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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2016Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Montana State by 2.1

Home Win Probability

Idaho 44%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 2, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Montana State
737017
Idaho
1730020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-717-720-720-17
IdahoMontana State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20IDAMSIDAMSIDAMSIDAMSIDAMSIDAMSIDAMSMSIDAMSIDAMSIDAMSIDAMSIDAMSIDAFG539ydTD1275ydTD374ydTO528ydTD424ydPUNT58ydDOWNS47ydPUNT3-3ydFG1159ydMISS1151ydTO17ydFG515ydPUNT416ydEND10ydTD1381ydPUNT427ydPUNT521ydPUNT34ydPUNT39ydPUNT30ydDOWNS627ydTO637ydPUNT413ydDOWNS535ydPUNT3-5ydEND724yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Montana State and Idaho
StatisticMontana StateIdaho
Passing20-368-22
Pass Yards195128
Rush Yards110229
Total Yards305357
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-172-11
Penalties4-305-40
Possession36:1423:46

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Montana State
passing
Tyler Bruggman
19/35, 191 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Chad Newell
25 CAR, 105 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Mitchell Herbert
4 REC, 62 YDS
defense
Idaho
passing
Matt Linehan
8/22, 128 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Aaron Duckworth
15 CAR, 112 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Deon Watson
2 REC, 67 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.45

Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 36 yds to the MntSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Matt Linehan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the MntSt 26

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Trent Cowan

4th & 7Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA +0.39

Austin Rehkow 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Mitchell Herbert for 24 yds to the MntSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nick LaSane run for 5 yds to the Idaho 46

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete to Justin Paige

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.74

Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Austin Barth for 5 yds to the Idaho 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MONTANA ST Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 46

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Chad Newell run for 7 yds to the Idaho 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete to Mitchell Herbert

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Tyler Bruggman pass complete to John D'Agostino for 6 yds to the Idaho 33

4th & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.63

Tyler Bruggman pass complete to John D'Agostino for 4 yds to the Idaho 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Justin Paige for 5 yds to the Idaho 24

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Nick LaSane run for 1 yd to the Idaho 23

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Tyler Bruggman pass complete to John D'Agostino for 11 yds to the Idaho 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Justin Paige for 12 yds for a TD, (Devon Tandberg KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Matt Linehan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.39

Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 31 yds to the MntSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Aaron Duckworth run for 43 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Chad Newell run for 7 yds to the MntSt 28

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.45

Chad Newell run for 6 yds to the MntSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Chad Newell run for 9 yds to the MntSt 43

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Chad Newell run for 6 yds to the MntSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-30 ydsPPA -3.08

Tyler Bruggman pass intercepted Russell Siavii return for 30 yds to the MntSt 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Aaron Duckworth run for 5 yds to the MntSt 19

2nd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.39

Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 17 yds to the MntSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the MntSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chad Newell run for 5 yds to the MntSt 16

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.36

Chad Newell run for 5 yds to the MntSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Chad Newell run for a loss of 1 yard to the MntSt 20

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

MONTANA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MntSt 15

2nd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Nick LaSane for 4 yds to the MntSt 19

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+3 yds

Jered Padmos punt for 39 yds , Alfonso Onunwor returns for 3 yds to the Idaho 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Callen Hightower run for 3 yds to the Idaho 48

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the MntSt 48

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Matt Linehan pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Matt Linehan pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Chad Newell run for no gain to the MntSt 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.43

Tyler Bruggman pass complete to John D'Agostino for a loss of 3 yards to the MntSt 45

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jered Padmos punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Idaho 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 11 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Denzal Brantley run for 8 yds to the Idaho 43

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Denzal Brantley run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Matt Linehan run for 3 yds to the MntSt 47

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.09

Denzal Brantley run for 8 yds to the MntSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Matt Linehan run for 7 yds to the MntSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.11

Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 14 yds to the MntSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the MntSt 18

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Matt Linehan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Isaiah Saunders run for 1 yd to the MntSt 17

4th & 9Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA -0.13

Austin Rehkow 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Chad Newell run for 13 yds to the MntSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.99

Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Mitchell Herbert for 25 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.82

Mitchell Herbert run for a loss of 10 yards to the Idaho 47

2nd & 20Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.74

Chris Murray run for 13 yds to the Idaho 34

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Chris Murray pass complete to Justin Paige for 5 yds to the Idaho 29

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.39

Chris Murray run for 5 yds to the Idaho 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Chris Murray run for no gain to the Idaho 24

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Devon Tandberg 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -0.85

