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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2016Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 10.1

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 78%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 26, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
3140017
WisconsinWisconsin
0732131

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-37-1010-1717-1731-17
WisconsinMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISFG1272ydPUNT825ydPUNT425ydPUNT34ydPUNT636ydTD1080ydTD113ydPUNT420ydPUNT412ydPUNT57ydTD768ydEND23ydFG1260ydTO761ydPUNT419ydPUNT721ydPUNT3-13ydTO3-5ydTD319ydPUNT3-4ydTO229ydPUNT322ydTD387ydTO30ydTD18ydTO20ydPUNT58ydPUNT3-5ydEND512yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Wisconsin
StatisticMinnesotaWisconsin
Passing9-2613-22
Pass Yards158152
Rush Yards128210
Total Yards286362
Turnovers41
3rd Down3-144-12
Penalties3-263-35
Possession27:0132:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Mitch Leidner
9/26, 158 YDS, 1 TD, 4 INT
rushing
Mitch Leidner
16 CAR, 46 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Drew Wolitarsky
4 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Wisconsin
passing
Bart Houston
9/14, 123 YDS
rushing
Corey Clement
26 CAR, 100 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jazz Peavy
4 REC, 47 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 29

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.53

Mitch Leidner run for 12 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.06

Mitch Leidner run for 32 yds to the Wisc 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Eric Carter for 9 yds to the Wisc 18

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Wisc 18

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.15

Mitch Leidner run for 3 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Rodney Smith run for 10 yds to the Wisc 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Rodney Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Mitch Leidner run for 3 yds to the Wisc 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.08

Emmit Carpenter 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 46

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Corey Clement run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 43

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.00

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to George Rushing for 12 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 6 yds to the Minn 39

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.24

Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Corey Clement run for no gain to the Minn 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 2 yds to the Minn 32

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 30 yds, downed at the Minn 2

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.76

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 21 yds to the Minn 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 27

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 25 yds, downed at the Wisc 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bradrick Shaw run for 4 yds to the Minn 48

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+9 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 40 yds , KiAnte Hardin returns for 9 yds to the Minn 17

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mitch Leidner run for 5 yds to the Minn 22

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.60

Shannon Brooks run for 6 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.49

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rashad Still for 16 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Minn 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 7 yds to the Wisc 47

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Shannon Brooks run for no gain to the Wisc 47

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.57

Bart Houston pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 14 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Jazz Peavy run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 12 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.33

Corey Clement run for 10 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Corey Clement run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 30

2nd & 12Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.22

Bart Houston pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 22 yds to the Minn 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Minn 7

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Corey Clement run for 6 yds to the Minn 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Alec Ingold run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 13 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 21 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 45

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Bart Houston pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Bart Houston pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+7 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 45 yds , Antonio Shenault returns for 7 yds to the Minn 17

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.29

Shannon Brooks run for 18 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Mitch Leidner run for 3 yds to the Minn 38

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.21

Shannon Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 35

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.46

Mitch Leidner sacked by Vince Biegel for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 29

4th & 16Punt+5 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 55 yds , Jazz Peavy returns for 5 yds to the Wisc 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 9 yds to the Wisc 30

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Wisc 33

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 28

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Bart Houston pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt+5 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 45 yds , KiAnte Hardin returns for 5 yds to the Minn 32

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Rodney Smith run for 11 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.82

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 35 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Mitch Leidner run for 5 yds to the Wisc 17

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rashad Still for 10 yds to the Wisc 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Wisc 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Mitch Leidner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 24

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the Wisc 28

0th & 11End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Wisc 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Wisc 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Austin Ramesh run for 3 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 11 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.57

Bart Houston run for 12 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Minn 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.69

Bart Houston pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 13 yds to the Minn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Bart Houston pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.17

Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 26

3rd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.94

Bart Houston pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 11 yds to the Minn 15

4th & 3Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.72

Andrew Endicott 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rashad Still for 22 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Wisc 49

2nd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.26

Mitch Leidner sacked by Olive Sagapolu for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 45

3rd & 12Penalty+15 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.63

Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodney Smith for 25 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Wisc 14

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.85

Mitch Leidner pass intercepted, touchback. Leo Musso return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Corey Clement run for 11 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Wisc 32

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Wisc 36

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Bart Houston pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 3 yds to the Wisc 39

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 44 yds, fair catch by KiAnte Hardin at the Minn 17

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Shannon Brooks run for 10 yds to the Minn 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Minn 28

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Mitch Leidner run for 8 yds to the Minn 36

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.01

Mitch Leidner run for 2 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Shannon Brooks run for no gain to the Minn 38

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+3 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 42 yds , Jazz Peavy returns for 3 yds to the Wisc 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Bart Houston pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.46

Bart Houston run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 18

3rd & 15Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.09

Bart Houston sacked by Blake Cashman for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 10

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 37 yds , Antonio Shenault returns for no gain to the Wisc 47

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Wisc 46

2nd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.12

Mitch Leidner sacked by T.J. Watt for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 48

3rd & 15Pass Interception Return-40 ydsPPA -0.45

Mitch Leidner pass intercepted Sojourn Shelton return for 40 yds to the Minn 19

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Minn 18

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.67

Bart Houston pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 16 yds to the Minn 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Corey Clement run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Minn 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.42

Mitch Leidner sacked by Chikwe Obasih for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 45

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Corey Clement run for 6 yds to the Minn 49

2nd & 4Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.18

Corey Clement run for 23 yds to the Minn 26 Corey Clement fumbled, recovered by Minn

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 43

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 48

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 48

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 39 yds, downed at the Wisc 13

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Encroachment (5 Yards) to the Wisc 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+77 yds

Jazz Peavy run for 71 yds to the WISCONSIN 11 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Illegal Block (6 Yards) to the Minn 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds to the Minn 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Corey Clement run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return-25 ydsPPA +0.13

Mitch Leidner pass intercepted Leon Jacobs return for 25 yds to the Minn 8

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Dare Ogunbowale run for 8 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.22

Mitch Leidner pass intercepted Sojourn Shelton return for no gain to the Wisc 32

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Wisc 37

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Corey Clement run for 6 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Corey Clement run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 42

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.89

Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 41

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jazz Peavy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 40

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 60 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Mitch Leidner run for 2 yds to the Minn 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Mitch Leidner pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.26

Mitch Leidner sacked by Garret Dooley for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 15

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ryan Santoso punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jazz Peavy at the Wisc 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds to the Wisc 41

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bradrick Shaw run for 4 yds to the Wisc 45

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.92

Bradrick Shaw run for 8 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 49

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
45%
29 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
12 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
40%
30 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
38%
13 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play