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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2016Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 9

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 24%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 29, 2016

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
7200532
Michigan StateMichigan State
7301323

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-77-1410-1710-2410-2710-3017-30
Michigan StateMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICMICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICMSMICTD1275ydTD880ydDOWNS1137ydTD562ydFG741ydFG870ydPUNT3-10ydTD1048ydTO10ydEND449ydTO839ydDOWNS829ydFG1469ydMISS1158ydPUNT3-3ydTD559ydPUNT637ydDOWNS1064ydPUNT39ydTD475ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Michigan State
StatisticMichiganMichigan State
Passing16-2513-28
Pass Yards244184
Rush Yards192217
Total Yards436401
Turnovers11
3rd Down5-124-12
Penalties5-627-57
Possession30:1629:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
Wilton Speight
16/25, 244 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Eddie McDoom
2 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
Amara Darboh
8 REC, 165 YDS
defense
Michigan State
passing
Brian Lewerke
6/10, 100 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
LJ Scott
22 CAR, 139 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
R.J. Shelton
2 REC, 57 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

LJ Scott run for no gain to the MchSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the MchSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to LJ Scott for 12 yds to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

LJ Scott run for 8 yds to the MchSt 47

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.07

LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the Mich 47

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.48

R.J. Shelton run for 14 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.24

LJ Scott run for 10 yds to the Mich 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the Mich 20

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.91

LJ Scott run for 15 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

LJ Scott run for no gain to the Mich 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

LJ Scott 5 Yd Run (Michael Geiger Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Drake Harris

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.19

De'Veon Smith run for 20 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Ty Isaac run for 7 yds to the Mich 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.96

Wilton Speight pass complete to Devin Asiasi for 15 yds to the MchSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.50

Eddie McDoom run for 20 yds to the MchSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 8 yds to the MchSt 10

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

De'Veon Smith run for 7 yds to the MchSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jabrill Peppers 3 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Josiah Price

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (Tyler Higby) to the MchSt 20

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Gerald Holmes

3rd & 15Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.83

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Josiah Price for 8 yds to the MchSt 28 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Delano Hill) to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Gerald Holmes run for 1 yd to the MchSt 44

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.51

R.J. Shelton run for 5 yds to the MchSt 49 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Delton Williams) to the MchSt 39

2nd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Jamal Lyles for 3 yds to the MchSt 42

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.99

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Josiah Price for 11 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Gerald Holmes run for 5 yds to the Mich 42

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Gerald Holmes run for 2 yds to the Mich 40

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Gerald Holmes run for 2 yds to the Mich 38

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.25

Gerald Holmes run for no gain to the Mich 38

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Mich 39

2nd & 9Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.08

Eddie McDoom run for 33 yds to the MchSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.55

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 26 yds to the MchSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Khalid Hill run for no gain to the MchSt 2 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Malik McDowell) to the MchSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

De'Veon Smith 1 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.15

LJ Scott run for 24 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

LJ Scott run for 5 yds to the Mich 46

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.06

LJ Scott run for 18 yds to the Mich 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Jamal Lyles

2nd & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.92

R.J. Shelton run for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 34

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Felton Davis III

4th & 16Field Goal Good+52 ydsPPA +2.13

Michael Geiger 52 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 16 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Chris Evans run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +1.64

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 43 yds to the MchSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the MchSt 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to De'Veon Smith

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.95

Kenny Allen 23 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.65

LJ Scott run for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 14

2nd & 13Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler O'Connor sacked by Mike McCray for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 12 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Illegal Shift ( Yards) declined

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Donnie Corley

4th & 15Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 7

4th & 20Punt+8 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 49 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 8 yds to the MchSt 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.86

Jabrill Peppers run for 15 yds to the MchSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the MchSt 30

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.09

Jehu Chesson run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 32

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.55

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 10 yds to the MchSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 6 yds to the MchSt 16

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jabrill Peppers run for 3 yds to the MchSt 13

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the MchSt 13

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.54

Khalid Hill run for 2 yds to the MchSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+6 yds

Speight, Wilton pass incomplete to Harris, Drake, PENALTY MICHIGANST holding (Layne, Justin) 6 yards to the MICHIGANST5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

De'Veon Smith 5 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tyler O'Connor pass intercepted Jourdan Lewis return for no gain to the Mich 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 14 yds to the MchSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Drake Harris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.42

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 20 yds to the MchSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Speight, Wilton pass incomplete to Darboh, Amara, PENALTY MICHIGANST pass interference (Smith, Tyson) 15 yards to the MICHIGANST5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 5Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -2.12

Kenny Allen 23 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ty Isaac run for 2 yds to the Mich 27

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Ty Isaac run for 7 yds to the Mich 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.18

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 15 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Khalid Hill

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Khalid Hill run for 4 yds to the MchSt 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.08

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 8 yds to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the MchSt 36

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-42 ydsPPA -3.60

Wilton Speight pass intercepted Darian Hicks return for 42 yds to the Mich 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the Mich 31

2nd & 8Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.92

Donnie Corley run for 23 yds to the Mich 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyler O'Connor run for no gain to the Mich 8

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

LJ Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 9

3rd & 9Penalty+7 yds

O'Connor, Tyler pass incomplete to Shelton, R.J., PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Peppers, Jabrill) 7 yards to the MICHIGAN2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

LJ Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the Mich 2

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

LJ Scott run for no gain to the Mich 2

4th & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -4.15

LJ Scott run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 4 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Tyler Higby) declined

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the Mich 6

2nd & 8Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.84

Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 39 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Jabrill Peppers run for 8 yds to the MchSt 47

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.99

Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the MchSt 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.92

Khalid Hill run for 2 yds to the MchSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jabrill Peppers for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 46

2nd & 12Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.93

Karan Higdon run for 13 yds to the MchSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Karan Higdon run for 6 yds to the MchSt 27

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the MchSt 27

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 1 yd to the MchSt 26

4th & 3Penalty+15 yds

Speight, Wilton pass incomplete to Darboh, Amara, PENALTY MICHIGANST pass interference (Hicks, Darian) 15 yards to the MICHIGANST11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the MchSt 7

2nd & 6Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Jabrill Peppers run for a loss of 5 yards to the MchSt 12

3rd & 11Penalty-15 yds

Speight, Wilton pass incomplete to Chesson, Jehu, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Darboh, Amara) 15 yards to the MICHIGANST27, NO PLAY.

3rd & 26Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jehu Chesson

4th & 26Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA +2.45

Kenny Allen 45 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

LJ Scott run for 7 yds to the MchSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Damion Terry run for 6 yds to the MchSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Damion Terry pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

2nd & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +3.39

LJ Scott run for 40 yds to the Mich 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Damion Terry pass incomplete to Monty Madaris

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Damion Terry run for 5 yds to the Mich 17

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Damion Terry run for 9 yds to the Mich 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -0.94

Damion Terry run for a loss of 9 yards to the Mich 17 Damion Terry fumbled, recovered by MchSt LJ Scott

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Damion Terry pass incomplete to R.J. Shelton

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Damion Terry pass incomplete to Josiah Price

4th & 17Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Michael Geiger 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Chris Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 19

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.27

Chris Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 17

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Amara Darboh

4th & 13Punt+6 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 48 yds , Brandon Sowards returns for 6 yds to the MchSt 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Donnie Corley

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.24

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the MchSt 36

3rd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Josiah Price for 10 yds to the MchSt 46

4th & 5Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.93

Brian Lewerke pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 34 yds to the Mich 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Monty Madaris 20 Yd pass from Brian Lewerke (Michael Geiger Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Wilton Speight pass complete to Khalid Hill for 2 yds to the Mich 20

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Wilton Speight run for 5 yds to the Mich 25

3rd & 3Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.76

Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 23 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Karan Higdon run for 6 yds to the MchSt 46

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Karan Higdon run for 2 yds to the MchSt 44

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 45

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Brandon Sowards at the MchSt 15

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.77

Brian Lewerke run for 24 yds to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Monty Madaris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Donnie Corley for 8 yds to the MchSt 47

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.42

Gerald Holmes run for 4 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Brian Lewerke run for 8 yds to the Mich 41

2nd & 2Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.35

Brian Lewerke pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 23 yds to the Mich 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Monty Madaris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 5 yds to the Mich 13

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Monty Madaris

4th & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -3.67

Brian Lewerke sacked by Jabrill Peppers for a loss of 8 yards to the Mich 21

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mich 30

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Karan Higdon run for no gain to the Mich 30

4th & 1Punt+44 yds

Kenny Allen punt for 44 yds , Donnie Corley returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.89

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to LJ Scott for 35 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

O'Connor, Tyler pass incomplete to Shelton, R.J., PENALTY MICHIGAN personal foul (Wormley, Chris) 15 yards to the MICHIGAN25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 10 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Tyler O'Connor pass incomplete to Donnie Corley

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

O'Connor, Tyler pass incomplete to Shelton, R.J., PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Lewis, Jourdan) 10 yards to the MICHIGAN5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Donnie Corley 5 Yd pass from Tyler O'Connor (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

1st & 0Defensive 2pt Conversion0 yds

Jabrill Peppers Defensive PAT Conversion

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 44

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
41%
27 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
6 plays
70%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
39%
28 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
58%
12 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play