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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2016Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 13.3

Home Win Probability

Penn State 84%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 26, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Michigan StateMichigan State
660012
Penn StatePenn State
010211445

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-63-63-910-910-1217-1224-1231-1238-1245-12
Penn StateMichigan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSPUNT38ydFG1276ydPUNT3-11ydFG1149ydFG1060ydFG1359ydTD1078ydFG1472ydEND1-2ydPUNT3-9ydTD552ydPUNT59ydTD569ydTO837ydTD262ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT33ydPUNT740ydPUNT38ydDOWNS611ydTD442ydPUNT615ydTD483ydDOWNS44ydEND519yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan State and Penn State
StatisticMichigan StatePenn State
Passing25-4618-24
Pass Yards234386
Rush Yards10977
Total Yards343463
Turnovers10
3rd Down9-204-10
Penalties4-231-15
Possession34:2425:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan State
passing
Tyler O'Connor
17/33, 118 YDS
rushing
LJ Scott
16 CAR, 59 YDS
receiving
R.J. Shelton
5 REC, 74 YDS
defense
Penn State
passing
Trace McSorley
17/23, 376 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Andre Robinson
3 CAR, 32 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chris Godwin
5 REC, 135 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Brandon Bell
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Trace McSorley run for 2 yds to the PnSt 32

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 33

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Demetrius Cooper) to the PnSt 38

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Trace McSorley run for no gain to the PnSt 38

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 49 yds, downed at the MchSt 13

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

R.J. Shelton run for 9 yds to the MchSt 22

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.14

LJ Scott run for 5 yds to the MchSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.00

Damion Terry pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 39 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

LJ Scott run for 6 yds to the PnSt 28

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

LJ Scott run for 6 yds to the PnSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Damion Terry pass complete to Monty Madaris for 3 yds to the PnSt 19

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Damion Terry pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.79

Damion Terry pass complete to Monty Madaris for 10 yds to the PnSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Damion Terry pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Damion Terry run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 11

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Damion Terry pass incomplete to Donnie Corley

4th & 11Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.36

Michael Geiger 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saeed Blacknall

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 22

3rd & 13Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.15

Trace McSorley sacked by Demetrius Cooper for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 14

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 54 yds, downed at the MchSt 32

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

LJ Scott run for no gain to the MchSt 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.98

Damion Terry pass complete to Josiah Price for 11 yds to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

LJ Scott run for 5 yds to the MchSt 48

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Damion Terry run for 3 yds to the PnSt 49

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.70

LJ Scott run for 11 yds to the PnSt 38 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Brandon Bell) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.33

LJ Scott run for 10 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.23

R.J. Shelton pass complete to Damion Terry for 15 yds to the PnSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

LJ Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 14

2nd & 11Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.96

LJ Scott run for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 19

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Damion Terry pass incomplete to Monty Madaris

4th & 16Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA +0.75

Michael Geiger 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.28

Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 19 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saeed Blacknall

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Trace McSorley run for no gain to the PnSt 43

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.33

Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 18 yds to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 13 yds to the MchSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Saquon Barkley run for 5 yds to the MchSt 21

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the MchSt 20

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the MchSt 17

4th & 1Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -0.79

Tyler Davis 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Damion Terry pass complete to Josiah Price for 23 yds to the MchSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Damion Terry pass incomplete to Felton Davis III

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Donnie Corley run for 9 yds to the PnSt 43

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Damion Terry run for 3 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Gerald Holmes run for 1 yd to the PnSt 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Damion Terry pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 4 yds to the PnSt 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.29

Damion Terry pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 11 yds to the PnSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds to the PnSt 21

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.29

Damion Terry run for 9 yds to the PnSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Gerald Holmes run for 1 yd to the PnSt 11

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Jamal Lyles for 4 yds to the PnSt 7

3rd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.47

Tyler O'Connor sacked by Manny Bowen and Troy Apke for a loss of 9 yards to the PnSt 16

4th & 14Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA +0.26

Michael Geiger 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.32

Trace McSorley pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 16 yds to the PnSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Saquon Barkley run for 5 yds to the PnSt 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.97

Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 25 yds to the MchSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 4 yds to the MchSt 28

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.34

Trace McSorley run for 10 yds to the MchSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.70

