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← Back to GamesOct 22, 2016Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas State by 1.7

Home Win Probability

Texas State 55%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 22, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisianaLouisiana
3107727
Texas StateTexas State
30003

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-33-103-133-203-27
Texas StateLouisiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSLOUTSLOUTSLOULOUTSLOUTSLOULOUTSLOUTSLOUTSLOUTSLOUTSLOUFG1263ydTO318ydPUNT930ydFG1060ydPUNT733ydPUNT38ydTD955ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT4-5ydPUNT514ydFG1164ydPUNT3-12ydTO34ydTD856ydPUNT65ydDOWNS49ydDOWNS539ydPUNT37ydDOWNS1234ydTD554ydPUNT32ydEND940yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisiana and Texas State
StatisticLouisianaTexas State
Passing17-2120-28
Pass Yards156142
Rush Yards23679
Total Yards392221
Turnovers12
3rd Down8-147-18
Penalties13-848-64
Possession32:4927:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisiana
passing
Anthony Jennings
17/21, 156 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Elijah McGuire
20 CAR, 112 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Michael Jacquet
2 REC, 54 YDS
defense
Texas State
passing
Tyler Jones
20/28, 142 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Stedman Mayberry
17 CAR, 54 YDS
receiving
Elijah King
2 REC, 42 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Stedman Mayberry run for 2 yds to the TexSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.52

Tyler Jones pass complete to Elijah King for 21 yds to the TexSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Stedman Mayberry run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 49

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tyler Jones run for no gain to the LaLaf 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.75

Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 20 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Stedman Mayberry run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 26

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Stedman Mayberry run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 22

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.42

Tyler Jones run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Stedman Mayberry run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 17

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the LaLaf 12

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyler Watts run for no gain to the LaLaf 12

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.77

Marcus Ripley 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.65

Anthony Jennings pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 15 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.95

Anthony Jennings pass intercepted Javante O'Roy return for no gain to the TexSt 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 1 yd to the TexSt 12

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Tyler Jones run for 7 yds to the TexSt 19

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.59

Tyler Tutt run for 3 yds to the TexSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.92

Tyler Jones sacked by Taboris Lee and Jarvis Jeffries for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSt 17

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Tyler Tutt run for 5 yds to the TexSt 22

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Defensive offside (Simeon Thomas) to the TexSt 27

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.60

Tyler Jones pass complete to Gabe Schrade for 8 yds to the TexSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Stedman Mayberry run for 3 yds to the TexSt 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Gabe Schrade, broken up by Tre'maine Lightfoot

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Tyler Jones pass complete to Mason Hays for 3 yds to the TexSt 41

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Levarious Varnado at the LaLaf 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 5 yds to the LaLaf 26

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.81

Elijah McGuire run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Anthony Jennings run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 3 yds to the LaLaf 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.23

Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 10 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.39

Anthony Jennings pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 39 yds to the TexSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 17

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Anthony Jennings run for 1 yd to the TexSt 16

2nd & 14Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.87

Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 19

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Anthony Jennings pass incomplete

4th & 17Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA +0.86

Stevie Artigue 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.25

Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Watts for 17 yds to the TexSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Stedman Mayberry run for 9 yds to the TexSt 44

2nd & 1Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -2.15

Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 41

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.08

Tyler Jones run for 8 yds to the TexSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Stedman Mayberry run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 44

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Eddie Printz run for no gain to the LaLaf 44

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 49

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Levarious Varnado at the LaLaf 9

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 7

2nd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.44

Elijah McGuire run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 18

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Anthony Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 17

4th & 2Punt+23 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 48 yds , Brandon McDowell returns for 23 yds to the LaLaf 45 Brandon McDowell fumbled, forced by Nick Byrne, recovered by LaLaf Travis Crawford

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.98

Elijah McGuire run for 10 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Elijah McGuire run for 6 yds to the TexSt 34

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Darius Hoggins run for 6 yds to the TexSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Darius Hoggins run for 3 yds to the TexSt 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.36

Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 10 yds to the TexSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Elijah McGuire run for 6 yds to the TexSt 9

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.69

Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the TexSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Stedman Mayberry run for no gain to the TexSt 12

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tyler Jones run for 4 yds to the TexSt 16

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.23

Tyler Jones sacked by Joe Dillon for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSt 10

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 5

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 62 yds, downed at the LaLaf 33

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Elijah McGuire run for no gain to the LaLaf 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Anthony Jennings pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 3 yds to the LaLaf 36

3rd & 7Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -0.73

Anthony Jennings pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 9 yds to the LaLaf 45 UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Offensive holding (-19 Yards) to the LaLaf 26

3rd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Anthony Jennings pass complete to Darius Hoggins for 2 yds to the LaLaf 28

4th & 15Punt+10 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 44 yds , Brandon McDowell returns for 10 yds to the TexSt 38 TEXAS STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (Mason Hays) to the TexSt 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Stedman Mayberry run for 5 yds to the TexSt 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.00

Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 7 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 36

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Tyler Jones run for 3 yds to the TexSt 39

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the TexSt 44

3rd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Tyler Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 42

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Levarious Varnado at the LaLaf 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 7 yds to the LaLaf 18

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Anthony Jennings run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 20

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.54

Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 5 yds to the LaLaf 28

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Darius Hoggins

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.47

Anthony Jennings pass complete to Darius Hoggins for 6 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 14 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Jennings, Anthony pass incomplete to Jacquet, Michael, PENALTY TXST pass interference (Taylor, Anthony J.) 15 yards to the TXST37, 1ST DOWN UL, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Elijah McGuire

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the TexSt 32

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 7 yds to the TexSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA -1.30

Stevie Artigue 42 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.29

Anthony Jennings sacked by Teron Fitzgerald for a loss of 10 yards to the LaLaf 16

2nd & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.09

Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 24

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (D'Aquin Withrow) to the LaLaf 19

3rd & 17Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.30

Elijah McGuire run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 32

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 27

4th & 9Penalty-13 yds

UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-13 Yards) to the LaLaf 14

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 46

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Stedman Mayberry run for 1 yd to the TexSt 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.50

Tyler Jones pass intercepted Simeon Thomas return for no gain to the LaLaf 44

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 49

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.21

Elijah McGuire run for 14 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan Wright run for 3 yds to the TexSt 34

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (Grant Horst) to the TexSt 39

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Anthony Jennings pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 8 yds to the TexSt 31

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.86

Jordan Wright run for 6 yds to the TexSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.24

Jordan Wright run for 22 yds to the TexSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jordan Wright run for 2 yds to the TexSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Tyler Jones pass complete to Gabe Schrade for 8 yds to the TexSt 12

2nd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 1 yd to the TexSt 13

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.29

Stedman Mayberry run for 2 yds to the TexSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSt 10

2nd & 15Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler Jones sacked by Kevon Perry for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSt 4

3rd & 21Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Stedman Mayberry run for 5 yds to the TexSt 9

4th & 16Punt+24 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSt 23 UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the TexSt 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the TexSt 31

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Elijah McGuire run for 6 yds to the TexSt 25

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Jordan Wright run for 1 yd to the TexSt 24

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.41

Jordan Wright run for no gain to the TexSt 24

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+24 ydsPPA +2.14

Tyler Jones pass complete to Gabe Schrade for 13 yds Gabe Schrade fumbled, forced by Reginald Miles, recovered by TexSt Elijah King for a 1ST down , return for 24 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Gabe Schrade

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tyler Jones pass complete to Anthony D. Taylor for no gain to the LaLaf 39

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Watts for 2 yds to the LaLaf 37

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.44

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Gabe Schrade

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Anthony Jennings run for no gain to the LaLaf 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Anthony Jennings pass complete to Gary Haynes for 7 yds to the LaLaf 44

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Anthony Jennings run for no gain to the LaLaf 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 12 yds to the TexSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Tyler Jones run for 7 yds to the TexSt 39

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Tyler Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.56

Stedman Mayberry run for 4 yds to the TexSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Stedman Mayberry run for 1 yd to the TexSt 44

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.51

Tyler Jones run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSt 39

3rd & 14Penalty+6 yds

UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Defensive offside (Karmichael Dunbar) to the TexSt 45

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Tyler Jones run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 48

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.23

Stedman Mayberry run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tyler Jones run for no gain to the LaLaf 45

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Jones, Tyler rush for 5 yards to the UL40 (Peters, Otha), PENALTY TXST holding 10 yards to the TXST45, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.60

Tyler Jones pass complete to Anthony D. Taylor for 13 yds to the LaLaf 42

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Tyler Jones run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 41

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (Mason Hays) to the LaLaf 46

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Mason Hays, broken up by Simeon Thomas

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.04

Raymond Calais run for 15 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.48

Raymond Calais run for 16 yds to the TexSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Raymond Calais run for 2 yds to the TexSt 21

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Al Riles run for 3 yds to the TexSt 18

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.04

Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 18 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler Jones pass complete to Brendon Rushing for 4 yds to the TexSt 26

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Stedman Mayberry run for 1 yd to the TexSt 27

3rd & 5Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler Jones pass complete to Elijah King for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 24

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Lumi Kaba punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Jordan Wright at the LaLaf 21

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Darius Hoggins run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 30

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Darius Hoggins run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 29

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.08

Darius Hoggins run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Raymond Calais run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 36

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jordan Davis run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 38

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.05

Jordan Davis run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 40

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 35

1st & 20Rush+19 ydsPPA +3.38

Jordan Davis run for 19 yds to the TexSt 46

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Raymond Calais run for 3 yds to the TexSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Raymond Calais run for 4 yds to the TexSt 39

Situational Analysis

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
46%
28 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
83%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
100%
6 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
23 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
30%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play