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← Back to GamesOct 15, 2016Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas State by 2.2

Home Win Probability

Arkansas State 57%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 15, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
00077
Arkansas StateArkansas State
0143017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-014-017-017-7
Arkansas StateSouth Alabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASSAASSAASSASAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASSAASMISS1260ydPUNT528ydTO962ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT3-4ydTD827ydPUNT3-5ydTD1171ydTO1156ydEND28ydMISS1041ydFG1368ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT518ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT733ydTD792ydPUNT68ydDOWNS616ydEND13yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Alabama and Arkansas State
StatisticSouth AlabamaArkansas State
Passing12-279-13
Pass Yards19493
Rush Yards61204
Total Yards255297
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-134-13
Penalties9-674-25
Possession26:3133:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Alabama
passing
Dallas Davis
9/15, 146 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Dami Ayoola
6 CAR, 34 YDS
receiving
Gerald Everett
5 REC, 125 YDS
defense
Arkansas State
passing
Justice Hansen
9/13, 93 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Warren Wand
18 CAR, 88 YDS
receiving
Blake Mack
2 REC, 39 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Warren Wand run for 10 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Warren Wand run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 40

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Justice Hansen run for 13 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Johnston White run for 15 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Logan Moragne run for 5 yds to the SAlab 27

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Logan Moragne run for 3 yds to the SAlab 24

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Daryl Rollins-Davis run for 1 yd to the SAlab 23

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Justice Hansen run for 3 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Warren Wand run for 4 yds to the SAlab 16

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Justice Hansen run for 1 yd to the SAlab 15

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Justice Hansen pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+32 yds

J.D. Houston 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Xavier Johnson run for 6 yds to the SAlab 26

2nd & 4Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.33

Cole Garvin pass complete to Gerald Everett for 25 yds to the ArkSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Cole Garvin pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.23

Cole Garvin sacked by Chris Odom for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 48

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brandon McKee punt for 45 yds, downed at the ArkSt 7

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Warren Wand run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 10

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.61

Warren Wand run for 10 yds to the ArkSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Johnston White run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 18

2nd & 12Penalty+5 yds

Hansen, Justice pass incomplete to Bayless, Omar, PENALTY USA offside defense (Allen, Randy) 5 yards to the ASU23, NO PLAY.

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Justice Hansen run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.15

Justice Hansen pass complete to Blake Mack for 15 yds to the ArkSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (Neiko Robinson) to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Warren Wand run for 14 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.41

Justice Hansen sacked by Bull Barge and Finess Middleton for a loss of 10 yards to the SAlab 40

2nd & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Justice Hansen run for 9 yds to the SAlab 31

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -2.67

Justice Hansen pass intercepted Jeremy Reaves return for 3 yds to the SAlab 24

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.06

Cole Garvin sacked by Waylon Roberson for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 18

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Xavier Johnson, broken up by Chris Odom

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Gerald Everett

4th & 16Penalty0 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declined

4th & 16Punt+2 yds

Brandon McKee punt for 53 yds , Blaise Taylor returns for 2 yds to the ArkSt 31

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.89

Justice Hansen pass complete to Sterling Stowers for no gain to the ArkSt 31

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Warren Wand run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 35

3rd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.73

Justice Hansen sacked by Randy Allen for a loss of 8 yards to the ArkSt 27

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Damon Foncham punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds to the SAlab 35

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.75

Cole Garvin run for 10 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds to the SAlab 47

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 48

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.39

Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Dami Ayoola run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Gerald Everett, broken up by Cody Brown

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+60 ydsPPA -2.36

Cole Garvin pass complete to Kevin Kutchera for 5 yds for a TD Kevin Kutchera fumbled, forced by Chris Humes, recovered by ArkSt Chris Humes , return for 60 yds, (J.D. Houston KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyreis Thomas run for 3 yds to the SAlab 28

2nd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.92

Cole Garvin sacked by Chris Odom for a loss of 8 yards to the SAlab 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Cole Garvin pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt-2 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 49 yds , Blaise Taylor returns for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 29

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Daryl Rollins-Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 28

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Justice Hansen pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 10 yds to the ArkSt 38

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.96

Chad Voytik run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Justice Hansen run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 40

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Justice Hansen pass complete to Omar Bayless for 8 yds Omar Bayless fumbled, forced by Nigel Lawrence, recovered by ArkSt Blake Mack for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Johnston White run for 2 yds to the SAlab 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.18

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 12 yds to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Justice Hansen pass complete to Christian Booker for 9 yds to the SAlab 22

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Justice Hansen run for 2 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Johnston White run for 6 yds to the SAlab 14

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.43

Johnston White run for 14 yds for a TD, (J.D. Houston KICK)

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 8

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Sawyer Williams kickoff for 65 yds , Dami Ayoola return for 19 yds to the SAlab 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyreis Thomas run for 5 yds to the SAlab 24

2nd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 22

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.30

Dallas Davis pass complete to Dami Ayoola for 7 yds to the SAlab 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for 22 yds to the ArkSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Deonta Moore run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 45

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.85

Dallas Davis run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Josh Magee, broken up by Justin Clifton

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.64

Dallas Davis pass complete to Kevin Kutchera for 10 yds to the ArkSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Dallas Davis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.85

Dallas Davis pass intercepted Cody Brown return for no gain to the ArkSt 3

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Johnston White run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 8

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Johnston White run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 11

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (De'Arius Young) to the SAlab 30

1st & 15Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for 1 yd to the SAlab 31

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Josh Magee

3rd & 14Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.51

Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 22 yds to the ArkSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Dami Ayoola run for 11 yds to the ArkSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Dami Ayoola run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 33

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Dallas Davis run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyreis Thomas run for no gain to the ArkSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Dallas Davis pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for 6 yds to the ArkSt 19

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Davis, Dallas pass complete to Thomas, Tyreis for 4 yards to the ASU15 (Woodson-Luster), PENALTY USA illegal formation 5 yards to the ASU24, NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Dallas Davis pass incomplete, broken up by Jeremy Smith

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Gavin Patterson 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Warren Wand run for no gain to the ArkSt 24

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Justice Hansen pass complete to Justin McInnis for 6 yds to the ArkSt 30

3rd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.29

Justice Hansen run for 14 yds to the ArkSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Warren Wand run for 9 yds to the SAlab 47

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.06

Warren Wand run for 10 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Johnston White run for 2 yds to the SAlab 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Justice Hansen pass complete to Kendall Sanders for 2 yds to the SAlab 33

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Blake Mack

4th & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.51

Justice Hansen pass complete to Blake Mack for 24 yds to the SAlab 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Warren Wand run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 10

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Warren Wand run for 2 yds to the SAlab 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Justice Hansen pass incomplete to Dijon Paschal

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.70

J.D. Houston 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Sawyer Williams kickoff for 57 yds , Dami Ayoola return for 17 yds to the SAlab 25

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.20

Dallas Davis sacked by Ja'Von Rolland-Jones for a loss of 9 yards to the SAlab 16

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Tyrone Williams

3rd & 19Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the SAlab 20

4th & 15Punt+1 yds

Brandon McKee punt for 56 yds , Blaise Taylor returns for 1 yd to the ArkSt 21 ARKANSAS ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the ArkSt 15

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Cameron Echols-Luper run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 24

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.32

Warren Wand run for 10 yds to the ArkSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.49

Justice Hansen sacked by Randy Allen for a loss of 4 yards to the ArkSt 30

2nd & 14Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.45

Justice Hansen run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArkSt 26

3rd & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Warren Wand run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 33

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Damon Foncham punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 36

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 35

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.87

Dallas Davis sacked by Chris Odom for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 29 Dallas Davis fumbled, recovered by SAlab Dallas Davis , return for 0 yards

3rd & 17Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, delay of game (Dallas Davis) to the SAlab 24

3rd & 22Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 4 yds to the SAlab 28

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Brandon McKee punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Blaise Taylor at the ArkSt 26

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Justice Hansen run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 34

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Johnston White run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Johnston White run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 47

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Johnston White run for no gain to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Warren Wand run for 3 yds to the SAlab 35

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.52

Warren Wand run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 38

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 43

3rd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Justice Hansen run for 7 yds to the SAlab 36

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 41

4th & 13Punt+33 yds

Damon Foncham punt for 25 yds, downed at the SAlab 16 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (Cole Garvin) to the SAlab 8

1st & 10Penalty-4 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Quinton Lane) to the SAlab 4

1st & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 7

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Dami Ayoola run for 2 yds to the SAlab 9

3rd & 9Pass Reception+76 ydsPPA +4.73

Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 76 yds to the ArkSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Dami Ayoola run for 9 yds to the ArkSt 6

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.01

Dami Ayoola run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 1 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Justice Hansen run for 2 yds to the SAlab 46

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Warren Wand run for 1 yd to the SAlab 45

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.11

Chad Voytik run for 8 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Warren Wand run for no gain to the SAlab 37

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.62

Chad Voytik run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 40

3rd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Johnston White run for no gain to the SAlab 40

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Damon Foncham punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Quinton Lane

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.38

Cole Garvin pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for 22 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Tyrone Williams

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.36

Cole Garvin sacked by Ja'Von Rolland-Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 36

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Cole Garvin pass incomplete

4th & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.26

Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Jordan McCray

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the SAlab 31

1st & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.03

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 33

Situational Analysis

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
25%
20 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
17%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
27 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
36%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play