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 22

2nd & 14Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 16 yds to the MchSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty+3 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Kevin Williams) to the MchSt 3

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the MchSt 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Trace McSorley run for no gain to the MchSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 17 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Gerald Holmes for 6 yds to the MchSt 48

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Gerald Holmes run for 7 yds to the PnSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Donnie Corley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Donnie Corley for 5 yds to the PnSt 40

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.53

Tyler O'Connor run for 8 yds to the PnSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

R.J. Shelton run for 4 yds to the PnSt 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Jamal Lyles for 9 yds to the PnSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Josiah Price for 10 yds to the PnSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds to the PnSt 6

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 3 yds to the PnSt 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cole Chewins) declined

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.08

Michael Geiger 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the MchSt 18

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.19

Tyler O'Connor sacked by Curtis Cothran and Evan Schwan for a loss of 10 yards to the MchSt 8

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 44 yds, downed at the PnSt 48

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the MchSt 48

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the MchSt 45

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.52

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 8 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the MchSt 34

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.29

Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 34 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Josiah Price

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Josiah Price for 10 yds to the MchSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.61

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Josiah Price for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 23

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Gregg Garrity at the PnSt 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 6 yds to the PnSt 37

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.67

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 5 yds to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Andre Robinson run for 15 yds to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 45

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +4.74

Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 45 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

R.J. Shelton run for 2 yds to the MchSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.28

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Monty Madaris for 13 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Donnie Corley for 12 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Delton Williams run for 3 yds to the PnSt 43

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Delton Williams run for 6 yds to the PnSt 37

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.63

Tyler O'Connor run for 3 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -4.06

Tyler O'Connor run for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 38 Tyler O'Connor fumbled, recovered by PnSt Grant Haley

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 41

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +5.38

Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 59 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 20

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (David Beedle) to the MchSt 15

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Monty Madaris

3rd & 12Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler O'Connor sacked by Kevin Givens for a loss of 8 yards to the MchSt 7

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Gregg Garrity at the MchSt 48

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Miles Sanders run for 3 yds to the MchSt 45

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Trace McSorley run for no gain to the MchSt 45

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 43 yds, downed at the MchSt 2

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Donnie Corley for 9 yds to the MchSt 11

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.12

Gerald Holmes run for 8 yds to the MchSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.66

Tyler O'Connor sacked by Parker Cothren for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 17

2nd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.33

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Josiah Price for 12 yds to the MchSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

O'Connor, Tyler pass incomplete to Corley, Donnie, PENALTY PENNST pass interference (Reid, John) 15 yards to the MICHIGANST44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Donnie Corley run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 43

2nd & 11Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.92

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Gerald Holmes for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 42

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Donnie Corley

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Mark Allen run for 6 yds to the PnSt 26

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Mark Allen run for 2 yds to the PnSt 28

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Juwan Johnson

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brandon Sowards at the MchSt 31

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

LJ Scott run for 8 yds to the MchSt 39

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.04

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Monty Madaris

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Trishton Jackson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Donnie Corley

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.00

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Monty Madaris

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 5 yds to the MchSt 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.63

Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 20 yds to the MchSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Andre Robinson run for 3 yds to the MchSt 14

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.69

Andre Robinson run for 14 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Monty Madaris for 4 yds to the MchSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Donnie Corley for 7 yds to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Delton Williams

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Delton Williams for 1 yd to the MchSt 40

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Gregg Garrity at the PnSt 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 43 yds to the MchSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Irvin Charles

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Juwan Johnson

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +5.06

Trace McSorley pass complete to Andre Robinson for 40 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Delton Williams run for 1 yd to the MchSt 36

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyler O'Connor run for 3 yds to the MchSt 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Trishton Jackson

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Felton Davis III

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Miles Sanders run for 4 yds to the MchSt 35

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Irvine Paye run for 7 yds to the MchSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Miles Sanders run for 8 yds to the MchSt 20

2nd & 2Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.09

Miles Sanders run for a loss of 10 yards to the MchSt 30

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Tommy Stevens pass complete to Irvine Paye for 10 yds to the MchSt 20

Situational Analysis

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
37 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
18 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
25 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
63%
8 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play