Aaron Duckworth run for 7 yds to the Idaho 31 Aaron Duckworth fumbled, recovered by MntSt Grant Collins

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.25

Chad Newell run for 13 yds to the Idaho 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Chad Newell run for 8 yds to the Idaho 10

2nd & 2Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.02

Chris Murray run for a loss of 6 yards to the Idaho 16

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete to Mitchell Herbert

4th & 8Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.28

Devon Tandberg 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Matt Linehan run for 14 yds to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Matt Linehan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 2 yds to the Idaho 36

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob Sannon

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Austin Rehkow punt for 44 yds, downed at the MntSt 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chad Newell run for no gain to the MntSt 20

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chad Newell run for 5 yds to the MntSt 24

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jayshawn Gates run for no gain to the MntSt 24

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.24

Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Mitchell Herbert for 6 yds to the MntSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Chad Newell for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Chad Newell run for 3 yds to the Idaho 47

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete to Mitchell Herbert

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.17

Tyler Bruggman pass complete to John D'Agostino for 7 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.61

Tyler Bruggman pass complete to John D'Agostino for 23 yds to the Idaho 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete to John D'Agostino

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chad Newell run for 5 yds to the Idaho 12

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Chad Newell run for 4 yds to the Idaho 8

4th & 1Penalty-4 yds

MONTANA ST Penalty, Offensive Offside (-4 Yards) to the Idaho 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Chad Newell run for 9 yds to the Idaho 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Chad Newell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Devon Tandberg KICK)

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.49

Isaiah Saunders run for 29 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Callen Hightower

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Matt Linehan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.90

Matt Linehan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 48

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Austin Rehkow punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Khari Garcia at the MntSt 7

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Nick LaSane run for no gain to the MntSt 7

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.85

Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Nick LaSane for 14 yds to the MntSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Mitchell Herbert for 7 yds to the MntSt 28

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jered Padmos punt for 40 yds, downed at the Idaho 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon Watson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Denzal Brantley run for 4 yds to the Idaho 36

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Matt Linehan run for no gain to the Idaho 36

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Austin Rehkow punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ben Folsom at the MntSt 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chad Newell run for 5 yds to the MntSt 26

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Chad Newell run for 4 yds to the MntSt 30

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Chad Newell run for no gain to the MntSt 30

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jered Padmos punt for 38 yds , Alfonso Onunwor returns for no gain to the Idaho 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 34

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

IDAHO Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 29

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Matt Linehan pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 3 yds to the Idaho 32

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Austin Rehkow punt for 27 yds, downed at the MntSt 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Justin Paige for 1 yd to the MntSt 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Chad Newell for 7 yds to the MntSt 49

3rd & 2Penalty+10 yds

IDAHO Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Idaho 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Nick LaSane run for 4 yds to the Idaho 37

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nick LaSane run for 3 yds to the Idaho 34

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Chad Newell run for 2 yds to the Idaho 32

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.80

Chris Murray run for no gain to the Idaho 32

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Denzal Brantley run for 9 yds to the Idaho 41

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Callen Hightower

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Denzal Brantley run for 3 yds to the Idaho 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Matt Linehan run for 13 yds to the MntSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 12 yds to the MntSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.16

Matt Linehan pass intercepted Tre'von Strong return for no gain to the MntSt 2

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.40

Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Justin Paige for 14 yds to the MntSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Chad Newell run for 1 yd to the MntSt 17

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Bruggman sacked by Tony Lashley for a loss of 2 yards to the MntSt 15

4th & 11Punt+8 yds

Jered Padmos punt for 37 yds , Alfonso Onunwor returns for 8 yds to the MntSt 44

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +0.83

Aaron Duckworth run for 27 yds to the MntSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the MntSt 17

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the MntSt 14

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Matt Linehan run for 6 yds to the MntSt 8

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.08

Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 1 yard to the MntSt 9

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyler Bruggman run for a loss of 5 yards to the MntSt 4 Tyler Bruggman fumbled, recovered by MntSt Tyler Bruggman

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete to Justin Paige

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Jered Padmos punt for 49 yds , Alfonso Onunwor returns for no gain to the Idaho 4 IDAHO Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Idaho 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Idaho 40

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Aaron Duckworth run for 8 yds to the Idaho 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the IDAHO 48 IDAHO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Idaho 42

1st & 16Penalty+5 yds

MONTANA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (5 Yards) to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Aaron Duckworth run for 12 yds to the MntSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the MntSt 39

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.22

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MntSt 40

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

TEAM run for 1 yd to the MntSt 39

Situational Analysis

Montana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
30 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Idaho

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
28 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
27%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
17%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays