallas Davis pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 10 yds Xavier Johnson fumbled, forced by Bryan Williams, recovered by GeoSt Bobby Baker

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Aaron Winchester run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Keith Rucker for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.62

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Keith Rucker for 14 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Demarcus Kirk run for 1 yd to the SAlab 35

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Winchester, A. pass complete to Rucker, Keith for 16 yards to the USA19 (Earl, Devon), PENALTY GSU ineligible downfield on pass (Mobley, Gabe) 5 yards to the USA40, NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Aaron Winchester run for 2 yds to the SAlab 38

3rd & 12Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.95

Aaron Winchester sacked by Darrell Songy for a loss of 9 yards to the SAlab 47

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.64

Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 15 yds to the SAlab 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Dami Ayoola run for 9 yds to the SAlab 32

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Xavier Johnson run for 11 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.17

Xavier Johnson run for 18 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Tyreis Thomas run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 30

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyreis Thomas run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.54

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 25 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SAlab Dallas Davis

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Dami Ayoola

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Tyrone Williams

4th & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.23

Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 14 yds to the GeoSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 8

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Dallas Davis run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 2

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.46

Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kendrick Dorn run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Aaron Winchester run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 31

3rd & 4Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.76

Aaron Winchester sacked by Randy Allen for a loss of 13 yards to the GeoSt 18

4th & 17Punt+6 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 41 yds , Dami Ayoola returns for 6 yds to the SAlab 24 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the SAlab 37

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.00

Dallas Davis pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for 11 yds to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 48

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Dami Ayoola run for no gain to the GeoSt 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Dallas Davis pass complete to Dami Ayoola for 3 yds to the GeoSt 45

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brandon McKee punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Cedric Stone at the GeoSt 9

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Kendrick Dorn run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Robert Davis, broken up by Quinton Dent

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.52

Aaron Winchester run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 24

3rd & 13Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.18

Aaron Winchester sacked by Finess Middleton for a loss of 11 yards to the GeoSt 13

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSt 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Kevin Kutchera

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Dami Ayoola run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 15

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Sean Brown) to the GeoSt 20

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Xavier Johnson run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 13

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

TEAM pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.73

Gavin Patterson 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Robert Davis, broken up by Gerald Everett

Situational Analysis

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
40%
25 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
30 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
62%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays